PrefBlog

The Europeans have a grave problem: they’re being criticized by parties they don’t regulate:

Tensions between Europe and the rest of the G20 broke wide open in Los Cabos as the president of the European Commission laid bare his frustration with the constant lecturing from outsiders, including Canada.
…
The president of the European Commission, José Manuel Barroso, reacted tersely when asked to respond to recent comments from Prime Minister Stephen Harper that Europe does not need outside help to stabilize its economy.

“Frankly, we are not coming here to receive lessons in terms of democracy and in terms of how to run an economy because the European Union has a model that we may be very proud of,” Mr. Barroso said.

Maybe … maybe the EU should regulate Canadian politicians, as well as the Credit Rating Agencies! Yeah! Yeah, that would be good!

The Greek election has only shifted the focus in Europe:

Spanish bonds slid, propelling 10- year yields to more than 7 percent, after yesterday’s Greek election failed to convince investors that politicians will be able to tame Europe’s financial woes.

Italian debt also fell and German bunds rose, reversing earlier declines. Spain’s yields climbed to euro-era records as a report today showed the nation’s bad loans increased in April. The securities tumbled last week after the bloc’s fourth-largest economy requested as much as 100 billion euros ($126 billion) of aid on June 9 to support its banks. Greek bonds rose after pro- bailout parties won enough seats to control parliament.

The greenback is cementing its status as a reserve currency:

Central banks rebuilding foreign- exchange reserves at the fastest pace since 2004 are crowding out private investors seeking U.S. dollars, boosting demand even as the Federal Reserve considers printing more currency.

After falling to an all-time low of 60.5 percent in the second quarter of last year, the dollar’s share of global reserves rose 1.6 percentage points to 62.1 percent in December, the latest International Monetary Fund figures show. The buying has left the private sector with $2 trillion less than it needs, according to investment-flow data by Morgan Stanley, which sees the dollar gaining 8.2 percent in 2012, the most in seven years.

While the Fed has created more than $2 trillion under its stimulus programs since 2008, the flows signal that there may actually be a shortage of dollars to meet demand as Europe’s debt crisis deepens and the global economy slows.

ING Canada got downgraded:

The cauldron of financial turmoil bubbling over in Europe is now seeing its hot water trickle into Canada. Late Friday, rating agency Moody’s Investors Service announced the downgrade of ING Bank of Canada’s senior deposit ratings from Baa1 from A2.

This comes on the heels of the rating agency’s downgrade of ING’s parent, ING Bank NV, to C- for financial strength.

Small investors prone to panic are reminded that ING Bank Canada is a CDIC member and that:

Up to $100,000 of your savings are eligible for deposit insurance offered by CDIC. Your savings must be:
Held in…
A Eligible deposits—for example, savings, chequing and GICs of 5 years or less
+ Held at…
B Banks and other financial institutions—eligible deposits must be held at a CDIC member.
+ And held in…
C Canadian dollars—U.S. dollar and other foreign currency deposits are not eligible.

Meanwhile, in the True North Strong and Free Google reports:

We received a request from the Passport Canada office to remove a YouTube video of a Canadian citizen urinating on his passport and flushing it down the toilet. We did not comply with this request.

And we have problems even talking about trade:

Canada’s bid to join was hampered by the slow progress it made at enacting stronger prohibitions against the theft of digital intellectual property as well as its staunch protectionism for dairy and poultry producers who are shielded from foreign competition.

Another one of What-Debt’s favourite companies is going to do again what it does best:

Pension woes are back at the top of Air Canada’s concerns as the carrier seeks a new reprieve from retirement funding to avert a looming financial crisis.

Faced with a cash crunch in 2014, the country’s largest airline is preparing to ask Ottawa for another moratorium on company contributions to pensions, and to request other measures to ease the pressure.
…
The Montreal-based carrier’s pension solvency deficit stood at $2.1-billion on Jan. 1, 2011, and analysts expect the airline to report a sharply higher deficit for Jan. 1, 2012.

BBD.PR.D got whacked again today, down 1.42 to close at 14.93. Strangely, BBD.PR.B, the RatchetRate issue with which it interconverts effective August 1, was also hammered, down 0.65 to close at 14.30. The interconversion has been discussed on PrefBlog; BBD.PR.D will reset to 255% of GoC5 – which at current levels will be only a hair above 3%.

It was a mildly positive day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums winning 9bp, FixedResets up 1bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 3bp. Volatility was muted. Volume was very low.

