Interesting External Papers

Boston Fed Releases 2H09 Research Review

The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston has released the Research Review July 2009 – December 2009 with summaries of:

Public Policy Discussion Papers:

  • Why Don’t Lenders Renegotiate More Home Mortgages? Redefaults, Self-Cures, and Securitization
  • Securitization and Moral Hazard: Evidence from a Lender Cutoff Rule
  • Reinvigorating Springfield’s Economy: Lessons from Resurgent Cities
  • Did Easy Credit Lead to Overspending? Home Equity Borrowing and Household Behavior in the Early 2000s
  • A TIPS Scorecard: Are TIPS Accomplishing What They Were Supposed to Accomplish? Can They Be Improved?
  • Impending Spending Bust? The Role of Housing Wealth as Borrowing Collateral
  • The 2008 Survey of Consumer Payment Choice
  • Jobs in Springfield, Massachusetts: Understanding and Remedying the Causes of Low Resident Employment Rates

The TIPS paper has been discussed on PrefBlog.

Working Papers

  • Trends in U.S. Family Income Mobility, 1967–2004
  • Real Estate Brokers and Commission: Theory and Calibrations
  • Efficient Organization of Production: Nested versus Horizontal Outsourcing
  • Estimating the Border Effect: Some New Evidence
  • Social and Private Learning with Endogenous Decision Timing
  • Housing and Debt Over the Life Cycle and Over the Business Cycle
  • Financial Leverage, Corporate Investment, and Stock Returns
  • Inflation Persistence
  • Closed-Form Estimates of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with Time-Varying Trend Inflation
  • Estimating Demand in Search Markets: The Case of Online Hotel Bookings
  • Multiple Selves in Intertemporal Choices
  • The Valuation Channel of External Adjustment
  • Productivity, Welfare, and Reallocation: Theory and Firm-Level Evidence
  • State-Dependent Pricing and Optimal Monetary Policy
  • Seeds to Succeed? Sequential Giving to Public Projects

Public Policy Briefs

  • A Proposal to Help Distressed Homeowners: A Government Payment-Sharing Plan
Market Action

March 29, 2010

I was flattered and amused to read on the Feldsparia blog:

The February 3, 2010 edition of the Report on Business had this image of James Hymas, actually the image above is cropped from a larger photo that appeared in the physical paper, in a article about preferred shares, An investor with a preference for preferreds. What I found interesting is that everything in the photograph, the man at the desk with flowing beard, the desk, the Persian carpet, the fireplace, the suit look as through they are from 1899. When I asked several people to point out what doesn’t belong it woulkd take them a while to find the laptop.

And I am pleased to report that I did not go insane on September 24, 2007. Readers will recall that I asked:

Does the phrase “Abu Dhabi Honeymoon” ring a bell with anybody besides me? I was convinced it was a movie title, but it’s not listed on IMDB. Maybe it was a fake movie that the Flintstones went to see, or something? Please help!

Well, I have now discovered that it isn’t “Abu Dhabi Honeymoon”, it’s Aba Daba Honeymoon. And it’s not a movie, it’s a song; which has been charmingly covered. So my memory was a little off, sure, but that’s a lot better than being completely nuts.

Greece will offer 7-year debt at 336bp over Bunds:

Greece will price the 5 billion euros ($6.7 billion) of seven-year bonds to yield 310 basis points more than the benchmark mid-swap rate, according to a banker involved in the transaction, who declined to be identified before the sale is completed.

The bonds’ 6 percent yield equates to about 336 basis points more than seven-year German bunds, Europe’s benchmark government securities. That compares with a yield premium, or spread, of 61 basis points for similar-maturity Spanish debt and 114 basis points on Portugal’s government bonds due 2017, according to composite prices on Bloomberg. Italy’s seven-year bonds yield 45 basis points more than bunds, the prices show.

“Greece’s borrowing costs exceed those of Spain and Portugal as it still needs to convince the market that it can roll over existing debt,” said Michiel De Bruin, who will probably buy the securities for the $28 billion of assets he helps manage as head of euro government bonds at F&C Investments in Amsterdam. “Only then is it likely that borrowing costs will fall.”

