Market Action

October 6, 2016

In a completely surprising, totally unexpected move, the fiercely independent Bank of Canada is endorsing their boss’ latest move:

The Bank of Canada is endorsing the Trudeau government’s efforts to cool the country’s debt-fuelled housing market.

“Over time, the measures announced by the federal government … will help mitigate risks to the financial system posed by household imbalances,” senior deputy-governor Carolyn Wilkins said in remarks prepared for a speech Thursday in Trois-Rivières.

Even with the economy still struggling to gain traction, the central bank has set a high bar for cutting its key interest rate at its next scheduled rate-setting announcement Oct. 19.

“We are mindful that low interest rates can lead to a buildup in financial vulnerabilities,” Ms. Wilkins pointed out.

She added that the bank is continuing to monitor high household-debt levels and the housing market “very closely.”

The other shoe is dropping on the fiduciary responsibility experiment:

Merrill Lynch will no longer give retirement savers the option of paying a commission for trades, a wholesale exit from the traditional Wall Street sales model in accounts that stand to be affected by new conflict-of-interest rules on retirement accounts.

The Bank of America Corp. brokerage unit told its more than 14,000 brokers on Thursday that after April 10, when the new rules take effect, investors who want a retirement account at Merrill will need to pay a fee based on a percentage of their assets, instead of having the option of being charged for each transaction made in their account.

The announced move, coming six months since the unveiling of the Obama administration’s fiduciary rule requiring brokers to put the interests of retirement savers ahead of their own, is roiling firms across the investing world as they look to comply and even capitalize on the changes.

Merrill clients with individual retirement accounts that charge commissions will have to choose whether to roll that over to a fee-based account, which may be more costly for investors who trade little, or move their assets to Bank of America’s online brokerage, Merrill Edge, according to representatives at the firm. The latter option would offer investors access to a self-directed brokerage account or a generally cheaper fee-based option, as well as a soon-to-launch roboadvisory product, known as Merrill Edge Guided Investing.

Morningstar said fee-based accounts can yield as much as 60% more revenue than those that charge commissions.

Brokers say the fees are justified because they have to provide a higher level of service by spending more time understanding a client’s full financial situation.

As far as that last claim is concerned, I will wait to see whether the average assets per broker drops as expected! It is regrettable that the story makes no mention about what happens with solicitation fees and new issue commissions; it is even more regrettable that those puffing themselves up as Portfolio Managers are not required to post their composite performance numbers.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5738 % 1,713.1
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5738 % 3,129.4
Floater 4.36 % 4.53 % 39,912 16.40 4 -0.5738 % 1,803.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0066 % 2,894.6
SplitShare 4.84 % 4.69 % 69,812 2.13 6 -0.0066 % 3,456.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0066 % 2,697.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.36 % 4.06 % 68,269 0.23 23 0.0753 % 2,691.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.12 % 5.10 % 97,274 15.35 15 -0.1241 % 2,910.5
FixedReset 4.97 % 4.30 % 147,405 6.94 92 0.0767 % 2,046.2
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 4.22 % 114,198 0.47 32 -0.1273 % 2,796.7
FloatingReset 2.99 % 4.29 % 40,251 4.98 12 0.3221 % 2,223.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 10.46
Evaluated at bid price : 10.46
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.37
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 20.65
Evaluated at bid price : 20.65
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 15.31
Evaluated at bid price : 15.31
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 10.60
Evaluated at bid price : 10.60
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 18.70
Evaluated at bid price : 18.70
Bid-YTW : 4.21 %
BNS.PR.D FloatingReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.58
Bid-YTW : 6.31 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.15
Bid-YTW : 10.69 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset 1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 17.74
Evaluated at bid price : 17.74
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 2.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 14.05
Evaluated at bid price : 14.05
Bid-YTW : 3.85 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.H FixedReset 462,196 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %
RY.PR.Q FixedReset 165,907 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.68
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 136,647 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.76
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 116,870 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 10.46
Evaluated at bid price : 10.46
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset 101,765 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.53
Bid-YTW : 3.95 %
GWO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 91,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.46
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
There were 32 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.71 – 26.24
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3479

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.71
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %

GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.37 – 23.77
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2382

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.37
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %

PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.46 – 23.77
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1919

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 23.46
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 18.31 – 18.58
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1648

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-06
Maturity Price : 18.31
Evaluated at bid price : 18.31
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %

RY.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 25.19 – 25.40
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1258

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.19
Bid-YTW : 3.69 %

SLF.PR.J FloatingReset Quote: 13.15 – 13.49
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2586

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.15
Bid-YTW : 10.69 %

Market Action

October 5, 2016

Amidst all the high-tech excitement, it’s nice to know there are still lots of people making a buck the old fashioned way. Bloomberg investigated Parmesan cheese in February:

How serious is the problem? Bloomberg News had store-bought grated cheese tested for wood-pulp content by an independent laboratory.

