March 14, 2022

The five-year Canada bond yield rocketted up to 1.95% today and Rob Carrick pointed out that preferreds are on sale … so of course the market went down. What a world!

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 3.29 % 3.90 % 33,127 19.54 1 0.2660 % 2,685.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.0516 % 5,128.3
Floater 3.42 % 3.42 % 62,231 18.73 3 -1.0516 % 2,955.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1091 % 3,645.5
SplitShare 4.70 % 4.25 % 28,687 3.41 7 -0.1091 % 4,353.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1091 % 3,396.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.34 % 1.31 % 51,417 0.08 16 -0.4061 % 3,191.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.02 % 5.07 % 63,006 15.32 16 -0.8199 % 3,681.9
FixedReset Disc 4.23 % 4.74 % 117,734 15.90 46 -0.0375 % 2,682.2
Insurance Straight 5.07 % 4.79 % 91,234 15.34 18 -0.8898 % 3,535.3
FloatingReset 3.24 % 2.84 % 58,891 20.15 2 0.2924 % 2,784.0
FixedReset Prem 4.78 % 4.30 % 143,263 2.23 23 -0.0531 % 2,685.7
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0375 % 2,741.7
FixedReset Ins Non 4.39 % 4.82 % 73,433 15.80 17 -0.1171 % 2,768.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc -3.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 19.41
Evaluated at bid price : 19.41
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount -2.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.91
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
GWO.PR.R Insurance Straight -2.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 23.20
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
GWO.PR.I Insurance Straight -2.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.55
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 4.93 %
GWO.PR.Y Insurance Straight -1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.99
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 4.79 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount -1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 23.67
Evaluated at bid price : 23.95
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 13.71
Evaluated at bid price : 13.71
Bid-YTW : 3.44 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset Disc -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 21.26
Evaluated at bid price : 21.54
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.72
Evaluated at bid price : 23.01
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 24.44
Evaluated at bid price : 24.68
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 24.64
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
GWO.PR.H Insurance Straight -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 23.59
Evaluated at bid price : 23.86
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
SLF.PR.C Insurance Straight -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 23.48
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
IAF.PR.B Insurance Straight -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 23.42
Evaluated at bid price : 23.71
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset Disc 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 19.55
Evaluated at bid price : 19.55
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
BAM.PF.J FixedReset Prem 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.19
Bid-YTW : 3.49 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 19.10
Evaluated at bid price : 19.10
Bid-YTW : 5.24 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 20.60
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.51
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.70
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 4.70 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.48
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %
BAM.PF.I FixedReset Prem 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.85
Bid-YTW : -21.75 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 3.64 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 16.46
Evaluated at bid price : 16.46
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.93
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset Disc 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 23.03
Evaluated at bid price : 23.45
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Prem 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 24.48
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 14.50
Evaluated at bid price : 14.50
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.88
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 16.05
Evaluated at bid price : 16.05
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc 2.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 17.30
Evaluated at bid price : 17.30
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 2.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.33
Evaluated at bid price : 22.88
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 51,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 32,360 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc 22,290 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.22
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 4.56 %
TD.PF.M FixedReset Prem 19,476 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %
CM.PR.T FixedReset Prem 17,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.95
Bid-YTW : 3.67 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 16,799 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 13.90
Evaluated at bid price : 13.90
Bid-YTW : 3.39 %
There were 5 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.50 – 23.70
Spot Rate : 1.2000
Average : 0.6932

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %

TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 14.50 – 15.70
Spot Rate : 1.2000
Average : 0.8250

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 14.50
Evaluated at bid price : 14.50
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %

BAM.PF.F FixedReset Disc Quote: 21.54 – 22.90
Spot Rate : 1.3600
Average : 0.9911

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 21.26
Evaluated at bid price : 21.54
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %

BMO.PR.E FixedReset Prem Quote: 24.72 – 25.25
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3382

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 23.56
Evaluated at bid price : 24.72
Bid-YTW : 4.65 %

BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.41 – 21.00
Spot Rate : 1.5900
Average : 1.4009

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 19.41
Evaluated at bid price : 19.41
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %

PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.20 – 24.00
Spot Rate : 0.8000
Average : 0.6369

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-03-14
Maturity Price : 22.91
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %

5 Responses to “March 14, 2022”

  1. stusclues says:

    I’m assessing the odds of TransAlta calling TA.PR.F in June as non-zero. That issue will reset at ~5.1% using today’s rates or 6.6% pre-tax. This seems a bit too steep to me given the improving quality of the company. If the odds are actually close to zero, then switching to TA.PR.D seems a no-brainer.

    Interested in hearing views from the thoughtful readers here.

  2. niagara says:

    While the TA issue will reset at about 5.1% (based on the $25 par price), you would be buying the pref at about $20.35, a steep discount to par. so your yield will actually be more like 6.25%.

    Personally, I prefer some of the Enbridge issues. eg ENB.PR.B resets in a couple of months with a 240bp spread. Current price of $18.30 and a 5yr GOC of 1.95% would give you a yield of 5.94%. You only give up a little yield for far better (IMO) credit rating.

    Disclosure: I only hold a little of an ENB floored issue, just watching these others.

  3. stusclues says:

    “you would be buying the pref at about $20.35”.

    Right. However, what I am trying to assess is whether to sell TA.PR.F to buy TA.PR.D. IVT analysis plainly indicates that this is a wise move. However, if the Fs are called in June, swapping Fs for Ds now would be a big error. I think the Fs are unlikely to be called but the risk is non-zero. Just how non-zero is it?

  4. stusclues says:

    “Personally, I prefer some of the Enbridge issues.”

    I like them too. I own the F series at the moment.

  5. stusclues says:

    “I own the F series at the moment”

    Correction: I own ENB.PF.G

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