December 4, 2023

December 4th, 2023
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.3735 % 2,150.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.3735 % 4,125.4
Floater 11.32 % 11.64 % 38,797 8.25 2 -1.3735 % 2,377.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1059 % 3,377.8
SplitShare 4.97 % 7.27 % 55,198 1.80 8 0.1059 % 4,033.8
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1059 % 3,147.3
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3729 % 2,547.3
Perpetual-Discount 6.75 % 6.93 % 53,352 12.61 33 0.3729 % 2,777.7
FixedReset Disc 5.83 % 8.03 % 112,317 11.69 60 -0.3964 % 2,221.4
Insurance Straight 6.64 % 6.77 % 67,305 12.89 19 -1.0485 % 2,723.4
FloatingReset 10.60 % 10.63 % 37,502 8.93 3 -0.3211 % 2,496.3
FixedReset Prem 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 1 -0.3964 % 2,511.4
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3964 % 2,270.7
FixedReset Ins Non 5.72 % 7.57 % 84,095 12.06 14 -1.4134 % 2,484.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.T Insurance Straight -10.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 16.75
Evaluated at bid price : 16.75
Bid-YTW : 7.71 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non -8.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 16.97
Evaluated at bid price : 16.97
Bid-YTW : 8.46 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non -5.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 20.63
Evaluated at bid price : 20.63
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
BN.PF.B FixedReset Disc -4.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 17.08
Evaluated at bid price : 17.08
Bid-YTW : 9.25 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non -4.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 16.75
Evaluated at bid price : 16.75
Bid-YTW : 7.91 %
FFH.PR.K FixedReset Disc -4.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 17.80
Evaluated at bid price : 17.80
Bid-YTW : 9.40 %
BN.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -4.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 9.41 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc -2.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.87
Evaluated at bid price : 18.87
Bid-YTW : 7.73 %
BN.PR.B Floater -2.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 11.06
Evaluated at bid price : 11.06
Bid-YTW : 11.80 %
IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight -2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 6.61 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -2.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.40
Evaluated at bid price : 19.40
Bid-YTW : 7.52 %
GWO.PR.S Insurance Straight -1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.87
Evaluated at bid price : 18.87
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
GWO.PR.G Insurance Straight -1.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 20.52
Evaluated at bid price : 20.52
Bid-YTW : 7.50 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc -1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 8.10 %
PVS.PR.G SplitShare -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2026-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 7.91 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 14.30
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 7.97 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 17.97
Evaluated at bid price : 17.97
Bid-YTW : 7.32 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.25
Evaluated at bid price : 18.25
Bid-YTW : 6.77 %
RY.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 21.74
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %
BN.PF.J FixedReset Disc -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 8.87 %
BIP.PR.B FixedReset Disc -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 9.44 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.02
Evaluated at bid price : 18.02
Bid-YTW : 8.05 %
BN.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 20.05
Evaluated at bid price : 20.05
Bid-YTW : 8.24 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.10
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 6.83 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 20.90
Evaluated at bid price : 20.90
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 14.24
Evaluated at bid price : 14.24
Bid-YTW : 9.34 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 22.20
Evaluated at bid price : 22.88
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %
FFH.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.60
Evaluated at bid price : 19.60
Bid-YTW : 8.55 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 8.11 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.55
Evaluated at bid price : 19.55
Bid-YTW : 7.52 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.71
Evaluated at bid price : 19.71
Bid-YTW : 7.50 %
CM.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 22.93
Evaluated at bid price : 23.76
Bid-YTW : 7.29 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.70
Evaluated at bid price : 19.70
Bid-YTW : 8.30 %
BN.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 14.15
Evaluated at bid price : 14.15
Bid-YTW : 9.63 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.99
Evaluated at bid price : 18.99
Bid-YTW : 7.57 %
BN.PR.R FixedReset Disc 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 13.81
Evaluated at bid price : 13.81
Bid-YTW : 9.88 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.80
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 6.77 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Disc 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 22.05
Evaluated at bid price : 22.57
Bid-YTW : 6.88 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 8.14 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 2.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 8.09 %
BN.PF.I FixedReset Disc 3.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.31
Evaluated at bid price : 19.31
Bid-YTW : 9.13 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 4.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.62
Evaluated at bid price : 18.62
Bid-YTW : 8.03 %
RY.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 8.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 21.36
Evaluated at bid price : 21.36
Bid-YTW : 5.79 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 87,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 7.80 %
TD.PF.L FixedReset Disc 75,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 23.17
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 7.20 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc 53,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.49
Evaluated at bid price : 19.49
Bid-YTW : 7.64 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 46,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.33
Evaluated at bid price : 18.33
Bid-YTW : 7.89 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc 46,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.10
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 7.93 %
GWO.PR.L Insurance Straight 42,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 20.85
Evaluated at bid price : 20.85
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %
There were 49 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.T Insurance Straight Quote: 16.75 – 20.00
Spot Rate : 3.2500
Average : 1.8525

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 16.75
Evaluated at bid price : 16.75
Bid-YTW : 7.71 %

MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 16.97 – 19.27
Spot Rate : 2.3000
Average : 1.3176

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 16.97
Evaluated at bid price : 16.97
Bid-YTW : 8.46 %

PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount Quote: 19.93 – 21.71
Spot Rate : 1.7800
Average : 0.9890

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.93
Evaluated at bid price : 19.93
Bid-YTW : 7.01 %

TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.10 – 20.80
Spot Rate : 1.7000
Average : 1.0963

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 19.10
Evaluated at bid price : 19.10
Bid-YTW : 8.01 %

BN.PR.Z FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.50 – 18.70
Spot Rate : 1.2000
Average : 0.7425

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 9.41 %

MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.86 – 19.85
Spot Rate : 0.9900
Average : 0.6035

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-04
Maturity Price : 18.86
Evaluated at bid price : 18.86
Bid-YTW : 7.77 %

MAPF Performance: November, 2023

December 3rd, 2023

Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close Novembeer 30, 2023, was $8.5480.

Performance was affected by FTS.PR.M underperforming with a mere +6.41% gain [it outperformed last month], CU.PR.C at +8.71% and MIC.PR.A at +9.90% [repeating last month’s underperformance]. This was mitigated by good performance from PWF.PR.P (+15.91%), BN.PR.R (+13.87%) [after two months of underperformance] and TD.PF.C (+12.48%) [small holdings are not considered for individual mention here].

I feel it is only a matter of time before investors start paying attention to the fundamental risk of these instruments compared to their eye-popping interest-equivalent yields … and perhaps they have already and we have just seen the tide turn due to hopes that monetary policy will soon loosen, reinforced by good news for property insurers with respect to taxation of dividends from their preferred share holdings. But we’ve seen false starts before, so as always the best policy is to shut up and clip your coupons. The market continues to give considerable weight to Current Yield as a measure of valuation, ignoring or strongly deprecating the potential for large dividend increases on the next few years of resets.

FixedResets continue to yield more, in general, than PerpetualDiscounts; on November 30, I reported median YTWs of 8.21% and 6.94%, respectively, for these two indices; compare with mean Current Yields of 5.82% and 6.76%, respectively. RY.PR.J, to take a representative example, is calculated by HIMIPref™ as having a yield-to-worst of 8.31% at monthend (Current Yield of 4.24%); bid at 18.89, resetting 2025-5-24 at a spread of 274bp over GOC-5 (assumed to be constant at 3.82%) and currently paying 0.80 p.a. (3.20% annually). The next pay-date is 2024-2-24; it is trading cum-dividend.

