Market Action

May 28, 2007

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.20% 5.30% 38,584 15.16 2 +0.1317% 960.5
Fixed-Floater 5.71% 5.34% 154,302 15.16 6 -0.2559% 907.1
Floater 4.81% 2.02% 81,079 11.18 3 +0.0536% 1,044.2
Op. Retract 4.77% 3.67% 84,217 2.72 17 -0.1737% 1,027.6
Split-Share 4.99% 4.34% 221,058 3.82 13 -0.0564% 1,047.4
Interest Bearing 6.54% 6.47% 70,403 5.33 5 +0.0794% 1,042.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.20% 4.62% 186,747 6.98 48 -0.2528% 1,037.0
Perpetual-Discount 4.79% 4.83% 658,128 15.80 19 -0.5011% 1,016.9
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
BCE.PR.R FixFloat -3.2779% Exchange/Reset date is 2010-12-1 (exchanges with series ‘Q’, not issued); until then, pays 4.54% of par. After the heavy volume on May 25, the coup de grace was a bit of an anti-climax: a sale of 1,500 shares by Nesbitt just before the bell took the price from 20.58 to 20.36. Closed at 20.36-74, 3×1.
IAG.PR.A PerpetualDiscount -1.8330% A morning sale by Nesbitt of 2,400 shares seems to have taken out the bid (prices in four tranches started at 24.44 and finished at 24.05) that only bounced back a little. Closed at 24.10-49, 10×5. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.83% based on a bid of 24.10 and a limitMaturity.
IGM.PR.A OpRet -1.2409% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.00% based on a bid of 27.06 and a call 2009-7-30 at 26.00.
ACO.PR.A OpRet -1.0989% Traded as low as 26.77; closed at 27.00-30, 20×10. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.01% based on a bid of 27.00 and a call 2008-12-31 at 26.00.
RY.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -1.0961% Traded as low as 23.25, a new 52-week low. Closed at 23.46-60, 3×5. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.82% based on a bid of 23.46 and a limitMaturity.
POW.PR.B PerpetualPremium -1.0942% Traded as low as 25.16, a new 52-week low. Closed at 25.31-38, 43×3. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.19% based on a bid of 25.31 and a call 2012-12-28 at 25.00.
ELF.PR.G PerpetualPremium (for now!) -1.0142% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.92% based on a bid of 24.40 and a limitMaturity.
BCE.PR.I FixFloat +1.0779% Exchange/Reset date is 2011-8-1 (Exchanges with series ‘AJ’, not issued); until then, pays 4.65% of par.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater 202,400 National Bank crossed 200,000 at 24.90.
GWO.PR.I PerpetualDiscount 147,315 Nesbitt crossed 83,300 at 23.90. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.79% based on a bid of 23.80 and a limitMaturity. There’s still some uncertainty about GWO’s capital market plans, and the recent downdraft doesn’t help.
GWO.PR.H PerpetualPremium 76,510 Nesbitt crossed 11,100 at 25.32. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.80% based on a bid of 25.32 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.J PerpetualDiscount 52,670 RBC crossed 11,500 at 23.60 to end the day; four other crosses totalling 17,500 all at 23.60 preceded this. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.84% based on a bid of 23.44 and a limitMaturity.
BMO.PR.J PerpetualDiscount 36,990 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.75% based on a bid of 23.76 and a limitMaturity.

There were twenty-three other $25-equivalent index-included issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

