Category: Market Action

Market Action

May 7, 2010

Market fragmentation is being suggested as the cause of yesterday’s bungee jump:

Federal regulators reviewing yesterday’s stock plunge will try to determine if the fivefold increase in the number of American equity exchanges has left them unable to manage the biggest surges in volume.

The rout showed how the fragmentation of the U.S. equity market may suppress demand when it’s needed most, especially when the New York Stock Exchange attempts to calm trading, said James Angel, a finance professor at Georgetown University in Washington. NYSE Euronext Chief Operating Officer Larry Leibowitz said the Big Board prevented a bigger decline.

Rapid-fire orders trigger what the NYSE calls liquidity replenishment points, or LRPs, shifting the market into auctions. While the system is designed to restore order on the Big Board, trading is so fast during times of panic that orders routed past the exchange may swamp other venues and exhaust buy orders, said Angel at Georgetown.

That’s when prices may plummet as orders execute against so-called stub quotes from market makers. Brokers can set the quotes as low as a penny a share because they’re never expected to be used.

Computer programs that increase sell orders when stocks are falling may have exacerbated yesterday’s plunge, said Nick Colas, chief market strategist at BNY ConvergEx Group LLC in New York. Programs that may have smoothed out trading during periods of low volatility can “make market moves a lot worse” when equities are plunging, he said.

I beg to differ. Market fragmentation did not cause the bungee jump. Stupid dumb trading triggered the bungee jump. What kind of idiot sends in a market order to sell Accenture when it’s down 99.9% on the day on no news?

The way to eliminate stupid dumb trading is to ensure that stupid dumb traders lose all their money, go bankrupt and die.

There’s trouble in the German real-estate mutual fund sector:

Two German real estate mutual funds with properties worth 10.5 billion euros ($13 billion) closed for redemptions yesterday after government proposals to impose an industrywide writedown of assets spooked investors.

SEB Asset Management AG closed its ImmoInvest fund and KanAm Grund KAG closed Grundinvest Fonds after German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble released a draft bill May 3 that proposed to introduce a 10 percent cut in asset values.

In the past five years, Germany’s 89 billion-euro real estate mutual-fund industry has been rocked by unprecedented waves of redemptions by investors. The writedown proposal is accompanied by a mechanism to smooth out violent swings in appraisal values, which the government blames for the surge in redemptions.

Investors fled German property funds after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s bankruptcy in September 2008, which forced 12 to close for redemptions. That was only the second time in half a century that German funds had shut for redemptions.

Three closed in December 2005 and January 2006 after probes by Germany’s financial regulator and a Frankfurt prosecutor raised concern that property valuations had been inflated and led to the eventual withdrawal of 11.6 billion euros from all of the funds.

TMW Immobilien Weltfonds halted redemptions Feb. 8, just two months after reopening. That followed a 21 percent writedown in the assets of Aberdeen Asset Management’s DEGI Global Business, which also halted redemptions in November.

The New York Fed has released its Quarterly Research Review.

The SEC & CFTC have issued a joint statement:

Thursday’s unusual trading activity included extreme volatility for a number of individual securities. This is inconsistent with the effective functioning of our capital markets and we will make whatever structural or other changes are needed.

Extreme volatility is a good thing for long term investors, but I suppose that doesn’t matter when you’ve got to prove you’re Doing Something.

The Euro’s defense may include trading restrictions:

European leaders agreed to set up an emergency fund to halt the spread of Greece’s fiscal woes, seeking to prevent a sovereign debt crisis from shattering confidence in the 11-year-old euro.

European officials declined to disclose the size of the stabilization fund, to be made up of money borrowed by the European Union’s central authorities with guarantees by national governments. Finance ministers will meet at 4 p.m. tomorrow in Brussels to flesh out the details.

“It will be a very clear signal against those who want to speculate against the euro,” German Chancellor Angela Merkel said.

Asked whether steps against speculation would include restrictions on short sales or credit default swaps, [European Commission President Jose] Barroso said “some of the points you have mentioned will be contemplated.”

The extra yield that investors demand to hold Greek, Portuguese and Spanish debt instead of safer German bonds rose to euro-era highs yesterday. The premium on 10-year government bonds jumped as high as 973 basis points for Greece, 354 basis points for Portugal and 173 basis points for Spain.

Maybe Barroso can bring back the old Iron Curtain crimes of “economic sabotage” for trading foreign currency on the black market!

PerpetualDiscounts got whacked again, losing 30bp on continued heavy volume, while FixedResets fared better and lost only 5bp on the day.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.58 % 2.66 % 46,657 20.92 1 0.0000 % 2,143.0
FixedFloater 4.94 % 3.00 % 43,474 20.34 1 0.0000 % 3,237.9
Floater 2.07 % 2.33 % 104,673 21.52 3 -1.0231 % 2,347.0
OpRet 4.93 % 4.10 % 96,051 2.89 11 -0.1533 % 2,291.1
SplitShare 6.48 % 6.95 % 129,470 3.54 2 -0.4674 % 2,104.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1533 % 2,095.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.53 % 4.77 % 23,937 15.84 1 0.0000 % 1,823.5
Perpetual-Discount 6.32 % 6.37 % 217,182 13.35 77 -0.3040 % 1,691.6
FixedReset 5.54 % 4.47 % 511,650 3.59 44 -0.0458 % 2,138.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -3.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 18.49
Evaluated at bid price : 18.49
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 2.33 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 2.33 %
PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Discount -1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 22.02
Evaluated at bid price : 22.11
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %
GWO.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 22.46
Evaluated at bid price : 22.57
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 22.12
Evaluated at bid price : 22.56
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 22.32
Evaluated at bid price : 22.72
Bid-YTW : 6.57 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 7.21 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %
BAM.PR.P FixedReset 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 25.38
Evaluated at bid price : 25.43
Bid-YTW : 4.56 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 163,789 Nesbitt crossed 40,000 at 25.25. RBC crossed 50,000 at the same price. Scotia crossed 43,100 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.23
Bid-YTW : 4.52 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 76,202 Desjardins bought 52,700 from CIBC at 26.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 4.53 %
RY.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 75,665 RBC crossed blocks of 25,000 and 18,300 at 18.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-07
Maturity Price : 18.55
Evaluated at bid price : 18.55
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
MFC.PR.E FixedReset 69,715 RBC crossed blocks of 12,300 and 12,800 at 26.25; bought 25,000 from anonymous at the same price; and crossed 12,500 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.26
Bid-YTW : 4.57 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 65,685 TD crossed 20,000 at 26.70; Desjardins crossed 26.75 at the same price; TD crossed 20,000 at 26.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.65
Bid-YTW : 4.57 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset 61,557 TD crossed 50,000 at 25.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
There were 42 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

May 6, 2010

More fun at Club Med?

Greek bond yields yesterday rose above their level before the government agreed on a European Union-led bailout on May 2 as escalating protests cast doubt on its ability to drive through austerity measures. Spanish and Portuguese bonds also renewed last week’s slide as investors question their ability to cut budget deficits that are among the highest in the euro area.

The extra yield that investors demand to buy its debt over German bunds rose 21 basis points to a 14-month high of 117.8 points. Spain’s benchmark IBEX Index, the euro region’s worst performer after Greece, fell 5.4 percent to the lowest since July. Portugal’s spread rose 40 basis points to 247 yesterday.

The euro weakened 1.4 percent to $1.3011, the lowest in more than a year. The currency retreated further in Asian trading today, to $1.2961 as of 11 a.m. in Singapore.

The Swiss are making a big play to attract mobile professionals:

Swiss government officials and Geneva-based financial advisers have come to London to lure rich residents with glowing descriptions of the country’s low taxes, safe streets, private-banking options and convenient ski weekends.

“We are here to make it easier for you to come to Switzerland,” says Martin Meyer, head of economic development for the Swiss canton of Valais, which borders Lake Geneva, Bloomberg Markets reports in its June issue.

Next door, an overflow crowd of 50 more attendees enjoys wine and canapes as they watch the presentation on closed- circuit televisions in a mahogany-lined library, which includes a chart showing the prevalence of English as a language for doing business in Switzerland. A JPMorgan Chase & Co. banker who declined to be identified confides he’s planning to relocate next year. His main complaint: higher U.K. taxes, a theme the Swiss delegation has pounced upon.

Geithner has a solution to the problem: regulate everything!

No regulator or supervisor had the legal authority to look across the financial system and take action to prevent the diversion of activity away from regulation. A system that applied safety and soundness regulation only to banks was unable to protect the overall safety and stability of a financial system composed substantially of non-banks that played a role traditionally reserved for banks.

Moreover, accounting and disclosure requirements and regulatory capital requirements helped encourage the shift in risk to the parallel financial system, without adequately capturing the remaining exposure of banks to those risks.

