March 23, 2011

Crisis in Portugal:

Portuguese Prime Minister Jose Socrates tendered his resignation after plans to cut the budget were rejected by parliament, pushing the country closer to an international bailout.

Portugal has already raised taxes and implemented the deepest spending cuts in more than three decades to convince investors it can reduce its budget shortfall. Additional cuts, announced on March 11, prompted a political backlash and failed to persuade investors.

The spread between Portuguese and German 10-year bond yields widened 16 basis points to 438 basis points yesterday after reaching a euro-era record of 484 on Nov. 11.

It was another positive day on the Canadian preferred share market,with PerpetualDiscounts up 17bp, FixedResets up 2bp and DeemedRetractibles winning 9bp. Volume was average.

PerpetualDiscounts now yiel 5.59%, equivalent to 7.27% interest at the now standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 5.5% (OK, maybe a little bit less) so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 180bp, not much different from the 175bp reported on March 9.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1805 % 2,385.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1805 % 3,588.1
Floater 2.52 % 2.33 % 43,783 21.40 4 0.1805 % 2,575.9
OpRet 4.89 % 3.62 % 57,306 1.15 9 0.1380 % 2,398.8
SplitShare 5.09 % 3.04 % 148,036 0.99 5 0.1249 % 2,483.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1380 % 2,193.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.74 % 5.57 % 137,172 6.21 10 0.0278 % 2,035.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.51 % 5.59 % 124,979 14.52 14 0.1694 % 2,129.5
FixedReset 5.16 % 3.50 % 233,993 2.95 57 0.0225 % 2,281.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.22 % 5.16 % 338,534 8.27 53 0.0935 % 2,086.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-23
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 24.26
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.82
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
BMO.PR.J Deemed-Retractible -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.18
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.39
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-23
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 126,131 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-23
Maturity Price : 24.95
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 103,400 RBC crossed blocks of 50,000 and 45,000, both at 24.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-23
Maturity Price : 23.83
Evaluated at bid price : 24.13
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
TD.PR.I FixedReset 54,523 TD crossed 50,000 at 27.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.56
Bid-YTW : 3.38 %
TD.PR.N OpRet 51,400 Nesbitt crossd 50,000 at 25.66.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : 3.72 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 46,853 Desjardins bought 18,300 from National at 27.41, then crossed 20,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.45
Bid-YTW : 3.48 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset 40,271 RBC crossed 24,800 at 26.16.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.09
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
There were 32 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 25.35 – 26.15
Spot Rate : 0.8000
Average : 0.4881

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 3.93 %

FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.35 – 23.70
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2506

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-23
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %

IAG.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.50 – 25.85
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2510

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Quote: 24.26 – 24.58
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2241

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-03-23
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 24.26
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %

ALB.PR.B SplitShare Quote: 22.12 – 22.39
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1772

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-03-29
Maturity Price : 21.80
Evaluated at bid price : 22.12
Bid-YTW : 3.04 %

CIU.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 27.44 – 27.95
Spot Rate : 0.5100
Average : 0.4354

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.44
Bid-YTW : 3.71 %

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