Cellulose is a safe additive, and an acceptable level is 2 percent to 4 percent, according to Dean Sommer, a cheese technologist at the Center for Dairy Research in Madison, Wisconsin. Essential Everyday 100% Grated Parmesan Cheese, from Jewel-Osco, was 8.8 percent cellulose, while Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s Great Value 100% Grated Parmesan Cheese registered 7.8 percent, according to test results. Whole Foods 365 brand didn’t list cellulose as an ingredient on the label, but still tested at 0.3 percent. Kraft had 3.8 percent.

According to the FDA’s report on Castle [Cheese Inc.], obtained through the Freedom of Information Act, “no parmesan cheese was used to manufacture” the Market Pantry brand 100% grated Parmesan Cheese, sold at Target Corp. stores, and Always Save Grated Parmesan Cheese and Best Choice 100% Grated Parmesan Cheese, sold by Associated Wholesale Grocers Inc., which along with its subsidiaries supplies 3,400 retail stores in 30 states. Instead, there was a mixture of Swiss, mozzarella, white cheddar and cellulose, according to the FDA.

Of all the popular cheeses in the U.S., the hard Italian varieties are the most likely to have fillers because of their expense. Parmesan wheels sit in curing rooms for months, losing moisture, which results in a smaller yield than other cheeses offer. While 100 pounds of milk might produce 10 pounds of cheddar, it makes only eight pounds of Parmesan.

But it doesn’t always work as planned:

In a request seeking to fit the punishment to the crime, the U.S. is asking that the head of a company that passed off fake grated Parmesan cheese as the real thing be sentenced to time at a food pantry or soup kitchen.

While jail remains an option, sentencing documents filed Tuesday by federal prosecutors in U.S. District Court for western Pennsylvania are only asking that Michelle Myrter, president of Castle Cheese Inc. in Slippery Rock, Pennsylvania, receive 0 to 6 months in lockup, along with her community service. Her attorney has asked for probation.

Myrter pleaded guilty seven months ago to federal misdemeanor charges involving food adulteration. The prosecutors said her company and two others controlled by her family made and distributed hundreds of thousands of pounds of fake cheese, passing it off as 100 percent Parmesan to stores around the country between 2010 and 2013.

The other two companies charged — Universal Cheese & Drying Inc. and International Packing LLC — also pleaded guilty earlier this year to charges of conspiracy and money laundering. These companies are no longer operating and have been unable to pay $1 million in fines that were part of their plea agreements.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.07%, equivalent to 6.59% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 3.7% so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 290bp, unchanged from the September 28 report.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.6003 % 1,723.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.6003 % 3,147.5
Floater 4.34 % 4.49 % 40,079 16.48 4 0.6003 % 1,813.9
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1393 % 2,894.8
SplitShare 4.84 % 4.68 % 54,090 2.14 6 0.1393 % 3,457.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1393 % 2,697.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.33 % 4.69 % 68,486 1.92 23 0.1175 % 2,689.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.11 % 5.07 % 98,152 15.17 15 0.0874 % 2,914.2
FixedReset 4.97 % 4.28 % 149,416 6.94 92 0.0530 % 2,044.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 2.17 % 111,019 0.31 32 0.1645 % 2,800.2
FloatingReset 3.00 % 4.34 % 40,012 4.99 12 0.3751 % 2,215.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
W.PR.K FixedReset -1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 18.47
Evaluated at bid price : 18.47
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.80
Bid-YTW : 10.23 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 10.49
Evaluated at bid price : 10.49
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 13.36
Evaluated at bid price : 13.36
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 10.60
Evaluated at bid price : 10.60
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.00
Bid-YTW : 10.85 %
SLF.PR.K FloatingReset 2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.30
Bid-YTW : 8.67 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.H FixedReset 531,126 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.63
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
BNS.PR.H FixedReset 113,662 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-01-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.74
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 111,997 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 10.56
Evaluated at bid price : 10.56
Bid-YTW : 4.50 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset 105,546 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.56
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset 78,902 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 20.21
Evaluated at bid price : 20.21
Bid-YTW : 4.53 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 61,376 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 10.60
Evaluated at bid price : 10.60
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.44 – 24.80
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2822

