The US inflation number came in higher than expected:
Prices rose 8.3 percent from a year earlier, a rapid pace of increase for consumers and not as much of a slowdown as economists had expected, even as gas prices dropped and weighed on the overall numbers. At the same time, so-called core inflation re-accelerated notably in August. That measure strips out volatile food and fuel prices to give a better sense of underlying trends, and it tracks products like clothing and furniture along with an array of services.
The core gauge climbed by 6.3 percent in the year through August, compared with 5.9 percent in July. That pickup came partly because the August price gains are being measured against a relatively weak reading from the same month in 2021. When inflation is measured against a lower year-ago number, or “base,” it tends to appear faster.
But the report’s details also offered signs that underlying inflation pressures remain significant. While gas prices and used car and truck costs have begun to dip, other prices are rising fast enough to fully offset those declines: Prices climbed by 0.1 percent on a headline basis over the course of the past month as prices for meals at restaurants, rents and new vehicles picked up.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1276.37 points, or 3.9 per cent, marking its worst one-day sell-off in more than two years. Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index fell nearly 1.8 per cent.
Bond yields jumped and gold prices fell, battering typical investing havens when stocks turn volatile. And the Canadian dollar slipped below 76 US cents, touching its lowest level since November 2020.
…
U.S. financials fell 3.8 per cent and industrials fell 3.8 per cent. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index fell 5.2 per cent, with Apple Inc. down 5.9 per cent.In Canada, Toronto-Dominion Bank fell 2.3 per cent and Shopify Inc. fell 5.8 per cent.
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond rose above 3.4 per cent, or close to its recent multiyear high of 3.48 per in mid-June (bond yields and bond prices move in opposite directions), which signals market expectations that the Fed’s battle with inflation isn’t over.
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices Values are provisional and are finalized monthly |
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Index | Mean Current Yield (at bid) |
Median YTW |
Median Average Trading Value |
Median Mod Dur (YTW) |
Issues | Day’s Perf. | Index Value |
Ratchet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.0759 % | 2,531.4 |
FixedFloater | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.0759 % | 4,855.2 |
Floater | 7.24 % | 7.41 % | 59,920 | 11.90 | 2 | -0.0759 % | 2,798.1 |
OpRet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.1321 % | 3,456.9 |
SplitShare | 4.92 % | 5.37 % | 30,415 | 2.98 | 8 | 0.1321 % | 4,128.3 |
Interest-Bearing | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.1321 % | 3,221.0 |
Perpetual-Premium | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.7943 % | 2,791.2 |
Perpetual-Discount | 6.10 % | 6.27 % | 61,293 | 13.43 | 35 | -0.7943 % | 3,043.6 |
FixedReset Disc | 4.78 % | 6.45 % | 91,178 | 13.36 | 58 | -0.7321 % | 2,475.2 |
Insurance Straight | 6.10 % | 6.11 % | 78,115 | 13.71 | 19 | -0.5304 % | 2,948.3 |
FloatingReset | 7.87 % | 8.06 % | 37,844 | 11.37 | 2 | 0.1246 % | 2,607.9 |
FixedReset Prem | 5.15 % | 5.30 % | 108,938 | 1.77 | 6 | -0.2779 % | 2,571.0 |
FixedReset Bank Non | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.7321 % | 2,530.2 |
FixedReset Ins Non | 4.85 % | 6.99 % | 50,564 | 12.98 | 14 | -1.1141 % | 2,516.5 |
Performance Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Change | Notes |
MFC.PR.Q | FixedReset Ins Non | -9.24 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.42 Evaluated at bid price : 20.42 Bid-YTW : 7.13 % |
CU.PR.J | Perpetual-Discount | -7.69 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 18.00 Evaluated at bid price : 18.00 Bid-YTW : 6.67 % |
BAM.PR.R | FixedReset Disc | -5.65 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 15.52 Evaluated at bid price : 15.52 Bid-YTW : 8.13 % |
BNS.PR.I | FixedReset Disc | -3.09 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 23.04 Evaluated at bid price : 23.50 Bid-YTW : 6.07 % |
IFC.PR.K | Perpetual-Discount | -2.89 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 21.51 Evaluated at bid price : 21.51 Bid-YTW : 6.24 % |
CU.PR.H | Perpetual-Discount | -2.43 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 21.27 Evaluated at bid price : 21.27 Bid-YTW : 6.23 % |