When the crisis hit and huge swaths of the American financial system got caught in the run on the parallel banking system, many came running to the Federal Reserve for liquidity and for protection.

The emergency financial response to the run that started in the parallel financial system was necessary to protect our economy from an even greater calamity. But if our regulatory and supervisory systems had had the tools and authorities to prevent risks from accumulating in unregulated sectors of the financials system in the first place, such a large emergency response would not have been necessary. That is a key reason why financial reform is so essential.

This is disingenuous at best. The Fed had unlimited authority to penalize the exposure of the core financial system to the shadow financial system; by limiting such exposure it could have restrained the growth of the shadow sector and limited the damage when the bust occurred.

However, they elected to ignore concentration risk and things like Citigroup’s “liquidity puts” (discussed April 13 and risk-weighted liquidity guarantees at a low value; ignored concentration risk, and allowed risk-weighting of bank paper according to the credit rating of the sovereign.

Financial crises will never be abolished. GM & Chrysler have cost far more than the piddly little bank crisis, and Club Med is going to cost even more. But the former players are popular with blue-collar voters and the latter with expansionary EU politicians, while banks are always a popular target for regulatory opprobrium.

Hank Paulson commented on Bear Stearns today:

Former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said bets against the survival of Bear Stearns Cos. before the firm’s sale to JPMorgan Chase & Co. amounted to “the wolf pack trying to pull down the weak deer.”

“I don’t use the word collusive because it’s got a legal connotation,” Paulson said today at a hearing of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in Washington. “It sure looked to me like some kind of coordinated action.”

Paulson said he wasn’t “saying there was behavior that was illegal” and he thinks short-selling “is essential for the price-discovery process.”

All this brings to mind the importance of liquidity. Price discovery requires liquidity. Say BSC is at $50, a bunch get shorted, and the price goes down. Theoretically, this should mean that holders of other brokerages will find BSC relatively more attractive and sell, say, JPM to buy BSC. Eventually, the price of the brokerage sector will go down and become relatively more attractive to holders of other sectors; a new equilibrium will be established.

But say all the potential buyers of BSC are full up? What if investment decisions are not made on the basis of hard-nosed facts, but on the basis of the marketting department’s evaluation of how much the clients want to see a troubled brokerage on their books? The slope of the demand curve will decline; perhaps go flat; and the price goes to zero. Contingent Capital is one way of ensuring that the demand for common is not flat (although forced selling by irate bond investors may further reduce the price), but it’s an interesting question and one that I have not yet been able to answer.

Common stock had an exciting day:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged almost 1,000 points today before paring its decline and ended down 347.80 points, or 3.2 percent, at 10,520.32. About $700 billion of U.S. stock-market value was erased in less than 10 minutes, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

A total of 19 trades of 100 shares each [of Accenture common] were executed at 1 cent in seven seconds from 2:47 p.m. to 2:48 p.m. in New York, a minute after the Dow average plunged by the most since the market crash of 1987, the data showed.

Eighteen of the trades were executed on the CBOE Stock Exchange and were canceled. The first trade that sent Accenture to a penny was executed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. That transaction has yet to be canceled, the data showed.

Accenture shares closed today at $41.09, down 2.6 percent in New York Stock Exchange composite trading.

There is speculation that the plunge was due to trader error:

A possible culprit for the drop was a trader error in which someone entered a “b” for billion instead of an “m” for million in a trade. Multiple sources confirmed the report to CNBC and CNBC.com

The apparent trigger for the massive selloff, which began shortly after 2 pm ET, was the approval of austerity measures by the Greek Parliament, which sparked renewed rioting in Athens.

It could very well be trader error – the absence of a clear trigger, the steepness of the descent and the swift recovery make that plausible – but I’d be happier with such an explanation if some corroborative evidence were provided: ‘waves of selling in 23 liquid basket stocks’, for instance.

Update: Corroborative evidence?

While the first half of the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 998.5-point plunge probably reflected normal trading, the selloff snowballed because of orders sent to venues with no investors willing to match them, [NYSE Euronext COO Larrry] Leibowitz said in an interview on Bloomberg Television.

“If you look at the charts you can see fairly clearly where the trades came in,” he said from New York. “It’s that V-shaped drop where it came down and snapped right back up. You had some very high-cap stocks trading down 50 percent or large percentages in a split instant because there really was no liquidity in electronic markets.”

“The fact that it snapped back so quickly made it clear that it was an aberration,” Leibowitz said. “When a large order or series of orders comes into electronic markets, they don’t really have any way to recognize either that they’re a mistake or to slow them to down to attract the proper liquidity on the other side. And so the electronic markets actually traded all the way through the slower New York Stock Exchange markets where we were trying to slow down trading.”

End of update

The SEC & CFTC are looking into it:

The SEC and CFTC are working closely with the other financial regulators, as well as the exchanges, to review the unusual trading activity that took place briefly this afternoon. We are also working with the exchanges to take appropriate steps to protect investors pursuant to market rules.

“We will make public the findings of our review along with recommendations for appropriate action.

Just a little too precious for my taste. An “investor” has no need of protection in cases like this. The ones who need protection from volatility are better referred to as “bozos”.

The Canadian preferred share market was nowhere nearly as exciting, but went in the same direction as PerpetualDiscounts lost 28bp and FixedResets were down 13bp. Volume lightened considerably to well-maybe-just-a-little-above-average, with FixedResets scoring a shut-out on the volume highlights table.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.58 % 2.66 % 48,507 20.93 1 -2.1973 % 2,143.0
FixedFloater 4.94 % 3.00 % 43,920 20.34 1 -0.4525 % 3,237.9
Floater 2.05 % 2.29 % 104,883 21.64 3 -0.6032 % 2,371.2
OpRet 4.92 % 4.03 % 94,599 2.90 11 -0.1992 % 2,294.7
SplitShare 6.45 % 6.89 % 129,025 3.54 2 -0.8824 % 2,114.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1992 % 2,098.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.53 % 4.77 % 22,167 15.84 1 0.0000 % 1,823.5
Perpetual-Discount 6.30 % 6.37 % 215,089 13.36 77 -0.2829 % 1,696.8
FixedReset 5.54 % 4.42 % 512,293 3.59 44 -0.1313 % 2,139.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.I OpRet -3.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-12-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.64
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
IAG.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -2.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-06
Maturity Price : 23.25
Evaluated at bid price : 23.41
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
BAM.PR.E Ratchet -2.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-06
Maturity Price : 22.52
Evaluated at bid price : 21.81
Bid-YTW : 2.66 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset -2.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.91
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-06
Maturity Price : 25.07
Evaluated at bid price : 25.13
Bid-YTW : 4.61 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet -1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-06
Maturity Price : 17.35
Evaluated at bid price : 17.35
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-06
Maturity Price : 21.81
Evaluated at bid price : 22.27
Bid-YTW : 6.57 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-06
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-06
Maturity Price : 17.31
Evaluated at bid price : 17.31
Bid-YTW : 2.29 %
BNA.PR.D SplitShare -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-07-09
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.67
Bid-YTW : 6.89 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
CU.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-06
Maturity Price : 24.04
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.E FixedReset 102,476 TD crossed 90,000 at 26.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.80
Bid-YTW : 4.41 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 95,197 TD crossed 90,000 at 25.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 81,840 TD crossed blocks of 50,000 and 25,000 at 26.86 each.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.77
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 78,020 RBC crossed blocks of 29,000 and 40,000 at 26.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.86
Bid-YTW : 4.35 %
TD.PR.I FixedReset 66,255 RBC crossed 17,600 at 26.81 and the same amount at 26.82.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.76
Bid-YTW : 4.50 %
NA.PR.O FixedReset 59,979 National crossed 40,000 at 26.80; RBC crossed 10,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.80
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %
There were 33 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

May 5, 2010

Agreement has been reached on the US too-big-to-fail fund:

The deal would eliminate a proposed industry-paid $50 billion fund to cover the government’s costs of liquidating a failing financial firm, Dodd said today in an interview. Republicans said the fund would encourage bailouts rather than prevent them.

The Dodd-Shelby agreement would apply to a section of the bill that would give the government authority to liquidate large failing financial firms whose collapse would threaten the economy. The two senators have agreed to replace the proposed pre-funded $50 billion reserve with language that would require regulators to impose fees on the financial industry to recoup costs for unwinding a company after a collapse, Dodd said today.

The amendment passed 93-5. Typical of modern Republicans – spend first, tax later. Much later!

The Club Med countries may be paying much, much later!

Greek bond yields yesterday rose above their level before the government agreed on a European Union-led bailout on May 2 as escalating protests cast doubt on its ability to drive through austerity measures. Spanish and Portuguese bonds also renewed last week’s slide as investors question their ability to cut budget deficits that are among the highest in the euro area.