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.44
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %

TRP.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 13.57 – 13.82
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1775

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 13.57
Evaluated at bid price : 13.57
Bid-YTW : 4.01 %

VNR.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 18.47 – 18.82
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2788

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 18.47
Evaluated at bid price : 18.47
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %

GWO.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.69 – 25.97
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2127

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-11-04
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.69
Bid-YTW : -24.63 %

BAM.PR.C Floater Quote: 10.46 – 10.66
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1335

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 10.46
Evaluated at bid price : 10.46
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 11.74 – 11.95
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1470

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-05
Maturity Price : 11.74
Evaluated at bid price : 11.74
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %

Market Action

October 4, 2016

Is it possible that prosperity is just around the corner?

Fresh reminders that central banks may be starting to map their retreat from extraordinary stimulus measures sent a shock wave through markets, roiling bonds, currencies and equities.

Global bonds declined, the euro rebounded from its lows of the day and stocks came under renewed pressure after Bloomberg News reported the European Central Bank is likely to gradually taper asset purchases as it ends quantitative easing. Officials who asked not to be identified didn’t exclude that the program could still be extended past the current end-date of March 2017 at the full pace of 80 billion euros ($90 billion) a month. Oil also retreated.

Traders have been monitoring central banks for any signs they may be willing to pull back on stimulus measures. Bets on a Federal Reserve interest-rate increase by December climbed after Richmond Fed chief Jeffrey Lacker urged tighter policy and his Cleveland counterpart, Loretta Mester, said the U.S. economy is ripe for a hike. The ECB will probably wind down bond purchases in steps of 10 billion euros a month, according to euro-zone central-bank officials.

Maybe with some exceptions…:

Britain crashing out of the European single market could cost banks and associated businesses in the U.K. almost 40 billion pounds ($51 billion) in lost revenue, undermining a key sector of the economy, an industry report warned on Tuesday.

Finance firms are making a fresh bid for special status in upcoming Brexit negotiations with the EU after U.K. government officials this week indicated banks will get no favors. The report, prepared by Oliver Wyman on behalf of TheCityUK lobby group, warns that almost 70,000 jobs and 10 billion pounds of tax revenue are at risk from a so-called hard Brexit.

Prime Minister Theresa May has ruled out prioritizing protection of the banks in Brexit talks and has dismissed their key business demand for an interim deal to help ease the transition out of the bloc, Bloomberg News reported Monday, citing three government officials. Finance executives have threatened to move jobs if Britain doesn’t secure a deal allowing them to serve European clients from London.

Here’s another risk with narrowly focussed ETFs:

How fast can an exchange-traded fund lose nearly 90 percent of its assets? Less than a day.

