February 15, 2013

Has the tide turned for junk bonds?

The biggest buyers of junk bonds are in retreat as exchange-traded funds suffer unprecedented withdrawals with the debt facing its first losses in eight months.

The outflows sent the combined value of the five biggest junk-debt funds down 7 percent from a four-month high in January to $29.8 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. State Street Corp.’s $11.9 billion fund reported withdrawals of about $988 million in the 12 days ended Feb. 13, the longest stretch since August 2011.

A pullback three times bigger than that for mutual funds which cater to individuals suggests investors such as hedge funds and banks are cherry picking rather than investing in the broader market, said Peter Tchir of TF Market Advisors. Almost six years after the first high-yield ETF was created, the funds have been drawing the interest of institutions seeking rapid entries and exits with securities that traditionally were traded over the counter.

The best story I’ve seen so far on the Russian meteorite explosion was in Cracked, an irreverent internet humour site.

It was an unevenly positive day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums gaining 1bp, FixedResets winning 23bp and DeemedRetractibles up 6bp. Volatility picked up a bit. Volume was quite high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3127 % 2,582.7
FixedFloater 4.14 % 3.46 % 25,992 18.39 1 0.0000 % 3,930.6
Floater 2.57 % 2.88 % 79,949 19.99 5 -0.3127 % 2,788.6
OpRet 4.78 % 1.61 % 42,601 0.36 5 -0.1563 % 2,607.4
SplitShare 4.54 % 4.21 % 36,625 4.25 2 -0.0395 % 2,930.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1563 % 2,384.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.24 % 0.02 % 83,322 0.11 29 0.0120 % 2,358.3
Perpetual-Discount 4.85 % 4.90 % 130,580 15.60 4 -0.0812 % 2,645.8
FixedReset 4.89 % 2.68 % 274,247 3.07 78 0.2346 % 2,501.4
Deemed-Retractible 4.86 % 0.20 % 146,755 0.27 45 0.0586 % 2,440.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.A Floater -2.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-02-15
Maturity Price : 22.50
Evaluated at bid price : 22.76
Bid-YTW : 2.27 %
ENB.PR.A Perpetual-Premium 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.10
Bid-YTW : -43.85 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.79
Bid-YTW : 0.91 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.73
Bid-YTW : 3.45 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
NA.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 150,602 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 25.75; TD crossed blocks of 50,000 and 40,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : -7.01 %
HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 131,450 TD crossed blocks of 75,000 and 55,000, both at 25.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : 2.37 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset 121,304 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 25.76; Scotia crossed 16,400 at 25.73; TD crossed 50,000 at 25.76.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.72
Bid-YTW : 2.18 %
BMO.PR.P FixedReset 116,641 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 26.88.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 1.81 %
RY.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 80,316 Desjardins crossed blocks of 46,700 and 30,900, both at 25.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.76
Bid-YTW : 0.16 %
ENB.PR.N FixedReset 74,753 Desjardins crossed 39,000 at 25.78.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.72
Bid-YTW : 3.43 %
There were 47 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.A Floater Quote: 22.76 – 23.51
Spot Rate : 0.7500
Average : 0.5512

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-02-15
Maturity Price : 22.50
Evaluated at bid price : 22.76
Bid-YTW : 2.27 %

GWO.PR.Q Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.01 – 26.35
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2135

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.01
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %

PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.59 – 25.95
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2386

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.59
Bid-YTW : -19.36 %

MFC.PR.A OpRet Quote: 25.85 – 26.12
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1678

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 25.85
Bid-YTW : -4.92 %

BNS.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.91 – 26.20
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2077

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-07-27
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 25.91
Bid-YTW : 3.41 %

BAM.PF.A FixedReset Quote: 26.30 – 26.49
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1197

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.30
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %

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