That didn’t stop a sell-off in Spanish bonds yesterday. The extra yield that investors demand to buy its debt over German bunds rose 21 basis points to a 14-month high of 117.8 points. Spain’s benchmark IBEX Index, the euro region’s worst performer after Greece, fell 5.4 percent to the lowest since July. Portugal’s spread rose 40 basis points to 247 yesterday.

The euro weakened 1.4 percent to $1.3011, the lowest in more than a year. The currency retreated further in Asian trading today, to $1.2961 as of 11 a.m. in Singapore.

Volume in the Canadian preferred share market was off significantly today, but remains on the high side of normal. PerpetualDiscounts squeaked out another win, gaining 2bp, while FixedResets continued their recovery with a 15bp gain. Volatility was muted, with only four issues on the performance highlights list.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 6.35%, equivalent to 8.89% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long Corporates now yield 5.6% (gaining total return of +44bp on the month-to-date), so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 330bp, an increase from the +320bp reported at month end, as long corporate yields have come in a little while PerpetualDiscounts have remained flat.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.53 % 2.56 % 50,174 21.05 1 0.4052 % 2,191.2
FixedFloater 4.92 % 2.98 % 43,686 20.37 1 0.0000 % 3,252.7
Floater 2.04 % 2.25 % 100,710 21.73 3 0.0172 % 2,385.6
OpRet 4.91 % 4.09 % 94,393 1.78 11 -0.1492 % 2,299.2
SplitShare 6.40 % 6.54 % 128,624 3.55 2 -0.1762 % 2,133.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1492 % 2,102.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.53 % 4.77 % 23,084 15.84 1 0.0000 % 1,823.5
Perpetual-Discount 6.27 % 6.35 % 215,997 13.38 77 0.0163 % 1,701.6
FixedReset 5.53 % 4.38 % 520,251 3.59 44 0.1539 % 2,142.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.H OpRet -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-05
Maturity Price : 19.80
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-05
Maturity Price : 16.88
Evaluated at bid price : 16.88
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.16
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
GWO.PR.J FixedReset 122,703 Desjardins crossed 100,000 at 26.60. TD crossed 19,200 at 26.66.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.38
Bid-YTW : 4.56 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 73,044 Nesbitt crossed 32,000 at 26.80; TD crossed 25,000 at 26.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.90
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
SLF.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 57,540 RBC crossed 50,000 at 17.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-05
Maturity Price : 17.44
Evaluated at bid price : 17.44
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 40,950 Desjardins crossed 34,500 at 26.88.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
NA.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 34,810 Nesbitt crossed 16,700 at 23.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-05
Maturity Price : 23.65
Evaluated at bid price : 23.85
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
BMO.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 31,271 Desjardins crossed 12,000 at 18.72.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-05
Maturity Price : 18.72
Evaluated at bid price : 18.72
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %
There were 38 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

May 4, 2010

The Volcker Rule is costing Citigroup some employees:

[Citigroup prop trader Jay] Glasser, 53, who was based in New York and specializes in derivative and currency trades linked to Japanese interest rates, generated an average of more than $10 million a year of revenue for Citigroup from 2007 through 2009, people with knowledge of the matter said. He started at Nomura last week and is based in New York, said Peter Truell, a spokesman for the Tokyo-based firm.

Glasser told his former bosses at Citigroup, which has lost at least 10 proprietary traders this year, that he quit partly because of concern that President Barack Obama’s proposed Volcker rule may force U.S. banks to divest or close proprietary-trading units, people with knowledge of the matter said. As a Japanese securities firm, Nomura wouldn’t be subject to the rule. Citigroup is the third-biggest U.S. bank by assets.

The administration is warning that fragmentation can go too far:

Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said Congress won’t improve the stability of the financial system by forcing banks to split up core parts of their business.

In testimony today to the Senate Finance Committee, Geithner declined to comment on a specific proposal from Senator Blanche Lincoln to force Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and other lenders to separate swaps trading from commercial banking. The proposal is part of a broader financial overhaul proposed by Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd.

Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Sheila Bair has come out against the proposal and the Federal Reserve has warned that the measure could be costly to the banks and their customers.

There is a push to ensure that big banks won’t be the only ones with ‘living wills’:

German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s coalition stepped up calls for allowing the “orderly” default of euro-region member states burdened with debt to avoid a repeat of the Greek fiscal crisis.

Merkel, who faces elections in Germany’s most populous state on May 9, is seeking to shift focus from the Greek bailout to drawing lessons from the euro’s biggest crisis. An “orderly insolvency” process would ensure that creditors participate in any future rescue, she said on ARD television yesterday.

In other words, the idea is that sovereign debt in the EU will less secure than previously … that could have some very interesting knock-on effects.

The CalPERS lawsuit against the rating agencies is proceeding:

Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings must face the California Public Employees Retirement System’s lawsuit claiming their faulty risk assessments on structured investment vehicles caused $1 billion in losses.

A state court judge in San Francisco rejected the companies’ requests to dismiss Calpers’ claims of negligent misrepresentation, Brad Pacheco, a spokesman for Calpers, the largest U.S. pension fund, said today in a phone interview.

Funny – I used to respect CalPERS. Now it seems that they don’t do their own credit analysis. I last mocked CalPERS and its lackadaisical attitude towards investment management on July 31, 2009.

Assiduous Reader KH writes in and says:

your comment today about the Goldman Sachs story. This story seems to be going in the wrong direction. In my view, what is being missed here is the reality that the buyers and sellers of these CDOs were purely gambling and knew (or should have known) they were doing so. I mean it’s not as if these synthetic CDOs represented any productive capital at work or any socially redeeming value. It was a zero-sum game bet, similar to betting a portion of an institutional portfolio on red at the roulette table. Isn’t the real issue whether pension portfolios should be allowed to gamble like this in the first place?

In the particular story about ABACUS, none of the players was a pension fund, but the point is well taken – particularly in light of the CalPERS lawsuit! However, I do not feel that securities laws and regulations should restrict the investments of pension funds. Structured notes can have characteristics that make them very useful for portfolio management (although they usually don’t. Structured notes are most often vehicles whereby the intent of investment mandates can be evaded; for instance, buying “S&P Bear” instruments in a portfolio that is supposed to be fully invested.).

I take issue with the implication that “redeeming social value” should be judged, with access to investments being restricted accordingly. In the first place, whether a particular investment action has redeeming social value is very much in the eye of the beholder. Secondly, as I pointed out yesterday, Paulson’s action in shorting the instruments had the effect of intercepting the ACA/IKB sub-prime investment in the financial marketplace; otherwise, that money would have gone into further distorting an already over-heated US housing market. Paulson’s action can be viewed as helping to precipitate the crisis sooner, rather than later, before the inefficient allocation of capital did even more damage to the real economy. Which is something I consider to be socially redeeming.

PerpetualDiscounts squeaked out a win today, gaining 2bp, while FixedResets continued their strong recovery with a win of 16bp. Volume was slightly off, but still at elevated levels dominated by FixedResets.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.54 % 2.58 % 50,746 21.03 1 0.0450 % 2,182.3
FixedFloater 4.92 % 2.98 % 43,988 20.38 1 0.4545 % 3,252.7
Floater 2.04 % 2.25 % 101,966 21.73 3 -0.2579 % 2,385.2
OpRet 4.90 % 3.98 % 98,319 1.18 11 -0.0320 % 2,302.7
SplitShare 6.39 % 6.50 % 133,430 3.56 2 0.2428 % 2,137.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0320 % 2,105.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.53 % 4.76 % 24,038 15.85 1 0.0399 % 1,823.5
Perpetual-Discount 6.28 % 6.35 % 217,100 13.37 77 0.0236 % 1,701.3
FixedReset 5.53 % 4.42 % 524,779 3.59 44 0.1568 % 2,139.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-04
Maturity Price : 18.87
Evaluated at bid price : 18.87
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-04
Maturity Price : 16.66
Evaluated at bid price : 16.66
Bid-YTW : 7.22 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-04
Maturity Price : 18.20
Evaluated at bid price : 18.20
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
TRI.PR.B Floater -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-04
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 1.69 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.00
Bid-YTW : 4.78 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.41
Bid-YTW : 4.73 %
CU.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 8.00 % Simply a reversal of yesterday’s nonsense.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-04
Maturity Price : 23.94
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 145,714 RBC bought 11,700 from Nesbitt at 27.09; Desjardins crossed 100,000 at 27.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.05
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 111,620 National crossed 70,800 at 26.77; RBC bought 13,900 from anonymous at 26.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.66
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
TD.PR.I FixedReset 97,713 Desjardins crossed 49,000 at 26.70; RBC crossed 25,000 at 26.73.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.73
Bid-YTW : 4.52 %
MFC.PR.E FixedReset 88,440 RBC crossed 65,000 at 26.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.16
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 76,803 TD crossed 40,000 at 19.35. Desjardins crossed 20,000 at 19.16.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-04
Maturity Price : 19.20
Evaluated at bid price : 19.20
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
TD.PR.E FixedReset 65,910 National crossed 11,900 at 26.78; Desjardins crossed 34,600 at 26.71.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.72
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
There were 46 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

May 3, 2010

This one will cause some angst for the bubble-gum crowd:

Warren Buffett, the Wall Street critic who invested $5 billion in Goldman Sachs Group Inc., said he supports the bank’s Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein “100 percent” after the firm was sued by regulators for fraud.