That’s all it took for Franklin Templeton Investments Corp. in Toronto to cash in more than $130 million shares of WisdomTree Investment Inc.’s Australia & New Zealand Debt Fund last week, according to a person familiar with the matter. The withdrawal amounted to 88 percent of the fund’s assets and left it with just $19 million under management, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1619 % 1,712.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1619 % 3,128.7
Floater 4.36 % 4.53 % 40,445 16.40 4 0.1619 % 1,803.1
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0066 % 2,890.7
SplitShare 4.84 % 4.67 % 69,905 2.14 6 0.0066 % 3,452.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0066 % 2,693.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.34 % 4.71 % 68,145 2.10 23 -0.1367 % 2,686.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.11 % 5.07 % 98,523 15.16 15 -0.2054 % 2,911.6
FixedReset 4.96 % 4.31 % 150,775 6.94 92 -0.5561 % 2,043.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 4.91 % 114,767 1.19 32 -0.3393 % 2,795.6
FloatingReset 3.01 % 4.30 % 39,248 4.96 12 0.7889 % 2,207.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
FTS.PR.H FixedReset -2.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 13.66
Evaluated at bid price : 13.66
Bid-YTW : 3.96 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset -2.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 17.55
Evaluated at bid price : 17.55
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset -1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 10.38
Evaluated at bid price : 10.38
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset -1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.13
Bid-YTW : 9.82 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset -1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 18.55
Evaluated at bid price : 18.55
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.77
Bid-YTW : 11.10 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 17.57
Evaluated at bid price : 17.57
Bid-YTW : 4.10 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.14
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.36
Bid-YTW : 7.84 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 19.12
Evaluated at bid price : 19.12
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 4.52 %
FTS.PR.M FixedReset -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 19.53
Evaluated at bid price : 19.53
Bid-YTW : 4.21 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.21
Bid-YTW : 6.23 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 19.23
Evaluated at bid price : 19.23
Bid-YTW : 4.14 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.93
Bid-YTW : 7.96 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 18.77
Evaluated at bid price : 18.77
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 19.97
Evaluated at bid price : 19.97
Bid-YTW : 4.61 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 18.32
Evaluated at bid price : 18.32
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 19.72
Evaluated at bid price : 19.72
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 22.15
Evaluated at bid price : 22.43
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.94
Bid-YTW : 10.08 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 18.31
Evaluated at bid price : 18.31
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 20.20
Evaluated at bid price : 20.20
Bid-YTW : 4.26 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.21
Bid-YTW : 6.19 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 18.61
Evaluated at bid price : 18.61
Bid-YTW : 4.12 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.38
Bid-YTW : 6.17 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.94
Bid-YTW : 6.87 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 8.01 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 13.32
Evaluated at bid price : 13.32
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.81
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 18.19
Evaluated at bid price : 18.19
Bid-YTW : 4.14 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 20.22
Evaluated at bid price : 20.22
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.65
Bid-YTW : 7.01 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset 1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
IFC.PR.D FloatingReset 15.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 7.92 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.H FixedReset 754,568 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.71
Bid-YTW : 4.35 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 132,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 22.15
Evaluated at bid price : 22.43
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset 120,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 13.20
Evaluated at bid price : 13.20
Bid-YTW : 4.29 %
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 109,778 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 72,890 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 24.21
Evaluated at bid price : 24.69
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 66,497 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.77
Bid-YTW : 11.10 %
There were 57 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 13.66 – 14.12
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.2854

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 13.66
Evaluated at bid price : 13.66
Bid-YTW : 3.96 %

GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.98 – 25.39
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2515

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.98
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %

GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.81 – 26.17
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2340

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.81
Bid-YTW : 3.36 %

PWF.PR.T FixedReset Quote: 19.23 – 19.60
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2522

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 19.23
Evaluated at bid price : 19.23
Bid-YTW : 4.14 %

TRP.PR.H FloatingReset Quote: 10.38 – 10.70
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2173

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 10.38
Evaluated at bid price : 10.38
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %

CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.60 – 22.90
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2049

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 22.26
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %

Issue Comments

CPX.PR.G Closes Steady on Good Volume

Capital Power Corporation has announced:

it has closed its previously announced offering of 8,000,000 Cumulative Minimum Rate Reset Preference Shares, Series 7 (the “Series 7 Shares”) at a price of $25.00 per Series 7 Share for aggregate gross proceeds of $200 million on a bought deal basis with a syndicate of underwriters, led by TD Securities Inc. and CIBC Capital Markets.

The Series 7 Shares will begin trading today on the TSX under the symbol CPX.PR.G.

CPX.PR.G is a FixedReset, 6.00%+526M600, announced September 22. It will be tracked by HIMIPref™ but relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns. DBRS has rated it Pfd-3(low) [Stable] in line with the corporation’s other preferred share issues.

The issue traded 530,562 shares today in a range of 24.75-00 before closing at 24.99-00, 8×199. Vital statistics are:

CPX.PR.G FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-04
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 5.96 %

Implied Volatility analysis simply leads to a repetition of my previous analysis – this is a very expensive issue.

impVol_CPX_161004
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Market Action