Union Bank of Singapore had some good results from fixed-income trading:

UBS AG generated about $2.3 billion of revenue at its fixed-income division in the first quarter as Switzerland’s biggest bank rebuilt the unit following record losses, people with knowledge of the situation said.

UBS may have revenue of almost $1 billion from credit alone, said the people, who declined to be identified because the figures haven’t been publicly released. UBS hired about 350 people at its fixed-income unit, which includes emerging markets and foreign exchange, in the past 12 months.

The performance would mark a reversal of fortune for the bank’s debt unit, which was responsible for most of the $57.5 billion in writedowns and losses during the credit crisis. Zurich-based UBS had a loss of 1.97 billion Swiss francs ($1.85 billion) from fixed-income sales and trading in the first quarter of 2009, the company reported.

Let’s hope – for our own well-being, if not theirs – that they remember they’re traders, not investors!

A poor day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts down 23bp and FixedResets down 15bp, but volume continued to be heavy – particularly for FixedResets, which scored a shut-out on the volume highlights table, possibly aided by the announcement of a new BNS FixedReset 3.85%+100 issue.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.59 % 2.66 % 59,676 20.93 1 2.3730 % 2,139.5
FixedFloater 4.94 % 3.06 % 50,131 20.09 1 -0.6321 % 3,199.9
Floater 1.91 % 1.68 % 46,189 23.36 4 0.3285 % 2,415.4
OpRet 4.84 % 3.21 % 108,372 0.58 12 0.0744 % 2,313.9
SplitShare 6.36 % 5.08 % 136,786 0.08 2 -0.0219 % 2,146.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0744 % 2,115.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.96 % 6.03 % 120,026 13.71 7 -0.1891 % 1,868.3
Perpetual-Discount 6.02 % 6.08 % 180,141 13.81 71 -0.2288 % 1,759.6
FixedReset 5.34 % 3.39 % 363,804 3.66 43 -0.1480 % 2,211.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.H OpRet -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.43
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %
BNS.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-29
Maturity Price : 22.15
Evaluated at bid price : 22.26
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-29
Maturity Price : 18.61
Evaluated at bid price : 18.61
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-29
Maturity Price : 23.98
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Discount -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-29
Maturity Price : 23.41
Evaluated at bid price : 23.58
Bid-YTW : 6.26 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-29
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.01
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.11
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %
MFC.PR.E FixedReset -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.02
Bid-YTW : 3.73 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-29
Maturity Price : 21.84
Evaluated at bid price : 22.11
Bid-YTW : 6.23 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-29
Maturity Price : 22.24
Evaluated at bid price : 22.51
Bid-YTW : 6.23 %
BAM.PR.E Ratchet 2.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-29
Maturity Price : 22.52
Evaluated at bid price : 21.82
Bid-YTW : 2.66 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 131,637 RBC crossed 35,000 at 28.32; CIBC bought 13,400 from National at 28.30. Scotia solde 12,100 to RBC at 28.29 and 19,900 to Nesbitt at 28.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.27
Bid-YTW : 3.19 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 94,175 RBC crossed 43,000 at 28.34 and bought 10,000 from National at the same price. National sold 16,300 to CIBC at 28.34, then RBC crossed 39,700 at the same price again. Finally, RBC bought 12,000 from National at 28.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.28
Bid-YTW : 3.28 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 73,143 RBC crossed 39,700 at 28.34 and bought 12,000 from National at 28.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.27
Bid-YTW : 3.30 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 70,064 RBC crossed 39,000 at 28.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.11
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 63,603 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-29
Maturity Price : 24.96
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 51,316 Nesbitt bought 25,000 from National at 28.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.25
Bid-YTW : 3.22 %
There were 56 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
New Issues

New Issue: BNS FixedReset 3.85%+100

The Bank of Nova Scotia has announced:

a domestic public offering of 10 million non-cumulative 3.85% 5-year rate reset preferred shares Series 30 (the “Preferred Shares Series 30”) at a price of $25.00 per share, for gross proceeds of $250 million.

