July 8, 2022

Jobs, jobs … whoopsy!:

The Canadian economy posted a surprise loss of jobs in June, the first monthly decline that was not associated with tighter public-health restrictions since the outset of the pandemic.

Overall employment fell by 43,000 last month, fully retracing the increase of 40,000 in May, Statistics Canada said on Friday. Financial analysts were expecting a gain of 22,500 positions, based on the median estimate. The job losses were especially stark for the self-employed and those 55 and up.

Despite the decline, the unemployment rate fell to a new record low of 4.9 per cent (from 5.1 per cent) as fewer people searched for work.

Hiring conditions remain challenging in Canada. At last count, employers were recruiting for about one million positions – far greater than job-vacancy levels before the pandemic, impacting salaries.

Average hourly wages rose 5.2 per cent in June from a year earlier, up from 3.9 per cent in May. Wages have been accelerating as the labour shortage drags on, although pay hasn’t kept pace with inflation.

The US did better:

The economy added 372,000 jobs in June, a hotter-than-expected boost to the labor market that may ease worries of an impending recession, but that also complicates the job of the Federal Reserve as it seeks to quell inflation.

The unemployment rate was 3.6 percent, the same as a month earlier, the Labor Department reported Friday.

The number is in line with the average gain over the last few months, including 368,000 in April and 384,000 in May. Employers have continued to compete for workers in recent months, with initial unemployment claims rising only slightly from their low point in March.

The private sector has now regained its prepandemic number of jobs, while the public sector remains 664,000 jobs below February 2020. Other than the public sector, no industry lost jobs in June, on a seasonally adjusted basis.

Wages continued to climb rapidly last month, offering little encouragement to the Federal Reserve as policymakers hope for a slowdown in pay gains that might allow inflation to moderate.

Average hourly earnings picked up by 5.1 percent in the year through June, moderating slightly from 5.3 percent in the year through May. Economists in a Bloomberg survey had expected a slightly bigger cool-down, to 5 percent.

So Musk is attempting to terminate the Twitter deal:

Less than three months ago, Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, struck a blockbuster $44 billion deal to buy Twitter. He proclaimed that the company had “tremendous potential.”

In a regulatory filing prepared by his lawyers, Mr. Musk said he was terminating the Twitter deal because of a continuing disagreement over the number of spam accounts on the platform. He claimed that Twitter had not provided information necessary to calculate the number of those accounts — which the company has said is lower than 5 percent — and that it had appeared to make inaccurate statements.

The coming lawsuit should be immensely entertaining.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1289 % 2,486.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1289 % 4,769.8
Floater 5.00 % 5.04 % 39,136 15.47 3 0.1289 % 2,748.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2247 % 3,493.3
SplitShare 4.87 % 5.06 % 47,777 3.17 8 -0.2247 % 4,171.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2247 % 3,254.9
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2773 % 2,846.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.99 % 6.06 % 67,482 13.84 34 0.2773 % 3,103.5
FixedReset Disc 4.75 % 6.42 % 111,564 13.59 56 0.2783 % 2,482.9
Insurance Straight 5.99 % 6.07 % 87,987 13.81 18 0.2213 % 3,002.6
FloatingReset 6.16 % 6.53 % 43,756 13.17 2 0.1576 % 2,578.6
FixedReset Prem 5.00 % 4.42 % 127,839 1.96 10 0.2218 % 2,608.2
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2783 % 2,538.1
FixedReset Ins Non 4.75 % 6.70 % 59,055 13.27 14 0.3300 % 2,565.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -3.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 16.87
Evaluated at bid price : 16.87
Bid-YTW : 7.08 %
RY.PR.O Perpetual-Discount -2.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 22.93
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
PVS.PR.K SplitShare -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2029-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 5.79 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 19.47
Evaluated at bid price : 19.47
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 17.78
Evaluated at bid price : 17.78
Bid-YTW : 7.63 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 24.25
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
TD.PF.M FixedReset Prem 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.06
Bid-YTW : 4.84 %
PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Discount 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 23.63
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 17.03
Evaluated at bid price : 17.03
Bid-YTW : 7.39 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 21.49
Evaluated at bid price : 21.49
Bid-YTW : 6.40 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 18.66
Evaluated at bid price : 18.66
Bid-YTW : 7.03 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 21.27
Evaluated at bid price : 21.27
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 22.70
Evaluated at bid price : 23.33
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
GWO.PR.G Insurance Straight 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.45
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
GWO.PR.Y Insurance Straight 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 19.08
Evaluated at bid price : 19.08
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 15.85
Evaluated at bid price : 15.85
Bid-YTW : 7.70 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 22.26
Evaluated at bid price : 23.02
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 23.29
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset Disc 1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 18.90
Evaluated at bid price : 18.90
Bid-YTW : 6.89 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 21.49
Evaluated at bid price : 21.49
Bid-YTW : 6.44 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 4.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 18.71
Evaluated at bid price : 18.71
Bid-YTW : 7.03 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 250,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 3.87 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc 59,108 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 20.55
Evaluated at bid price : 20.55
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %
BMO.PR.D FixedReset Disc 33,522 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 24.01
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight 22,898 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 21.38
Evaluated at bid price : 21.38
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 20,006 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 23.91
Evaluated at bid price : 24.15
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 16,892 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 20.70
Evaluated at bid price : 20.70
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
There were 4 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
CU.PR.J Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.00 – 21.99
Spot Rate : 1.9900
Average : 1.2848

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %

BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.85 – 25.20
Spot Rate : 1.3500
Average : 0.8519

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 23.44
Evaluated at bid price : 23.85
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %

IFC.PR.K Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.90 – 23.49
Spot Rate : 1.5900
Average : 1.2331

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 21.58
Evaluated at bid price : 21.90
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %

EIT.PR.A SplitShare Quote: 25.27 – 26.27
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.7096

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2024-03-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 12.40 – 13.25
Spot Rate : 0.8500
Average : 0.6005

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 12.40
Evaluated at bid price : 12.40
Bid-YTW : 7.97 %

RY.PR.O Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.20 – 23.85
Spot Rate : 0.6500
Average : 0.4732

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-07-08
Maturity Price : 22.93
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %

2 Responses to “July 8, 2022”

  1. fsabbagh says:

    Agree that lawsuit will be entertaining. Musk is gonna have a tough time winning in Delaware. Not a lawyer but have been reading that he is extremely unlikely to win. Have purchased a few shares based on that.

  2. moooooo says:

    While your reasoning makes sense fsabbagh, the big discount of the share price vs the 54$ says otherwise. Seems the big players out there have a different opinion than you and it is likely that some shares changed hand from big players to retail investors, which is probably not a buying signal. Also, Musk has become a political figure in a very partisan media landscape in US/Canada, so I am unsure about the news you are reading. Anyway, lots of fun in perspective, even more entertaining for you with money at stake 😉

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