October 3, 2016

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2550 % 1,709.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2550 % 3,123.6
Floater 4.37 % 4.54 % 40,011 16.38 4 0.2550 % 1,800.2
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0796 % 2,890.6
SplitShare 4.84 % 4.69 % 72,552 2.14 6 -0.0796 % 3,451.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0796 % 2,693.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.33 % 4.68 % 66,805 2.10 23 0.0616 % 2,690.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.10 % 5.15 % 98,314 15.15 15 -0.2022 % 2,917.6
FixedReset 4.93 % 4.27 % 148,204 6.95 92 -0.1620 % 2,055.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.02 % 2.59 % 114,307 0.32 32 -0.0381 % 2,805.1
FloatingReset 3.04 % 4.31 % 40,866 4.96 12 -0.7959 % 2,190.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IFC.PR.D FloatingReset -10.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 10.05 %
SLF.PR.K FloatingReset -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 8.93 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.63
Bid-YTW : 10.49 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 13.20
Evaluated at bid price : 13.20
Bid-YTW : 4.29 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 20.21
Evaluated at bid price : 20.21
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 17.60
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 4.84 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 10.58
Evaluated at bid price : 10.58
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.14
Bid-YTW : 9.99 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 4.79 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 17.95
Evaluated at bid price : 17.95
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 18.66
Evaluated at bid price : 18.66
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 43,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 17.92
Evaluated at bid price : 17.92
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset 40,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.80
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
TRP.PR.J FixedReset 30,247 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.61
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 25,871 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.15
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset 23,345 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.92
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset 23,160 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 18.87
Evaluated at bid price : 18.87
Bid-YTW : 4.54 %
There were 16 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IFC.PR.D FloatingReset Quote: 15.50 – 24.00
Spot Rate : 8.5000
Average : 4.9225

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 10.05 %

CGI.PR.D SplitShare Quote: 24.80 – 25.29
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3132

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2023-06-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.80
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %

SLF.PR.K FloatingReset Quote: 16.00 – 17.00
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.8808

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 8.93 %

NA.PR.S FixedReset Quote: 18.68 – 18.94
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1567

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 18.68
Evaluated at bid price : 18.68
Bid-YTW : 4.29 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 14.14 – 14.45
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.2232

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.14
Bid-YTW : 9.99 %

IFC.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 15.40 – 15.75
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2643

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.40
Bid-YTW : 9.55 %

Issue Comments

SLF.PR.K FloatingReset Commences Trading

There was no announcement from Sun Life Financial Corporation, but SLF.PR.K, a FloatingReset that has resulted from a 14% exchange from SLF.PR.H has commenced trading. SLF.PR.H has reset at 2.842% and will reset again 2021-9-30 (or be called on that date) at GOC-5 +217, while SLF.PR.K will pay three month bills +217bp, reset quarterly; in both cases, the dividends will be calculated on the $25 par value of the stocks. The two issues are interconvertible every Exchange Date, making them a Strong Pair.

Vital Statistics as of September 30 are:

SLF.PR.H FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.57
Bid-YTW : 8.59 %
SLF.PR.K FloatingReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.25
Bid-YTW : 8.71 %

It will be noted in the above that I assume a Hard Maturity as of 2025-01-31 for both issues.

As this issue is from an insurer and there is no provision for conversion into common shares at the option of the issuer, I consider this to be subject to my Deemed Retraction policy; accordingly I have placed a maturity entry dated 2025-1-31 at par in the call schedule of this instrument for analytical purposes. Note that this approach is due to analysis and there is no contractual provision in the terms of issue for any such maturity.

At the close 2016-10-3, the Strong Pair was trading with an implied average three-month bill rate to the next Exchange Date of +0.24%; SLF.PR.K has a good relative bid compared to other pairs!

pairs_FR_161003
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Issue Comments

IFC.PR.D FloatingReset Commences Trading

There was no announcement from Intact Financial Corporation, but IFC.PR.D, a FloatingReset that has resulted from a 16% exchange from IFC.PR.C has commenced trading. IFC.PR.C has reset at 3.332% and will reset again 2021-9-30 (or be called on that date) at GOC-5 +266, while IFC.PR.D will pay three month bills +266bp, reset quarterly; in both cases, the dividends will be calculated on the $25 par value of the stocks. The two issues are interconvertible every Exchange Date, making them a Strong Pair.

Vital Statistics as of September 30 are:

IFC.PR.D FloatingReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.25
Bid-YTW : 8.46 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 7.92 %

It will be noted in the above that I assume a Hard Maturity as of 2025-01-31 for both issues.