Holders of Preferred Shares Series 30 will be entitled to receive a non-cumulative quarterly fixed dividend for the initial period ending April 25, 2015 yielding 3.85% per annum, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Scotiabank. Thereafter, the dividend rate will reset every five years at a rate equal to 1.00% over the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield. Holders of Preferred Shares Series 30 will, subject to certain conditions, have the right to convert all or any part of their shares to non-cumulative floating rate preferred shares Series 31 (the “Preferred Shares Series 31”) of Scotiabank on April 26, 2015 and on April 26 every five years thereafter.

Holders of the Preferred Shares Series 31 will be entitled to receive a non-cumulative quarterly floating dividend at a rate equal to the 3-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 1.00%, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Scotiabank. Holders of Preferred Shares Series 31 will, subject to certain conditions, have the right to convert all or any part of their shares to Preferred Shares Series 30 on April 26, 2020 and on April 26 every five years thereafter.

The Bank has agreed to sell the Preferred Shares Series 30 to a syndicate of underwriters led by Scotia Capital Inc. on a bought deal basis. The Bank has granted to the underwriters an option to purchase up to an additional 2 million Preferred Shares Series 30 at closing, which option is exercisable by the underwriters any time up to 48 hours before closing.

Closing is expected to occur on or after April 12, 2010. This domestic public offering is part of Scotiabank’s ongoing and proactive management of its Tier 1 capital structure.

Plus-100 is an awfully skinny spread against five-year Canadas and I suspect – basically for the first time, when it comes to bank FixedResets – that this really is intended to be perpetual money.

It is somewhat amusing that BNS is the first bank in a long while to be offering FixedResets – their brokerage arm has been insisting that no such issuance is likely due to proposed Tier 1 rules – an assertion I never understood.

Update: Using the Break-Even Rate Shock Calculator with values of 5.91% yield on BNS Straights and a 5-year term to reset, the Break-Even Rate Shock for this issue is a stunning 318bp.

Issue Comments

BSD.PR.A Mails Extraordinary Motion Paperwork

Brascan Soundvest Rising Distribution Split Trust has released via SEDAR the materials for the Extraordinary Meeting of Capital Unitholders previously reported on PrefBlog.

Sadly, it appears that no material change in the management of the fund can be expected – it is merely a name change and ownership shuffle. It appears that Kevin Charlebois, who has presided over the appallingly poor performance of the trust since inception, will continue his endeavors.

Two elements of the reorganization not previously reported are:

(b) removing the fixed termination date for the Fund, which is currently set at March 31, 2015;

(c) permitting the Manager, in its sole discretion, to wind-up the Fund should the net asset value (“NAV”) of the Fund fall below $15 million, subject to compliance with the trust indenture between the Fund and CIBC Mellon Trust Company dated March 16, 2005 governing the 6% Preferred Securities (the “Trust Indenture”);

The second of those items is of great interest since:

The Fund was launched in 2005 with a mandate to deliver a stable stream of monthly distributions and to maximize long-term total return. As of March 12, 2010, the Fund had 5,662,643 Units and 5,662,643 Preferred Securities outstanding, and its total NAV was $17,211,757 or $3.04 per Unit. The Fund’s Units closed at $2.36 on the TSX on March 12, 2010.

While the manager’s abuse of discretion in suspending the annual retraction does not provide a lot of hope that they will exercise their discretion to shut down the fund in the event of continued poor performance, the availability of that discretion must be considered a Good Thing.

Issue Comments

RY.PR.R Bid at under 3% Yield

I’m not entirely sure that this is the first time it’s happened, because I don’t keep track of such things … but at the very least, it’s one of the first times this has happened!

RY.PR.R is a 6.25%+450 FixedReset, announced 2009-1-21. It is callable 2014-2-24 at par and was most recently mentioned in the volume highlights for 2010-3-22.

It traded 5,593 shares today in a range of 28.24-43 before closing at 28.31-40, 20×35.

HIMIPref™ reports that the yield to a call 2014-3-26 at par is now 2.93% (pre-tax, bond-equivalent); recall that a slight inaccuracy in HIMIPref™ conventions means that the calculated call date is maturityNoticePeriod days after the actual call date.