Market Action

May 25, 2007

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.18% 5.28% 40,243 15.21 2 0.0000% 959.2
Fixed-Floater 5.69% 5.31% 154,863 15.26 6 -0.2682% 909.4
Floater 4.82% 2.83% 79,977 11.20 3 +0.2956% 1,043.6
Op. Retract 4.76% 3.53% 83,894 2.49 17 -0.0688% 1,029.4
Split-Share 4.98% 4.30% 223,731 3.96 12 -0.0498% 1,048.0
Interest Bearing 6.54% 6.46% 70,777 5.26 5 -0.0316% 1,042.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.19% 4.60% 185,917 6.65 48 0.0681% 1,039.6
Perpetual-Discount 4.77% 4.80% 665,859 15.85 19 -0.4684% 1,022.0
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
BCE.PR.R FixFloat -1.6355% On heavy volume (see below), but the big trade was a 21.39 and the close was 21.05-49, 15×5, so the volume can’t be blamed. Exchange/Reset date is 2010-12-1 (exchanges with series ‘Q’, not issued); until then, pays 4.54% of par.
RY.PR.E PerpetualDiscount -1.6142% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.75% based on a bid of 23.77 and a limitMaturity.
GWO.PR.E OpRet -1.5004% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.41% based on a bid of 26.26 and a call 2009-4-30 at 25.50. There are interesting things happening at GWO … but they’re not public just yet.
SLF.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -1.0707% A sell of 2,600 shares by RBC in five tranches starting at 3:56pm at 23.28 and ending at 3:57pm at 23.10 took the price down a bit. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.81% based on a bid of 23.10 and a limitMaturity.
GWO.PR.I PerpetualDiscount -1.0373% On heavy volume (see below), which doesn’t appear to have affected the price directly. See above for link to GWO’s suspended animation. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.78% based on a bid of 23.85 and a limitMaturity.
SLF.PR.A PerpetualPremium (for now!) +1.0514% On heavy volume (see below) which appears to have propped up the price. Closed at 24.99-00, 100×20. The last trade was a Scotia cross of 300,000 at 24.99; the penultimate trade was for 500 shares at 24.71. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.71% based on a bid of 24.99 and a call 2014-4-30 at 25.00.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
BCE.PR.C FixFloat 2,010,064 Wow! Scotia crossed 2,000,000 at 23.35. Exchange/Reset date is 2008-3-1 (Exchanges with series ‘AD’, not issued); Until then pays 5.54% of par.
CM.PR.P PerpetualPremium 844,330 Scotia crossed 540,000 at 26.18, then 300,000 at 26.20. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.72% based on a bid of 26.08 and a call 2012-11-28 at 25.00.
BCE.PR.R FixFloat 800,500 Scotia crossed 800,000 at 21.39. Exchange/Reset date is 2010-12-1 (Exchanges with series ‘Q’, not issued); until then, pays 4.54% of par.
TD.PR.O PerpetualPremium 679,488 Scotia crossed 266,300 at 25.65, then 400,000 at 25.70. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.49% based on a bid of 25.70 and a call 2014-11-30 at 25.00.
NA.PR.K PerpetualPremium 586,715 Scotia crossed 360,000 at 26.23, then another 225,000 at the same price. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.88% based on a bid of 26.15 and a call 2012-6-14 at 25.00.
BCE.PR.A FixFloat 558,287 Scotia crossed 550,000 at 23.16. Exchange/Reset date is 2007-9-1 (Exchanges with series ‘AB’, not issued); until then pays 5.03% of par.
CM.PR.E PerpetualPremium 541,392 Scotia crossed 540,000 at 26.10. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.82% based on a bid of 26.08 and a call 2012-11-30 at 25.00.
CM.PR.I PerpetualPremium (for now!) 473,001 Scotia crossed 453,600 at 24.95. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.75% based on a bid of 24.95 and a limitMaturity.
CU.PR.A PerpetualPremium 461,653 Scotia crossed 270,000 at 25.88, then 190,000 at the same price. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.03% based on a bid of 25.83 and a call 2012-3-31 at 25.00.
CM.PR.D PerpetualPremium 452,510 Scotia crossed 450,000 at 25.96. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.06% based on a bid of 25.90 and a call 2012-5-30 at 25.00.
BCE.PR.Z FixFloat 450,718 Scotia crossed 450,000 at 22.57. Exchange/Reset Date is 2007-12-1 (Exchanges with BCE.PR.Y); until then, pays 5.319% of par. Closed at 22.58-89, 2×6; the Ys closed at 22.50-99, 6×4.
SLF.PR.A PerpetualPremium (for now!) 408,698 Scotia crossed 100,000 at 24.99, then 300,000 at the same price. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.71% based on a bid of 24.99 and a call 2014-4-30 at 25.00.
ENB.PR.A PerpetualPremium 328,227 Scotia crossed 225,000 at 25.09, then 100,000 at the same price. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.22% based on a bid of 25.02 and a call 2008-1-1 at 25.00.
HSB.PR.C PerpetualPremium 288,179 Scotia crossed 275,000 at 26.39. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.37% based on a bid of 26.35 and a call 2014-7-30 at 25.00.
CU.PR.B PerpetualPremium 272,053 Scotia crossed 270,000 at 26.18. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.96% based on a bid of 26.16 and a call 2011-7-1 at 25.25.
CM.PR.G PerpetualPremium 231,025 Scotia crossed 225,000 at 26.11. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.82% based on a bid of 26.01 and a call 2014-5-31 at 25.00.
NSI.PR.D Scraps (Would be OpRet, but there are volume concerns … but not today, there aren’t!) 225,300 Scotia crossed 225,000 at 29.35. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.13% based on a bid of 28.35 and a call 2015-11-14 at 25.00.
TCA.PR.X PerpetualPremium 183,001 Scotia crossed 180,000 at 52.35. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.92% based on a bid of 52.15 and a call 2013-11-14 at 50.00.
GWO.PR.I PerpetualDiscount 164,810 See elsewhere in this post for a link to the GWO uncertainty summary. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.78% based on a bid of 23.85 and a limitMaturity.
ELF.PR.F PerpetualPremium 142,001 Scotia crossed 140,000 at 26.44. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.63% based on a bid of 26.11 and a call 2013-11-16 at 25.00.
POW.PR.B PerpetualPremium 105,040 Scotia crossed 100,000 at 25.65. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.84% based on a bid of 25.59 and a call 2010-12-28 at 25.00.
TCA.PR.Y PerpetualPremium 102,701 Scotia crossed 100,000 at 52.45. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.86% based on a bid of 52.41 and a call 2014-4-4 at 50.00.
PWF.PR.F PerpetualPremium 101,550 Scotia crossed 100,000 at 25.50. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.03% based on a bid of 25.29 and a call 2010-12-30 at 25.00. That’s not too shabby for a Pfd-1(low) with some interest rate protection, despite the GWO uncertainty.
HSB.PR.D PerpetualPremium 101,150 Scotia crossed 100,000 at 26.25. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.39% based on a bid of 26.21 and a call 2015-1-30 at 25.00.