As this issue is from an insurer and there is no provision for conversion into common shares at the option of the issuer, I consider this to be subject to my Deemed Retraction policy; accordingly I have placed a maturity entry dated 2025-1-31 at par in the call schedule of this instrument for analytical purposes. Note that this approach is due to analysis and there is no contractual provision in the terms of issue for any such maturity.

At the close 2016-10-3, the Strong Pair was trading with an implied average three-month bill rate to the next Exchange Date of -1.96%; IFC.PR.D has a very weak bid!

pairs_FR_161003
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Issue Comments

BPO.PR.S Commences Trading After 11% Conversion From BPO.PR.R

There has been no announcement by Brookfield Property, but BPO.PR.S commenced trading today and data from the TMX website indicates a conversion rate of 11%.

It will be recalled the FixedReset BPO.PR.R has reset at 4.155% and will reset 2021-9-30 at GOC5+348bp, while BPO.PR.S will pay three-month bills +348bp, reset quarterly. They will be interconvertible again at the next Exchange Date, 2021-9-30.

Both issues are followed by HIMIPref™ but both are relegated to the Scraps subindex due to credit concerns.

Vital statistics are:

BPO.PR.R FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 18.15
Evaluated at bid price : 18.15
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %
BPO.PR.S FloatingReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-10-03
Maturity Price : 17.25
Evaluated at bid price : 17.25
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %

At the current bid prices, the implied average three-month bill rate until the next Exchange date is -0.50%, slightly below the average implied rate for junk issues of -0.35%.

pairs_FR_161003
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Issue Comments

EFN Upgraded to Pfd-3(high) by DBRS

DBRS has announced:

DBRS, Inc. (DBRS) has today upgraded the ratings of Element Fleet Management Corporation (Element or the Company), including its Issuer Rating to BBB (high) from BBB. The trend on all ratings is Stable. Concurrently, DBRS has changed the name of Element Financial Corporation to Element Fleet Management Corporation on its website, reflecting the change in the Company’s legal name effective today following the legal separation of Element from its former commercial businesses which are now housed within ECN Capital Corporation. Today’s rating action concludes the Under Review with Positive Implications, where the ratings were placed on February 17, 2016.

From DBRS’s perspective, Element’s below-average risk profile is a positive and a key factor in the ratings. The Company’s risk profile is supported by its conservative credit risk appetite and its well-designed risk management framework. Credit risk, which is derived from the Company’s corporate client base, is Element’s primary risk exposure. However, with more than 60% of the client base investment grade corporates, historical credit losses in Element’s fleet management business have been very low, averaging approximately 0.03% of book value annually. Moreover, Element’s overall risk profile benefits from minimal exposure to asset risk, given the lease structure of the majority of the leasing portfolio.

DBRS considers Element’s funding and liquidity profile as appropriately managed and aligned with the asset base. However, DBRS views the reliance on secured forms of wholesale funding as limiting financial flexibility and a constraint on the ratings. Liquidity is largely comprised of unrestricted cash and capacity under its bank facilities, supported by solid cash flow from operations, which as of June 30, 2016, on a pro-forma basis, was more than sufficient to fund expected originations over the next year. DBRS views capitalization as solid given the credit risk profile, limited residual value exposure and strengthening ability to generate organic capital. On a pro-forma basis, tangible leverage is in line with industry peers at 7.5x, at June 30, 2016, and within maximum covenant limits.

I previously reported on the Review-Positive when it was announced by DBRS in February, 2016.

Affected issues are EFN.PR.A, EFN.PR.C, EFN.PR.E and EFN.PR.G.

MAPF

MAPF Performance: September, 2016

Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close September 30, 2016, was $8.0590 after a distribution of 0.101759 per unit.