That’s a pretty low yield! The reset to +450bp makes it almost certain to be called at the first opportunity, but one of the words that can hurt in the investment game is “almost”!

I have uploaded two charts for your edification and amusement:

RY.PR.R was last mentioned on PrefBlog (other than in routine reports) when it was added to TXPR in July 2009. It is tracked by HIMIPref™ and is a member of the FixedReset index.

Market Action

March 26, 2010

OSFI published its Report on Plans and Priorities today. I continue to be amused by their performance targets: under the programme target “Accurate risk assessments”, they set a target of 70% for “Percentage of knowledgeable observers who agree that their institution’s Composite Risk Rating is appropriate.”. “Knowledgeable observers” are defined as “Senior Executives and professionals who act on behalf of federally regulated financial institutions.” Sounds pretty cosy! Don’t hold your breath waiting for a politician to ask any questions – that would screw up their chances of post-public-servant employment.

Heavy volume AGAIN, PerpetualDiscounts down AGAIN (this time 20bp) and FixedResets up AGAIN – this time by 11bp, taking the median average weighted YTW down to a new low of 3.31%. Good volatility.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.64 % 2.70 % 59,650 20.71 1 -1.1111 % 2,089.9
FixedFloater 4.91 % 3.03 % 50,245 20.14 1 0.6818 % 3,220.2
Floater 1.92 % 1.69 % 47,803 23.35 4 0.8467 % 2,407.5
OpRet 4.84 % 3.27 % 109,942 0.66 12 -0.0420 % 2,312.1
SplitShare 6.36 % 4.38 % 136,088 0.08 2 0.0878 % 2,146.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0420 % 2,114.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.95 % 6.02 % 119,349 13.72 7 0.0172 % 1,871.8
Perpetual-Discount 6.00 % 6.02 % 185,230 13.85 71 -0.2006 % 1,763.7
FixedReset 5.33 % 3.31 % 349,799 3.67 43 0.1075 % 2,214.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TD.PR.R Perpetual-Discount -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 23.47
Evaluated at bid price : 23.66
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 23.48
Evaluated at bid price : 23.82
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
BMO.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 19.60
Evaluated at bid price : 19.60
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 22.34
Evaluated at bid price : 22.85
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %
TD.PR.Q Perpetual-Discount -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 23.70
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
BAM.PR.E Ratchet -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 21.75
Evaluated at bid price : 21.36
Bid-YTW : 2.70 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 17.26
Evaluated at bid price : 17.26
Bid-YTW : 6.93 %
CM.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 18.69
Evaluated at bid price : 18.69
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 1.69 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRI.PR.B Floater 152,760 Recently highlighted as somewhat comparable to TRI’s USD bond issue. Nesbitt crossed 150,000 at 24.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 23.71
Evaluated at bid price : 23.98
Bid-YTW : 1.61 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 86,240 RBC crossed 44,800 at 18.50. Nesbitt crossed 25,000 at 18.42.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-26
Maturity Price : 18.36
Evaluated at bid price : 18.36
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 83,544 Desjardins crossed 20,000 at 28.40; CIBC bought 32,000 from National at 28.36. RBC crossed 13,500 at 28.36.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.37
Bid-YTW : 3.09 %
RY.PR.P FixedReset 79,248 National crossed 50,000 at 28.24.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.20
Bid-YTW : 3.02 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 75,095 National crossed 50,000 at 28.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.12
Bid-YTW : 3.54 %
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 74,353 CIBC bought 13,500 from anonymous at 28.50; then another 17,600 from National at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.45
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %
There were 52 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Issue Comments

FTN.PR.A To Get Bigger

Hard on the heels of the DFN.PR.A enlargement, Financial 15 Split Corp. has announced:

it has filed a short form prospectus in each of the provinces of Canada with respect to an additional offering of Preferred Shares and Class A Shares. The offering will be available through a group of underwriters, co-led by RBC Capital Markets and CIBC World Markets. The Company will file an amended and restated prospectus shortly outlining the offering prices set forth below.

