Category: MAPF

MAPF

MAPF Performance: April, 2008

The fund had a good month in April, with substantial outperformance against its benchmark.

Returns to April, 2008
Period MAPF Index
One Month +0.73% +0.07%
Three Months -0.38% -1.09%
One Year +0.40% -5.61%
Two Years (annualized) +3.49% -0.83%
Three Years (annualized) +4.45% +0.57%
Four Years (annualized) +5.75% +1.84%
Five Years (annualized) +9.40% +2.72%
Six Years (annualized) +8.10% +3.26%
Seven Years (annualized) +9.22% +2.92%
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income. The figures for YTW and Leverage Divisor were disclosed in the discussion of the April month-end portfolio composition.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
April, 2008 8.9156 6.09% 1.034 5.89% 0.5251
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held

It is noteworthy – well, I consider it noteworthy – that the “Securities YTW” remained constant during the month despite the increase in portfolio credit quality during the period. The intent (insofar as a purely quantitative system can be said to have an intent) is to sell that quality back to the market as soon as it is not quite so cheap.

The slight increase in “Sustainable Income” is largely due to the accumulation of one month’s worth of dividends, which have been received by the fund but not yet paid to unitholders.

I will post more discussion later.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition : April, 2008

Trading slowed down somewhat in April to about 35% of portfolio value. “Slow” is a relative term! Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2008-4-30
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 0.9% (-2.2) 4.79% 4.97
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.3% (-0.1) 5.35% 2.51
PerpetualDiscount 102.1% (+0.9) 5.89% 14.11
Scraps 0% N/A N/A
Cash -3.4% (+1.3) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.09% 14.48
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from March month-end.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2008-4-30
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 76.8% (+23.6)
Pfd-1(low) 11.3% (-9.2)
Pfd-2(high) 4.3% (-7.4)
Pfd-2 0.4% (-2.0)
Pfd-2(low) 10.5% (-6.5)
Cash -3.4% (+1.3)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from March month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2008-4-30
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.8% (-11.6)
$50,000 – $100,000 9.3% (+5.9)
$100,000 – $200,000 18.9% (+18.9)
$200,000 – $300,000 27.3% (+1.2)
>$300,000 47.0% (-15.9)
Cash -3.4% (+1.3)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from March month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

And, here’s an example of a trade sequence that worked marvellously. As always, note that the data in the table has been aggregated and approximated; the prices shown are a fair approximation of the detailed figures, but do not necessarily represent actual execution prices. Trade detail is made public periodically via the fund web page, but details for 2008 trades have not yet been released.

Simplified Trading Sequence
Issue RY.PR.D CIU.PR.A HSB.PR.D
January Sold
$21.65
Bought
$21.15
About half of
total held
 
April
Trade
  Sold
$21.57
Bought
$21.86
April
Month-end
Bid
$19.89 $21.01 $21.99
Relevant
Dividend
Information
Jan. & Apr, 2×0.28125 Feb $0.2875 None
Change
From
January to
April M/E
-5.53% +3.35%  
Change
From
April Trade
to
Month End
  -2.60% +0.59%

April performance will be published on the weekend.

MAPF

MAPF: Response to a Potential Client's Concerns

There was a very gratifying exchange on FWF about Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund that (so far!) has included the following concerns about the fund:

The outperformance of Malachite fund is indeed commendable and tempting for a newbie like myself currently investing in CPD. However turnover is very high, about 250 transactions for last year. We invest our non-registered fixed income in preferreds due to dividend tax credit advantage. Malachite’s high turnover seems highly tax inefficient, which would erode its outperformance. While its expense capped at 0.5% and fee of 1% for investment up to $0.5m is reasonable for a well managed active product, passive CPD’s MER is 0.45%. It may be interesting to work out the net outperformance after taking into consideration overall tax considerations and MER for such active versus passive products.

Fair enough. Let’s take the concerns in order:

However turnover is very high, about 250 transactions for last year.

The high turnover is a direct consequence of my philosophy as an active manager. I do not believe it is possible, in the long term, to make excess risk-adjusted returns by making macro-economic market-timing calls. So, for instance, I don’t think it possible that somebody can say “Oil will be going up for the next five years, therefore I’m going to invest in oil stocks” and have a reasonable expectation of making money.

As I never tire of saying, it’s a chaotic world we live in and even if you are able to analyze the world situation perfectly as of TODAY, there is every likelihood that the world will change tomorrow and mess up all your analysis.

There is, however, money to be made by selling liquidity … a rather arcane concept, but I’ll do the best I can.