If we plug the above data into the yield calculator for resets (which is discussed here and has recently been slightly modified), we arrive at a annualized (compounded semi-annually) yield of 8.21% for RY.PR.J . To take this 10bp (the difference between the spreadsheets and HIMIPref™) above the PerpetualDiscount median index yield of 6.94% (to account for the calculation methodological differences), which is to say 7.04%, requires the assumption that GOC-5 will be 2.79% forever, as opposed the ‘constant rate’ assumption of 3.82%. Well … pays yer money and takes yer chances, gents! Assiduous Readers with long memories will liken this to all the calculations of Break-even Rate Shock when the puzzle represented the same problem with a different sign! Note that even if the unfavourable scenario of GOC-5 = 2.79% is realized, this has only reduced the yield of RY.PR.J to that of the median adjusted PerpetualDiscount yield of 7.04%, which isn’t the worst outcome one might fear from one’s investments!

Returns to November 30, 2023
Period MAPF TXPR*
Total Return
CPD – according to Blackrock
One Month +11.66% +9.47% N/A
Three Months +10.95% +7.93% N/A
One Year +8.63% +3.21% +2.66%
Two Years (annualized) -7.06% -6.62% N/A
Three Years (annualized) +6.95% +1.70% +1.17%
Four Years (annualized) +7.79% +2.81% N/A
Five Years (annualized) +4.12% +2.12% +1.54%
Six Years (annualized) +2.14% +0.64% N/A
Seven Years (annualized) +5.55% +2.91% N/A
Eight Years (annualized) +5.77% +3.25% N/A
Nine Years (annualized) +2.50% 0.76% N/A
Ten Years (annualized) +3.28% +1.23% N/A
Eleven Years (annualized) +2.84% +1.10%  
Twelve Years (annualized) +3.61% +1.49%  
Thirteen Years (annualized) +3.38% +1.71%  
Fourteen Years (annualized) +4.39% +2.27%  
Fifteen Years (annualized) +8.71% +4.11%  
Sixteen Years (annualized) +7.11% +2.28%  
Seventeen Years (annualized) +6.36%    
Eighteen Years (annualized) +6.37%    
Nineteen Years (annualized) +6.38%    
Twenty Years (annualized) +6.79%    
Twenty-One Years (annualized) +7.81%    
Twenty-Two Years (annualized) +7.37%    
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of distributions, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
The BMO Capital Markets “50” Preferred Share Index is no longer being calculated. The final performance report incorporating this venerable index was published as of December, 2020.
“TXPR” is the S&P/TSX Preferred Share Index. It is calculated without accounting for fees, but does assume reinvestment of dividends.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses. Reinvestment of dividends is assumed.
Figures for National Bank Preferred Equity Income Fund (formerly Omega Preferred Equity) (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +8.78%, +6.85% and +2.71%, respectively, according to Globe & Mail / Fundata after all fees & expenses. Three year performance is +2.70%; five year is +2.85%; ten year is +1.98%.

Figures from Morningstar are no longer conveniently available.

Manulife Preferred Income Class Adv has been terminated by Manulife. The performance of this fund was last reported here in March, 2018.
Figures for Horizons Active Preferred Share ETF (HPR) (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +9.04%, +8.11% & +5.56%, respectively. Three year performance is +3.70%, five-year is +2.72%, ten year is +1.96%
Figures for National Bank Preferred Equity Fund (formerly Altamira Preferred Equity Fund) are +9.38%, +9.09% and +6.60% for one-, three- and twelve months, respectively. Three year performance is +4.10%; five-year is +3.01%; ten-year is +3.08%

Acccording to the fund’s fact sheet as of June 30, 2016, the fund’s inception date was October 30, 2015. I do not know how they justify this nonsensical statement, but will assume that prior performance is being suppressed in some perfectly legal manner that somebody at National considers ethical.

The last time Altamira Preferred Equity Fund’s performance was reported here was April, 2014; performance under the National Bank banner was first reported here May, 2014.

The figures for the NAV of BMO S&P/TSX Laddered Preferred Share Index ETF (ZPR) is +4.48% for the past twelve months. Two year performance is -5.75%, three year is +3.89%, five year is +2.72%, ten year is +0.64%
Figures for Fiera Canadian Preferred Share Class Cg Series F, (formerly Natixis Canadian Preferred Share Class Series F) (formerly NexGen Canadian Preferred Share Tax Managed Fund) are no longer available as the Fund is now the property of Canoe Financial. The last reported performance for the merged fund was May 2020.
Figures for BMO Preferred Share Fund (advisor series) according to Morningstar are +9.28%, +7.94% and +2.65% for the past one-, three- and twelve-months, respectively. Three year performance is +0.02%; five-year is +0.07%; ten-year is -0.64%.

Note that figures from BMO are highly suspicious, so I have used figures from Morningstar

Figures for PowerShares Canadian Preferred Share Index Class, Series F (PPS) are no longer available since the fund has been terminated. Performance was last reported for the fund to month-end, March 2023
Figures for the First Asset Preferred Share Investment Trust (PSF.UN) are no longer available since the fund has merged with First Asset Preferred Share ETF (FPR).

Performance for the fund was last reported here in September, 2016; the first report of unavailability was in October, 2016.

Figures for Lysander-Slater Preferred Share Dividend Fund (Class F) according to the company are -%, -% and -% for the past one, three and twelve months, respectively. Three year performance is +%, five-year is -%.
Figures for the Desjardins Canadian Preferred Share Fund A Class (A Class), as reported by the company are +8.69%, +7.06% and +2.61% for the past one, three and twelve months, respectively. Two year performance is -7.63%, three-year is +1.09%, five-year is +0.86%
Figures for the RBC Canadian Preferred Share ETF (RPF) are reported by Morningstar as +10.13%, +7.59% and +0.84% for the past one, three and twelve months, respectively. Three-year performance is ++2.41%, five-year is +1.62%
Figures for the Dynamic Active Preferred Shares ETF (DXP) are +9.0%, +7.9% and +5.5% for the past one, three and twelve months, respectively. Three-year performance is +6.1%; five-year is +4.3%
Figures for the Purpose Canadian Preferred Share Fund (Class F) are +8.93%, +9.48% and +5.83% for the past one, three and twelve months, respectively. Three-year performance is +6.13%; five-year is +3.24%; seven-year is +3.08%; ten-year is +4.67%.

The five-year Canada yield declined, with the five-year Canada yield (“GOC-5”) falling from 4.16% at October month-end to 3.82% at November month-end.

The Seniority Spread (between long-term corporate bonds and interest-equivalent PerpetualDiscounts) was 375bp as of 2023-11-29 (chart end-date 2023-11-10) :

The situation with FixedResets is interesting, with the spread between GOC-5 and the interest-adjusted FixedReset (Discount) rate widening significantly from its 2021-11-10 low of 344bp a level of 705bp (as of 2023-11-29) … (chart end-date 2023-11-10):

…while at the same time the interest-equivalent spread between FixedReset (Discounts) and PerpetualDiscounts has narrowed to -159bp (as of 2023-11-29) from its 2021-7-28 level of +170bp (chart end-date 2023-11-10):

There is no significant correlation between the Issue Reset Spread and 1-month performance for discounted FixedResets for either the Pfd-2 or Pfd-3 Group issues.

Bigger news is that the normally moderate correlation between Issue Reset Spread and three-month performance has returned in this month’s check – at least for the Pfd-2 Group (20%)

This may be taken as at least a small sign that fundamentals such as credit quality, rather than interest-rate anticipation, are regaining importance in FixedReset pricing.

