US inflation has recorded a 40-year high:
The Canadian dollar CADUSD weakened against the greenback on Thursday as data showing that U.S. inflation soared to a 40-year high in January raised expectations for aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
U.S. bond yields climbed and the greenback rallied against a basket of major currencies as the U.S. consumer price index climbed at an annual rate of 7.5 per cent, fueling speculation of a 50 basis points interest rate hike from the Fed next month.
The NYT reports signs of spreading:
More worrying were the report’s details, which showed inflation moving beyond pandemic-affected goods and services, a sign that rapid gains could prove longer lasting and harder to shake off.
…
Lately, it is more than just shortages of goods at play. Price gains are increasingly hitting consumers in hard-to-avoid ways as they show up in necessities: January’s inflation reading was driven by food, electricity and shelter costs, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said.
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After Thursday’s report, investors expected the Fed to withdraw economic support even more quickly. Markets braced for a half-percentage-point increase in the federal funds rate at the central bank’s meeting next month — double the usual increment.The inflation reading sent stocks down and government bond yields up. The S&P 500 dropped 1.8 percent, while the Nasdaq composite fell 2.1 percent. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes rose 0.1 percentage points, to about 2.03 percent, the highest level since November 2019.
GOC-5 hit 1.84% today; the highest in the BOC’s weekly series since 2019-2-13.
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices Values are provisional and are finalized monthly |
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Index | Mean Current Yield (at bid) |
Median YTW |
Median Average Trading Value |
Median Mod Dur (YTW) |
Issues | Day’s Perf. | Index Value |
Ratchet | 3.00 % | 3.45 % | 41,482 | 20.12 | 1 | 0.5416 % | 2,908.9 |
FixedFloater | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.3067 % | 5,672.1 |
Floater | 2.81 % | 2.83 % | 62,607 | 20.15 | 3 | 0.3067 % | 3,268.9 |
OpRet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.1832 % | 3,662.1 |
SplitShare | 4.63 % | 4.35 % | 32,190 | 3.63 | 6 | 0.1832 % | 4,373.3 |
Interest-Bearing | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.1832 % | 3,412.2 |
Perpetual-Premium | 5.20 % | -15.55 % | 55,685 | 0.09 | 22 | -0.1035 % | 3,238.3 |
Perpetual-Discount | 4.79 % | 4.74 % | 60,682 | 15.74 | 11 | -0.1224 % | 3,849.9 |
FixedReset Disc | 3.92 % | 4.21 % | 116,938 | 16.49 | 44 | -0.3261 % | 2,862.6 |
Insurance Straight | 4.91 % | 4.60 % | 80,975 | 15.66 | 18 | -0.1728 % | 3,649.0 |
FloatingReset | 2.67 % | 3.02 % | 53,021 | 19.64 | 2 | 0.0000 % | 2,958.5 |
FixedReset Prem | 4.76 % | 3.55 % | 104,163 | 1.78 | 26 | 0.0015 % | 2,713.4 |
FixedReset Bank Non | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.3261 % | 2,926.2 |
FixedReset Ins Non | 4.09 % | 4.14 % | 73,077 | 16.55 | 17 | 0.0585 % | 2,968.0 |
Performance Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Change | Notes |
BAM.PF.E | FixedReset Disc | -3.81 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 21.45 Evaluated at bid price : 21.45 Bid-YTW : 4.88 % |
BAM.PR.Z | FixedReset Disc | -2.07 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 24.18 Evaluated at bid price : 24.65 Bid-YTW : 4.76 % |
MFC.PR.F | FixedReset Ins Non | -1.98 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 18.30 Evaluated at bid price : 18.30 Bid-YTW : 4.07 % |
RY.PR.M | FixedReset Disc | -1.81 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 22.80 Evaluated at bid price : 23.84 Bid-YTW : 4.20 % |
BAM.PR.X | FixedReset Disc | -1.69 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 18.60 Evaluated at bid price : 18.60 Bid-YTW : 4.75 % |
SLF.PR.G | FixedReset Ins Non | -1.39 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 17.75 Evaluated at bid price : 17.75 Bid-YTW : 4.11 % |
RY.PR.Z | FixedReset Disc | -1.38 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 22.85 Evaluated at bid price : 23.52 Bid-YTW : 4.09 % |
FTS.PR.H | FixedReset Disc | -1.13 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 17.50 Evaluated at bid price : 17.50 Bid-YTW : 4.23 % |
BMO.PR.Y | FixedReset Disc | 1.04 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2025-08-25 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.25 Bid-YTW : 3.95 % |
IFC.PR.A | FixedReset Ins Non | 1.85 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 21.50 Evaluated at bid price : 21.50 Bid-YTW : 4.02 % |
Volume Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Shares Traded |
Notes |
TD.PF.B | FixedReset Disc | 103,600 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 22.90 Evaluated at bid price : 23.68 Bid-YTW : 4.13 % |
PWF.PR.S | Perpetual-Discount | 68,822 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 24.53 Evaluated at bid price : 24.83 Bid-YTW : 4.85 % |
TD.PF.J | FixedReset Prem | 50,800 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2023-04-30 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.30 Bid-YTW : 3.80 % |
NA.PR.W | FixedReset Disc | 44,703 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 22.97 Evaluated at bid price : 24.00 Bid-YTW : 4.04 % |
GWO.PR.I | Insurance Straight | 42,265 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 23.98 Evaluated at bid price : 24.23 Bid-YTW : 4.69 % |
CM.PR.P | FixedReset Disc | 40,300 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-02-10 Maturity Price : 22.91 Evaluated at bid price : 23.85 Bid-YTW : 4.09 % |
There were 12 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares. |
Wide Spread Highlights | ||
Issue | Index | Quote Data and Yield Notes |
BAM.PF.E | FixedReset Disc | Quote: 21.45 – 22.50 Spot Rate : 1.0500 Average : 0.7497 YTW SCENARIO |
BAM.PR.Z | FixedReset Disc | Quote: 24.65 – 25.20 Spot Rate : 0.5500 Average : 0.3437 YTW SCENARIO |
RY.PR.M | FixedReset Disc | Quote: 23.84 – 24.35 Spot Rate : 0.5100 Average : 0.3043 YTW SCENARIO |
MFC.PR.F | FixedReset Ins Non | Quote: 18.30 – 18.83 Spot Rate : 0.5300 Average : 0.3599 YTW SCENARIO |
BAM.PF.B | FixedReset Disc | Quote: 23.58 – 24.01 Spot Rate : 0.4300 Average : 0.2643 YTW SCENARIO |
TRP.PR.E | FixedReset Disc | Quote: 21.49 – 22.02 Spot Rate : 0.5300 Average : 0.3665 YTW SCENARIO |