How does a used car dealer make money? By and large, he’s not actually improving the cars … he’s just buying at one price and selling at another. Which is the key point. If you want to sell your car – you’ll go to him with a car “worth” $7,500 and accept $7,000 for it, because it’s convenient and probably cheaper than taking an ad out in the paper and spending time with potential buyers. If you want to buy a used car “worth” $7,500, you may well be happy to pay him $8,000 because of that same convenience and cost factor. So the dealer has, in this case, made $1,000 by “selling liquidity” – all he’s done is kept a parking lot in operation and been available at his place of business.

It’s the same thing with securities. There are always shifts in supply and demand that change the market price of a security without affecting the “fair” price. HIMIPref™, the proprietary software developed by my firm seeks to determine the fair value of each security in the preferred share universe it tracks. When the market value of something it doesn’t own becomes “sufficiently” cheaper than something it does – it trades. The word “sufficiently” is in quotes because solving that problem is just as hard as solving the “fair price” problem … at what point does the difference in value become so compelling that the possibility of gains outweighs the possibility of losses and the certainty of costs?

Not every trade will work – and I can’t, of course, provide any guarantees about the future – but the system has been sufficiently successful at this evaluation that returns over the first seven years of the fund’s existence have been very gratifying. As long as each trade meets the requirements and has a good potential profit … well, the more trades the better, I say!

Malachite’s high turnover seems highly tax inefficient, which would erode its outperformance.

Well … not really.

The concept of tax inefficiency is of major importance only with equities. An equity can easily double from its IPO price, for instance, while increasing its dividend. Given sufficient time, the price and the dividend can multiply by any amount you wish, with the unrealized capital gain giving rise to deferred tax, which is a lot nicer than having had to pay the tax earlier which would result from trading of the equities.

But preferred shares are fixed income instruments. A preferred share issued at $25 will, almost always, eventually be called at $25 (the exceptions are early calls, for which the issuer pays a slight premium, and defaults, for which a loss is expected which may be total). You do not make money from preferred shares from long term capital gains. Therefore, the concept of tax efficiency – at best – is limited to a few years’ deferral in a bull market.

While its expense capped at 0.5% and fee of 1% for investment up to $0.5m is reasonable for a well managed active product, passive CPD’s MER is 0.45%.

True enough. One generic advantage of MAPF – shared by most funds – is that you have a choice of whether to receive or to reinvest distributions. I’m not sure whether CPD offers a Dividend Reinvestment Plan at this point or not; or what the terms of such a plan might be.

More importantly, MAPF has historically beaten the index by more than the 1.05% difference in costs (the difference will decline as the amount invested gets larger).

An index product, for instance, will not sell a holding even when the yield-to-worst goes negative. An active fund can. An index product will not – usually – subscribe for a new issue, even when the issue has been priced at a substantial concession to extant issues. An active fund can.

I work hard to keep this track record going and have confidence that the fund will outperform in the future. Investors in the fund share that confidence, and I attempt to communicate to unitholders why I am confident. Just how convinced you are is up to you!

I hope this helps – please comment, eMail or call with any other questions you may have.

MAPF

MAPF Performance : March 2008

The fund’s amazing run of three superb months in a row came to a halt in March as the market swooned with the fund having overweighted PerpetualDiscount issues, the hardest hit sector. A fair bit of trading mitigated, but could not eliminate, the damage.

This was only one month, however, and the fund takes a long-term approach to the markets – it is recognized that not every month will deliver excess returns, or even every quarter. Trades are executed when there is a good probability of relative profit and in the past this has brought excess returns over time, albeit with considerable lumpiness in the timing of these excess returns.

Returns to March, 2008
Period MAPF Index
One Month -4.56% -2.79%
Three Months +0.16% -0.31%
One Year -1.59% -7.07%
Two Years (annualized) +1.88% -1.58%
Three Years (annualized) +3.82% +0.65%
Four Years (annualized) +4.35% +0.99%
Five Years (annualized) +10.69% +2.61%
Six Years (annualized) +8.19% +3.13%
Seven Years (annualized) +9.28% +2.86%
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

The competition was outpaced for the quarter: the fund outperformed the closed-end fund (DPS.UN), which returned an estimated -2.26% on the month and an estimated -0.79% on the quarter, as well as the exchange-traded fund (CPD) which returned -2.90% and -1.23% on the month and quarter. Calculation details for these two performances have been posted separately.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 0.5216
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.