There was no significant correlation for either the Pfd-2 Group or the Pfd-3 Group for 1-Month performance against term-to-reset:

… and for three-month performance against term-to-reset, there was no correlation for the Pfd-2 Group but a small one (12%) for the Pfd-3 Group:

It should be noted that to some extent such a dependence (of performance on term-to-reset) can be justified as the nearer-term issues will receive the benefit of higher projected dividend rates sooner as a result of higher GOC-5 yields and therefore, perhaps, for longer. Equations for the relationship between correlation slope and change in GOC-5 were derived in the August 2022 PrefLetter. In the three months from August 31 to November 30, the GOC-5 rate declined from 4.08% to 3.82%, but this is a small move by recent standards. The smaller correlations may indicate a regime shift from recognition of a rise to expectation of declines in five-year yields, but at present the situation is chaotic.

I keep talking about ‘Sustainable Income’ and nowadays it’s far higher than the dividends that are currently being distributed. This is because Sustainable Income is the average yield-to-worst (YTW) of the portfolio when the YTW is calculated to perpetuity (or to redemption, of course, if the yield to redemption is lower), including resets at the current GOC-5 rate. The sharp increase in GOC-5 in the past year-odd has caused the difference between YTW and Current Yield to skyrocket, but one way or another I expect that these two values will become much closer – slowly at first, but quickening in about two years. We have to wait for the reset date of the MAPF portfolio securities before we see a change in actual cash receipts – and, of course, there is no guarantee whatsoever that the rate used for estimation purposes now will be used for the actual calculation in the future (chart prepared as of 2023-11-10).

I will note that the fund’s current holdings of FixedResets are now paying dividends based on their previous reset at an average GOC-5 rate of 1.27% (weighted by shares held). While nobody knows what the future might bring, I suggest that we won’t see GOC-5 return to that level again for a while!

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Capital
Gains
Multiplier
Sustainable
Income
per
current
Unit
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 1.3240 0.3524
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 1.3240 0.3773
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 1.3240 0.3993
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 1.3240 0.3938
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% 1.3240 $0.3993
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% 1.3240 $0.4537
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% 1.3240 $0.5571
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% 1.3240 $0.5872
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% 1.3240 $0.5855
September 12.3462 6.03% 0.998 6.042% 1.3240 $0.5634
December 2009 10.5662 5.74% 0.981 5.851% 1.1141 $0.5549
March 2010 10.2497 6.03% 0.992 6.079% 1.1141 $0.5593
June 10.5770 5.96% 0.996 5.984% 1.1141 $0.5681
September 11.3901 5.43% 0.980 5.540% 1.1141 $0.5664
December 2010 10.7659 5.37% 0.993 5.408% 1.0298 $0.5654
March, 2011 11.0560 6.00% 0.994 5.964% 1.0298 $0.6403
June 11.1194 5.87% 1.018 5.976% 1.0298 $0.6453
September 10.2709 6.10%
Note
1.001 6.106% 1.0298 $0.6090
December, 2011 10.0793 5.63%
Note
1.031 5.805% 1.0000 $0.5851
March, 2012 10.3944 5.13%
Note
0.996 5.109% 1.0000 $0.5310
June 10.2151 5.32%
Note
1.012 5.384% 1.0000 $0.5500
September 10.6703 4.61%
Note
0.997 4.624% 1.0000 $0.4934
December, 2012 10.8307 4.24% 0.989 4.287% 1.0000 $0.4643
March, 2013 10.9033 3.87% 0.996 3.886% 1.0000 $0.4237
June 10.3261 4.81% 0.998 4.80% 1.0000 $0.4957
September 10.0296 5.62% 0.996 5.643% 1.0000 $0.5660
December, 2013 9.8717 6.02% 1.008 5.972% 1.0000 $0.5895
March, 2014 10.2233 5.55% 0.998 5.561% 1.0000 $0.5685
June 10.5877 5.09% 0.998 5.100% 1.0000 $0.5395
September 10.4601 5.28% 0.997 5.296% 1.0000 $0.5540
December, 2014 10.5701 4.83% 1.009 4.787% 1.0000 $0.5060
March, 2015 9.9573 4.99% 1.001 4.985% 1.0000 $0.4964
June, 2015 9.4181 5.55% 1.002 5.539% 1.0000 $0.5217
September 7.8140 6.98% 0.999 6.987% 1.0000 $0.5460
December, 2015 8.1379 6.85% 0.997 6.871% 1.0000 $0.5592
March, 2016 7.4416 7.79% 0.998 7.805% 1.0000 $0.5808
June 7.6704 7.67% 1.011 7.587% 1.0000 $0.5819
September 8.0590 7.35% 0.993 7.402% 1.0000 $0.5965
December, 2016 8.5844 7.24% 0.990 7.313% 1.0000 $0.6278
March, 2017 9.3984 6.26% 0.994 6.298% 1.0000 $0.5919
June 9.5313 6.41% 0.998 6.423% 1.0000 $0.6122
September 9.7129 6.56% 0.998 6.573% 1.0000 $0.6384
December, 2017 10.0566 6.06% 1.004 6.036% 1.0000 $0.6070
March, 2018 10.2701 6.22% 1.007 6.177% 1.0000 $0.6344
June 10.2518 6.22% 0.995 6.251% 1.0000 $0.6408
September 10.2965 6.62% 1.018 6.503% 1.0000 $0.6696
December, 2018 8.6875 7.16% 0.997 7.182% 1.0000 $0.6240
March, 2019 8.4778 7.09% 1.007 7.041% 1.0000 $0.5969
June 8.0896 7.33% 0.996 7.359% 1.0000 $0.5953
September 7.7948 7.96% 0.998 7.976% 1.0000 $0.6217
December, 2019 8.0900 6.03% 0.995 6.060% 1.0000 $0.4903
March 5.5596 7.04% 1.006 6.998% 1.0000 $0.3891
June 6.3568 6.10% 0.9900 6.162% 1.0000 $0.3917
September 7.2852 5.32% 1.00 5.320% 1.0000 $0.3876
December, 2020 8.3947 4.46% 0.999 4.464% 1.0000 $0.3747
March, 2021 9.6473 4.48% 0.996 4.498% 1.0000 $0.4339
June 10.3712 3.92% 0.985 3.980% 1.0000 $0.4127
September 10.7572 4.08% 1.017 4.012% 1.0000 $0.4316
December, 2021 10.7432 4.31% 0.999 4.314% 1.0000 $0.4635
March, 2022 10.5040 5.53% 1.004 5.508% 1.0000 $0.5786
June 9.3115 7.04% 0.993 7.090% 1.0000 $0.6672
September 8.4093 8.10% 0.997 8.124% 1.0000 $0.6916
December, 2022 7.9921 8.47% 0.996 8.504% 1.0000 $0.6796
March 8.0788 7.90% 0.997 7.924% 1.0000 $0.6401
June 30 8.0197 9.19% 1.003 9.163% 1.0000 $0.7348
September 29 7.9922 9.86% 0.997 9.890% 1.0000 $0.7904
November 30, 2023 8.5480 8.97% 1.006 8.917% 1.0000 $0.7622
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions of dividend income and annual distribution of capital gains.
Portfolio YTW includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
The Leverage Divisor indicates the level of cash in the account: if the portfolio is 1% in cash, the Leverage Divisor will be 0.99
Securities YTW divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
The Capital Gains Multiplier adjusts for the effects of Capital Gains Dividends. On 2009-12-31, there was a capital gains distribution of $1.989262 which is assumed for this purpose to have been reinvested at the final price of $10.5662. Thus, a holder of one unit pre-distribution would have held 1.1883 units post-distribution; the CG Multiplier reflects this to make the time-series comparable. Note that Dividend Distributions are not assumed to be reinvested.
Sustainable Income is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per current unit, before fees and expenses. Note that a “current unit” includes reinvestment of prior capital gains; a unitholder would have had the calculated sustainable income with only, say, 0.9 units in the past which, with reinvestment of capital gains, would become 1.0 current units.
DeemedRetractibles are comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD, which are not exchangable into common at the option of the company or the regulator (definition refined in May, 2011). These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31 (banks) or the Deemed Maturity date for insurers and insurance holding companies (see below)), in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See the Deemed Retractible Review: September 2016 for the rationale behind this analysis.