There were twenty-one other $25-equivalent index-included issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

Well, the Scotia guy will be enjoying a nice weekend! We’ll just have to hope he didn’t exceed the allowable bonus for his grade, or management will be tempted to destroy his career (it’s cheaper, you know).

Issue Comments

EPP.PR.A Arrives: Market Says 'Go Away!'

As I predicted last week, EPP.PR.A crashed on opening today.

There were only six, count ’em, six trades in the entire day, for a whopping volume of 7,300 shares, closing at 23.75-99, 5×50. Even BAM.PR.N’s opening day was better, which is really saying a mouthful.

Five Million Shares. Somebody’s lost $5-million. Glad it’s not me!

On a cheerier note, the issue does appear to have found a fair level. The curve price is $23.94:

Price due to base-rate :  23.30
Price due to short-term :  -0.44
Price due to long-term :   1.76
Price due to Interest Income :   0.00
Price to to Cumulative Dividends :   0.00
Price due to SplitShareCorp :   0.00
Price due to Retractibility :   0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (2) :   0.00
Price due to Liquidity :   0.83
Price due to Floating Rate :   0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (3) :  -1.71
Price due to error :   0.17
Price due to Credit Spread (High) :   0.03
Price due to Credit Spread (Low) :   0.00

Although the price is now estimated to be fair, I won’t be rushing to buy this one. I suspect the underwriters are stuck with a big pile of these and there will be a blow-out sale before the end of June … and why would I buy something at a price I think is “fair”, anyway?