Returns to September 30, 2016
Period MAPF BMO-CM “50” Index TXPR
Total Return
CPD – according to Blackrock
One Month +0.42% -0.12% -0.10% N/A
Three Months +6.39% +4.88% +4.66% N/A
One Year +8.94% +9.05% +8.53% +7.88%
Two Years (annualized) -7.40% -6.09% -6.61% N/A
Three Years (annualized) -2.03% -2.79% -2.74% -3.14%
Four Years (annualized) -1.82% -1.98% -2.30% N/A
Five Years (annualized) +0.92% -0.35% -0.60% -1.02%
Six Years (annualized) +1.23% +0.99% +0.35%  
Seven Years (annualized) +3.16% +2.22% +1.54%  
Eight Years (annualized) +9.13% +3.19% +2.45%  
Nine Years (annualized) +7.62% +2.04% +1.23%  
Ten Years (annualized) +6.96% +1.63%    
Eleven Years (annualized) +6.87% +1.85%    
Twelve Years (annualized) +6.89% +2.12%    
Thirteen Years (annualized) +7.53% +2.34%    
Fourteen Years (annualized) +9.11% +2.69%    
Fifteen Years (annualized) +8.48% +2.50%    
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of distributions, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for National Bank Preferred Equity Income Fund (formerly Omega Preferred Equity) (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +0.04%, +4.23% and +6.71%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses. Three year performance is -1.09%; five year is +0.60%
Figures for Manulife Preferred Income Class Adv [into which was merged Manulife Preferred Income Fund (formerly AIC Preferred Income Fund)] (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -0.08%, +6.07% & +8.47%, respectively. It will be noted that AIC Preferred Income Fund was in existence prior to August, 2009, but long term performance figures have been suppressed.
Figures for Horizons Active Preferred Share ETF (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -0.10%, +4.83% & +9.13%, respectively. Three year performance is -1.41%, five-year is +0.72%
Figures for National Bank Preferred Equity Fund (formerly Altamira Preferred Equity Fund) are -0.31%, +4.58% and +7.89% for one-, three- and twelve months, respectively. Three year performance is -2.75%

According to the fund’s fact sheet as of June 30, 2016, the fund’s inception date was October 30, 2015. I do not know how they justify this nonsensical statement, but will assume that prior performance is being suppressed in some perfectly legal manner.

The figure for BMO S&P/TSX Laddered Preferred Share Index ETF is +6.33% for the past twelve months. Two year performance is -11.67%, three year is -6.65%.
Figures for NexGen Canadian Preferred Share Tax Managed Fund (Dividend Tax Credit Class, the best performing) are -%, +% and -% for one-, three- and twelve-months, respectively.
Figures for BMO Preferred Share Fund are +4.29% and +6.99% for the past three- and twelve-months, respectively. Three year performance is -3.23%.
Figures for PowerShares Canadian Preferred Share Index Class, Series F are +8.77% for the past twelve months. The three-year figure is -2.90%; five years is -1.29%
Figures for the First Asset Preferred Share Investment Trust (PSF.UN) are +0.11%, +2.45% and -1.67% for the past one, three and twelve months, respectively. The two-, three-, four- and five-year figures are -14.52%, -9.01%, -7.09% and -5.10%, respectively.

