February 10, 2022

US inflation has recorded a 40-year high:

The Canadian dollar CADUSD weakened against the greenback on Thursday as data showing that U.S. inflation soared to a 40-year high in January raised expectations for aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

U.S. bond yields climbed and the greenback rallied against a basket of major currencies as the U.S. consumer price index climbed at an annual rate of 7.5 per cent, fueling speculation of a 50 basis points interest rate hike from the Fed next month.

The NYT reports signs of spreading:

More worrying were the report’s details, which showed inflation moving beyond pandemic-affected goods and services, a sign that rapid gains could prove longer lasting and harder to shake off.

Lately, it is more than just shortages of goods at play. Price gains are increasingly hitting consumers in hard-to-avoid ways as they show up in necessities: January’s inflation reading was driven by food, electricity and shelter costs, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said.

After Thursday’s report, investors expected the Fed to withdraw economic support even more quickly. Markets braced for a half-percentage-point increase in the federal funds rate at the central bank’s meeting next month — double the usual increment.

The inflation reading sent stocks down and government bond yields up. The S&P 500 dropped 1.8 percent, while the Nasdaq composite fell 2.1 percent. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes rose 0.1 percentage points, to about 2.03 percent, the highest level since November 2019.

GOC-5 hit 1.84% today; the highest in the BOC’s weekly series since 2019-2-13.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 3.00 % 3.45 % 41,482 20.12 1 0.5416 % 2,908.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3067 % 5,672.1
Floater 2.81 % 2.83 % 62,607 20.15 3 0.3067 % 3,268.9
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1832 % 3,662.1
SplitShare 4.63 % 4.35 % 32,190 3.63 6 0.1832 % 4,373.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1832 % 3,412.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.20 % -15.55 % 55,685 0.09 22 -0.1035 % 3,238.3
Perpetual-Discount 4.79 % 4.74 % 60,682 15.74 11 -0.1224 % 3,849.9
FixedReset Disc 3.92 % 4.21 % 116,938 16.49 44 -0.3261 % 2,862.6
Insurance Straight 4.91 % 4.60 % 80,975 15.66 18 -0.1728 % 3,649.0
FloatingReset 2.67 % 3.02 % 53,021 19.64 2 0.0000 % 2,958.5
FixedReset Prem 4.76 % 3.55 % 104,163 1.78 26 0.0015 % 2,713.4
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3261 % 2,926.2
FixedReset Ins Non 4.09 % 4.14 % 73,077 16.55 17 0.0585 % 2,968.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc -3.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.45
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -2.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 24.18
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non -1.98 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc -1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 22.80
Evaluated at bid price : 23.84
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 18.60
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 22.85
Evaluated at bid price : 23.52
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset Disc -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-08-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 3.95 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc 103,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 22.90
Evaluated at bid price : 23.68
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount 68,822 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 24.53
Evaluated at bid price : 24.83
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Prem 50,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 3.80 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 44,703 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 22.97
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %
GWO.PR.I Insurance Straight 42,265 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 23.98
Evaluated at bid price : 24.23
Bid-YTW : 4.69 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc 40,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 22.91
Evaluated at bid price : 23.85
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
There were 12 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 21.45 – 22.50
Spot Rate : 1.0500
Average : 0.7497

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.45
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %

BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc Quote: 24.65 – 25.20
Spot Rate : 0.5500
Average : 0.3437

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 24.18
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %

RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.84 – 24.35
Spot Rate : 0.5100
Average : 0.3043

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 22.80
Evaluated at bid price : 23.84
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %

MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.30 – 18.83
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3599

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %

BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.58 – 24.01
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.2643

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 23.58
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %

TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 21.49 – 22.02
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3665

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.49
Evaluated at bid price : 21.49
Bid-YTW : 4.70 %

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