ALA: Outlook Negative, says S&P

Standard and Poor’s has announced:

  • •We are revising our outlook on AltaGas Ltd. to negative from stable.
  • •We are also affirming our ratings, including our ‘BBB’ long-term corporate credit rating, on the company.
  • •We base the outlook revision on weaker forecast financial metrics at the lower end of the “significant” financial risk profile.
  • •The negative outlook reflects our view of the company’s weaker financial metrics, given the low commodity environment and high leverage due to ongoing capital programs and recent acquisitions.


We are forecasting lower cash flows and higher leverage due to ongoing capital programs and recent acquisitions. Our forecast financial metrics have fallen as a result, with funds from operations (FFO)-to-debt in the low end of the “significant” category (12%-15%) over the next two years. However, we still expect the financial metrics to improve as new gas gathering and processing facilities are brought into service and the GWF Energy Holdings LLC (GWF) acquisition starts contributing cash flow for a full year in 2016.

We view AltaGas’ business risk profile as “strong.” We expect about one-third of cash flow from very low-risk regulated utility subsidiaries, a third from midstream gathering and processing, and the rest from highly contracted unregulated power.

We view the financial risk profile as “significant” based on the medial volatility cash flow leverage table. Although we expect credit metrics to improve as contracted projects come online to contribute full-year cash flows and capital expenditures start to decline in 2017, the company has little cushion to absorb weaker-than-expected cash flows over the next two years.

The negative outlook reflects Standard & Poor’s view that AltaGas’ financial metrics are at the lower end of the “significant” category and has little cushion to absorb weaker-than-expected cash flows over the next two years. We are expecting metrics to continue to improve in 2016 and 2017 as the company realizes full-year cash flows from completed projects and the GWF acquisition.

AltaGas is the proud issuer of ALA.PR.A, ALA.PR.B, ALA.PR.E, ALA.PR.G and ALA.PR.I. DBRS continues to rate the issues Pfd-3 with a stable trend following a confirmation 2015-10-12.

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