Market Action

May 24, 2007

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.15% 5.25% 41,844 15.27 2 -0.7393% 959.2
Fixed-Floater 5.68% 5.24% 146,301 15.30 6 -0.8747% 911.8
Floater 4.83% 3.66% 79,890 11.22 3 -0.5500% 1,040.5
Op. Retract 4.76% 3.51% 83,968 2.26 17 -0.0049% 1,030.1
Split-Share 4.98% 4.30% 227,632 3.96 12 -0.2164% 1,048.5
Interest Bearing 6.54% 6.45% 70,211 5.34 5 -0.1775% 1,042.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.20% 4.70% 179,334 7.25 48 -0.2866% 1,038.9
Perpetual-Discount 4.75% 4.78% 677,068 15.89 19 -0.9836% 1,026.8
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
BCE.PR.I FixFloat -2.3278% Exchange/Reset date is 2011-8-1 (Exchanges with series ‘AJ’, not issued); until then, pays 4.65% of par. Traded at 20.30 today, a new low; closed at 20.56-99, 5×4.
RY.PR.A PerpetualDiscount -2.1109% On heavy volume of 37,368 shares; traded at 23.60 today, a new 52-week low. Closed at 23.65-74, 11×5. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.72% based on a bid of 23.65 and a limitMaturity.
CFS.PR.A SplitShare -2.0751% Traded at 9.90 today, a new 52-week low, on light volume of 1,500 shares. Closed at 9.91-40, 10×7. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.59% based on a bid of 9.91 and a hardMaturity 2012-1-31 at 10.00.
SLF.PR.E PerpetualDiscount -2.0340% Traded at 23.50 today, a new 52-week low, on relatively low volume of 10,229 shares. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.75% based on a bid of 23.60 and a limitMaturity.
AL.PR.E Floater -1.9685% Traded at 24.50 today, a new 52-week low.
RY.PR.F PerpetualDiscount -1.7887% Traded at 23.00 today, a new 52-week low. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.79% based on a bid of 23.61 and a limitMaturity.
BCE.PR.R FixFloat -1.6092% Exchange/Reset date is 2010-12-1 (exchanges with series ‘Q’, not issued); until then, pays 4.54% of par. Traded at 20.10 today, a new 52-week low. Closed at 21.40-89, 3×3. Yes, the handles are correct .. the low is more than a dollar less than the closing bid. Efficient market, huh?
BMO.PR.J PerpetualDiscount -1.5709% Traded at 24.00 today, a new 52-week low. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.74%, based on a bid of 23.81 and a limitMaturity.
MFC.PR.A OpRet -1.4543% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.67% based on a bid of 25.75 and a softMaturity 2015-12-18 at 25.00
BAM.PR.M PerpetualDiscount -1.3480% Traded at 24.15 today, a new 52-week low. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.98% based on a bid of 24.15 and a limitMaturity.
SLF.PR.B PerpetualPremium (until month-end, anyway!) -1.2346% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.82% based on a bid of 24.80 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.J PerpetualDiscount -1.1711% Traded at 23.66 today, a new 52-week low. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.80% based on a bid of 23.63 and a limitMaturity
SLF.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -1.1012% Traded at 23.33 today, a new 52-week low. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.75% based on a bid of 23.35 and a limitMaturity
BCE.PR.Z FixFloat -1.0549% Exchange/Reset date is 2007-12-1 (exchanges with BCE.PR.Y); until then, pays 5.319% of par. Closed at 22.51-64, 5×1; the Ys closed at 22.16-78, 3×4
RY.PR.G PerpetualDiscount -1.0395% Traded at 23.80 today, a new 52-week low. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.77% based on a bid of 23.80 and a limitMaturity
RY.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -1.0395% Traded at 23.80 today, a new 52-week low. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.74% based on a bid of 23.80 and a limitMaturity.
DFN.PR.A SplitShare -1.0368% See discussion in “volume” table.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
GWO.PR.G PerpetualPremium 109,600 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.76% based on a bid of 25.86 and a call 2014-1-30 at 25.00.
GWO.PR.H PerpetualPremium 97,255 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.74% based on a bid of 25.39 and a call 2014-10-30 at 25.00
WN.PR.C PerpetualPremium (for now! Will be “scraps” after month-end, due to the downgrade.) 90,683 RBC crossed 50,000 at 24.95. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.31% based on a bid of 24.84 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.H PerpetualPremium 68,500 Scotia crossed 50,000 at 25.40. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.65% based on a bid of 25.35 and a call 2014-4-29 at 25.00.
DFN.PR.A SplitShare 145,700 Desjardins crossed 50,000 at 10.50. Issue will be reopened shortly. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.54% based on a bid of 10.50 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-1 at 10.00.

There were forty other $25-equivalent index-included issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

Whoosh! I don’t know what the Bank of Canada is going to do next week, but it would seem that the preferred shareholders are making their bets! The Long Term Government Bond Index is down 1.83% on the month, roughly comparable to Long Term Corporates; Universe Bond, -1.11%; Short Term Bond -0.50%;  the HIMI PerpetualDiscount index is down 2.59%; PerpetualPremium down 1.17% (Hockey Sticks!); OpRet is down 0.24%. As usual, none of it makes any sense at all.