The Preferred Shares will be offered at a price of $10.00 per share to yield 5.25% based on current distribution policy. The closing price of the Preferred Shares on March 25, 2010 on the TMX was $10.41.

The Class A Shares will be offered at a price of $9.75 per share to yield 15.5% based on current distribution policy. The closing price of the Class A Shares on March 25, 2010 on the TMX was $10.40.

The proceeds from the re-opening of Financial 15, net of expenses and Agents’ fees, will be used by Financial 15 to invest in an actively managed portfolio of 15 financial services companies made up of 10 Canadian and 5 U.S. issuers

The Net Asset Value Per Unit was 17.84 on March 15.

FTN.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was upgraded to Pfd-3 by DBRS.

FTN.PR.A is tracked by HIMIPref™ but is relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

Market Action

March 25, 2010

The Ontario Securities Commission has released the new edition of Perspectives, which provides information on regulatory initiatives.

We have a new poster-boy for the banks’ pursuit of mediocrity, rivalling Canada’s David Berry. Ladies & Gentlemen, let’s hear it for Raphael Geys!

Raphael Geys, former managing director of European fixed income sales for French bank Societe Generale, claims he was summarily dismissed without cause in November 2007.

He said that during his three years at the bank he was responsible for more than doubling the gross revenue of his division, from 205 million euros to 440 million euros.

Deputy Judge George Leggatt QC was told at a hearing earlier this month: “He was dismissed for being too successful in that role because the provisions in his contract were considered by the bank to be too generous.”

It was claimed that the bank’s termination of the contract “raised issues about the claimant’s entitlement to termination and other payments due under the contract. Very substantial sums are at stake”.

These have been reported as being 12.5 million euros (£11.3 million).

The bank claims he is not entitled to any “termination payment” under the contract because he has taken legal action.

And now, he’s passed the first milestone:

Societe Generale SA, France’s second-largest bank, lost a U.K. court decision over whether an 8 million-euro ($10.6 million) severance package it offered a former employee was less than what he was owed.

Raphael Geys, a former managing director of European fixed income sales at Societe Generale, sued and claimed at a trial that began last week in a London court that under his contract’s terms he was owed more severance than the bank offered.

If a severance value can’t be negotiated, a trial will be held to determine the amount, Judge George Leggatt said in the ruling today. Geys, who was fired in November 2007, said he was entitled to more than 12.5 million euros under his contract. Societe Generale argued it no longer owes Geys any severance because suing breached his contract.

“I reject the bank’s arguments that the claimant has lost any right to receive a termination payment, or any other payment, as a result of making or pursuing any claims,” Leggatt said.

The bank may have saved itself about 2.5 million euros had it “appropriately” worded a November 2007 letter firing Geys, according to the judge. Leggatt said the company didn’t properly end Geys’s contract until months later, meaning Societe Generale owed him a year-end bonus.

Sarah Butcher of eFinancial News reports It’s not unusual for banks to fire over-performers:

Bizarrely, lawyers say it’s not at all unusual for banks to eject high performers with large pay claims, even if they’re making a profit for the firm.

“You’d think that banks would recognise that it’s sensible to keep these people onboard,” says Charles Ferguson, a solicitor who specialises in the representation of traders. “However, there are some banks where there’s a limit to what they’re willing to pay. If someone takes them above that, they’ll look for an excuse to back out.”

Most banks include clauses in their contracts specifying that you need to be in employment and not under notice at the bonus date in order to be eligible for a payment. As a result, redundancies in the run up to bonuses are abnormally common.

Equally, Ferguson says some contracts specify that profit sharing entitlements will disappear if salespeople or traders are sacked for gross incompetence. He says this is also a favourite reason for dismissal.

Hah! Us proud Canadians can teach them a thing or two about justification for firing, eh?

The Ontario 2010-11 Budget was introduced today. Not a word about dividends – probably a good thing! More worrisomely, they proudly announce that the current deficit will be eliminated in a mere eight years – which stands a good chance of being the next completely unexpected and totally unforecasted recession. In that time, a mere $88.9-billion will be added to the provincial debt … and debt charges will rise from 9.35% of revenue to 11.3%.