Buffett said he will discuss the trade at the center of the regulator’s suit later today at the meeting and “I will bet that of the 40,000 people in there, 39,900 of them have a misconception.”

God endorses Satan! Of course, Buffett achieved his status by a very rare process known technically as “thinking about what he was doing”.

He went further later on:

“I can’t see what difference it makes if it were Paulson on the other side of the deal or Goldman Sachs or Berkshire Hathaway,” Buffett said today at his company’s annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska. Buffett said it “wasn’t so obvious” when the investments were sold in 2007 that the housing market would collapse.

Gracious heavens, the bubble-gum crowd is going to have a collective nervous breakdown!

Buffett said today that Berkshire has four decades of experience with Goldman Sachs and no expectation that the bank would offer investment advice or disclose its own stance on trades.

“We are in the business of making our own decisions,” Buffett said. “They do not owe us a divulgence of their position.”

A grown-up! An actual grown-up! Quick, call the nannies! It occurs to me that one reason Buffett has done so well is that he’s an adult in a world of kiddies.

Suprisingly, I don’t see his comments highlighted in one of the sacred places where the acolytes proselytize and interpret the Holy Word. I guess Buffett can only be considered wise when he recites platitudes that people want to hear … but that’s the marketting biz!

Blankfein has learned that lesson and is attempting to distance himself and the firm from some headlined eMails:

Lloyd Blankfein, chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., said a “callousness” toward clients demonstrated in some e-mails released to the public this week is unacceptable and doesn’t represent the firm.

“There were some e-mails where some people were projecting I would say, at best indifference, and at worst a callousness,” Blankfein, 55, said in an interview on the “Charlie Rose” television show last night, according to a transcript. While he said those e-mails aren’t representative of the firm, “it’s inexcusable if 10 people think that way or thought that way.”

But, of course, you don’t get to be head of a big (public) firm by telling people what they don’t want to hear. I’ve had a look, but unfortunately have been unable to find a link to the actual transcript.

Never let it be said that PrefBlog doesn’t report both sides of the story: Suna Reyent writes a post on Seeking Alpha titled Why SEC has a Strong Case Against Goldman, Part 1. She states, for instance:

SEC alleges that Goldman not only hid Paulson’s role from all long parties via making it appear like a third long party (ACA) picked the portfolio, which is a material misrepresentation on its own, but it also made one investor (ACA) believe that Paulson was interested in the long side of the deal.

That’s where I stopped reading. ACA was the Selection Agent; they were paid to be the Selection Agent; they had fiduciary responsibility as the Selection Agent. The idea that Goldman made one investor (ACA) believe that Paulson was interested in the long side of the deal. is:

  • contested by Goldman & Tourre
  • completely non-material and irrelevent even if true.

Some light reading with a moral… Never Kick Your Chief Regulator in the Nuts. Or, to put it another way, never disclose that the emperor has no clothes. The light reading is best accompanied by SEC Fraud Allegations against MBIA. Of course, since this was settled without admission of guilt, we’ll never know whether they were really guilty, or whether not paying up would have constituted kicking the Chief Regulator in the Nuts.

Ackman, by the way, agrees with PrefBlog and Buffet about Goldman Sachs:

Ackman also staunchly defends Goldman Sachs. He says that the media misrepresents the charges against Goldman Sachs. He states that it would have been unethical had Goldman disclosed who the counter party(John Paulson) was on the trade. Ackman states that SEC laws require client confidentiality. Paulson himself did not know who was the long on the trade nor did he care.

I’ll go further, actually. Any fiduciary who cared about the identity of the seller, or who would have allowed the identity of the seller to influence his decision on the investment in any way whatsoever should be in jeopardy of losing his license. Investing is not a kiddie game of follow the leader … or shouldn’t be.

Trichet gave a speech decrying the propensity of investment managers to act in (what they believe to be) their clients’ best interest:

Gradually, the focus of finance shifted in the recent past. From its traditional role of helping the real economy to cope with economic risk, finance became a self-referential activity. The notion of “financial engineering” is a striking illustration of the shift of attitudes that spearheaded the changing focus of finance.

The ABACUS transaction is a good illustration of the point. ACA & IKB beleived that sub-prime borrowers were getting a deal favourable to the lenders. Paulson thought they were getting way too rich a deal. Goldman got between them, as brokers do, and created a security referencing the deals. Had this deal not gone forward, Paulson would not have been able to take a view on the market (it’s hard to short houses with mortgages!); the ACA/IKB money would have eventually have flowed into the sub-prime market, thus distorting the real economy even further. By creating a vehicle to interupt the inefficient allocation of capital to an overheated sector of the market, Goldman did the world financial system a great service, and deserves our thanks … but I suppose that profits on the books and expectations of future profits from similar deals will satisfy them.

James Hamilton of Econbrowser writes a post on the evolution of investment strategy at Reserve Primary Fund, which has attracted (so far) some very good comments. That post bulds on a very good post he wrote previously in which he traced the flow of funds into the US housing market.

The Greek bail-out conditions have been released. The effect on the total economy is fearsome:

*Economic contraction of 4 percent this year and 2.6 percent in 2011. Growth will return in 2012 at 1.1 percent and 2.1 percent in 2013 and 2014.

*Debt will rise from 133.3 percent of GDP this year to 145.1 percent in 2011, 148.6 in 2012 and peak at 149.1 percent in 2013. It is projected to fall to 144.3 percent in 2014.

*Budget deficit will shrink to 8.1 percent this year, 7.6 percent next year, 6.5 percent in 2012, 4.9 percent in 2013 and below the 3 percent demanded by the European Union in 2014.

There is some speculation that regulatory uncertainty is affecting the real economy:

Bank are increasing purchases of U.S. government securities to pump up profits while lending to businesses languishes near the lowest levels since credit markets started to freeze almost three years ago.

Holdings of Treasuries rose each of the past five weeks, an increase of $63.2 billion to $1.5 trillion, according to Federal Reserve data. At the same time, commercial and industrial loans climbed less than 1 percent to $1.27 trillion and are down 23 percent from the record high level in October 2008.

“The risk of owning Treasures is lower than creating loans,” said Anthony Crescenzi, a market strategist and money manager at Newport Beach, California-based Pacific Investment Management Co., the world’s largest bond-fund manager. “There is no clarity on what the capital climates will be domestically or on a global scale with regulation coming down the pipes, which means banks will be banking their money in safer assets.”

Jerome Kerviel, the SocGen trader last discussed on PrefBlog on July 28, 2009, has written a book:

The five-billion-Euro rogue trader Jerome Kerviel will claim in a book this week that he was merely a “prostitute” in the “great banking orgy” and should be treated leniently in his trial next month.

Kerviel, 33, has broken a long silence with an autobiography and two newspaper interviews in which he says that his €4.9bn losses in rogue trades in 2006-07 should be blamed on a world banking industry “disconnected from reality”.

One reason not to ban shorting is that it’s a risky business:

Hedge funds that profit from falling shares have seen 34 percent of their value evaporate since February 2009, according to Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research Inc. Zions Bancorp., Sears Holdings Corp. and Wynn Resorts Ltd., among the favorites of so- called short-sellers, caused the biggest losses as their shares more than tripled.

The combination of record-low interest rates, first-quarter economic growth of 3.2 percent and analyst estimates for the fastest profit gains in 14 years erased 94 percent of the HFRI EH Short Bias Index’s advance from June 2007 to February 2009. The better news for bulls is that the percentage of New York Stock Exchange shares that remain shorted is higher than any time before 2008, providing more grist for gains should speculators be forced to retreat.