Market Action

May 23, 2007

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.08% 5.17% 41,577 15.38 2 +0.3303% 966.4
Fixed-Floater 5.63% 5.16% 144,821 15.43 6 -0.0262% 919.9
Floater 4.80% -3.42% 78,710 11.10 3 -0.0528% 1,046.3
Op. Retract 4.76% 3.51% 84,065 2.32 17 -0.0705% 1,030.2
Split-Share 4.97% 4.22% 227,615 3.96 12 -0.0610% 1,050.8
Interest Bearing 6.53% 6.37% 70,069 5.34 5 +0.0200% 1,044.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.18% 4.74% 176,761 6.82 48 -0.2212% 1,041.8
Perpetual-Discount 4.70% 4.73% 687,077 15.98 19 -0.4467% 1,037.0
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
POW.PR.D PerpetualPremium -1.7147% Closed at 25.22-44, 1×2. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.97% based on a bid of 25.22 and a call 2014-11-30 at 25.00.
BCE.PR.G FixFloat -1.5789% Exchange/Reset Date is 2011-5-1 (Exchanges with BCE.PR.H); until then, pays 4.35% of par. Hit the 52-week low of 20.25, closed at 20.57-00, 5×10. The Hs closed at 23.21-49 on no volume. Nearly $3.00 spread on this BCE pair … somebody must be profitting!
SLF.PR.C PerpetualDiscount -1.4256% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.72% based on a bid of 23.51 and a limitMaturity. That makes 5% on a Pfd-3 perp and 4.85% on a Pfd-3(high) perp look pretty skimpy … especially as this issue implicitly has the chance, anyway, of a permanent 6%+ capital gain.
BMO.PR.J PerpetualDiscount -1.3458% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.66% based on a bid of 24.19 and a limitMaturity.
SLF.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -1.2134% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.70% based on a bid of 23.61 and a limitMaturity.
BNS.PR.K PerpetualPremium -1.1737% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.71% based on a bid of 25.26 and a call 2014-5-28 at 25.00.
TD.PR.O PerpetualPremium -1.0425% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.53% based on a bid of 25.63 and a call 2014-11-30 at 25.00.
BCE.PR.Z FixFloat +1.5172% Exchange/Reset date is 2007-12-1 (exchanges with BCE.PR.Y); until then, pays 5.319% of par. Closed at 22.75-99, 20×8; the Ys closed at 22.80-33, 1×4.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
RY.PR.B PerpetualPremium (until month-end, anyway!) 94,500 Scotia crossed 67,300 at 24.75. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.78% based on a bid of 24.66 and a limitMaturity.
PIC.PR.A SplitShare 65,528 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.23% based on a bid of 15.79 and a hardMaturity 2010-11-1 at 15.00.
BCE.PR.C FixFloat 38,450 Exchange/Reset date is 2008-3-1 (exchanges with series ‘AD’, not issued); until then, pays 5.54% of par. Closed at 23.38-59, 9×4.
CM.PR.H PerpetualPremium 37,235 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.65% based on a bid of 25.35 and a call 2014-4-29 at 25.00.
SLF.PR.A PerpetualPremium (until month-end, anyway!) 34,500 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.76% based on a bid of 24.85 and a limitMaturity.

There were thirty-two other $25-equivalent index-included issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

Issue Comments

DFN.PR.A : More Shares to be Issued

Well, well, well! The boys at Quadravest, fresh from extending the term of DFN.PR.A, are proving they haven’t run out of ideas!

In a press release today, they announced:

The Company intends to declare a special capital gains dividend, payable partially in cash and partially in Class A Shares, to holders of Class A Shares of record on June 4, 2007, which dividend will be payable on the date the Preferred Shares are issued under the short form prospectus. The number of Class A Shares being issued as a result of this special dividend will be equal to the number of Preferred Shares expected to be issued in the offering.

This is not particularly good news, but it isn’t necessarily bad, either. The NAVPU as of May 15, 2007 was $31.95, implying that the preferred shares had an extremely good asset coverage ratio of almost 3.2:1 – which DBRS wasn’t really giving them a lot of credit for, since the rating hadn’t changed from its initial setting of Pfd-2 on the initial coverage ratio of about 2.4:1.

How much will coverage deteriorate? Well, from the prospectus:

No regular monthly dividends will be paid in any year on the Class A Shares so long as any dividends on the Preferred Shares are then in arrears or so long as the Net Asset Value per Unit is equal to or less than $15.00 (calculated as described under ‘‘Details of the Offering — Valuation of Assets’’). Additionally, no special year-end dividends will be paid if after payment of such a special dividend the Net Asset Value per Unit (calculated as described under ‘‘Details of the Offering — Valuation of Assets’’) would be less than $25.00.

So how bad will it be? I wouldn’t think that they’ll take the NAVPU down below $25 … but I do worry. They’re being rather coy about how they will be calculating the amount of the special dividend … and some of the more cynical souls among us might want to point out that the fund’s year end is November 30 … therefore the special dividend June 4 is not a year-end special dividend … therefore not restricted by the prospectus language.

In favour of the preferred shareholders is the idea that Quadravest has quite a nice little business going, packaging the flavour of the month into a split share corporation and flogging it through an established pipeline.  I wouldn’t think they would contemplate doing anything that would jeopardize that goose and its bonus-filled eggs. Additionally, it won’t take much more than a rounding error to get the issue size over $100-million, and anything that improves liquidity is all right by me. It should also be noted that FFN.PR.A also experienced a term extension, has a NAVPU of $28.03 as of May 15, but did not have such a press release issued today.