The same reasoning is also applied to FixedResets from these issuers, other than explicitly defined NVCC from banks.

In November, 2019, the assumption of DeemedRetraction for insurance issues was cancelled in the wake of the IAIS decision included in ICS 2.0. This resulted in a large drop in the yield calculated for these issues

The Deemed Maturity date for insurers was set at 2022-1-31 at the commencement of the process in February, 2011. It was extended to 2025-1-31 in April, 2013 and to 2030-1-31 in December, 2018. In November, 2019, the assumption of DeemedRetraction was cancelled in the wake of the IAIS decision included in ICS 2.0.
Yields for September, 2011, to January, 2012, were calculated by imposing a cap of 10% on the yields of YLO issues held, in order to avoid their extremely high calculated yields distorting the calculation and to reflect the uncertainty in the marketplace that these yields will be realized. From February to September 2012, yields on these issues have been set to zero. All YLO issues held were sold in October 2012.

These calculations were performed assuming constant contemporary GOC-5 and 3-Month Bill rates, as follows:

Canada Yields Assumed in Calculations
Month-end GOC-5 3-Month Bill
September, 2015 0.78% 0.40%
December, 2015 0.71% 0.46%
March, 2016 0.70% 0.44%
June 0.57% 0.47%
September 0.58% 0.53%
December, 2016 1.16% 0.47%
March, 2017 1.08% 0.55%
June 1.35% 0.69%
September 1.79% 0.97%
December, 2017 1.83% 1.00%
March, 2018 2.06% 1.08%
June 1.95% 1.22%
September 2.33% 1.55%
December, 2018 1.88% 1.65%
March, 2019 1.46% 1.66%
June 1.34% 1.66%
September 1.41% 1.66%
December, 2019 1.68% 1.68%
March, 2020 0.57% 0.21%
June 0.37% 0.21%
September 0.35% 0.14%
December, 2020 0.42% 0.08%
March, 2021 0.94% 0.09%
June 0.93% 0.13%
September 1.07% 0.13%
December, 2021 1.31% 0.16%
March, 2022 2.44% 0.53%
June 3.24% 2.11%
September 3.45% 3.60%
December, 2022 3.37% 4.35%
March, 2023 2.93% 4.44%
June 3.74% 5.00%
September 4.31% 5.21%
November, 2023 3.82% 5.14%

MAPF Portfolio Composition: November, 2023

December 3rd, 2023

Turnover remained high at 17% in November, fuelled by market action as investors increasingly took the view that monetary policy will soon loosen, reinforced by good news for property insurers with respect to taxation of dividends from their preferred share holdings.

Sectoral distribution of the MAPF portfolio on November 30, 2023, were:

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2023-11-30
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 0% N/A N/A
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 6.1% 7.87% 11.46
Fixed-Reset Discount 69.8% 8.72% 11.13
Insurance – Straight 3.4% 6.19% 13.69
FloatingReset 0% N/A N/A
FixedReset Premium 0% N/A N/A
FixedReset Bank non-NVCC 0% N/A N/A
FixedReset Insurance non-NVCC 3.0% 8.35% 11.72
Scraps – Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
Scraps – FixedFloater 1.4% 10.78% 10.19
Scraps – Floater 0% N/A N/A
Scraps – OpRet 0% N/A N/A
Scraps – SplitShare 1.2% 7.95% 0.80
Scraps – PerpPrem 0% N/A N/A
Scraps – PerpDisc 4.8% 8.84% 10.51
Scraps – FR Discount 15.7% 10.85% 9.43
Scraps – Insurance Straight 0% N/A N/A
Scraps – FloatingReset 0% N/A N/A
Scraps – FR Premium 0% N/A N/A
Scraps – Bank non-NVCC 0% N/A N/A
Scraps – Ins non-NVCC 0% N/A N/A
Cash -0.6% 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 8.97% 10.92
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.
The various “Scraps” indices include issues with a DBRS rating of Pfd-3(high) or lower and issues with an Average Trading Value (calculated with HIMIPref™ methodology, which is relatively complex) of less than $25,000. The issues considered “Scraps” are subdivided into indices which reflect those of the main indices.
DeemedRetractibles were comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD, which are not exchangable into common at the option of the company or the regulator. These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31 in the case of banks or normally in the case of insurers and insurance holding companies, in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See the Deemed Retractible Review: September 2016 for the rationale behind this analysis and IAIS Says No To DeemedRetractions for the recent change in policy with respect to insurers.

Note that the estimate for the time this will become effective for insurers and insurance holding companies was extended by three years in April 2013, due to the delays in OSFI’s providing clarity on the issue and by a further five years in December, 2018; the estimate was eliminated in November. However, the distinctions are being kept because it is useful to distinguish insurance issues from others.

The name of this subindex has been changed to “Insurance Straight” as of November, 2020

Calculations of yield and related attributes of resettable instruments are performed assuming a constant GOC-5 rate of 3.82%, a constant 3-Month Bill rate of 5.14% and a constant Canada Prime Rate of 7.20%

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2023-11-30
DBRS Rating MAPF Weighting
Pfd-1 0
Pfd-1(low) 0
Pfd-2(high) 42.2%
Pfd-2 31.6%
Pfd-2(low) 8.5%
Pfd-3(high) 11.9%
Pfd-3 1.4%
Pfd-3(low) 4.7%
Pfd-4(high) 0.3%
Pfd-4 0%
Pfd-4(low) 0%
Pfd-5(high) 0%
Pfd-5 0%
Cash -0.6%
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
A position held in INE.PR.A is not rated by DBRS nor by S&P, but has been included as “Pfd-4(high)” in the above table on the basis of its last S&P rating of P-4(high) and its BB rating from Fitch. A “BB” rating would normally map to Pfd-3, but the company’s disdain for the two major preferred share agencies makes me nervous.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2023-11-30
Average Daily Trading MAPF Weighting
<$50,000 7.6%
$50,000 – $100,000 42.5%
$100,000 – $200,000 44.2%
$200,000 – $300,000 2.8%
>$300,000 3.5%
Cash -0.6%
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.

The distribution of Issue Reset Spreads is:

Range MAPF Weight
<100bp 0%
100-149bp 1.4%
150-199bp 13.1%
200-249bp 55.2%
250-299bp 16.4%
300-349bp 1.5%
350-399bp 0.9%
400-449bp 0%
450-499bp 0%
500-549bp 0%
550-599bp 0%
>= 600bp 0%
Undefined 11.5%

Distribution of Floating Rate Start Dates is shown in the table below. This is the date of the next adjustment to the dividend rate, if the issue is currently paying a fixed rate for a limited time; which in practice is successive terms of 5 years. Issues that adjust quarterly are considered “Currently Floating”.