The BoC has released a working paper by Donald Coletti, René Lalonde, Paul Masson, Dirk Muir and Stephen Snudden titled Commodities and Monetary Policy: Implications for Inflation and Price Level Targeting:

We examine the relative ability of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price level targeting (PLT) monetary policy rules to minimize both inflation variability and business cycle fluctuations in Canada for shocks that have important consequences for global commodity prices. We find that commodities can play a key role in affecting the relative merits of the alternative monetary policy frameworks. In particular, large real adjustment costs in energy supply and demand induce highly persistent cost-push pressures in the economy leading to a significant deterioration in the inflation – output gap trade-off available to central banks, particularly to those pursuing price level targeting.

Jonathan Weil of Bloomberg decries dynamic provisioning:

Dynamic provisioning is a euphemism for an old balance- sheet trick called cookie-jar accounting. The point of the technique is to understate past profits and shift them into later periods, so that companies can mask volatility and bury future losses. Spain’s banks began using the method in 2000 because their regulator, the Bank of Spain, required them to.
…
The danger with the technique is it can make companies look healthy when they are actually quite ill, sometimes for years, until they finally deplete their excess reserves and crash. The practice also clashed with International Financial Reporting Standards, which Spain adopted several years ago along with the rest of Europe. European Union officials knew this and let Spain proceed with its own brand of accounting anyway.

Assiduous Readers with long memories will remember my post titled FRBB Looks at Dynamic Provisioning. The FRBB paper concluded, in part:

We argue that, had U.S. banks set aside general provisions in positive states of the economy, they would have been in a better position to absorb their portfolios’ loan losses during the recent financial turmoil. The allowances accumulated by means of the hypothetical dynamic provision during the cyclical upswing would have reduced by half the amount of TARP funds required. However, the cyclical buffer for the aggregate U.S. banking system would have been depleted by the first quarter of 2009, which suggests that the proposed provisioning model for expected losses might not entirely solve situations as severe as the one experienced in recent years.

So just remember: just because something is good doesn’t mean it’s a panacea. Ain’t nuthin a panacea.

Meanwhile, Spend-Every-Penny wants countries to guarantee deposits in banks they don’t regulate:

Canada is urging the euro zone to embrace a common bank-deposit guarantee as a concrete step to boost market confidence.

The stand – confirmed Friday in a speech by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty – provides the first specifics as to what Canada will push for next week when Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Mr. Flaherty attend the G20 leaders’ summit in Los Cabos, Mexico.

In his speech in Ottawa, the minister praised a proposal from Mario Draghi, the head of the European Central Bank, who has called for a fund to guarantee bank deposits in the 17-member euro zone.

It’s not clear to me why anybody would think that any rational person would base his finances on the word of a European politician anyway. I wouldn’t have any significant money deposited in any of the shaky-country banks anyway … and, if I lived there, would be inclined to be dubious about any European deposits for fear of post-exit confiscation anyway. My preference would be hard assets, by which I mean a box of Krugerrands and a pistol.

Alpha Trading asks the question – can a bank-owned utility do anything useful?:

Alpha, Canada’s newest stock exchange, wants to become the home to the country’s technology sector.

A Deloitte Inc. study commissioned by Alpha found what most observers of the tech sector in this country already know: that the tech industry is stunted. Tech as a percentage of GDP is below the G-20 average and forecast to fall behind Mexico and Saudi Arabia in a few years, the report found.
…
The report, which included interviews with 22 tech sector leaders, laid out a five-point agenda for fixing the problem. The proposed solutions include more support for crowdfunding, establishing a pre-initial public offering “grey” market in tech securities and creating an exchange that focuses on tech. Alpha wants to be that exchange.

BBD.PR.D got whacked today after the announcement of the reset rate, closing down 1.40, or 7.89%, on heavy volume (for this issue!) of 32,479 shares. However, even at the quote of 15.90-35, it’s still idiotically expensive relative to BBD.PR.B at 14.95-05, with which it is interconvertible. I’ve been warning of this in PrefLetter for months. With charts and diagrams!

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums off 5bp, FixedResets down 9bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 15bp. Volatility was average. Volume was very low.

The ECB won’t disclose records of EU collusion with fuzzy Greek bookkeeping:

The European Central Bank said it can’t release files showing how Greece may have used derivatives to hide its borrowings because disclosure could still inflame the crisis threatening the future of the single currency.

Bloomberg News is suing the ECB to provide the documents under European Union freedom-of-information rules. The papers may help show the role EU authorities played in allowing Greece to mask its deficit for almost a decade before the nation’s troubled finances necessitated a 240 billion-euro ($301 billion) bailout and the biggest debt restructuring in history

Disclosing the files when Bloomberg News first sought them in 2010 would have “fueled negative perceptions about Greece’s ability to honor its debt,” ECB lawyer Marta Lopez Torres said at a hearing of the European Union’s General Court in Luxembourg today. “It’s the same now with Spain” which “isn’t able to borrow money,” she said. “Markets are reacting in very volatile ways. It’s affecting the euro economy.”

Sorry this is so late, folks! There were technical difficulties at TMX DataLinx.