May 28, 2012

Interesting commentary from Fitch about possible changes in the money market:

In particular, we believe further MMF reform will likely lead managers to expand their product offerings beyond MMFs, possibly resulting in one unintended consequence. A potential decrease in information transparency for short-term market participants and regulators could occur, should more cash be moved from highly regulated and transparent MMFs into other parts of the financial system.

For example, corporate investors may shift liquid funds into separately managed cash accounts (SPA) as an alternative to MMFs. SPAs are one way a corporate treasurer could choose to diversify cash management activities without relying on MMFs. SPAs are managed in line with customized investment strategies that are designed to meet the investment objectives of a specific client. Importantly, SPAs are generally designed to provide liquidity from maturing securities with only minimum reliance on secondary market liquidity, which could be could be constrained during times of market stress. In contrast to MMFs which offer same-day liquidity, SPAs require corporate treasurers to have a high degree of confidence in their cash needs and cash flow forecasts.

This comes after revelations that the Fed is offering investment advice:

The Federal Reserve has warned U.S. money market funds to cut their investments in Europe, a top official says.

“The Fed and regulators have tried to stress to money market funds to reduce their exposure to European financial institutions,” Charles Plosser, the president of the Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, told the Wall Street Journal.

However, the Fed has not yet begun to centrally micromanage the economy:

Federal Labour Minister Lisa Raitt tabled a back-to-work bill on Monday, ordering an end to the strike within days at Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. …

Ms. Raitt’s move comes as the economic impact mounts from the six-day strike by 4,800 members of the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference.

It was a negative day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts flat, FixedResets off 5bp and DeemedRetractibles losing 17bp. SLF DeemedRetractibles performed shockingly badly, with all of them down far more than would have been predicted from knowing that they went ex-Dividend today; otherwise the Performance Highlights table shows fair volatility. Volume was light; no surprise given that it was a US holiday.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3347 % 2,473.6
FixedFloater 4.50 % 3.86 % 29,726 17.56 1 -1.3551 % 3,503.1
Floater 2.92 % 2.94 % 67,892 19.82 3 0.3347 % 2,670.8
OpRet 4.80 % 2.57 % 42,764 1.05 5 -0.0155 % 2,500.8
SplitShare 5.26 % -4.64 % 51,029 0.55 4 0.1243 % 2,712.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0155 % 2,286.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.46 % 2.39 % 71,500 0.62 25 -0.0016 % 2,227.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.10 % 5.19 % 81,823 15.06 8 0.4776 % 2,434.4
FixedReset 5.06 % 3.18 % 192,541 4.25 69 -0.0458 % 2,392.2
Deemed-Retractible 4.99 % 3.69 % 164,892 2.72 45 -0.1733 % 2,312.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.29
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.45
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.53
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.41
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-28
Maturity Price : 21.83
Evaluated at bid price : 21.11
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
IAG.PR.E Deemed-Retractible -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-28
Maturity Price : 24.55
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 4.63 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-28
Maturity Price : 22.76
Evaluated at bid price : 23.16
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-28
Maturity Price : 22.72
Evaluated at bid price : 23.15
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 116,303 National crossed 90,800 at 26.63.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.62
Bid-YTW : 3.02 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset 95,500 RBC crossed blocks of 70,000 and 15,500, both at 26.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 3.18 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 95,334 National crossed 76,000 at 26.76; RBC crossed 10,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.76
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 77,317 National crossed 35,000 at 25.95 and 33,000 at 25.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.81
Bid-YTW : 3.30 %
GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible 66,064 Desjardins crossed 60,000 at 25.01.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 5.37 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset 57,840 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.76
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %
There were 17 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IAG.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.60 – 26.30
Spot Rate : 0.7000
Average : 0.5416

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %

TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Premium Quote: 51.66 – 52.37
Spot Rate : 0.7100
Average : 0.5600

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-15
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 51.66
Bid-YTW : 3.47 %

NA.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 26.21 – 26.74
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3841

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.21
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %

RY.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.66 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2153

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : 3.87 %

BAM.PR.C Floater Quote: 17.91 – 18.34
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.3176

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-28
Maturity Price : 17.91
Evaluated at bid price : 17.91
Bid-YTW : 2.96 %

IAG.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 25.90 – 26.18
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2029

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 3.52 %

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