Range MAPF Weight
Currently Floating 0%
0-1 Year 11.0%
1-2 Years 45.4%
2-3 Years 19.1%
3-4 Years 11.1%
4-5 Years 3.2%
5-6 Years 0%
>6 Years 0%
Not Floating Rate 10.1%

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. The fund may be purchased directly from Hymas Investment Management. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but are not sold with a prospectus This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission). Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

EFN.PR.A To Be Redeemed; company “anticipates” redeeming all series

December 1st, 2023

Element Fleet Management Corp. has announced (in their Earnings Release of 2023-11-6; emphasis added):

To further optimize the Company’s balance sheet and mature its capital structure, the Company announced today its intention to redeem – in accordance with the terms of the 6.93% Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares Series A (the “Series A Shares”) as set out in the Company’s articles – all of its 4,600,000 issued and outstanding Series A Shares on December 31, 2023 (the “Redemption Date”) for a redemption price equal to $25.00 per Series A Share, for an aggregate total amount of approximately $115 million, together with all accrued and unpaid dividends up to but excluding the Redemption Date (the “Redemption Price”), less any tax required to be deducted and withheld by the Company.

The Company has provided notice today of the Redemption Price and the Redemption Date to the sole registered holder of the Series A Shares in accordance with the terms of the Series A Shares as set out in the Company’s articles. Non-registered holders of Series A Shares should contact their broker or other intermediary for information regarding the redemption process for the Series A Shares in which they hold a beneficial interest. The Company’s transfer agent for the Series A Shares is Computershare Investor Services Inc. Questions regarding the redemption process may be directed to Computershare Investor Services Inc. at 1-800-564-6253 or by email to corporateactions@computershare.com.

The Company also currently anticipates using a portion of its free cash flow to redeem all its outstanding 6.21% Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares Series C (due June 2024) and 5.903% Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares Series E (due September 2024) for approximate aggregate total amounts of $128 million and $133 million, respectively. Redeeming all the Company’s high-cost legacy preferred shares will eliminate approximately $5.9 million in cash dividends per quarter, once all redemptions are complete.

The Company also has approximately $168 million in 4.25% convertible debentures as of September 30, 2023, that are convertible into an aggregate of approximately 14.6 million common shares in June 2024.

Affected issues are EFN.PR.A, EFN.PR.C and EFN.PR.E.

EFN.PR.A was issued as a FixedReset, 6.60%+471, that was announced 2013-12-9; HIMIPref™ commenced tracking the issue in September 2015 after it received a DBRS rating. The notice of extension dated 2018-11-20 was reported on PrefBlog; EFN.PR.A reset at 6.933% effective 2018-12-31; I recommended against conversion; and there was no conversion. The issue is relegated to the Scraps – FixedReset Discount subindex on credit concerns.

CPX.PR.C To Reset At 6.86%

December 1st, 2023

Capital Power Corporation has announced:

that it has notified registered shareholders of its Cumulative Rate Reset Preference Shares, Series 3 (Series 3 Shares) (TSX: CPX.PR.C) of the Conversion Privilege and Dividend Rate Notice.

Subject to certain conditions, beginning on December 1, 2023 and ending at 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on December 18, 2023, each registered holder of Series 3 Shares will have the right to elect to convert any or all of their Series 3 Shares into an equal number of Cumulative Floating Rate Preference Shares, Series 4 (Series 4 Shares) by delivering an Election Notice to the Corporation.

If Capital Power does not receive an Election Notice from a holder of Series 3 Shares during the time fixed therefor, then the Series 3 Shares shall be deemed not to have been converted (except in the case of an Automatic Conversion, see below). Holders of the Series 3 Shares and the Series 4 Shares will have the opportunity to convert their shares again on December 31, 2028, and every five years thereafter as long as the shares remain outstanding.

On December 1, 2023, the Annual Fixed Dividend Rate for the Series 3 Shares was set for the next five-year period (from and including December 31, 2023, to but excluding December 31, 2028) at 6.86000% and the Floating Quarterly Dividend Rate for the Series 4 Shares was set for the first Quarterly Floating Rate Period (being the period from and including December 31, 2023, to but excluding March 31, 2024) at 2.06233%. The Floating Quarterly Dividend Rate will be reset every quarter.

The Series 3 Shares are issued in “book entry only” form and, as such, the sole registered holder of the Series 3 Shares is CDS Clearing and Depository Services Inc. (CDS). All rights of beneficial holders of Series 3 Shares must be exercised through CDS or the CDS participant through which the Series 3 Shares are held. The deadline for the registered shareholder to provide notice of exercise of the right to convert Series 3 Shares into Series 4 Shares is 3:00 p.m. (MT) / 5:00 p.m. (ET) on December 18, 2023. Any Election Notices received after this deadline will not be valid. As such, beneficial holders of Series 3 Shares who wish to exercise their rights to convert their shares should contact their broker or other intermediary for more information and it is recommended that this be done well in advance of the deadline in order to provide the broker or other intermediary with time to complete the necessary steps.

After December 18, 2023, (i) if Capital Power determines that there would remain outstanding on December 31, 2023, less than 1,000,000 Series 3 Shares, all remaining Series 3 Shares will be automatically converted into Series 4 Shares on a one-for-one basis effective December 31, 2023 (an Automatic Conversion); or (ii) if Capital Power determines that there would remain outstanding after December 31, 2023, less than 1,000,000 Series 4 Shares, no Series 3 Shares will be permitted to be converted into Series 4 Shares effective December 31, 2023. There are currently 6,000,000 Series 3 Shares outstanding.

The Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) has conditionally approved the listing of the Series 4 Shares effective upon conversion. Listing of the Series 4 Shares is subject to the Capital Power fulfilling all the listing requirements of the TSX and upon approval, the Series 4 Shares will be listed on the TSX under the trading symbol CPX.PR.D.

For more information on the terms of, rates and risks associated with an investment in, the Series 3 Shares and the Series 4 Shares, please see Capital Power’s prospectus supplement dated December 10, 2012 which is available on sedarplus.ca or on Capital Power’s website at capitalpower.com.

CPX.PR.C is a FixedReset, 4.60%+323, that commenced trading 2012-12-18 after being announced 2012-12-6. The issue reset at 5.453% effective 2018-12-31. I recommended against conversion; there was no conversion. CPX.PR.C is tracked by HIMIPref™ but relegated to the Scraps – FixedReset Discount index on credit concerns.

Thanks to IrateAssiduousReader for bringing this to my attention!

December 1, 2023

December 1st, 2023

Plunging rate expectations are well illustrated by this chart from Reuters:

Rate Expectations … isn’t there a novel with that title?

