There’s some interesting speculation about credit spreads:
Executives who run big companies and big funds expect to be dealing with sovereign debt problems for years to come.
That’s one of the big conclusions from a survey of executives commissioned by Royal Bank of Canada’s capital markets unit.
Some of the most striking findings were a high degree of concern that a Group of Twenty country would default in the coming three years (Italy was voted most likely), skepticism that the euro-zone would survive that period intact, and a belief that high quality corporate bonds might be safer than some government bonds.
A full 40 per cent of respondents said that they expected yields on the highest level of corporate debt to drop below yields on sovereign debt of the countries where they are based, according to the poll of about 440 executives around the world.
Geez … you mean we have to re-write the textbooks again? We haven’t even finished rewriting the sections on monetary policy!
A good day in the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 32bp and FixedResets gaining 7bp, with good volume.
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices Values are provisional and are finalized monthly |
|||||||
Index | Mean Current Yield (at bid) |
Median YTW |
Median Average Trading Value |
Median Mod Dur (YTW) |
Issues | Day’s Perf. | Index Value |
Ratchet | 2.82 % | 2.93 % | 25,298 | 20.30 | 1 | 0.0000 % | 2,048.5 |
FixedFloater | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.0398 % | 3,098.7 |
Floater | 2.32 % | 1.97 % | 47,770 | 22.47 | 4 | 0.0398 % | 2,208.6 |
OpRet | 4.87 % | 2.85 % | 76,683 | 0.09 | 11 | 0.1415 % | 2,340.7 |
SplitShare | 6.33 % | 6.33 % | 89,679 | 3.45 | 2 | 0.3943 % | 2,191.6 |
Interest-Bearing | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.1415 % | 2,140.3 |
Perpetual-Premium | 5.96 % | 5.70 % | 120,189 | 1.85 | 4 | 0.1092 % | 1,915.6 |
Perpetual-Discount | 5.91 % | 5.98 % | 185,432 | 13.96 | 73 | 0.3160 % | 1,823.6 |
FixedReset | 5.36 % | 3.80 % | 319,266 | 3.49 | 47 | 0.0745 % | 2,199.1 |
Performance Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Change | Notes |
PWF.PR.E | Perpetual-Discount | -1.18 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 22.25 Evaluated at bid price : 22.65 Bid-YTW : 6.18 % |
BAM.PR.M | Perpetual-Discount | -1.09 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 18.20 Evaluated at bid price : 18.20 Bid-YTW : 6.59 % |
POW.PR.C | Perpetual-Discount | -1.04 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 23.57 Evaluated at bid price : 23.85 Bid-YTW : 6.10 % |
SLF.PR.B | Perpetual-Discount | 1.00 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 20.17 Evaluated at bid price : 20.17 Bid-YTW : 6.00 % |
CM.PR.P | Perpetual-Discount | 1.08 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 22.81 Evaluated at bid price : 23.50 Bid-YTW : 5.83 % |
GWO.PR.H | Perpetual-Discount | 1.09 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 20.42 Evaluated at bid price : 20.42 Bid-YTW : 5.99 % |
MFC.PR.C | Perpetual-Discount | 1.17 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 18.95 Evaluated at bid price : 18.95 Bid-YTW : 6.00 % |
PWF.PR.H | Perpetual-Discount | 1.18 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 23.72 Evaluated at bid price : 24.00 Bid-YTW : 6.10 % |
BNS.PR.X | FixedReset | 1.28 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2014-05-25 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 27.70 Bid-YTW : 3.23 % |
HSB.PR.C | Perpetual-Discount | 1.37 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 21.49 Evaluated at bid price : 21.49 Bid-YTW : 5.98 % |
TD.PR.Q | Perpetual-Discount | 1.39 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 24.19 Evaluated at bid price : 24.41 Bid-YTW : 5.74 % |
TD.PR.R | Perpetual-Discount | 1.47 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 24.22 Evaluated at bid price : 24.44 Bid-YTW : 5.73 % |
MFC.PR.B | Perpetual-Discount | 1.54 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 19.80 Evaluated at bid price : 19.80 Bid-YTW : 5.93 % |
GWO.PR.J | FixedReset | 2.17 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2014-01-30 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 26.83 Bid-YTW : 3.84 % |
Volume Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Shares Traded |
Notes |
TRP.PR.C | FixedReset | 131,715 | Recent new issue. YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 23.11 Evaluated at bid price : 24.96 Bid-YTW : 3.94 % |
PWF.PR.P | FixedReset | 75,914 | Recent new issue. YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 23.17 Evaluated at bid price : 25.15 Bid-YTW : 3.94 % |
W.PR.J | Perpetual-Discount | 53,600 | Scotia crossed 50,000 at 23.10. YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 22.81 Evaluated at bid price : 23.09 Bid-YTW : 6.08 % |
SLF.PR.C | Perpetual-Discount | 51,607 | Desjardins crossed two blocks of 10,000 each at 18.47 and 18.48. Nesbitt crossed 12,300 at 18.48. YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2040-07-06 Maturity Price : 18.47 Evaluated at bid price : 18.47 Bid-YTW : 6.08 % |
PWF.PR.J | OpRet | 38,220 | TD crossed 16,300 at 25.76. YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2010-08-05 Maturity Price : 25.50 Evaluated at bid price : 25.75 Bid-YTW : 2.85 % |
RY.PR.X | FixedReset | 36,821 | TD crossed 25,000 at 27.75. YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2014-09-23 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 27.70 Bid-YTW : 3.70 % |
There were 37 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares. |