March 16, 2011

There are rising doubts about UK growth:

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development cut its forecast for U.K. economic growth in 2011 and said the Bank of England should refrain from increasing interest rates until the second half of the year.

Gross domestic product will expand 1.5 percent instead of the 1.7 percent predicted in November, the Paris-based group said in its economic survey of the U.K. published today. It maintained its 2 percent growth forecast for next year.

“The recovery is likely to remain subdued in 2011, as the necessary fiscal tightening and a fading rebound in world trade create headwinds, before picking up again in 2012,” it said.

… and Moody’s downgraded Portugal:

The euro halted three days of gains versus the dollar after Moody’s Investors Service downgraded Portugal’s credit rating, reviving concern about Europe’s ability to solve its debt crisis.

The 17-nation common currency depreciated versus all but two its major counterparts after Portugal was cut two steps by Moody’s yesterday to A3, four steps from so-called junk status.

It was a good day overall for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 30bp, FixedResets losing 4bp and DeemedRetractibles up 6bp. Volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4957 % 2,381.4
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4957 % 3,581.6
Floater 2.53 % 2.35 % 47,061 21.38 4 0.4957 % 2,571.3
OpRet 4.89 % 3.57 % 54,435 1.16 9 0.0820 % 2,396.0
SplitShare 5.09 % 3.52 % 172,659 1.01 5 -0.1259 % 2,484.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0820 % 2,191.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.75 % 5.64 % 132,023 13.91 10 0.0617 % 2,030.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.52 % 5.54 % 121,854 14.40 14 0.3019 % 2,117.9
FixedReset 5.20 % 3.64 % 236,569 2.96 56 -0.0359 % 2,271.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.26 % 5.38 % 359,084 8.28 53 0.0637 % 2,067.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
ELF.PR.G Deemed-Retractible 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 7.32 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-16
Maturity Price : 22.01
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 2.35 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-16
Maturity Price : 23.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.69
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 158,410 RBC crossed 50,000 at 24.70; Desjardins crossed 100,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.66
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
BNS.PR.M Deemed-Retractible 125,375 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 23.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.42
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 112,025 Anonymous sold 19,500 to Nesbitt and three blocks of 10,000 each to RBC, all at 25.25. RBC crossed 25,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-16
Maturity Price : 25.15
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
RY.PR.G Deemed-Retractible 111,520 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 23.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.18
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 103,200 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 27.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.31
Bid-YTW : 3.52 %
SLF.PR.F FixedReset 102,730 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 26.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.71
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %
There were 31 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.75 – 24.29
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3537

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-16
Maturity Price : 23.52
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %

FTS.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 25.56 – 25.90
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2341

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.56
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %

RY.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.38 – 23.75
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2649

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.38
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %

GWO.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 26.76 – 27.10
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2477

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.76
Bid-YTW : 3.30 %

W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.00 – 24.27
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1927

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-16
Maturity Price : 23.70
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 24.40 – 24.69
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2148

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %

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