But, until the point is cleared up, I recommend that no purchases of DFN.PR.A be made. I wouldn’t recommend a sale of existing positions (based on dilution risk, anyway … obviously, if DFN.PR.A rockets in price for some reason a sale should be contemplated) either. We’ll just have to wait and see.

Update: The quote from the prospectus regarding restrictions on dividends paid to capital shareholders was taken from the Summary. In the Details, we find (emphasis added):

Although there can be no assurance that the Company will be able to pay dividends to holders of Class A Shares, the initial policy of the Company will be to endeavour to declare and pay regular monthly dividends, initially targeted to be $0.10 per month to yield a minimum of 8.0% per annum on the original issue price, to holders of Class A Shares plus, if any amounts remain available for the payment of dividends, a special year-end dividend of such amount as of the November Dividend Record Date in each year.

No regular monthly dividends will be paid on the Class A Shares in any month as long as any dividends on the Preferred Shares are then in arrears or so long as the Net Asset Value per Unit is equal to or less than $15.00 (calculated as described under ‘‘Details of the Offering — Valuation of Assets’’). Additionally, it is currently intended that no special year-end dividends will be paid if after payment of such a dividend the Net Asset Value per Unit (calculated as described under ‘‘Details of the Offering — Valuation of Assets’’) would be less than $25.00.

So … it looks like there are no restrictions at all on the size of this dividend, other than a hope that Quadravest will wish to keep that split-share pipeline throbbing (and remember that first, selling the prefs is rarely a problem, since they generally come with fat coupons; and that second, if the customers had any brains or memory at all, they wouldn’t be buying the capital units in the first place.

Fingers crossed!

New Issues

New Issue : Co-operators 5% Perpetual

In order to pay for the redemption of CCS.PR.A, Co-operators General Insurance is issuing a 5% Perp.

They announced via CCN Matthews:

today announced that it has entered into an agreement with Scotia Capital Inc. on behalf of a syndicate of underwriters pursuant to which the underwriters have agreed to buy and offer for sale by way of a public offering of $100 million of Non-Cumulative Redeemable Class E Preference Shares, Series C (“Series C Preference Shares”) on a bought deal basis.

Co-operators General will issue 4 million Series C Preference Shares priced at $25.00 per share and holders will be entitled to receive fixed non-cumulative preferential quarterly cash dividends in the amount of $0.3125 per Series C Preference Share, to yield 5.00 per cent per annum. The offering is underwritten by a syndicate of investment dealers led by Scotia Capital Inc. The expected closing date for the offering is June 12, 2007.

The issue is rated P-2(low) by S&P and Pfd-3 by DBRS.

I will provide more information as it becomes available.

Update, 2007-05-29: The Preliminary Short Form Prospectus is now available on SEDAR, dated May 28, 2007. The redemption terms are:

Subject to the prior consent of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (Canada) (the “Superintendent”) , and subject to the provisions of the Insurance Companies Act (Canada), on and after June 30, 2012, Co-operators General may redeem at any time all or from time to time any part of the outstanding Series C Preference Shares, at Co-operators General’s option, by the payment of an amount in cash (the “Redemption Price”) for each Series C Preference Share of $26.00 if redeemed during the 12 months commencing June 30, 2012, $25.75 if redeemed during the 12 months commencing June 20, 2013, $25.50 if redeemed during the 12 months commencing June 30, 2014, $25.25 if redeemed during the 12 months commencing June 30, 2015, and $25.00 if redeemed on or after June 30, 2016, together in each case with an amount equal to all declared and unpaid preferential dividends up to but excluding the date fixed for redemption. See “Details of the Offering”.

Update, 2007-05-29, #2 : Forgot the dividend information!

The initial dividend, if declared, will be payable on September 30, 2007 and will amount to $0.3767 per Series C Preference Share, based on an anticipated closing date of June 12, 2007. See “Details of the Offering”.

Update, 2007-05-29, #3: Look out below! When priced on the taxable-in-Ontario curve, the curvePrice is $23.86:

Price due to base-rate :  23.52
Price due to short-term :  -0.49
Price due to long-term :   1.80
Price due to Interest Income :   0.00
Price to to Cumulative Dividends :   0.00
Price due to SplitShareCorp :   0.00
Price due to Retractibility :   0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (2) :   0.00
Price due to Liquidity :   0.63
Price due to Floating Rate :   0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (3) :  -1.78
Price due to error :   0.18
Price due to Credit Spread (High) :   0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (Low) :   0.00

Update, 2007-5-31: It’s getting worse! The curve price is now $23.54!