Some recovery in the Canadian preferred share market today on continued heavy volume, with PerpetualDiscounts squeaking out a win of 5bp, while FixedResets were up 36bp.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.54 % 2.58 % 50,829 21.02 1 1.7415 % 2,181.4
FixedFloater 4.94 % 3.00 % 45,733 20.35 1 0.0000 % 3,237.9
Floater 2.03 % 2.26 % 105,337 21.72 3 -0.7000 % 2,391.4
OpRet 4.90 % 3.87 % 99,302 1.19 11 0.0000 % 2,303.4
SplitShare 6.40 % 6.57 % 134,863 3.56 2 -0.0662 % 2,131.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0000 % 2,106.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.53 % 4.77 % 25,032 15.84 1 0.0000 % 1,822.8
Perpetual-Discount 6.28 % 6.36 % 218,625 13.39 77 0.0462 % 1,700.9
FixedReset 5.54 % 4.41 % 502,788 3.59 44 0.3642 % 2,135.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CU.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -8.72 % This one is courtesy of a lazy market-maker. Three transactions late in the day comprised the entire day’s volume of 1,300 shares; all were executed at 24.65. That took out the bid, though, and the closing quote was 22.50-24.99 (!!), 5×20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-03
Maturity Price : 22.21
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-03
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 2.26 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-03
Maturity Price : 21.95
Evaluated at bid price : 22.45
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
BNS.PR.Y FixedReset 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-03
Maturity Price : 23.96
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 4.01 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-03
Maturity Price : 22.60
Evaluated at bid price : 22.86
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
BAM.PR.E Ratchet 1.74 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-03
Maturity Price : 22.51
Evaluated at bid price : 22.20
Bid-YTW : 2.58 %
BMO.PR.P FixedReset 1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-03-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 4.29 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.80
Bid-YTW : 4.39 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 4.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-05-03
Maturity Price : 19.10
Evaluated at bid price : 19.10
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 93,927 Desjardins crossed two blocks of 20,000 each at 26.60. RBC crossed 40,000 at 26.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.62
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 89,410 RBC crossed 20,000 at 26.62; Desjardins crossed 12,300 at 26.68. RBC crossed 35,000 at 26.67.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 71,127 Nesbitt crossed 65,000 at 26.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
CM.PR.M FixedReset 62,570 RBC crossed 29,200 at 26.69 and 30,000 at 26.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.83
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %
TD.PR.C FixedReset 53,776 RBC crossed 50,000 at 26.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.17
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %
TD.PR.I FixedReset 45,411 RBC crossed 25,000 at 26.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
There were 50 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

April 30, 2010

I can’t resist picking on Basis Yield Alpha Fund (discussed yesterday; it’s crying about having bought Timberwolf notes from Goldman) a little bit more. It was among the earliest crunch casualties:

[2007-08-28] Basis Yield Alpha Fund, a hedge fund specializing in corporate and structured credit, on Wednesday filed for bankruptcy protection in the United States amid mounting losses from U.S. subprime mortgage assets, court papers show.

Earlier in the month, the hedge fund firm told investors that losses at one of its portfolios had lost more than 80 percent in assets.

Award winning!

Basis earned the “Fund of the Year” title at the 2005 AsiaHedge awards and Macquarie Bank Ltd.’s “Skilled Manager of the Year” in 2004.

The lenders got paid:

Banks that lent to failed hedge fund Basis Yield Alpha, run by Australia’s Basis Capital, are likely to get all their money back and there could be a payment to investors, the fund said. Yield Alpha, which started the year with about $700m, has returned to solvency and can afford to repay banks which seized the fund’s assets when it missed margin calls earlier this year. The development is a result of continued payouts by structured credits in which Basis invested, apparently resolving one of the few situations in which lenders to a hedge fund lost money. Basis became the second hedge fund group this year to see one of its funds collapse amid the US subprime crisis, after the failure of two funds run by Bear Stearns.

Budget cuts in Greece may put Canada’s 1990’s experience to shame:

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou said the country’s survival was at stake in talks to win a potential $159 billion European Union-led bailout in exchange for budget cuts denounced by unions as “savage.”

Papandreou’s budget cuts may include a three-year wage freeze for public workers and eliminating two of their 14 annual salary payments, the ADEDY union said. Greece’s NET Radio reported that cuts could amount to 10 percentage points of gross domestic product. The deficit was 13.6 percent of GDP in 2009.

Other deficit-cutting steps include increasing sales tax and raising the cap on the number of workers who can be fired to 4 percent from 2 percent, Kathimerini newspaper said, without saying where it got the information.

There is a sort-of encouraging trend for US banks:

Gerald J. Ford, who became a billionaire by purchasing distressed lenders during the last banking crisis, isn’t waiting around during this one for Sheila Bair’s Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. to offer him a deal.

After bidding unsuccessfully on several lenders seized by the FDIC, Ford said he’s pushing ahead with a $500 million injection for Pacific Capital Bancorp, a California lender that has said it may collapse. He’s among the private-equity investors who are now willing to buy banks without an FDIC guarantee on loan losses.

“We’re trying to do this one sooner rather than later,” Ford, 65, said in an interview yesterday. “We’ve been out there looking for a long time.”

Private-equity firms are going after live banks after complaining the FDIC put up too many obstacles and changed the rules for buying failed lenders, which are piling up at the fastest rate in two decades. Three days before Ford’s deal, private-equity firm Thomas H. Lee Partners LP agreed to pay $134.7 million for a stake in Sterling Financial Corp., a Spokane, Washington-based lender that’s still open after posting two annual losses.

Both deals depend on the U.S. Treasury Department agreeing to take a loss on the stake held by its bank bailout fund. The Treasury signed on to the Sterling deal yesterday, according to the bank.

The Sterling accord calls for the bank to raise a total of $720 million and would give Boston-based Lee a 19.9 percent stake. The U.S. agreed to swap its $303 million stake for new securities valued at $75.8 million, Sterling said in a statement on April 29. Treasury spokesman Andrew Williams declined to comment and Richard Walsh Jr. at Thomas H. Lee didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

At Pacific Capital, the agency would be required to exchange $180.6 million for common shares at about 20 cents on the dollar, according to a statement. Pacific Capital has told investors it may not survive without new capital.

If Treasury is involved, then it’s a political issue – which it should be. However, the details of the deals would have to be examined very closely to see whether, all in, Treasury taking a loss now is better for taxpayers than the FDIC (maybe) taking a loss later.

The forces of do-goodism have received a mild rebuff:

Spain is lancing an 18 billion-euro ($24 billion) investment bubble in solar energy that has boosted public liabilities, choking off new projects as it works to cut power prices and insulate itself from Greece’s debt crisis.

Industry Minister Miguel Sebastian is negotiating reductions in subsidies for solar plants that would curb energy costs, a ministry spokesman said this week. Grupo T-Solar Global SA, the world’s biggest photovoltaic plant owner, shelved its Spanish stock offering three days ago. Solar Opportunities SL postponed a 130 million-euro deal due to be signed today.

Spain is battling on several fronts to revive its economy and convince government bondholders it can avoid getting dragged into a Greek-style debt spiral after Standard & Poor’s cut its credit rating April 28. Solar-plant owners including General Electric Co. earn about 12 times what’s paid for power from fossil fuels. Most of that is a subsidy charged to customers.

You can only waste money if you’ve got money to waste! Unfortunately, the Smitherman subsidy aimed at making Ontario a hot-bed of world-class lobbying is still considered sane.

OSFI’s Mark White has delivered a speech titled P&C Reinsurance to Fit the Times – A Question of Balance; the limits and collateralization rules on Property and Casualty reinsurance are being revamped. This follows the Response Paper: Reforming OSFI’s Regulatory and Supervisory Regime for Reinsurance, published in late March.

Transcripts from 2004 show that the Fed was perplexed by the early housing boom; at the June meeting a researcher stated:

With regard to the question of owning versus renting, it depends to some extent on what is happening to interest rates because that changes that calculation at the margin. So it’s really important to plot any kind of valuation measure relative to an opportunity cost. Just showing the rent-to-price ratio I think would have been somewhat misleading; it’s really that gap that we think is the meaningful measure of valuation. And it looks somewhat rich, taking account of the fact that interest rates are relatively low and income growth has been relatively strong. I don’t want to leave the impression that we think there’s a huge housing bubble. We believe a lot of the rise in house prices is rooted in fundamentals. But even after you account for the fundamentals, there’s a part of the increase that is hard to explain.

SEC Commissioner Luis A. Aguilar has delivered a speech to the Investment Adviser Association Annual Conference

The Senate Bill, however, has abandoned its strong position in the face of determined lobbying by the insurance and brokerage industries. The revised version that was voted out of the Senate Banking Committee on March 22nd has eliminated the provision applying the fiduciary standard to brokers who provide investment advice. It would, instead, require a one-year study by the SEC concerning the effectiveness of existing standards for “providing personalized investment advice and recommendations about securities to retail customers.”

I continue to have concerns about this retreat from requiring a fiduciary standard for all who provide investment advice. First, I see no need to study the effectiveness of existing obligations for investment advisers. We already have a strong, workable standard that has been in use successfully for decades, and I would not support any attempt to weaken it. Second, as with the House Bill, I question why the protection of the fiduciary standard should be limited to “retail” customers. It is readily apparent from recent Commission enforcement cases — such as the cases involving auction rate securities — that all investors, including institutional investors, need the protection of the fiduciary standard. Third, I question why the study, as well as the reach of the House Bill, should be limited to “personalized services.” This qualification would narrow the range of clients that would be protected by the fiduciary standard, and I fear that it may become a loophole that would make it easy to avoid putting clients first.