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5345 % 2,180.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5345 % 4,182.9
Floater 11.17 % 11.52 % 50,411 8.34 2 0.5345 % 2,410.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2283 % 3,374.2
SplitShare 4.98 % 7.20 % 54,347 1.81 8 0.2283 % 4,029.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2283 % 3,144.0
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3322 % 2,537.8
Perpetual-Discount 6.73 % 6.92 % 52,233 12.62 33 0.3322 % 2,767.4
FixedReset Disc 5.79 % 7.91 % 125,155 11.79 55 0.3028 % 2,230.2
Insurance Straight 6.55 % 6.75 % 66,814 12.96 19 0.0166 % 2,752.2
FloatingReset 10.47 % 10.50 % 35,587 9.24 1 1.1039 % 2,504.3
FixedReset Prem 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3028 % 2,521.4
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3028 % 2,279.7
FixedReset Ins Non 5.64 % 7.53 % 81,066 12.27 14 0.2611 % 2,520.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
RY.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -9.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 19.71
Evaluated at bid price : 19.71
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc -3.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 8.38 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc -2.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 20.07
Evaluated at bid price : 20.07
Bid-YTW : 8.24 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc -2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 8.36 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 13.16
Evaluated at bid price : 13.16
Bid-YTW : 8.96 %
GWO.PR.H Insurance Straight -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 17.81
Evaluated at bid price : 17.81
Bid-YTW : 6.82 %
IFC.PR.F Insurance Straight -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 19.88
Evaluated at bid price : 19.88
Bid-YTW : 6.81 %
PVS.PR.H SplitShare -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2027-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 7.54 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 19.12
Evaluated at bid price : 19.12
Bid-YTW : 6.97 %
BN.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 14.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.00
Bid-YTW : 9.70 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 17.60
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 6.92 %
BN.PF.H FixedReset Disc 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 20.11
Evaluated at bid price : 20.11
Bid-YTW : 9.21 %
PVS.PR.I SplitShare 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 7.25 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 18.35
Evaluated at bid price : 18.35
Bid-YTW : 7.89 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 15.57
Evaluated at bid price : 15.57
Bid-YTW : 10.50 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 21.47
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 7.15 %
BN.PF.D Perpetual-Discount 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 17.20
Evaluated at bid price : 17.20
Bid-YTW : 7.29 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 22.34
Evaluated at bid price : 23.13
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
BN.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 16.74
Evaluated at bid price : 16.74
Bid-YTW : 7.26 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 6.68 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 18.10
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 6.94 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 18.78
Evaluated at bid price : 18.78
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 14.50
Evaluated at bid price : 14.50
Bid-YTW : 7.83 %
PVS.PR.J SplitShare 1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2028-02-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.35
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
RY.PR.O Perpetual-Discount 1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 21.36
Evaluated at bid price : 21.36
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
BN.PF.G FixedReset Disc 1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 15.70
Evaluated at bid price : 15.70
Bid-YTW : 9.79 %
BN.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 16.85
Evaluated at bid price : 16.85
Bid-YTW : 7.21 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Disc 1.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 21.87
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc 2.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 14.40
Evaluated at bid price : 14.40
Bid-YTW : 9.20 %
BN.PF.I FixedReset Disc 2.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 18.70
Evaluated at bid price : 18.70
Bid-YTW : 9.39 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc 2.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 18.15
Evaluated at bid price : 18.15
Bid-YTW : 7.91 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount 2.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 17.17
Evaluated at bid price : 17.17
Bid-YTW : 6.65 %
BN.PF.J FixedReset Disc 3.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 19.20
Evaluated at bid price : 19.20
Bid-YTW : 8.73 %
BN.PF.E FixedReset Disc 4.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 15.16
Evaluated at bid price : 15.16
Bid-YTW : 9.79 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BN.PF.H FixedReset Disc 93,294 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 20.11
Evaluated at bid price : 20.11
Bid-YTW : 9.21 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset Disc 40,116 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 13.06
Evaluated at bid price : 13.06
Bid-YTW : 9.03 %
BN.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 37,625 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 16.74
Evaluated at bid price : 16.74
Bid-YTW : 7.26 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 35,549 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 8.25 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 27,927 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 19.36
Evaluated at bid price : 19.36
Bid-YTW : 7.77 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 26,867 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 19.80
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 7.33 %
There were 16 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc Quote: 14.40 – 16.30
Spot Rate : 1.9000
Average : 1.0703

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 14.40
Evaluated at bid price : 14.40
Bid-YTW : 9.20 %

RY.PR.N Perpetual-Discount Quote: 19.71 – 21.65
Spot Rate : 1.9400
Average : 1.1955

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 19.71
Evaluated at bid price : 19.71
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %

BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.75 – 18.75
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.7062

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 8.38 %

BN.PF.F FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.00 – 18.30
Spot Rate : 1.3000
Average : 1.0099

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 9.48 %

TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc Quote: 18.97 – 19.97
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.7453

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 18.97
Evaluated at bid price : 18.97
Bid-YTW : 8.01 %

BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.07 – 21.16
Spot Rate : 1.0900
Average : 0.8989

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-01
Maturity Price : 20.07
Evaluated at bid price : 20.07
Bid-YTW : 8.24 %

BPO.PR.T To Reset To 6.79%

December 1st, 2023

Brookfield Office Properties Inc., a subsidiary of Brookfield Property Partners L.P. has announced:

the reset dividend rate on its Class AAA Preference Shares, Series T (“Series T Shares”) (TSX: BPO.PR.T).

If declared, the fixed quarterly dividends on the Series T Shares for the five years commencing January 1, 2024 and ending December 31, 2028 will be paid at an annual rate of 6.79% ($0.424375 per share per quarter).

Holders of Series T Shares have the right, at their option, exercisable not later than 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on December 18, 2023, to convert all or part of their Series T Shares, on a one-for-one basis, into Class AAA Preference Shares, Series U (the “Series U Shares”), effective December 31, 2023.

The quarterly floating rate dividends on the Series U Shares have an annual rate, calculated for each quarter, of 3.16% over the annual yield on three-month Government of Canada treasury bills. The actual quarterly dividend rate for the January 1, 2024 to March 31, 2024 dividend period for the Series U Shares will be 2.04438% (8.2% on an annualized basis) and the dividend, if declared, for such dividend period will be $0.511095 per share, payable on March 31, 2024.

Holders of Series T Shares are not required to elect to convert all or any part of their Series T Shares into Series U Shares.

As provided in the share conditions of the Series T Shares, (i) if Brookfield determines that there would be fewer than 1,000,000 Series T Shares outstanding after December 31, 2023, all remaining Series T Shares will be automatically converted into Series U Shares on a one-for-one basis effective December 31, 2023; and (ii) if Brookfield determines that there would be fewer than 1,000,000 Series U Shares outstanding after December 31, 2023, no Series T Shares will be permitted to be converted into Series U Shares. There are currently 10,000,000 Series T Shares outstanding.

The Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) has conditionally approved the listing of the Series U Shares effective upon conversion. Listing of the Series U Shares is subject to Brookfield fulfilling all the listing requirements of the TSX and, upon approval, the Series U Shares will be listed on the TSX under the trading symbol “BPO.PR.Z”.

BPO.PR.T is a FixedReset, 4.60%+316, that commenced trading 2012-9-13 after being announced 2012-9-5. BPO.PR.T reset at 5.383% effective January 1, 2019; I recommended against conversion; and there was no conversion. The issue is tracked by HIMIPref™, but relegated to the Scraps – FixedReset Discount index on credit concerns.

Thanks to Assiduous Reader Fuzzybear for bringing this to my attention.

Update, 2023-12-5: It has been observed that there is a discrepancy between the underlying GOC-5 rates for the resets of BPO.pr.T, CPX.PR.C and BIP.PR.F. I think that this is due to an error or choice in investors’ favour by BPO.

FFH Upgraded to Pfd-2(low) by DBRS

December 1st, 2023

DBRS has announced that it:

upgraded Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited’s (Fairfax or the Company) Issuer Rating to A (low) from BBB (high). DBRS Morningstar also upgraded the Issuer Rating and the Financial Strength Ratings (FSR) of Fairfax’s subsidiaries Northbridge General Insurance Corporation (Northbridge) and Federated Insurance Company of Canada to A (high). The trends on all ratings were changed to Stable from Positive.

