March 5, 2020

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Another day in the Attack of the Coronavirus:

Stocks plunged on Thursday, falling more than 3 percent for the fourth time in the past two weeks, as investors began to consider that the economic damage caused by the fast spreading coronavirus could be much worse than they had initially expected.

Stocks have traded in wild swings for days, initially triggered by the appearance of large numbers of infections outside of China, where the outbreak originated.

That market volatility continued for a fourth day this week, with the S&P 500 falling more than 3 percent on Thursday afternoon. The index has gained or lost more than 3 percent six times in the past two weeks.

Worry about long-term growth also pushed the yield on 10-year United States Treasury notes to a new low of 0.9 percent. Because of their relative safety, government bonds are in high demand during bouts of panic over the economy.

TXPR closed at 580.50, down 0.55% on the day. Volume today was 2.33-million, lowest of the past six trading days days.

CPD closed at 11.56, down 0.77% on the day. Volume of 99,390 was the lowest of the past nine trading days.

ZPR closed at 9.17, down 0.43% on the day. Volume of 340,283 was lowest of the past six trading days.

Five-year Canada yields were down 18bp to 0.74% today. Eighteen basis points! That’s awesome.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2142 % 1,854.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2142 % 3,403.4
Floater 5.76 % 6.00 % 50,572 13.79 4 -0.2142 % 1,961.4
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0563 % 3,470.2
SplitShare 4.78 % 4.30 % 51,283 4.09 7 0.0563 % 4,144.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0563 % 3,233.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.58 % 4.95 % 73,706 0.08 12 -0.0660 % 3,051.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.26 % 5.32 % 70,657 14.88 24 0.0018 % 3,318.7
FixedReset Disc 6.08 % 5.41 % 188,352 14.59 64 -1.0950 % 1,974.8
Deemed-Retractible 5.20 % 5.30 % 85,109 14.91 27 0.0976 % 3,246.6
FloatingReset 5.95 % 5.82 % 69,059 14.16 3 -2.8500 % 2,199.6
FixedReset Prem 5.16 % 4.70 % 132,280 1.41 22 -0.2998 % 2,624.8
FixedReset Bank Non 1.92 % 2.97 % 104,732 1.86 3 -0.0135 % 2,759.9
FixedReset Ins Non 5.92 % 5.33 % 103,757 14.69 22 -0.9815 % 2,002.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset -5.11 % All too real, as the issue traded 4700 shares in a range of 10.75-50 before being quoted at 10.95-41. The issue traded 1600 shares at 10.90 at 3:40-3:41 before trading 100 at 10.75 at 3:41.