This is completely insane. Institutional investors are acting as fiduciaries for the institutions they represent. How many layers of fiduciary responsibility are necessary? How many have to be paid for? Why do F-Class and discount brokerages exist in the first place? As discussed yesterday, an institutional investor will discuss trades with the sell side with the clear understanding that his counterparty wants to clean him out and send him home naked and hungry. Any buy-side investor who does not understand this – and does not understand that there is exactly one layer of fiduciary between the lions and lambs an that he’s it; or who does not devote independent analysis to each investment idea with precisely this fact in mind – should lose his license. I am sick to bloody death of politicians and regulators telling me that I’m too stupid to negotiate deals for my clients — and that only the sell side can be trusted with such important decisions.

Commissioner Aguilar’s background should be noted:

Prior to his appointment as an SEC Commissioner, Mr. Aguilar was a partner with the international law firm of McKenna Long & Aldridge, LLP, specializing in securities law. During his career, his practice included matters pertaining to general corporate and business law, international transactions, investment companies and investment advisers, securities law, and corporate finance. He also focused on issues related to corporate governance, public and private offerings (IPOs and secondary offerings), mergers and acquisitions, mutual funds, investment advisers, broker-dealers, and other aspects of federal and state securities laws and regulations.

A lawyer. Almost certainly has never been on the ‘phone and said “done” in his life.

A long, long month for Canadian preferred share investors shuddered to an end today with, wonder of wonders, gains for both PerpetualDiscounts (up 5bp) and FixedResets (up 3bp). Volume continued heavy.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 6.35%, equivalent to 8.89% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long corporates have returned +1.21% on the month (+6.29% on the year-to-date) and now yield about 5.7%, making the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (also called the Seniority Spread) about 320bp, about the same as was reported April 28 and a massive jump higher than the +285 bp reported March 31.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.58 % 2.66 % 51,230 20.94 1 -2.1525 % 2,144.0
FixedFloater 4.94 % 3.01 % 45,896 20.36 1 0.0000 % 3,237.9
Floater 1.92 % 1.66 % 45,744 23.47 4 -0.0609 % 2,408.2
OpRet 4.90 % 3.96 % 102,875 1.05 10 0.0703 % 2,303.4
SplitShare 6.40 % 6.53 % 135,075 3.57 2 -0.1982 % 2,133.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0703 % 2,106.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.91 % 4.77 % 25,341 15.86 2 -0.0205 % 1,822.8
Perpetual-Discount 6.28 % 6.35 % 215,916 13.41 76 0.0523 % 1,700.1
FixedReset 5.56 % 4.55 % 506,444 3.60 44 0.0296 % 2,128.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -3.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 18.28
Evaluated at bid price : 18.28
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
BAM.PR.E Ratchet -2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 22.52
Evaluated at bid price : 21.82
Bid-YTW : 2.66 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.26
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
BNS.PR.Y FixedReset -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 23.68
Evaluated at bid price : 23.72
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 17.47
Evaluated at bid price : 17.47
Bid-YTW : 2.26 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 23.97
Evaluated at bid price : 24.01
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
NA.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 22.91
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
GWO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 22.01
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
BNS.PR.P FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 20.43
Evaluated at bid price : 20.43
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 19.16
Evaluated at bid price : 19.16
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.P FixedReset 105,057 RBC crossed 100,000 at 25.73.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-03-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 4.69 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 86,546 TD crossed 50,000 at 18.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 18.57
Evaluated at bid price : 18.57
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 74,915 RBC crossed 64,000 at 24.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 4.50 %
RY.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 67,551 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 18.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-30
Maturity Price : 18.64
Evaluated at bid price : 18.64
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 65,984 RBC crossed two blocks of 30,000 each at 25.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 63,946 RBC crossed two blocks of 25,000 each at 26.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.61
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
There were 55 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

April 29, 2010

Interesting mutual fund idea:

BlackRock Inc., the world’s largest asset manager, and Blackstone Group LP’s GSO Capital Partners LP are forming mutual funds to invest in loans as the London interbank offered rate rises to the highest level since August.

Within the past two months, the firms have joined Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in announcing funds that invest in leveraged loans pegged to short-term interest rates. Investors poured more than $2.5 billion into bank loan mutual-funds in March and the first three weeks of April, more than triple the amount for March and April last year, according to Lipper FMI data.

The S&P/LSTA U.S. Leveraged Loan 100 Index has returned 5.68 percent this year, building on last year’s record 52 percent as lending continues to open up. New money “will provide financing, which will help” merger and acquisition deals get done, according to Invesco Ltd.’s Tom Ewald.

This year, $91.6 billion in leveraged loans have been underwritten, more than four times the figure from the same period in 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The interest charge on leveraged loans is typically tied to Libor.

However, the only term-criteria for inclusion in the index is:

Minimum initial term of one year

… which suggests that – as always – people are so fixated on interest-rate risk that credit risk is forgotten. It brings up a number of issues … we’ve seen (oh boy, have we ever seen) how the redemption on demand nature of mutual funds doesn’t mix too well with borrowers’ desire for long-term funding at short term rates (see Volcker to Regulate Money Market Funds as Banks? and The US Dollar Shortage & Policy Response).

This dichotomy will not play out in precisely the same manner as the USD MMF crisis, of course, since the loans have a contractual term that didn’t begin as money-market …. but a similar crunch could lead to forced selling that that will put the Credit Crunch to shame.

There are rumours that regulatory extortion works as well as ever:

After 11 hours of accusations by members of the Senate Subcommittee on Permanent Investigations, people close to the bank said Goldman is mulling closing the SEC fraud-case chapter on the belief the firm’s reputation, already damaged, might not endure a street fight with the Wall Street watchdog.

“It’s almost a certainty that there will be a settlement,” said a source.

As another person put it, the SEC has an “unlimited supply of ammunition” in the form of e-mails and records that it could release, and Goldman officials would like to avoid having those documents fired back at them the way they were on Tuesday.

Predictably, the boo-hoo-hoo brigade is in full cry. For example, there are reports that Basis Yield Alpha Fund is claiming that it did not independently analyze its investment and simply bought whatever their salesman offered:

Citing several people familiar with the matter, The FT said Basis Yield Alpha Fund was seeking compensation over its $100 million investment in Timberwolf, a so-called hybrid collateralized debt obligation that Goldman took to market in March 2007, Reuters reported.

As far as I can tell, Basis Yield Alpha Fund was run by Basis Capital. It is worthwhile to note the company’s Executive Team page; the proprietors, Steven Howell and Stuart Fowler tout their experience but not their results.

There is pressure to use German banks as a political tool:

German lawmakers considering a bill to aid Greece challenged Chancellor Angela Merkel to involve banks in the rescue, refusing to back down after her government said that would send a “fatal signal” to markets.

The main opposition Social Democratic Party threatened to withhold support for aid next week when the bill is fast-tracked through parliament unless banks are asked to contribute. Members of Merkel’s Christian Democrats said the government should ask banks to voluntarily accept losses on their investments.

After having been hammered by dumb investments in CDOs, the banks should be grateful to the politicians for pointing out better investments, eh?

So-called “Strategic Mortgage Defaults” in the States are increasing:

Decisions by U.S. homeowners to walk away from mortgages they can afford account for an increasing share of defaults, according to Morgan Stanley.

About 12 percent of all mortgage defaults in February were “strategic,” up from 4 percent in mid-2007, New York-based Morgan Stanley analysts led by Vishwanath Tirupattur wrote in a report today. Borrowers are more likely to stop paying their mortgages the higher their credit scores and the larger their loans, the analysts said.

Defaults by borrowers who owe more than their homes’ values are among the biggest risks for the housing market, according to analysts including Zelman & Associates’ Ivy Zelman and Amherst Securities Group LP’s Laurie Goodman. Last month, the Obama administration said it would adjust its anti-foreclosure program to encourage reductions to borrowers’ principal amounts, instead of just the payments they make, to address the issue.

The importance of asset-ratio relative to income-ratio in mortgage default analysis was discussed in the post Redefault on Modified Mortgages

You knew this was coming, didn’t you? The US Senate financial regulation bill says that pension fund managers are too dumb to act as principal or, to put it another way, only the sell-side has the ability to analyze financial instruments:

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Harvard University are among public and private entities that could be shut out of the $605 trillion privately negotiated derivatives market they use to manage risks under legislation being debated in the U.S. Senate, according to an industry group.

The bill would impose a fiduciary duty on swaps dealers doing business with cities, states, government agencies, pension plans and endowments, applying standards that would require banks such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to put the interest of those entities ahead of their own.

But I guess it all makes sense, eh? The politicians have to do something to show they are Responding To The Credit Crunch and since the buy side was (approximately, more or less, give or take) unscathed by the horror, the sell side (which nearly destroyed itself) must take on responsibility for advising it.