KEY CREDIT RATING CONSIDERATIONS
The credit rating upgrades reflect Fairfax’s consistent and improving underwriting profitability particularly at Brit, the Company’s UK subsidiary where Fairfax has curtailed risk and improved results. Moreover, better overall results have also improved earnings metrics and modestly reduced leverage. Demonstrating improved execution through both acquisitions and organic growth, the reported gross premiums written for YE2022 have more than doubled over the past five years to $27.6 billion (from $12.2 billion in 2017).

The credit ratings and Stable trends reflect Fairfax’s resilient, diversified, and growing franchise, including an expanding market position as a major international Property and Casualty (P&C) insurance and reinsurance group. Higher interest rates have increased risk-adjusted investment income substantially. The Company maintains ample liquid assets at both the holding and operating companies, as well as access to committed lines of credit. Its subsidiaries maintain appropriate regulatory capital ratios with buffers above required solvency levels, allowing Fairfax to handle adverse events.

The credit ratings and Stable trends also consider Fairfax’s earnings volatility that could be caused by exposure to natural catastrophe losses and the impact of financial market fluctuations on unrealized investment gains and losses. Moreover, Fairfax is a large provider of cyber insurance cover in the U.S., ranked number 2 by the NAIC in 2022, which presents some concentration risk.

CREDIT RATING DRIVERS
Over the longer term, less volatile earnings and an improvement in the Company’s risk profile would result in a credit ratings upgrade.

Conversely, the credit ratings would be downgraded if there was a sustained material deterioration in the Company’s risk profile, and overall profitability or capitalization.

CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
Fairfax has developed an extensive and diverse portfolio of global insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries over time, which the Company continues to expand through organic growth and prudent strategic acquisitions. Management of the Company’s insurance and reinsurance operating subsidiaries is decentralized, with each organization having its own autonomous management team. The breakdown of premiums written by line of business has remained consistent over the past five years, with casualty insurance accounting for more than half of the gross premiums written. Gross premiums written from insurance operations in 2022 comprised three broad categories: casualty (56.9%), property (35.2%), and specialty (7.9%).

Fairfax’s risk profile is supported by the Company’s strong underwriting and risk-limit controls, effective claims management, and reinsurance coverage for aggregate claim events or large losses. Moreover, Fairfax has strong internal controls and has been able to operate successfully in multiple jurisdictions. Fairfax’s investment portfolio has good credit quality. The Company continues to hold a significant amount of AAA-rated bonds, which account for more than half of its total fixed income assets as at 9M 2023; however, we note that there has been an increase in the proportion of bonds rated BBB and below as well. This was partly driven by the recent acquisition of approximately 95% interest in specific real estate construction loans from California-based Pacific Western Bank. While this asset class has been under pressure, we note that the loans are secured by real estate located in the United States with a conservative average loan-to-value ratio of approximately 51% and are supported by completion guarantees issued by the project equity sponsors. DBRS Morningstar notes that Fairfax is a large provider of Cyber insurance cover in the U.S., which DBRS Morningstar took into consideration in its assessment of product risk.

The Company reported strong results for the first nine months of 2023 (9M 2023). Fairfax has been successful in transforming Brit’s underwriting results, which has helped improve overall underwriting profitability. The Company is on track for a record year in 2023 with a consolidated net income of $3.4 billion as of 9M 2023 driven by strong underwriting results and positive investment income. The ongoing favorable insurance pricing environment coupled with higher reinsurance prices that benefit its significant reinsurance businesses is expected to contribute positively to Fairfax’s earnings in the short to medium term.

Fairfax’s credit ratings benefit from a sizable holding of liquid assets at the parent-holding company level with approximately $1.2 billion in total for cash and liquid investments as at 9M 2023. DBRS Morningstar considers this level of cash and investments as providing an important liquidity cushion for any potential uptick in insurance claims from the Company’s subsidiaries or potential catastrophe losses. Additionally, Fairfax maintains a committed credit facility of $2 billion that is available to support liquidity needs. The credit facility was undrawn as at September 30, 2023.

Fairfax’s insurance and reinsurance operating subsidiaries are appropriately capitalized, with each major subsidiary having available capital exceeding the required regulatory targets. The Company’s fixed-charge coverage ratios have been volatile over time because of the impact of the accounting treatment of unrealized capital gains and losses within the investment portfolio. The volatility is partly mitigated by the holding company’s strong liquidity position, which provides comfort that fixed charges can be paid under stressed market conditions. The Company’s financial leverage ratio (calculated by DBRS Morningstar on a consolidated basis as debt plus preferred shares to capital) decreased to 29.1% at 9M 2023, in part because of the material improvement in net earnings, and the transition to IFRS 17. The main drivers were adjustments for the discounting of provision for losses and loss adjustment expenses on transition to IFRS 17, which resulted in an increase in common shareholders’ equity.

The S&P rating for FFH continues to be P-3(high). S&P did an annual review for FFH dated 2023-5-30.

Affected issues are: FFH.PR.C, FFH.PR.D, FFH.PR.E, FFH.PR.F, FFH.PR.G, FFH.PR.H, FFH.PR.I, FFH.PR.J, FFH.PR.K and FFH.PR.M.

November 30, 2023

November 30th, 2023
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.4460 % 2,169.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.4460 % 4,160.6
Floater 11.22 % 11.58 % 50,816 8.30 2 1.4460 % 2,397.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.4177 % 3,366.5
SplitShare 4.99 % 7.16 % 54,183 1.81 8 -0.4177 % 4,020.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.4177 % 3,136.8
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0802 % 2,529.4
Perpetual-Discount 6.76 % 6.94 % 51,604 12.57 33 -0.0802 % 2,758.2
FixedReset Disc 5.82 % 8.21 % 115,790 11.55 55 0.1854 % 2,223.5
Insurance Straight 6.55 % 6.73 % 65,880 12.98 19 0.2802 % 2,751.8
FloatingReset 10.63 % 10.67 % 35,242 9.13 1 -0.8371 % 2,477.0
FixedReset Prem 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1854 % 2,513.8
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1854 % 2,272.9
FixedReset Ins Non 5.65 % 7.76 % 81,758 11.99 14 0.5833 % 2,513.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
FTS.PR.K FixedReset Disc -2.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 17.69
Evaluated at bid price : 17.69
Bid-YTW : 8.37 %
PVS.PR.J SplitShare -2.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2028-02-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 7.79 %
BN.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -2.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 16.56
Evaluated at bid price : 16.56
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
BN.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
RY.PR.O Perpetual-Discount -1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 21.02
Evaluated at bid price : 21.02
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.26
Evaluated at bid price : 18.26
Bid-YTW : 6.76 %
BN.PF.H FixedReset Disc -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 19.90
Evaluated at bid price : 19.90
Bid-YTW : 9.54 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 14.29
Evaluated at bid price : 14.29
Bid-YTW : 8.52 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 6.68 %
BN.PF.I FixedReset Disc -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.22
Evaluated at bid price : 18.22
Bid-YTW : 9.86 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 17.67
Evaluated at bid price : 17.67
Bid-YTW : 8.44 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.15
Evaluated at bid price : 18.15
Bid-YTW : 8.29 %
BN.PF.C Perpetual-Discount -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 16.90
Evaluated at bid price : 16.90
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
GWO.PR.R Insurance Straight -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 17.80
Evaluated at bid price : 17.80
Bid-YTW : 6.75 %
IFC.PR.I Insurance Straight 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 21.75
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 8.25 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.84
Evaluated at bid price : 18.84
Bid-YTW : 7.91 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 17.93
Evaluated at bid price : 17.93
Bid-YTW : 8.28 %
BIK.PR.A FixedReset Disc 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 22.37
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 8.38 %
GWO.PR.Y Insurance Straight 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 6.63 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 22.19
Evaluated at bid price : 22.86
Bid-YTW : 6.91 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 21.44
Evaluated at bid price : 21.70
Bid-YTW : 6.89 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount 1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 6.84 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 8.03 %
BN.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.29
Evaluated at bid price : 18.29
Bid-YTW : 9.19 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.55
Evaluated at bid price : 18.55
Bid-YTW : 8.01 %
BN.PF.G FixedReset Disc 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 15.45
Evaluated at bid price : 15.45
Bid-YTW : 10.27 %
BN.PF.A FixedReset Disc 1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 20.32
Evaluated at bid price : 20.32
Bid-YTW : 8.49 %
BN.PF.F FixedReset Disc 1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 17.10
Evaluated at bid price : 17.10
Bid-YTW : 9.76 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc 1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 19.20
Evaluated at bid price : 19.20
Bid-YTW : 8.20 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 21.67
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 7.24 %
IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight 2.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 20.35
Evaluated at bid price : 20.35
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 2.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 13.33
Evaluated at bid price : 13.33
Bid-YTW : 9.20 %
BN.PR.K Floater 2.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 11.20
Evaluated at bid price : 11.20
Bid-YTW : 11.63 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc 71,508 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 7.90 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non 61,070 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.80
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 55,404 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 19.21
Evaluated at bid price : 19.21
Bid-YTW : 8.14 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 49,969 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 8.18 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc 43,296 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 19.76
Evaluated at bid price : 19.76
Bid-YTW : 7.70 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 33,307 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 14.28
Evaluated at bid price : 14.28
Bid-YTW : 8.27 %
There were 14 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc Quote: 13.33 – 16.00
Spot Rate : 2.6700
Average : 1.7178

