February 5, 2009

The Russian Central Bank has come up with a novel bank recapitalization technique:

Russia’s central bank is exacerbating the ruble’s 34 percent plunge since August, even as it struggles to defend the exchange rate, by providing loans to banks that speculate on the currency, say Alfa Bank and UniCredit SpA.

Bank Rossii lent 7.7 trillion rubles ($214 billion) in overnight and seven-day loans secured with bonds or other collateral in the 16 trading days last month, about double the 4.8 trillion rubles provided in so-called repurchase auctions in December, central bank data show. Banks used “almost all” the money to bet against the ruble, said Natalia Orlova, chief economist at Alfa, Russia’s largest non-government bank. The ruble fell 18 percent against the dollar in January.

“A significant amount, if not all, of the speculative attacks on the ruble are funded by the central bank itself,” said Vladimir Osakovsky, Moscow-based economist for UniCredit, Italy’s largest bank.

Across the Curve believes that Treasury issuance is going to lead to higher government bond yields in the near future.

PerpetualDiscounts edged slightly lower today. Market volume was reasonable, but dominated by the recent Fixed-Reset issues.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.36 % 3.86 % 24,117 17.63 2 -0.1024 % 855.8
FixedFloater 7.26 % 6.98 % 68,178 13.93 7 -0.0367 % 1,382.3
Floater 5.38 % 4.42 % 29,436 16.55 4 0.2567 % 976.7
OpRet 5.29 % 4.70 % 158,414 4.02 15 0.2673 % 2,031.7
SplitShare 6.23 % 9.14 % 72,246 4.08 15 -0.2025 % 1,787.7
Interest-Bearing 7.08 % 8.13 % 35,895 0.86 2 0.0000 % 1,998.9
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0337 % 1,555.8
Perpetual-Discount 6.91 % 6.96 % 208,178 12.63 71 -0.0337 % 1,432.9
FixedReset 6.13 % 5.84 % 702,013 13.84 27 0.0942 % 1,794.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CM.PR.K FixedReset -3.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -2.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 20.52
Evaluated at bid price : 20.52
Bid-YTW : 7.16 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset -2.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 22.24
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -2.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 18.82
Evaluated at bid price : 18.82
Bid-YTW : 7.21 %
BMO.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 16.47
Evaluated at bid price : 16.47
Bid-YTW : 6.86 %
RY.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 17.35
Evaluated at bid price : 17.35
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
BNS.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 18.06
Evaluated at bid price : 18.06
Bid-YTW : 6.71 %
DFN.PR.A SplitShare -1.25 % Asset coverage of 1.6-:1 as of January 30, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.70
Bid-YTW : 8.18 %
TD.PR.M OpRet -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %
FFN.PR.A SplitShare -1.18 % Asset coverage of 1.1-:1 as of January 30, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.56
Bid-YTW : 11.18 %
SLF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 15.31
Evaluated at bid price : 15.31
Bid-YTW : 7.48 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 16.33
Evaluated at bid price : 16.33
Bid-YTW : 7.28 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 16.81
Evaluated at bid price : 16.81
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 21.96
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.90
Bid-YTW : 11.22 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 21.26
Evaluated at bid price : 21.26
Bid-YTW : 7.01 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 22.06
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 21.31
Evaluated at bid price : 21.31
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
BCE.PR.Z FixedFloater 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.20
Bid-YTW : 7.12 %
TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Discount 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 44.58
Evaluated at bid price : 46.01
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 21.86
Evaluated at bid price : 21.90
Bid-YTW : 4.87 %
BNS.PR.Q FixedReset 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 21.96
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 2.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 19.99
Evaluated at bid price : 19.99
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
ENB.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 2.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-05
Maturity Price : 23.36
Evaluated at bid price : 23.65
Bid-YTW : 5.92 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 3.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.21
Bid-YTW : 10.20 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.L FixedReset 211,510 Recent new issue
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.91
Bid-YTW : 6.65 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 151,333 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.93
Bid-YTW : 6.40 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 118,520 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.93
Bid-YTW : 6.40 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 116,265 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
WFS.PR.A SplitShare 84,300 RBC crossed 71,800 at 8.71.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-06-30
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.58
Bid-YTW : 12.65 %
NA.PR.P FixedReset 35,150 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 6.83 %
There were 22 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

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