In the Canadian preferred share market, volume was heavy AGAIN, Perpetual Discounts were down AGAIN (losing 21bp) and FixedResets were up AGAIN (gaining 5bp). Yields on FixedResets are now at 3.38%.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.61 % 2.73 % 59,156 20.84 1 1.8868 % 2,113.4
FixedFloater 4.94 % 3.06 % 50,216 20.10 1 2.2305 % 3,198.4
Floater 1.93 % 1.72 % 44,167 23.26 4 -0.1470 % 2,387.2
OpRet 4.84 % 1.26 % 111,554 0.18 12 -0.0965 % 2,313.1
SplitShare 6.36 % 6.05 % 137,742 0.08 2 0.1538 % 2,144.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0965 % 2,115.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.95 % 6.02 % 119,154 13.75 7 -0.0630 % 1,871.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.99 % 6.01 % 180,510 13.90 71 -0.2061 % 1,767.2
FixedReset 5.34 % 3.38 % 348,962 3.67 43 0.0488 % 2,212.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.88 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-25
Maturity Price : 21.89
Evaluated at bid price : 21.89
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
TD.PR.P Perpetual-Discount -1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-25
Maturity Price : 22.47
Evaluated at bid price : 22.61
Bid-YTW : 5.90 %
IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-25
Maturity Price : 24.49
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
TD.PR.R Perpetual-Discount -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-25
Maturity Price : 23.90
Evaluated at bid price : 24.11
Bid-YTW : 5.90 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.51
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
IAG.PR.E Perpetual-Premium 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-25
Maturity Price : 24.40
Evaluated at bid price : 24.61
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
BAM.PR.E Ratchet 1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-25
Maturity Price : 22.64
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 2.73 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 2.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 3.06 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 191,429 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 100,000 and 73,300 at 18.58.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-25
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 132,410 CIBC bought 10,000 from National at 28.28; RBC crossed 50,000 at 28.31. CIBC bought another 13,600 from National at 28.32; anonymous bought 10,000 from TD at 28.39.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.36
Bid-YTW : 3.09 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 116,804 CIBC bought 48,200 from National at 28.35, then another 10,000 from anonymous at the same price. Desjardins sold 20,000 to anonymous at 28.35; CIBC bought another 20,000 from National at 28.35 again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.40
Bid-YTW : 3.07 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 112,270 CIBC bought 43,500 from National at 28.35. TD sold 23,300 to RBC at 28.35, then crossed 25,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.35
Bid-YTW : 3.26 %
RY.PR.P FixedReset 92,243 National crossed 50,000 at 28.09, then bought 17,000 from TD at 28.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.16
Bid-YTW : 3.06 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 86,888 RBC bought 18,700 from Dundee at 19.31, then crossed 50,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-25
Maturity Price : 19.24
Evaluated at bid price : 19.24
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
There were 52 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

March 24, 2010

Covered bonds are recovering:

Europe’s banks are selling covered bonds at the fastest pace in four years in a sign that debt investors are betting Europe’s economy is strong enough to weather the budget crisis in Greece.

Caja Ahorros Barcelona, Spain’s largest savings bank, and Westdeutsche Immobilienbank AG, a unit of Germany’s third- biggest state-owned lender, are among the mainly European financial companies that issued 87.5 billion euros ($118 billion) of the notes this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s the most since 95.4 billion euros of the bonds were sold in the same period of 2006.

Covered bond spreads have tightened at a slower pace than those on other senior corporate debt. Typically carrying top ratings, they also widened less at the onset of the deepest financial crisis since the Great Depression.

The extra yield on the mortgage- and public sector-backed securities is still more than double the 36 basis-point average for the past 12 years, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s EMU Covered Bonds Index. Investment-grade corporate bond spreads narrowed to 148 basis points as of March 22, compared with an average 92 basis points since 1997, index data show.