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 13.33
Evaluated at bid price : 13.33
Bid-YTW : 9.20 %

MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 14.28 – 23.79
Spot Rate : 9.5100
Average : 8.6629

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 14.28
Evaluated at bid price : 14.28
Bid-YTW : 8.27 %

CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 16.70 – 18.25
Spot Rate : 1.5500
Average : 1.1383

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %

RY.PR.O Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.02 – 22.00
Spot Rate : 0.9800
Average : 0.6509

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 21.02
Evaluated at bid price : 21.02
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %

MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.84 – 19.78
Spot Rate : 0.9400
Average : 0.6603

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-30
Maturity Price : 18.84
Evaluated at bid price : 18.84
Bid-YTW : 7.91 %

PVS.PR.J SplitShare Quote: 22.00 – 22.80
Spot Rate : 0.8000
Average : 0.5370

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2028-02-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 7.79 %

November 29, 2023

November 29th, 2023

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 6.97%, equivalent to 9.06% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yielded 5.40% on 2023-11-24 and since then the closing price has changed from 14.58 to 14.77, an increase of 130bp in price, with a Duration (BMO doesn’t specify Modified or Macaulay – I will assume the former) of 12.15 implying a decrease of 11bp in yield to 5.29%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has widened to 375bp from the 365bp reported November 22.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2704 % 2,138.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2704 % 4,101.3
Floater 11.39 % 11.57 % 51,617 8.31 2 -0.2704 % 2,363.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3129 % 3,380.6
SplitShare 4.97 % 7.18 % 55,215 1.81 8 0.3129 % 4,037.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3129 % 3,150.0
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1928 % 2,531.4
Perpetual-Discount 6.75 % 6.97 % 52,161 12.53 33 0.1928 % 2,760.4
FixedReset Disc 5.83 % 8.20 % 114,551 11.55 55 0.1735 % 2,219.4
Insurance Straight 6.57 % 6.72 % 65,244 12.95 19 -0.5079 % 2,744.1
FloatingReset 10.54 % 10.57 % 36,636 9.20 1 3.1208 % 2,497.9
FixedReset Prem 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1735 % 2,509.1
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1735 % 2,268.7
FixedReset Ins Non 5.69 % 7.80 % 81,711 11.95 14 0.6923 % 2,499.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 7.82 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc -1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 18.82
Evaluated at bid price : 18.82
Bid-YTW : 8.35 %
PWF.PR.Z Perpetual-Discount -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 18.55
Evaluated at bid price : 18.55
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %
BN.PF.I FixedReset Disc 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 18.45
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 9.74 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 18.48
Evaluated at bid price : 18.48
Bid-YTW : 8.33 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 8.15 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 14.16
Evaluated at bid price : 14.16
Bid-YTW : 8.34 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 19.87
Evaluated at bid price : 19.87
Bid-YTW : 8.50 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.45
Bid-YTW : 7.46 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 17.30
Evaluated at bid price : 17.30
Bid-YTW : 8.61 %
BIK.PR.A FixedReset Disc 2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 22.20
Evaluated at bid price : 22.90
Bid-YTW : 8.49 %
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc 2.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 14.05
Evaluated at bid price : 14.05
Bid-YTW : 9.73 %
PVS.PR.H SplitShare 2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2027-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 7.01 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 2.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 20.60
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 8.23 %
BN.PF.G FixedReset Disc 2.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 15.20
Evaluated at bid price : 15.20
Bid-YTW : 10.43 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 2.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 21.39
Evaluated at bid price : 21.39
Bid-YTW : 7.63 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 3.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 15.53
Evaluated at bid price : 15.53
Bid-YTW : 10.57 %
CU.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 4.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 19.57
Evaluated at bid price : 19.57
Bid-YTW : 6.76 %
MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight 7.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 18.05
Evaluated at bid price : 18.05
Bid-YTW : 6.26 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 88,266 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 17.90
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc 50,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 18.20
Evaluated at bid price : 18.20
Bid-YTW : 8.53 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 38,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 13.21
Evaluated at bid price : 13.21
Bid-YTW : 8.74 %
BN.PF.A FixedReset Disc 34,979 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 19.97
Evaluated at bid price : 19.97
Bid-YTW : 8.64 %
BN.PF.G FixedReset Disc 32,436 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 15.20
Evaluated at bid price : 15.20
Bid-YTW : 10.43 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 31,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 14.16
Evaluated at bid price : 14.16
Bid-YTW : 8.34 %
There were 16 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 14.16 – 23.79
Spot Rate : 9.6300
Average : 7.7341

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 14.16
Evaluated at bid price : 14.16
Bid-YTW : 8.34 %

MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 21.66 – 22.95
Spot Rate : 1.2900
Average : 0.8426

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 21.36
Evaluated at bid price : 21.66
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %

TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc Quote: 18.82 – 19.82
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.8235

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 18.82
Evaluated at bid price : 18.82
Bid-YTW : 8.35 %

IFC.PR.K Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.25 – 25.15
Spot Rate : 4.9000
Average : 4.7566

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %

MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 21.57 – 22.20
Spot Rate : 0.6300
Average : 0.4868

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-11-29
Maturity Price : 21.29
Evaluated at bid price : 21.57
Bid-YTW : 7.26 %

PVS.PR.G SplitShare Quote: 23.66 – 24.10
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3338

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2026-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.66
Bid-YTW : 7.52 %