Update, 2007-06-01: Curve Price now $23.45

Update, 2007-06-04: Curve Price now $23.36

Update, 2007-06-05: Curve Price now $23.18

Update, 2007-06-06: Curve Price now $23.11

Update, 2007-06-07: Whoosh! Curve Price now $22.67

Update, 2007-06-08: Will the bleeding never stop? $22.57

Update, 2007-06-11: Scheduled to close tomorrow. $22.47

Issue Comments

CCS.PR.A to be Redeemed

Co-operators General Insurance has announced (via CCN Matthews) that:

it has decided to redeem all of its 4 million Series A Shares on July 2, 2007 (with an effective date of June 30, 2007). The redemption price for each Series A Share will be $25.00 plus declared, but unpaid dividends of $0.34375 per share. The redemption of the Series A Shares is subject to approval of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions.

I’m glad of it! It may be just my bookkeeperish soul interfering with innovative finance, but the terms of this issue (paying “Greater of 90% of index and Flat Rate 5.5%”) were unique and hard to value as part of a homogeneous class. Sometimes, it was difficult even to determine dividend dates!

Update: I now observe that the PrefInfo description of this issue did not account for the once-every-five-years redemption at $25.00 – it only noted the at-all-other-times redemption at $25.50. My apologies – this has been corrected. The prospectus for this issue, dated May 29, 1997, is available through SEDAR.

Update 2007-6-21: Cooperators, with all their usual concern for precision, predictability and the convenience of those who lend them money has decided to change the redemption procedure, under the guise of a confirmation:

Co-operators General Insurance Company (“Co-operators General” or the “Company”) confirmed today the arrangements relating to the payment for the previously announced dividend on the Class E Preference Shares, Series A (the “Series A Series”) (TSX: CCS.PR.A) and the redemption of all of the Series A Shares. Notice of redemption was mailed to registered holders on May 31, 2007.

The dividend in the amount of $0.34375 per Series A Shares for the quarter ending June 30, 2007 was previously declared and will be payable on July 3, 2007 (with an effective date of June 30, 2007) to holders of record on June 1, 2007.

The redemption price of $25.00 per Series A Shares will be payable on July 3, 2007 (with an effective date of June 30, 2007) upon presentation of certificates and required letters of transmittal. The declared dividend of $0.34375 per Class A Share for the quarter ended June 30, 2007 will not be included in the redemption price as such dividend will be paid separately to holders of record on June 1, 2007 immediately prior to payment of the redemption price. The Company does not expect to declare any further dividends on the Series A Shares.

To me, that looks just a tiny little bit different from what was announced before … but you be the judge!

New Issues

New Issue: YPG Holdings 5.00% 10-Year Retractibles

A new issue from this credit following up their 4.25% 5-Year issue from earlier this year.

They are issuing 8-million shares at 25.00, paying 5.00% p.a. quarterly. The first dividend will be for $0.37671, payable Sept. 26, based on an anticipated closing date of June 8.

Another relatively complex redemption table:

YPG Series 2 Redemption Schedule
From To Price
2007-6-30 2008-6-29 $27.25*
2008-6-30 2009-6-29 27.00*
2009-6-30 2010-6-29 26.75*
2010-6-30 2011-6-29 26.50*
2011-6-30 2012-6-29 26.25*
2012-6-30 2013-6-29 26.00
2013-6-30 2014-6-29 25.75
2014-6-30 2015-6-29 25.50
2015-6-30 2016-6-29 25.25
2016-6-30 Infinite Date 25.00
Redemptions for which the price is marked with an asterisk may only be initiated in certain circumstances
All redemptions may be satisfied by exchange of Trust Units at a discount to market price, at the option of the Corporation.

The shares are retractible by the holder on and after June 30, 2017, at $25.00.

This is a “Bought underwritten public issue”, with various escape clauses.

The S&P rating is P-3; DBRS rates it Pfd-3(high).

Update: This issue has been added to the HIMIPref™ database with the preIssue securityCode P78000.