Covered bond sales fell as the credit market seized up, when investors shunned hard-to-value securities such as those backed by real estate. Issuance tumbled to 228.4 billion euros in 2008, from a record-high 347.8 billion euros in 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

It’s hard to interpret shifts in covered bonds in isolation, or with highly aggregated data such as the above. If it means more investor interest – good! If it means the banks are locked out of the unsecured market – bad!

It is possible to have your CFA Charter pulled for pornography.

Volume continued heavy in the Canadian preferred share market today as the ACO.PR.A redemption took effect. PerpetualDiscounts lost 1bp and FixedResets gained 9bp – which did not affect the median weighted average yield, which remains at 3.40%. That’s the trouble with using medians – sometimes things simply don’t move in-line!

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 6.01%, equivalent to 8.41% interest at the standard 1.4x equivalency factor. Long Corporates now yield about 5.7% (showing a total return of 0.35% on the month-to-date, +4.46% YTD), so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (also called the seniority spread) is now about 270bp, a slight widening from the 265bp reported March 17 and edging closer to their one year high in the low 290s.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.66 % 2.73 % 61,221 20.67 1 0.0472 % 2,074.3
FixedFloater 5.05 % 3.17 % 49,126 19.96 1 0.7491 % 3,128.6
Floater 1.93 % 1.72 % 45,900 23.26 4 0.2580 % 2,390.8
OpRet 4.82 % 1.85 % 108,644 0.18 12 0.1092 % 2,315.3
SplitShare 6.37 % 6.26 % 136,379 3.67 2 -0.0659 % 2,141.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1092 % 2,117.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.94 % 6.01 % 118,718 13.67 7 -0.1715 % 1,872.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.97 % 6.01 % 181,218 13.83 71 -0.0095 % 1,770.9
FixedReset 5.33 % 3.40 % 344,628 3.67 43 0.0881 % 2,211.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IAG.PR.E Perpetual-Premium -2.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-24
Maturity Price : 24.11
Evaluated at bid price : 24.31
Bid-YTW : 6.20 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-24
Maturity Price : 19.54
Evaluated at bid price : 19.54
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.A OpRet 225,530 Nesbitt crossed 23,100 at 25.83; Desjardins bought 10,000 from anonymous at the same price. National crossed 40,000 at 25.80 and two blocks, 50,000 and 60,000 at 25.84. Desardins crossed 25,000 at 25.83.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-04-23
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.81
Bid-YTW : -11.91 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 184,250 National crossed 40,000 at 28.50 and 50,000 at 28.57. Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 28.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.45
Bid-YTW : 3.25 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 124,100 Nesbitt crossed 120,000 at 25.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 3.81 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 120,690 RBC crossed 50,000 at 19.33 and 10,000 at 19.30, followed by another 50,000 at 19.33.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-24
Maturity Price : 19.28
Evaluated at bid price : 19.28
Bid-YTW : 6.20 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 100,919 National crossed 19,400 at 28.36 and 60,000 at 28.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.35
Bid-YTW : 3.26 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 95,524 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-03-24
Maturity Price : 24.95
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
There were 59 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Issue Comments

LSC.PR.C Considering Extending Term

Lifeco Split Corporation has announced:

that it is considering the merits of a possible extension of the term of the Capital Shares and the Preferred Shares beyond their scheduled redemption date of July 31, 2010. Lifeco has retained Scotia Capital Inc. to assist in this regard. There is no guarantee that after such review an extension will be proposed or if proposed will be approved by shareholders.

Lifeco is a mutual fund corporation created to hold a portfolio of common shares of selected publicly listed Canadian life insurance companies. Lifeco will generate a fixed quarterly dividend for the Preferred shareholders and provide the Capital shareholders with a leveraged investment, the value of which is linked to changes in the market price of the portfolio shares.

Capital Shares and Preferred Shares of Lifeco are listed for trading on The Toronto Stock Exchange
under the symbols LSC and LSC.PR.C respectively.

Asset coverage is 1.7+:1 according to the company; total asset value is about $32-million.

LSC.PR.C is not tracked by HIMIPref™. LSC.PR.C was last mentioned on PrefBlog when the capital unit dividend was suspended (it has since been reinstated).