It should be noted that I do not have this calculation audited in any way, so unitholders will not be able to see an explicit confirmation of these figures, although you will be able to derive the year end figure for yourselves – I will be happy to provide supporting documents for the calculation to unitholders on request. Readers should also note that the fund is indifferent to whether investment returns are in the form of capital gains or dividends – portfolio management seeks to maximize total return after tax for a notional high-marginal-rate investor based in Ontario. It should also be noted that this sustainable income figure is not targetted in any manner; it may well go down if, for instance, it is decided that quality is cheap and trades are executed to increase credit quality at the expense of yield.

For all that, though, there is a point to the calculation – it shows that in the recent past, and subject to the usual warning that historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns:

  • Income expectations are a lot more stable than market prices, and
  • the overall trend is upwards

In the year ended March, 2008, however, the total dividend distribution of $0.525925 was very close to the theoretical figure, albeit with considerable quarterly variance.

The market finished March just a little bit above the trough of November, 2007, as several new issues (NA 6% Perps, BMO 5.80% Perps, BNS Reset Perps and TD 5.60% Perps) knocked the market down considerably. I suspect that there will be something of a pause in issuance for the nonce, as the market recovers … but I’ve been wrong on these macro-calls before and I’ll be wrong again in the future! The issuers will do what’s good for their business, without worrying too much about what’s good for the marketplace.

Long term investors will be most interest in the dividend-friendly Ontario budget, which went a long way towards countering the future effects of the dividend hostile Federal budget.

The fund did considerable trading during the month, but most of this trading was simply opportunistic switching between issues with similar characteristics.

MAPF

MAPF : Preferred Share Fund 2007 Financials Posted

The audited financial statements for my pooled fund, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, for 2007, have been posted, together with a full statement of transactions in 2007.

The monthly, quarterly, annual and annualized performances to the end of the first quarter, 2008, have also been published. A commentary on the performance for March 2008 is in preparation.

While the year to March 31 was disappointing in terms of absolute return, I was very pleased to see that the fund handily outperformed its benchmark during a vicious downturn – the causes of this downturn have been previously discussed. Large market moves are, in general, good for the fund’s relative performance because individual issues will become out of alignment with their peers, which allows trading opportunities. Unitholders can be assured that I work constantly to ensure that the fund’s outperformance will be maintained in the future, in both up and down markets.

Full information regarding the fund is available at the fund’s main page, where subscription information is also available.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition : March 2008

There was a good level of trading in March, almost all within the perpetualDiscount sector.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2008-3-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 3.1% (-7.4) 5.59% 3.48
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.4% (+0.1) -7.63% 0.08
PerpetualDiscount 101.2% (+4.8) 5.95% 14.00
Scraps 0% N/A N/A
Cash -4.7% (+2.5) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.17% 14.29
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding.
Bracketted figures represent change from February month-end.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2008-3-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 53.2% (-0.3)
Pfd-1(low) 20.5% (+13.3)
Pfd-2(high) 11.7% (0)
Pfd-2 2.4% (-7.4)
Pfd-2(low) 17.0% (-8.0)
Cash -4.7% (+2.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
Bracketted figures represent change from February month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2008-3-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 12.4% (+11.4)
$50,000 – $100,000 3.4% (-19.5)
$100,000 – $200,000 0.0% (0.0)
$200,000 – $300,000 26.1% (+4.6)
>$300,000 62.9% (+1.1)
Cash -4.7% (+2.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
Bracketted figures represent change from February month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

As noted above, there was a fair bit of intra-sectoral trading this month. I’ll highlight one sequence that was not just intra-sectoral, but intra-issuer.

Simplified Trading Sequence
Issue CM.PR.J CM.PR.E CM.PR.H
March #1 Sold
$20.25
Bought
$24.05
 
March #2 Sold
$20.10
  Bought
$21.00
Dividend
ex-date
after
all
trades
$0.28125 $0.35 $0.30
Bid
3/31
$19.26 $23.19 $20.18
Change
From
March #1
-3.50% -2.12%  
Change
From
March #2
-2.78%   -2.48%

So, yes, there were losses, but at least these were mitigated somewhat by trading.

Performance for the fund will be available on the weekend. I regret the delay – it’s due to being on-site at a client’s office. March’s performance was, frankly, not very good: about -4.75% for the month. Unfortunately, you can’t win them all; but a performance of -4.75% for the month will result in a return for the quarter of -0.04%. The market has gone down – but the actively managed fund will have handily out-performed the passive benchmarks for the quarter. Eventually the tide will turn as the high level of dividends overwhelms the overall market decline.

MAPF

MAPF Performance: February 2008

Sometimes it works … sometimes it doesn’t … sometimes it really really works!

Assiduous Readers will be only too aware that I am fond of saying that if I’m right 60% of the time, then I’m doing well and the fund will do well. Assiduous Readers will also be thoroughly fed up with my constant reiteration that financial markets represent a chaotic system, with the implication that long-term, large-scale market timing is doomed to failure, and that “selling liquidity” and making small differentiations between similar issues is the key to success.

