April 6, 2016

Just the bare bones again! Hopefully I’ll have caught up with all my overdue things in the near future!

PerpetualDiscounts now have a yield of 5.58%, equivalent to 7.25% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 4.05%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 320bp, unchanged from the March 30 figure.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.01 % 6.09 % 10,310 16.57 1 0.7463 % 1,570.7
FixedFloater 6.79 % 5.97 % 21,895 16.33 1 0.0000 % 2,929.8
Floater 4.58 % 4.76 % 60,412 15.98 4 0.4383 % 1,689.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0068 % 2,803.0
SplitShare 4.73 % 5.06 % 88,979 1.60 6 -0.0068 % 3,280.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0068 % 2,559.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.80 % -9.27 % 92,281 0.08 6 0.4702 % 2,581.0
Perpetual-Discount 5.57 % 5.58 % 95,674 14.49 33 0.1455 % 2,618.8
FixedReset 5.23 % 4.65 % 181,452 14.01 87 0.5733 % 1,945.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.20 % 5.44 % 123,630 5.10 34 -0.0374 % 2,623.2
FloatingReset 3.13 % 5.02 % 35,896 5.40 17 -0.0658 % 2,018.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.O FloatingReset -2.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 11.75
Bid-YTW : 11.47 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset -1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.08
Evaluated at bid price : 19.08
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 10.06
Evaluated at bid price : 10.06
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 11.35
Evaluated at bid price : 11.35
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
PVS.PR.D SplitShare -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2021-10-08
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 5.90 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.89
Evaluated at bid price : 18.89
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 7.22 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 4.21 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.60
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.60
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %
FTS.PR.M FixedReset 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.52
Evaluated at bid price : 18.52
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.65
Bid-YTW : 8.17 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 11.40
Evaluated at bid price : 11.40
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
CIU.PR.C FixedReset 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 11.25
Evaluated at bid price : 11.25
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.94
Evaluated at bid price : 17.94
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.67
Evaluated at bid price : 19.67
Bid-YTW : 4.77 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 15.21
Evaluated at bid price : 15.21
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 14.47
Evaluated at bid price : 14.47
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 11.27
Evaluated at bid price : 11.27
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset 1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.91
Evaluated at bid price : 18.91
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset 2.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 20.73
Evaluated at bid price : 20.73
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset 2.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 16.59
Evaluated at bid price : 16.59
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset 2.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.96
Bid-YTW : 7.52 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset 2.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.70
Evaluated at bid price : 18.70
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 2.88 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 11.80
Evaluated at bid price : 11.80
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 3.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 13.10
Evaluated at bid price : 13.10
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset 3.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 20.30
Evaluated at bid price : 20.30
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
NA.PR.X FixedReset 132,400 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.45
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 123,485 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 20.52
Evaluated at bid price : 20.52
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %
MFC.PR.O FixedReset 112,070 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.17
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
FTS.PR.M FixedReset 83,673 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.52
Evaluated at bid price : 18.52
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset 68,887 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.40
Evaluated at bid price : 18.40
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 60,920 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.35
Bid-YTW : 10.45 %
There were 28 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 17.90 – 18.49
Spot Rate : 0.5900
Average : 0.3762

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 7.88 %

BMO.PR.T FixedReset Quote: 18.50 – 19.00
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3644

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %

TD.PF.B FixedReset Quote: 18.55 – 18.95
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2682

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.55
Evaluated at bid price : 18.55
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 10.06 – 10.50
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3113

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 10.06
Evaluated at bid price : 10.06
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %

TD.PF.A FixedReset Quote: 18.60 – 18.95
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2371

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.60
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %

TRP.PR.D FixedReset Quote: 17.35 – 17.61
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1590

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.35
Evaluated at bid price : 17.35
Bid-YTW : 4.65 %

3 Responses to “April 6, 2016”

  1. brian says:

    Just looking at the fixed reset pref market today and it is WAY up! The insurance fixed resets in particular – several are up more than 4% this morning. Interest rates haven’t gone up today, oil hasn’t gone up today… so what’s happening? Did I miss some news?? Hope somebody can explain this to me!

  2. Louisprefs says:

    I share your surprise and I miss James’ imaging the market’s daily performance. Whilst chuckling the bare bones, just imagine a drone lifting up like a rocket.

  3. like_to_retire says:

    brian, here’s my take. After being demolished in the last year, I think fixed resets are looking for any hint of future interest rate increases. They are so beat down that if a whiff of rate increase surfaces, I see that they will start a sharp recovery – I can only hope.

    I’ve seen several reports in the last week of the Canadian labour market surging in March that suggests that Canada is experiencing a strengthening economy. GDP is up, the best in 5 years, so some banks have revised their forecasts. The Canadian job market bounced back in March too, and so all these factors may lower pressure on any interest rate cuts that the central bank might have been considering next week. I’ll grab onto any port in the storm that will help the beat-down of my fixed resets.

    ltr

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