A mixed day on continued heavy volume for the Canadian preferred share market, as PerpetualDiscounts were able to record a gain of 9bp, while FixedResets continued their descent, losing 17bp to bring the median average yield-to-worst up to 4.56%. That’s a point more than their yield on March 31. A full point!

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.53 % 2.56 % 50,886 21.06 1 0.2247 % 2,191.2
FixedFloater 4.94 % 3.01 % 45,316 20.36 1 -0.4525 % 3,237.9
Floater 1.92 % 1.67 % 46,102 23.43 4 0.2685 % 2,409.7
OpRet 4.91 % 3.79 % 103,181 1.05 10 -0.1871 % 2,301.8
SplitShare 6.38 % 6.44 % 137,077 3.57 2 0.7542 % 2,137.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1871 % 2,104.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.91 % 4.77 % 26,181 15.86 2 0.1641 % 1,823.1
Perpetual-Discount 6.28 % 6.35 % 218,797 13.40 76 0.0944 % 1,699.2
FixedReset 5.57 % 4.56 % 512,068 3.60 44 -0.1721 % 2,127.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IAG.PR.C FixedReset -3.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.61
Bid-YTW : 5.66 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-29
Maturity Price : 16.84
Evaluated at bid price : 16.84
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
BNS.PR.P FixedReset -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 4.73 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 5.31 %
BNA.PR.D SplitShare 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-07-09
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : 6.44 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-29
Maturity Price : 20.70
Evaluated at bid price : 20.70
Bid-YTW : 6.53 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.L FixedReset 111,305 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 26.05; RBC crossed blocks of 34,600 and 15,400 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.10
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
TD.PR.N OpRet 105,800 RBC crossed blocks of 50,400 shares, 27,500 and 25,000, all at 25.78.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 25.77
Bid-YTW : 3.43 %
TD.PR.O Perpetual-Discount 102,357 TD crossed blocks of 50,000 and 25,000, both at 20.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-29
Maturity Price : 20.26
Evaluated at bid price : 20.26
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %
RY.PR.P FixedReset 96,325 Nesbitt crossed 75,000 at 26.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.55
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %
TD.PR.R Perpetual-Discount 73,425 TD crossed 70,000 at 23.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-29
Maturity Price : 22.85
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
NA.PR.P FixedReset 72,798 TD bought 12,500 from anonymous at 26.55, followed by blocks of 11,000 and 12,000 at 26.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.30
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
There were 62 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

April 28, 2010

Spain’s been downgraded:

Spain had its credit rating cut one step by Standard & Poor’s to AA, putting it on a par with Slovenia, as contagion from Greece’s debt crisis spreads through the euro region.

S&P said in a statement today that the outlook on Spain is negative, reflecting the chance of a possible further downgrade if the “budgetary position underperforms to a greater extent than we currently anticipate.” Spain was last cut by S&P in January 2009.

The risk premium investors demand to hold Spanish bonds surged to the highest in more than a year today and the price of insuring Spanish bonds against default reached a record as doubts about Greece’s ability to pay its debt spilled over into Spanish and Portuguese markets.

… and S&P is making recovery-on-default estimates for Greece:

The ratings firm yesterday cut Greece three steps to BB+, or below investment grade, and said bondholders may recover only 30 percent to 50 percent of their investments if the nation fails to make debt payments. Europe’s most-indebted country relative to the size of its economy has about 296 billion euros of bonds outstanding, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

OSFI’s Assia Billig gave a presentation on the Canada Pension Plan. Real returns on the fund’s portfolio are estimated to be 4.2% +/- 1.5% with 95% confidence. It won’t be holding a lot of government bonds!

Senator Levin is doing some more grandstanding:

Levin, who questioned Goldman Sachs executives during a hearing in Washington yesterday, said the regulatory reform bill being weighed in the Senate will address conflicts where companies have undisclosed interest in betting against clients.

Today’s FOMC statement was encouraging for fixed-income investors:

Although the pace of economic recovery is likely to be moderate for a time, the Committee anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.

With substantial resource slack continuing to restrain cost pressures and longer-term inflation expectations stable, inflation is likely to be subdued for some time.

The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period.

Another day of poor performance on high volume for the Canadian preferred share market, as PerpetualDiscounts lost 16bp while FixedResets were down 12bp.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 6.35%, equivalent to 8.89% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long corporates (which are up 0.70% on the month-to-date and +5.76% year-to-date) now yield about 5.7% (edging towards 5.6%!) so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 320bp, a significant widening from the 305bp reported April 22, above the recent high of +310bp reported April 7 and a big move wider than the +285bp reported on March 31.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.53 % 2.57 % 52,850 21.05 1 0.0309 % 2,186.3
FixedFloater 4.92 % 2.99 % 45,873 20.39 1 -0.4504 % 3,252.7
Floater 1.92 % 1.67 % 47,982 23.43 4 -0.0488 % 2,403.2
OpRet 4.90 % 3.87 % 137,138 1.20 10 0.0507 % 2,306.1
SplitShare 6.43 % 6.75 % 138,950 3.57 2 -0.4857 % 2,121.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0507 % 2,108.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.92 % 4.77 % 27,264 15.86 2 -0.0615 % 1,820.2
Perpetual-Discount 6.28 % 6.35 % 215,937 13.41 76 -0.1609 % 1,697.6
FixedReset 5.55 % 4.49 % 517,506 3.61 44 -0.1169 % 2,131.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -2.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-28
Maturity Price : 23.01
Evaluated at bid price : 23.15
Bid-YTW : 6.38 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-28
Maturity Price : 22.46
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-28
Maturity Price : 19.25
Evaluated at bid price : 19.25
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
BMO.PR.N FixedReset -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.01
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
IAG.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-28
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 23.28
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-28
Maturity Price : 17.62
Evaluated at bid price : 17.62
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-28
Maturity Price : 21.37
Evaluated at bid price : 21.37
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-28
Maturity Price : 17.10
Evaluated at bid price : 17.10
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 144,405 RBC crossed blocks of 50,000 and 82,000, both at 27.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.05
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
PWF.PR.J OpRet 125,828 RBC crossed blocks of 91,500 and 30,000, both at 25.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.47
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
BNS.PR.O Perpetual-Discount 125,080 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 70,000 and 40,000, both at 23.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-28
Maturity Price : 22.89
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
BNS.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 78,874 Nesbitt crossed 60,000 at 18.58.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-28
Maturity Price : 18.56
Evaluated at bid price : 18.56
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
TD.PR.N OpRet 78,430 RBC crossed blocks of 50,000 and 25,000, both at 25.78.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 25.77
Bid-YTW : 3.32 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 54,830 TD bought 10,000 from Scotia at 26.56 and crossed 25,000 at 26.62.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.59
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
There were 51 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

April 27, 2010

Nomura is finding out that rainmakers are mobile:

Nomura has been hitting turbulence. At least 12 senior former Lehman managers, including Nomura’s deputy investment banking chief, have defected since the firm began paying out guaranteed bonuses last month, casting doubt on Watanabe’s efforts to bridge cultural gaps. Japan’s largest brokerage is struggling to match a rebound in profit at Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc.

“Investment banking is ferociously competitive,” said Giorgio Questa, a finance professor at London’s Cass Business School. “I strongly doubt Nomura can develop a strong international investment banking business” because it will struggle to integrate Lehman’s culture, he said.

In shocking news, it appears that Goldman personnel discussed which asset management firms might have wanted to sell what other clients wanted to buy:

Newly disclosed Goldman Sachs Group Inc. internal e-mails cast light on how the investment bank devised collateralized debt obligations called Abacus, including one at the center of a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission fraud lawsuit.

The e-mails show employees discussed which outside firms would be “easiest” to work with while creating Abacus CDOs to bet against the housing market.

The e-mails were released yesterday by Senator Carl Levin, the Michigan Democrat who leads the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, as the panel prepares to question Goldman Sachs executives today. In one message, a Goldman Sachs worker asked which outside firm would most likely approve assets that hedge fund Paulson & Co. wanted to include in a CDO and bet against.

“The way I look at it, the easiest manager to work with should be used for our own axes,” the author wrote in December 2006, using industry jargon that can refer the firm’s financial interest in a deal. The writer also expressed concern that two firms being considered weren’t likely to sign off on Paulson’s suggested assets. “They will never agree to the type of names [P]aulson want to use[.]”

Even more horrifically, Senator Levin has learned that Goldman was acting as principal:

In another December 2006 e-mail, Tourre discussed other business opportunities for Abacus, outlining a strategy in which Goldman Sachs would “‘rent’ our Abacus platform to counterparties” that wanted to short the market. The messages show “Goldman repeatedly put its own interest and profit ahead of the interests of its clients,” Levin said.