Ah, the joys of being an “Operating Retractible”! The curvePrice on this one is $26.76:

Price due to base-rate :  24.65
Price due to short-term :  -0.80
Price due to long-term :   2.04
Price due to Interest Income :   0.00
Price to to Cumulative Dividends :   0.00
Price due to SplitShareCorp :   0.00
Price due to Retractibility :   1.10
Price due to Credit Spread (2) :   0.00
Price due to Liquidity :   0.55
Price due to Floating Rate :   0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (3) :  -0.86
Price due to error :   0.05
Price due to Credit Spread (High) :   0.02
Price due to Credit Spread (Low) :   0.00

However, before anybody starts mortgaging the farm here, I’d better note that:

  • Pfd-3 issues are very hard to value – they don’t always act as much like fixed income instruments as one might like.
  • Which is one reason why I don’t recommend such issues to be held other than as a small (less than 5% in a single name; less than 10% total) component of a well diversified portfolio.
  • The 5-year is trading about $1 below its curve Price

 

Market Action

May 22, 2007

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.07% 5.15% 42,037 15.40 2 +0.0456% 963.2
Fixed-Floater 5.63% 5.11% 140,602 15.47 6 +0.2481% 920.1
Floater 4.80% -2.67% 77,111 11.13 3 +0.3221% 1,046.8
Op. Retract 4.75% 3.42% 84,600 2.32 17 +0.0529% 1,030.9
Split-Share 4.97% 4.17% 227,988 3.97 12 +0.1112% 1,051.5
Interest Bearing 6.53% 6.36% 69,460 3.20 5 -0.2342% 1,044.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.17% 4.67% 175,724 6.63 48 -0.1523% 1,044.2
Perpetual-Discount 4.68% 4.70% 704,485 16.03 19 -0.4296% 1,041.7
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
TCA.PR.X PerpetualPremium -1.4240% Dipped as low as 52.30 on (relatively!) heavy volume of 9,468 shares before closing at 52.61-95, 8×7. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.75% based on a bid of 52.61 and a call 2013-11-14 at 50.00.
BSD.PR.A Interest -1.1823% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.18% (as interest) based on a bid of 10.03 and a hardMaturity 2015-3-31 at 10.00.
BNS.PR.L PerpetualDiscount -1.1290% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.62% based on a bid of 24.52 and a limitMaturity.
PWF.PR.K PerpetualPremium -1.0933% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.82% based on a bid of 25.33 and a call 2014-11-30 at 25.00
CM.PR.J PerpetualDiscount -1.0267% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.70% based on a bid of 24.10 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.E PerpetualDiscount -1.0204% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.65% based on a bid of 24.25 and a limitMaturity.
PWF.PR.J OpRet -1.0129% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.47% based on a bid of 25.41 and a softMaturity 2013-7-30 at 25.00.
BNA.PR.C SplitShare +1.0246% A dead cat bounce after the downgrade. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.51% based on a bid of 24.65 and a hardMaturity 2019-1-10 at 25.00
WN.PR.D PerpetualDiscount (for now! Will move to ‘Scraps’ based on credit quality at month-end) +1.0505% Another dead count bounce. Downgraded today by DBRS, May 3 by S&P. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.27% based on a bid of 25.01 and a limitMaturity
CM.PR.R OpRet +1.1214% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.59% based on a bid of 26.15 and a call 2008-5-30 at 25.75. Somebody’s decided it won’t be called … yield will be 4.25% if it lasts ’till its softMaturity 2013-4-29 at 25.00
BCE.PR.G FixFloat -2.3333% Exchange/Reset Date is 2011-5-1 (Exchanges with BCE.PR.H); until then, pays 4.35% of par. Recovered from yesterday’s immense spread to close at 20.90-44, 1×5. The Hs closed at 23.01-49, 19×19.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
WN.PR.B OpRet (will be ‘scraps’ after month-end, based on credit quality) 83,502 Desjardins crossed 25,300 at 26.04, then another 49,700 at the same price. Downgraded today by DBRS. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.52% based on a bid of 26.01 and a softMaturity 2009-6-30 at 25.00.
TD.PR.O PerpetualPremium 61,257 Scotia crossed 50,000 at 26.00. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.36% based on a bid of 25.90 and a call 2014-11-30 at 25.00.
BAM.PR.H OpRet 51,381 Scotia crossed 50,000 at 27.09. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 2.54% based on a bid of 27.06 and a call 2008-10-30 at 25.75. Buyers obviously anticipate a softMaturity 2012-3-30 at 25.00, yielding 4.08%!
CM.PR.I PerpetualPremium 51,380 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.73% based on a bid of 25.00 and a limitMaturity.
BMO.PR.J PerpetualDiscount 39,500 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.60% based on a bid of 24.52 and a call 2016-3-26 at 24.52.

There were twenty other $25-equivalent index-included issues trading over 10,000 shares today.