April 16, 2009

OSFI has announced:

the results of its latest solvency testing of federally regulated private pension plans.

As part of its regular monitoring activities, OSFI tracks the ratio of plan assets to plan liabilities for the 400 defined benefit plans it regulates. The results show that the average estimated solvency ratio of federally regulated defined benefit private pension plans at December 31, 2008 was 0.85, a decrease from 0.98 as reported in June 2008.

One of my favourite examples of boneheaded compensation schemes has always been the Soviet system for evaluating tractor factories’ meeting of goals set in five year plans. They weren’t evaluated on quality of tractors. They weren’t evaluated on quantity of tractors. They were evaluated on weight of tractors. Guess which world economy had the heaviest tractors?

But maybe now I have a new favourite: the SEC system for evaluation of case officers:

The SEC and Finra receive thousands of complaints each year. SEC enforcement offices were evaluated on the number of cases, or “stats,” they brought in, rather than on the seriousness or difficulty of action, said Walter Ricciardi, the agency’s deputy chief of enforcement from 2005 through 2008, in a speech April 1 in New York.

“So if you brought an Enron, that’s one,” Ricciardi said. “If you brought a WorldCom, that’s two.” Delisting 135 defunct companies in a week for failing to file annual reports gave an enforcer 135 cases to count, he said.

But there’s some good news in the bond world, anyway:

JPMorgan Chase & Co., the second- largest U.S. bank by assets, plans to sell dollar-denominated debt without the backing of the U.S. government for the first time since August, according to a person familiar with the transaction.

The New York-based bank plans to sell 10-year notes in a benchmark offering, said the person, who declined to be identified because terms aren’t set. Benchmark typically means at least $500 million.

There are rumours about that the objective of this issue is not so much as to get the money as to establish a market clearing price.

But naturally, recessions mean there are some losers: General Growth and Abitibi have filed for creditor protection.

Yet another solidly positive day for preferred shares on continued relatively heavy volume. PerpetualDiscounts outperformed – as might be expected, given that their duration is now officially well in excess of the FixedResets.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5988 % 936.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5988 % 1,514.7
Floater 5.21 % 5.19 % 70,376 15.19 2 0.5988 % 1,170.1
OpRet 5.12 % 4.63 % 144,882 3.88 15 0.4263 % 2,125.6
SplitShare 6.69 % 9.84 % 45,204 5.64 3 0.7985 % 1,726.7
Interest-Bearing 6.17 % 10.29 % 28,087 0.68 1 0.1030 % 1,931.6
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.6993 % 1,623.7
Perpetual-Discount 6.72 % 6.82 % 147,512 12.83 71 0.6993 % 1,495.4
FixedReset 5.94 % 5.37 % 694,673 4.59 35 0.3152 % 1,895.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BMO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 21.26
Evaluated at bid price : 21.54
Bid-YTW : 6.85 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 18.22
Evaluated at bid price : 18.22
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %
TD.PR.R Perpetual-Discount 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.45
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 6.85 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 14.30
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 8.42 %
BNS.PR.O Perpetual-Discount 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 21.39
Evaluated at bid price : 21.71
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
RY.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 18.40
Evaluated at bid price : 18.40
Bid-YTW : 6.37 %
RY.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 22.72
Evaluated at bid price : 22.85
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 20.76
Evaluated at bid price : 20.76
Bid-YTW : 6.96 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 21.26
Evaluated at bid price : 21.26
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 7.01 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 18.84
Evaluated at bid price : 18.84
Bid-YTW : 7.16 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.11
Bid-YTW : 8.43 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 17.31
Evaluated at bid price : 17.31
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %
BNS.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 17.64
Evaluated at bid price : 17.64
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 15.70
Evaluated at bid price : 15.70
Bid-YTW : 7.42 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 18.01
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 7.00 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 16.95
Evaluated at bid price : 16.95
Bid-YTW : 6.73 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 14.65
Evaluated at bid price : 14.65
Bid-YTW : 8.19 %
BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 17.65
Evaluated at bid price : 17.65
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
MFC.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 17.61
Evaluated at bid price : 17.61
Bid-YTW : 6.69 %
BNS.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 20.81
Evaluated at bid price : 20.81
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 18.35
Evaluated at bid price : 18.35
Bid-YTW : 6.78 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare 2.03 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company … which really should have updated their website by now. Asset Coverage is probably 1.8+:1 by now, based on BAM.A’s improvement from 16.88 to 18.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.06
Bid-YTW : 13.45 %
HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 2.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 18.66
Evaluated at bid price : 18.66
Bid-YTW : 6.91 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 2.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 21.70
Evaluated at bid price : 21.70
Bid-YTW : 6.88 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 2.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 23.57
Evaluated at bid price : 23.61
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 2.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 14.50
Evaluated at bid price : 14.50
Bid-YTW : 8.30 %
BAM.PR.I OpRet 3.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-12-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.32
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 3.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 20.12
Evaluated at bid price : 20.12
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 4.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-16
Maturity Price : 20.95
Evaluated at bid price : 20.95
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 94,057 Desjardins crossed 25,000 at 25.47.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 6.38 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 91,502 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.82
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 79,619 Nesbitt crossed 24,600 at 25.95; CIBC crossed 38,000 at 25.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.83
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %
NA.PR.P FixedReset 76,610 CIBC crossed 38,000 at 25.82.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.78
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 75,721 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.37
Bid-YTW : 6.38 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 75,635 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.71
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
There were 38 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

2 Responses to “April 16, 2009”

  1. prefhound says:

    It is nice to see some semi-good news on pensions — OSFI saying federally regulated (i.e. crown corporation and bank) DB pension plans have solvency ratios of “only” 85%. In March, FSCO, which regulates a lot more provincially-regulated plans, said the median solvency at Dec 31, 2008 was 77%. All together, I estimate this is something like $120B short in Canada. Not sure who is going to pay for this as many companies cannot afford 35% of annual revenue to fix the DB plans and the Ontario Pension Benefits Guarantee Fund is $100M in the hole.

  2. adrian2 says:

    Re: which world economy had the heaviest tractors?

    Eastern Bloc joke: the Soviet dwarf is the biggest dwarf in the world!

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