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 10.95
Evaluated at bid price : 10.95
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -4.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 11.01
Evaluated at bid price : 11.01
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc -3.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 18.05
Evaluated at bid price : 18.05
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
CM.PR.T FixedReset Disc -3.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 21.56
Evaluated at bid price : 21.84
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
RY.PR.S FixedReset Disc -2.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 18.12
Evaluated at bid price : 18.12
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %
TD.PF.L FixedReset Disc -2.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 21.81
Evaluated at bid price : 22.18
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc -2.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.15
Evaluated at bid price : 15.15
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc -2.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 17.76
Evaluated at bid price : 17.76
Bid-YTW : 5.30 %
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc -2.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 18.33
Evaluated at bid price : 18.33
Bid-YTW : 5.24 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc -2.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 9.29
Evaluated at bid price : 9.29
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc -2.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 18.10
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset Disc -2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.93
Evaluated at bid price : 15.93
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc -2.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.40
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset -2.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 11.95
Evaluated at bid price : 11.95
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -2.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 17.01
Evaluated at bid price : 17.01
Bid-YTW : 5.30 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc -1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 11.62
Evaluated at bid price : 11.62
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc -1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 13.76
Evaluated at bid price : 13.76
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 17.85
Evaluated at bid price : 17.85
Bid-YTW : 5.66 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc -1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.85
Evaluated at bid price : 16.85
Bid-YTW : 5.37 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.65
Evaluated at bid price : 15.65
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 10.31
Evaluated at bid price : 10.31
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.15
Evaluated at bid price : 15.15
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.79
Evaluated at bid price : 15.79
Bid-YTW : 5.31 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 14.09
Evaluated at bid price : 14.09
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
NA.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 19.68
Evaluated at bid price : 19.68
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non -1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 17.47
Evaluated at bid price : 17.47
Bid-YTW : 5.23 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 12.21
Evaluated at bid price : 12.21
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
BMO.PR.F FixedReset Disc -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 22.21
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.81
Evaluated at bid price : 15.81
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.55
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 17.26
Evaluated at bid price : 17.26
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.72
Evaluated at bid price : 16.72
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non -1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.87
Evaluated at bid price : 15.87
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.28
Evaluated at bid price : 15.28
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %
EMA.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.81
Evaluated at bid price : 16.81
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 17.41
Evaluated at bid price : 17.41
Bid-YTW : 5.42 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.30
Evaluated at bid price : 15.30
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 18.45
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 5.57 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.50
Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.41
Evaluated at bid price : 16.41
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 14.99
Evaluated at bid price : 14.99
Bid-YTW : 7.19 %
BMO.PR.D FixedReset Disc -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 19.18
Evaluated at bid price : 19.18
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 6.99 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 12.05
Evaluated at bid price : 12.05
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.99
Evaluated at bid price : 16.99
Bid-YTW : 5.42 %
TD.PF.H FixedReset Prem -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 23.58
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
CM.PR.Y FixedReset Disc -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 22.37
Evaluated at bid price : 23.11
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 17.55
Evaluated at bid price : 17.55
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 21.72
Evaluated at bid price : 21.97
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 17.30
Evaluated at bid price : 17.30
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 15.80
Evaluated at bid price : 15.80
Bid-YTW : 5.23 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.15
Evaluated at bid price : 16.15
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 10.60
Evaluated at bid price : 10.60
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 9.81
Evaluated at bid price : 9.81
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 22.94
Evaluated at bid price : 23.37
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 125,873 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 68,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 12.05
Evaluated at bid price : 12.05
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
PVS.PR.H SplitShare 62,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2027-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 43,715 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.15
Evaluated at bid price : 16.15
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 40,759 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 13.70
Evaluated at bid price : 13.70
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
CM.PR.T FixedReset Disc 34,968 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 21.56
Evaluated at bid price : 21.84
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
There were 49 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
HSE.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 14.99 – 15.39
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2556

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 14.99
Evaluated at bid price : 14.99
Bid-YTW : 7.19 %

PWF.PR.T FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.61 – 17.11
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3581

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 16.61
Evaluated at bid price : 16.61
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %

TD.PF.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.44 – 24.78
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2135

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 23.95
Evaluated at bid price : 24.44
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %

GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.52 – 22.97
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3263

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 22.24
Evaluated at bid price : 22.52
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %

TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.76 – 18.15
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2684

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 17.76
Evaluated at bid price : 17.76
Bid-YTW : 5.30 %

BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 21.79 – 22.20
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2951

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2050-03-05
Maturity Price : 21.44
Evaluated at bid price : 21.79
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %

4 Responses to “March 5, 2020”

  1. skeptical says:

    James a question for you.
    What do you think is the pandemic risk to insurance companies. Especially Lifecos? Is this the kind of risk that could have been absorbed by the NVCC preferred shares for insurance cos?

  2. jiHymas says:

    Very timely, since DBRS has just released a commentary titled Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Impact on Life Insurers More Likely to Result from Adverse Market Movements than Increased Claims:

    Key Highlights:
    • The impact on insurance claims is expected to be manageable, given the relatively low mortality rate for infected individuals.
    • The adverse reaction of financial markets to coronavirus may affect insurers’ profitability, including earnings generated from their investment portfolios.
    • Insurers operating in higher-risk countries are seeing some disruption to their day-to-day operation

    They may have a tough time, but unless things get a whole lot worse (like, it mutates into a more deadly version) I think it will be the common shareholders taking the hit.

  3. skeptical says:

    Thanks for the excellent link. Appreciate it very much.

  4. skeptical says:

    Some more pertinent coverage on this:

    The overall impact of the coronavirus is expected to be “manageable,” according to a report Monday from Standard & Poor’s Global Ratings Inc.

    https://www.businessinsurance.com/article/20200224/NEWS06/912333206/Coronavirus-impact-manageable-for-insurers-reinsurers-Standard-&-Poors-China-sup

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