So, while I like to think I’m correct on these small differentiations 60% of the time, it’s not 60% each and every month, or even each and every quarter.

I am very pleased to announce that Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund had another very good month in February, to make it three in a row. The Net Asset Value Per Unit as of February 29 was $9.4527, with the result that returns are:

Returns to February 29, 2008
Period MAPF Index
One Month +3.62% +1.68%
Three Months +9.67% +3.23%
One Year +3.55% -4.16%
Two Years (annualized) +5.10% +0.07%
Three Years (annualized) +5.29% +1.34%
Four Years (annualized) +6.25% +1.92%
Five Years (annualized) +10.70% +3.46%
Six Years (annualized) +9.02% +3.24%
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

The competition was outpaced: the fund outperformed the closed-end fund (DPS.UN), which returned an estimated +2.04% on the month and an estimated +3.00% on the quarter, as well as the exchange-traded fund (CPD) which returned +2.17% and +3.33% on the month and quarter. Calculation details for these two performances have been posted separately.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 0.5288
February, 2008 9.4527 5.93% 1.072 0.5229
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.

It should be noted that I do not have this calculation audited in any way, so once the audited financials are available you will not be able to see an explicit confirmation of these figures, although you will be able to derive the year end figure for yourselves. Readers should also note that the fund is indifferent to whether investment returns are in the form of capital gains or dividends – portfolio management seeks to maximize total return after tax for a notional high-marginal-rate investor based in Ontario. It should also be noted that this sustainable income figure is not targetted in any manner; it may well go down if, for instance, it is decided that quality is cheap and trades are executed to increase credit quality at the expense of yield.

For all that, though, there is a point to the calculation – it shows that in the recent past, and subject to the usual warning that historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns:

  • Income expectations are a lot more stable than market prices, and
  • the overall trend is upwards

The market was seems to have recovered from the horrors of 2007; while this did not trigger any issuance of note in February, a new issue was announced on March 3, which has knocked the market down a bit but only time will tell whether or not this is a trend reversal. Of greater interest were the taxation changes in the Federal Budget which, over the long term, are preferred unfriendly … but remember what I said above about long-range macro-forecasts! For what it’s worth, I consider preferreds to be cheap to long corporates at the present time, and long corporates to be cheap to long Canadas.

The fund did considerable trading during the month, but most of this trading was simply opportunistic switching between issues with similar characteristics. The reversal of a BNA.PR.C / BAM.PR.N switch was the high point of the month; this has been discussed elsewhere. Critics, naysayers and other unkind souls may wish to observe that a large portion of the fund’s outperformance in February was due to its holding of BNA.PR.C (which had an astonishing return) … I can only point out that this issue underperformed in December and January and that performance through the three months – while quite good and well worth taking the position – was not quite so dramatic.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: February 29, 2008

There was a good level of trading in February, most of it intra-sector – but capped with a long-awaited inter-sectoral trade.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2008-2-29
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 10.5% (-15.3) 4.95% 2.76
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.3% (-12.5) 1.97% 0.08
PerpetualDiscount 96.4% (+35.0) 5.61% 14.50
Scraps 0% N/A N/A
Cash -7.2% (-7.2) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 5.93% 14.26
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding.
Bracketted figures represent change from January month-end.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2008-2-29
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 53.5% (-7.7)
Pfd-1(low) 7.2% (+6.9)
Pfd-2(high) 11.7% (-1.7)
Pfd-2 9.8% (-2.8)
Pfd-2(low) 25.0% (+11.4)
Cash -7.2% (-7.1)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
Bracketted figures represent change from January month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2008-2-29
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 1.0% (+0.4)
$50,000 – $100,000 22.9% (+9.2)
$100,000 – $200,000 0.0% (-27.8)
$200,000 – $300,000 21.5% (+4.5)
>$300,000 61.8% (+20.8)
Cash -7.2% (-7.1)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
Bracketted figures represent change from January month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

The major reason for the decrease in split-share weight and corresponding increase in PerpetualDiscount weight is a February switch from BNA.PR.C to BAM.PR.N. Readers will remember that the former issue is backed by BAM.A shares, making the underlying credit essentially equivalent for risk control purposes. This switch is of particular interest since it reverses switches performed in October and November of 2007 … let’s do a post-mortem!