Can you imagine? Putting a trade in front of an asset manager, just as if they were adults? The mind boggles!

In the actual hearing, Senator Levin stated that in the future, institutional clients will not be allowed to take views on the market that are contrary to those of their broker’s research department:

“Goldman Sachs didn’t just make money, it profited by taking advantage of its clients’ reasonable expectation that it would not sell products that it did not want to succeed and that there was no conflict of economic interest between the firm and its customers,” Levin said today in his opening remarks. “Its conduct brings into question the whole conduct of Wall Street.”

The political rhetoric is getting a little wearisome. Senator Levin is, I am quite confident, a knowledgable and intelligent man with a knowledgable and intelligent staff and access to knowledgable and intelligent Treasury / Fed / private analysts. So I can only find solace in the idea that it’s just political breast-beating with the aim of passing his favoured legislation and extorting a little fuck-off money from Goldman to highlight in his next re-election brochures.

There’s nothing on the the company website, no press releases I can find and nothing on SEDAR … but Canadian Banc Recovery Corp. had a footer ad on the front page of the Globe & Mail Report on Business today touting their “Attractive Distribution” … and the PrefBlog Forecasting Department thinks this means that a treasury offering will be forthcoming soon for BK and BK.PR.A.

Another rough day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts down 21bp while FixedResets lost 27bp. Volume continued heavy.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.53 % 2.57 % 53,293 21.00 1 1.3182 % 2,185.6
FixedFloater 4.90 % 2.97 % 46,093 20.42 1 0.4525 % 3,267.4
Floater 1.92 % 1.67 % 47,355 23.44 4 -0.2069 % 2,404.4
OpRet 4.90 % 3.79 % 100,035 0.50 10 0.1484 % 2,304.9
SplitShare 6.40 % 6.53 % 137,778 3.57 2 0.0000 % 2,131.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1484 % 2,107.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.92 % 4.77 % 28,392 15.86 2 -0.1024 % 1,821.3
Perpetual-Discount 6.27 % 6.31 % 215,424 13.45 76 -0.2137 % 1,700.4
FixedReset 5.54 % 4.49 % 516,713 3.61 44 -0.2694 % 2,133.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-27
Maturity Price : 18.82
Evaluated at bid price : 18.82
Bid-YTW : 6.53 %
PWF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-27
Maturity Price : 21.63
Evaluated at bid price : 22.05
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %
BMO.PR.P FixedReset -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-03-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.25
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.56
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %
BMO.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-27
Maturity Price : 21.39
Evaluated at bid price : 21.71
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
TD.PR.I FixedReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.56
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 5.24 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %
HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-27
Maturity Price : 20.23
Evaluated at bid price : 20.23
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.85
Bid-YTW : 4.50 %
BAM.PR.E Ratchet 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-27
Maturity Price : 22.53
Evaluated at bid price : 22.29
Bid-YTW : 2.57 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.L FixedReset 122,657 RBC bought blocks of 15,000 and 20,000 from Scotia, both at 26.62, then crossed 50,000 at 26.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.73
Bid-YTW : 4.69 %
CM.PR.A OpRet 114,200 Nesbitt crossed 110,000 at 25.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-05-27
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : -7.15 %
RY.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 96,275 Nesbitt crossed 60,000 at 23.35; National crossed 20,000 at 23.32.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-27
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 88,650 National crossed 49,600 at 26.89.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.85
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 87,149 National crossed 30,000 at 26.85; RBC crossed 35,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.80
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 67,680 RBC crossed 48,800 at 18.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-27
Maturity Price : 18.71
Evaluated at bid price : 18.71
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
There were 57 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

April 26, 2010

IIROC has announced that downtown Toronto will be safe and accessible under any conceivable conditions:

IIROC recently decided to cancel the industry business continuity planning test that was scheduled for June 26, 2010 due to complications associated with the G20 meeting which is now scheduled in Toronto for June 26-27, 2010. IIROC considered rescheduling the test for the latter part of 2010 but that again proved to be impractical considering the length of time utilities require for participation in such tests.

As a result we have rescheduled the industry test to September 10, 2011. Subsequent business continuity planning tests will be conducted on a bi-annual basis thereafter.

We can only hope that when Al-Quaeda decides to nuke Toronto, they give the utilities proper notice. It is of interest to learn that firms must, by regulatory decree, prepare for fire, famine, earthquakes, terrorism, tornados and plagues of frogs; but that G-20 meetings are considered Acts of God. Our glorious Finance Minister will be pleased!

Senator Carl Levin is shocked at Goldman Sachs’ attitude:

“Investment banks such as Goldman Sachs were not simply market-makers, they were self-interested promoters of risky and complicated financial schemes that helped trigger the crisis,” Levin, 75, said in a statement released with the e-mails.

Self-interest? Promotion? In the co-operative game that is the financial world? Oh, the horror!

At least Fabulous Fab writes entertaining eMails:

The so-called ABX index is “the type of thing which you invent telling yourself: ‘Well, what if we created a ‘thing,’ which has no purpose, which is absolutely conceptual and highly theoretical and which nobody knows how to price?’” [Goldman Sachs executive director Fabrice] Tourre said in a Jan. 29, 2007, e-mail released yesterday by Goldman Sachs. Watching the index fall is “a little like Frankenstein turning against his own inventor.”

The shortcomings – well, they’re more like odd nuances, actually – of the ABX index have been discussed on PrefBlog throughout the Credit Crunch.

DBRS has commented on the Bank of Ireland capital raise:

Today’s comment follows Bank of Ireland’s announcement of a fully underwritten proposal to raise EUR 3.421 billion equity tier 1 capital. This proposal includes a EUR 0.5 billion institutional placing of ordinary shares, a partial conversion of the Irish Government’s preference shares of EUR 1.036 billion to ordinary shares, and a rights issue of up to EUR 1.885 billion. The latter rights issue may be reduced by the equity generation and profits from the also just announced debt for equity exchange offer.

Importantly, the completion of the proposed actions will allow Bank of Ireland to fulfil its obligation to raise an additional EUR 2.7 billion of equity capital to meet the requirement established as part of the completion of the Financial Regulator’s Prudential Capital Assessment Review for the Irish banking sector. As a result of these actions and the expected National Asset Management Agency (NAMA) transfers, the Group’s equity tier 1 capital ratio, on a pro-forma basis, at 31 December 2009, will increase to 8.0% and the Group will be able to maintain a minimum equity tier 1 ratio of greater than 7% going forward. Moreover, the announcement includes the full cancellation of the Government’s warrants in the Group in return for a cash payment of EUR 491 million, reducing the potential for the Government to increase its holdings in the Group. As a result, the Irish Government’s maximum ownership will be 36% that compares to a current fully diluted ownership of 34%, prior to completion of this transaction.

The Irish bank capital requirements have been previously discussed.

PerpetualDiscounts were hit hard today, losing 26bp on heavy volume while FixedResets lost a mere 4bp,

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.56 % 2.63 % 52,706 20.93 1 1.8519 % 2,157.2
FixedFloater 4.92 % 2.99 % 45,504 20.40 1 -0.4504 % 3,252.7
Floater 1.92 % 1.67 % 49,284 23.43 4 0.0122 % 2,409.4
OpRet 4.91 % 3.86 % 136,725 1.21 10 -0.0078 % 2,301.5
SplitShare 6.40 % 6.53 % 139,614 3.58 2 -0.2642 % 2,131.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0078 % 2,104.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.91 % 4.77 % 29,566 15.86 2 0.0410 % 1,823.1
Perpetual-Discount 6.26 % 6.32 % 215,287 13.47 76 -0.2620 % 1,704.0
FixedReset 5.53 % 4.39 % 522,550 3.61 44 -0.0371 % 2,139.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BNS.PR.R FixedReset -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-26
Maturity Price : 20.28
Evaluated at bid price : 20.28
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-26
Maturity Price : 20.01
Evaluated at bid price : 20.01
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-26
Maturity Price : 21.27
Evaluated at bid price : 21.27
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-26
Maturity Price : 18.78
Evaluated at bid price : 18.78
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
BAM.PR.E Ratchet 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-26
Maturity Price : 22.49
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 2.63 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 286,007 Desjardins crossed blocks of 249,900 and 25,000, both at 26.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.90
Bid-YTW : 4.29 %
BMO.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 103,663 Desjardins crossed 50,000 at 19.11.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-26
Maturity Price : 19.08
Evaluated at bid price : 19.08
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
BMO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 69,393 Desjardins crossed 50,000 at 24.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-26
Maturity Price : 23.80
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
GWO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 54,612 TD crossed 32,700 at 22.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-04-26
Maturity Price : 22.07
Evaluated at bid price : 22.16
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 51,655 TD crossed 20,000 at 26.95.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.95
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 51,505 RBC crossed 20,000 at 25.19.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
There were 64 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.