October 29, 2012

UBS is cutting way back on investment banking:

UBS AG (UBSN), Switzerland’s largest bank, will cut as many as 10,000 jobs companywide as the trading business shrinks, a person with knowledge of the plan said.

The bank had about 63,250 employees as of June 30, according to its most recent financial report, which means the staff cut could equal 16 percent. UBS already announced it is reducing risk-weighted assets at the investment bank by more than half from September 2011 levels, mostly in fixed income.

The plan will lead to a further reduction of as much as 100 billion Swiss francs ($107 billion) of risk-weighted assets, the person said. Much of the fixed-income operations will be put in a new unit that will hold non-core assets, and [investment-bank co-head Carsten] Kengeter will probably give up his current role to head the new unit, the person said.

There are threats of turmoil in Italy:

Former Italian prime minister Silvio Berlusconi said his party, the biggest in parliament, may end support for Premier Mario Monti’s government because its policies are deepening the country’s recession.

The People of Liberty party needs to consider that “with a no-confidence vote by us, we would determine a situation that would be interpreted in a certain way by the financial markets and would cause early elections,” Berlusconi, 76, told reporters yesterday near Milan. “We will consider these facts and decide whether to immediately withdraw our support of the government.”

“It’s impossible to say what is in Berlusconi’s head now, but if he decides to end his support to Monti, early elections become almost inevitable,” said Roberto D’Alimonte, a professor of politics at Rome’s LUISS University. “Berlusconi would lose the elections anyway, but would likely get more votes thanks to an anti-austerity platform and that would increase his party’s bargaining power in the next parliament.”

Monti is still implementing some of the steps aimed at containing debt and keeping the deficit under 3 percent of gross domestic product this year. Industrial output unexpectedly rose in August, signalling the recession may be easing and consumer confidence gained this month as the government announced tax cuts for the lowest earners to offset the effect of an increase on the value-added levy in 2012.

Government micro-management of the mortgage market is getting popular:

The monetary policy committee, led by Governor Stanley Fischer, cut the rate by a quarter-point to 2 percent, the Jerusalem-based bank said on its website today. None of the 24 economists surveyed by Bloomberg predicted the decision.

The Bank of Israel also released, together with the rate decision, new draft directives aimed at cooling the mortgage market, which are expected to go into effect on Nov. 1. The directives limit mortgages to 70 percent of the value of the home, with the exception of new home buyers, who will be permitted to borrow up to 75 percent.

I will admit that I was inclined to be rather contemptuous of today’s shut-down of the NYSE – until I saw this picture from Manhattan:


Click for Big

This has had an effect on power supply:

Con Edison shut down power to parts of downtown Manhattan, including Wall Street and the nation’s financial nerve center, as the storm surge, boosted by high tide, sent saltwater pouring into its underground power network.

About 250,000 customers in Manhattan were without power as of 9 p.m. on Oct. 29 local time after flooding in substations caused outages from the lower tip of the island to East 39th Street, the utility said in a statement. It may need to cut power in additional areas of downtown, as well as in parts of Brooklyn, Queens and the Bronx due to record tides and surge from Sandy,the utility said in a separate statement last night.

It was a day of very little price movement for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums gaining 1bp, FixedResets down 3bp and DeemedRetractibles off 1bp. There was no volatility of note. Volume was low.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0400 % 2,467.7
FixedFloater 4.19 % 3.52 % 36,308 18.31 1 -0.2198 % 3,844.9
Floater 2.80 % 3.00 % 57,035 19.72 4 -0.0400 % 2,664.5
OpRet 4.61 % 0.53 % 42,088 0.63 4 0.5252 % 2,578.6
SplitShare 5.39 % 4.81 % 67,019 4.48 3 0.1050 % 2,844.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5252 % 2,357.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.28 % 1.32 % 80,536 0.22 27 0.0086 % 2,310.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.02 % 4.93 % 42,252 15.45 4 -0.1128 % 2,579.2
FixedReset 4.97 % 3.04 % 210,548 3.95 73 -0.0265 % 2,445.5
Deemed-Retractible 4.95 % 3.58 % 131,392 2.02 47 -0.0067 % 2,381.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
No individual gains or losses exceeding 1%!
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 63,190 TD bought 19,400 from CIBC at 25.41. Nesbitt crossed 25,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.46
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 61,641 National crossed 50,000 at 26.59.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.60
Bid-YTW : 1.88 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset 60,163 RBC crossed 46,300 at 24.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.91
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 54,042 RBC crossed 50,000 at 25.54.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : 3.22 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset 52,508 RBC crossed 49,900 at 26.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 50,350 RBC crossed 50,000 at 25.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-10-29
Maturity Price : 23.64
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 2.77 %
There were 20 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.25 – 25.00
Spot Rate : 0.7500
Average : 0.4319

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %

IAG.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.37 – 26.86
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.2716

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-12-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.37
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %

CM.PR.E Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.44 – 25.72
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1706

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-11-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.44
Bid-YTW : -13.99 %

MFC.PR.A OpRet Quote: 25.76 – 26.13
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2616

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.76
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %

POW.PR.C Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.41 – 25.68
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1784

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-11-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : -11.01 %

HSB.PR.E FixedReset Quote: 26.74 – 26.95
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1405

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.74
Bid-YTW : 2.67 %

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