BNA.PR.C / BAM.PR.N Post-Mortem
Month BNA.PR.C
Activity
BAM.PR.N
Activity
October 2007 Bought 1900 at 21.72 Sold 1300 at 19.75
November 2007 Bought 4500 at 18.38
Booked Dividend of $0.27
Sold 4500 at 17.95
December 2007   Missed dividend of $0.30
February 2008 Sold 5300 at 20.64
Booked Dividend of $0.27
Bought 2800 at 19.07
Net Result Capital Gain of $1.27 per share
plus dividends of $0.54
Missed capital gain of $0.72 per share
Missed dividend of $0.30 
Net Net Result Improvement of $0.79 per share, about 4%
Not all activity is recorded here, but the figures shown are representative and include commissions. Details of 2007 trades will be published via the MAPF webpage in the near future; 2008 trades will be published … eventually

Well … if I can keep doing that … then results will be pretty good over time! 

Performance of the fund and of the indices will be discussed in other posts. 

Update, 2008-3-4: Index Performance, February 2008

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition : January 31, 2008

There was a good level of trading in January, most of it intra-sector.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2008-1-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 25.8% (-3.2) 7.03% 5.37
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 12.8% (+12.8) 5.61% 14.20
PerpetualDiscount 61.4% (-2.6) 5.50% 14.69
Scraps 0% N/A N/A
Cash -0.1% (-5.9) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 5.92% 12.23
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding.
Bracketted figures represent change from December month-end.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.
Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2008-1-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 61.2% (+16.7)
Pfd-1(low) 0.3% (-12.7)
Pfd-2(high) 13.4% (+5.6)
Pfd-2 12.6% (-1.1)
Pfd-2(low) 12.6% (-2.5)
Cash -0.1% (-5.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
Bracketted figures represent change from December month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2008-1-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.6% (-0.3)
$50,000 – $100,000 13.7% (+13.2)
$100,000 – $200,000 27.8% (+20.0)
$200,000 – $300,000 17.0% (-11.3)
>$300,000 41.0% (-15.6)
Cash -0.1% (-5.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
Bracketted figures represent change from December month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

The fund’s performance in January and the performance of the indices has already been discussed.

MAPF

MAPF Performance : January, 2008

Well, that’s a relief!

After a month’s superb performance – up 4.50% in December –  there is often a pullback. Perhaps some issues were expensive at month-end, for instance, not by enough to trade (or they would have been traded), but by enough so that all holdings were at the top of their range and all had a downward bias for the next time.

Not this month! I’m very pleased to say that Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund has been valued for January, 2008, month-end; the unit value is $9.1224. Returns over various periods are:

MAPF Returns to January 31, 2008
One Month +1.28%
Three Months +5.66%
One Year +0.61%
Two Years (annualized) +3.06%
Three Years (annualized) +3.95%
Four Years (annualized) +5.82%
Five Years (annualized) +9.79%
Six Years (annualized) +8.59%

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not  a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

The competition was outpaced: the fund outperformed the closed-end fund (DPS.UN), which returned an estimated -0.97% on the month and an estimated -0.21% on the quarter, as well as the exchange-traded fund (CPD) which returned 0.00% and -0.28% on the month and quarter. Calculation details for these two performances have been posted separately.

 The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 0.5288
January, 2008 9.1224 5.92% 1.00 0.5400
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.

It should be noted that I do not have this calculation audited in any way, so once the audited financials are available you will not be able to see an explicit confirmation of these figures, although you will be able to derive the year end figure for yourselves. Readers should also note that the fund is indifferent to whether investment returns are in the form of capital gains or dividends – portfolio management seeks to maximize total return after tax for a notional high-marginal-rate investor based in Ontario. It should also be noted that this sustainable income figure is not targetted in any manner; it may well go down if, for instance, it is decided that quality is cheap and trades are executed to increase credit quality at the expense of yield.

For all that, though, there is a point to the calculation – it shows that in the recent past, and subject to the usual warning that historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns:

  • Income expectations are a lot more stable than market prices, and
  • the overall trend is upwards

It was another interesting month, in terms of trends. Readers will remember that strength in early December evaporated in the face of tax-loss selling, exacerbated by sudden concerns regarding the credit quality of CIBC. In January, early strength was blown away by the new BNS perpetual issue, which raised fears that the market would reprice itself to reflect the concessionary 5.6% coupon. These fears proved to be unfounded … but not before the market came very close to dipping below its November 30 value – which, for now, remains the month-end marking the market’s low point.

The fund did considerable trading during the month, but most of this trading was simply opportunistic switching between issues with similar characteristics. One trend that was noticable was the build-up of a large position in Royal Bank perpetuals, which seemed very cheap even though a dividend was earned with an ex-dividend date of January 22. This position was largely unwound – profitably! – by the end of the month.