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page. The fund is available either directly from Hymas Investment Management or through a brokerage account at Odlum Brown Limited.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Capital
Gains
Multiplier
Sustainable
Income
per
current
Unit
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 1.3240 0.3524
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 1.3240 0.3773
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 1.3240 0.3993
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 1.3240 0.3938
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% 1.3240 $0.3993
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% 1.3240 $0.4537
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% 1.3240 $0.5571
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% 1.3240 $0.5872
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% 1.3240 $0.5855
September 12.3462 6.03% 0.998 6.042% 1.3240 $0.5634
December 2009 10.5662 5.74% 0.981 5.851% 1.1141 $0.5549
March 2010 10.2497 6.03% 0.992 6.079% 1.1141 $0.5593
June 10.5770 5.96% 0.996 5.984% 1.1141 $0.5681
September 11.3901 5.43% 0.980 5.540% 1.1141 $0.5664
December 2010 10.7659 5.37% 0.993 5.408% 1.0298 $0.5654
March, 2011 11.0560 6.00% 0.994 5.964% 1.0298 $0.6403
June 11.1194 5.87% 1.018 5.976% 1.0298 $0.6453
September 10.2709 6.10%
Note
1.001 6.106% 1.0298 $0.6090
December, 2011 10.0793 5.63%
Note
1.031 5.805% 1.0000 $0.5851
March, 2012 10.3944 5.13%
Note
0.996 5.109% 1.0000 $0.5310
June 10.2151 5.32%
Note
1.012 5.384% 1.0000 $0.5500
September 10.6703 4.61%
Note
0.997 4.624% 1.0000 $0.4934
December, 2012 10.8307 4.24% 0.989 4.287% 1.0000 $0.4643
March, 2013 10.9033 3.87% 0.996 3.886% 1.0000 $0.4237
June 10.3261 4.81% 0.998 4.80% 1.0000 $0.4957
September 10.0296 5.62% 0.996 5.643% 1.0000 $0.5660
December, 2013 9.8717 6.02% 1.008 5.972% 1.0000 $0.5895
March, 2014 10.2233 5.55% 0.998 5.561% 1.0000 $0.5685
June 10.5877 5.09% 0.998 5.100% 1.0000 $0.5395
September 10.4601 5.28% 0.997 5.296% 1.0000 $0.5540
December, 2014 10.5701 4.83% 1.009 4.787% 1.0000 $0.5060
March, 2015 9.9573 4.99% 1.001 4.985% 1.0000 $0.4964
June, 2015 9.4181 5.55% 1.002 5.539% 1.0000 $0.5217
September, 2015 7.8140 6.98% 0.999 6.987% 1.0000 $0.5460
December, 2015 8.1379 6.85% 0.997 6.871% 1.0000 $0.5592
March, 2016 7.4416 7.79% 0.998 7.805% 1.0000 $0.5808
June 7.6704 7.67% 1.011 7.587% 1.0000 $0.5819
September, 2016 8.0590 7.35% 0.993 7.402% 1.0000 $0.5965
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions of dividend income and annual distribution of capital gains.
Portfolio YTW includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
The Leverage Divisor indicates the level of cash in the account: if the portfolio is 1% in cash, the Leverage Divisor will be 0.99
Securities YTW divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
The Capital Gains Multiplier adjusts for the effects of Capital Gains Dividends. On 2009-12-31, there was a capital gains distribution of $1.989262 which is assumed for this purpose to have been reinvested at the final price of $10.5662. Thus, a holder of one unit pre-distribution would have held 1.1883 units post-distribution; the CG Multiplier reflects this to make the time-series comparable. Note that Dividend Distributions are not assumed to be reinvested.
Sustainable Income is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per current unit, before fees and expenses. Note that a “current unit” includes reinvestment of prior capital gains; a unitholder would have had the calculated sustainable income with only, say, 0.9 units in the past which, with reinvestment of capital gains, would become 1.0 current units.
DeemedRetractibles are comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD, which are not exchangable into common at the option of the company (definition refined in May, 2011). These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31 (banks) or 2025-1-31 (insurers and insurance holding companies), in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See OSFI Does Not Grandfather Extant Tier 1 Capital, CM.PR.D, CM.PR.E, CM.PR.G: Seeking NVCC Status and the January, February, March and June, 2011, editions of PrefLetter for the rationale behind this analysis.

The same reasoning is also applied to FixedResets from these issuers, other than explicitly defined NVCC from banks.

Yields for September, 2011, to January, 2012, were calculated by imposing a cap of 10% on the yields of YLO issues held, in order to avoid their extremely high calculated yields distorting the calculation and to reflect the uncertainty in the marketplace that these yields will be realized. From February to September 2012, yields on these issues have been set to zero. All YLO issues held were sold in October 2012.

These calculations were performed assuming constant contemporary GOC-5 and 3-Month Bill rates, as follows:

Canada Yields Assumed in Calculations
Month-end GOC-5 3-Month Bill
September, 2015 0.78% 0.40%
December, 2015 0.71% 0.46%
March, 2016 0.70% 0.44%
June 0.57% 0.47%
September, 2016 0.58% 0.53%

Significant positions were held in NVCC non-compliant regulated FixedReset issues on September 30, 2016; all of these currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par prior to 2022-1-31 (banks) or 2025-1-31 (insurers and insurance holding companies) or on a different date (SplitShares) This presents another complication in the calculation of sustainable yield, which also assumes that redemption proceeds will be reinvested at the same rate.

I will also note that the sustainable yield calculated above is not directly comparable with any yield calculation currently reported by any other preferred share fund as far as I am aware. The Sustainable Yield depends on:
i) Calculating Yield-to-Worst for each instrument and using this yield for reporting purposes;
ii) Using the contemporary value of Five-Year Canadas to estimate dividends after reset for FixedResets. The assumption regarding the five-year Canada rate has become more important as the proportion of low-spread FixedResets in the portfolio has increased.
iii) Making the assumption that deeply discounted NVCC non-compliant issues from both banks and insurers, both Straight and FixedResets will be redeemed at par on their DeemedMaturity date as discussed above.