BMO.PR.W | FixedReset Disc | -2.22 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.68 Evaluated at bid price : 20.68 Bid-YTW : 6.44 % |
TRP.PR.A | FixedReset Disc | -2.15 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 15.46 Evaluated at bid price : 15.46 Bid-YTW : 7.95 % |
IAF.PR.I | FixedReset Ins Non | -2.09 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 22.26 Evaluated at bid price : 23.01 Bid-YTW : 6.49 % |
CU.PR.E | Perpetual-Discount | -1.95 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.10 Evaluated at bid price : 20.10 Bid-YTW : 6.16 % |
RY.PR.M | FixedReset Disc | -1.80 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.72 Evaluated at bid price : 20.72 Bid-YTW : 6.48 % |
TD.PF.J | FixedReset Disc | -1.68 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 23.37 Evaluated at bid price : 24.06 Bid-YTW : 6.23 % |
RY.PR.Z | FixedReset Disc | -1.60 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.96 Evaluated at bid price : 20.96 Bid-YTW : 6.40 % |
BMO.PR.S | FixedReset Disc | -1.57 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 21.36 Evaluated at bid price : 21.36 Bid-YTW : 6.42 % |
MIC.PR.A | Perpetual-Discount | -1.52 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.75 Evaluated at bid price : 20.75 Bid-YTW : 6.66 % |
SLF.PR.C | Insurance Straight | -1.42 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 18.70 Evaluated at bid price : 18.70 Bid-YTW : 5.97 % |
TD.PF.B | FixedReset Disc | -1.42 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.80 Evaluated at bid price : 20.80 Bid-YTW : 6.50 % |
PVS.PR.H | SplitShare | -1.41 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2027-02-28 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.50 Bid-YTW : 5.26 % |
BAM.PF.E | FixedReset Disc | -1.28 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 17.71 Evaluated at bid price : 17.71 Bid-YTW : 7.76 % |
RY.PR.S | FixedReset Disc | -1.26 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 23.01 Evaluated at bid price : 23.45 Bid-YTW : 6.00 % |
CM.PR.O | FixedReset Disc | -1.24 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.69 Evaluated at bid price : 20.69 Bid-YTW : 6.56 % |
CM.PR.P | FixedReset Disc | -1.19 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.75 Evaluated at bid price : 20.75 Bid-YTW : 6.42 % |
GWO.PR.R | Insurance Straight | -1.18 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 19.25 Evaluated at bid price : 19.25 Bid-YTW : 6.26 % |
BIP.PR.E | FixedReset Disc | -1.09 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 22.09 Evaluated at bid price : 22.72 Bid-YTW : 6.86 % |
BAM.PR.N | Perpetual-Discount | -1.07 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 19.35 Evaluated at bid price : 19.35 Bid-YTW : 6.28 % |
BIP.PR.A | FixedReset Disc | -1.05 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 18.80 Evaluated at bid price : 18.80 Bid-YTW : 8.37 % |
TD.PF.C | FixedReset Disc | -1.05 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.78 Evaluated at bid price : 20.78 Bid-YTW : 6.45 % |
BMO.PR.T | FixedReset Disc | -1.05 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.83 Evaluated at bid price : 20.83 Bid-YTW : 6.42 % |
MFC.PR.B | Insurance Straight | -1.03 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 19.20 Evaluated at bid price : 19.20 Bid-YTW : 6.09 % |
PVS.PR.J | SplitShare | 2.23 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2028-02-29 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 22.90 Bid-YTW : 6.29 % |
Volume Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Shares Traded |
Notes |
CU.PR.C | FixedReset Disc | 38,400 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 21.58 Evaluated at bid price : 21.90 Bid-YTW : 6.37 % |
TD.PF.E | FixedReset Disc | 23,900 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 21.80 Evaluated at bid price : 22.08 Bid-YTW : 6.38 % |
CU.PR.I | FixedReset Disc | 22,900 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2025-12-01 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.56 Bid-YTW : 3.82 % |
TD.PF.M | FixedReset Prem | 11,300 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2024-07-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.00 Bid-YTW : 5.48 % |
RY.PR.Z | FixedReset Disc | 10,200 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2052-09-13 Maturity Price : 20.96 Evaluated at bid price : 20.96 Bid-YTW : 6.40 % |
There were 0 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares. |
Wide Spread Highlights | ||
Issue | Index | Quote Data and Yield Notes |
MIC.PR.A | Perpetual-Discount | Quote: 20.75 – 28.99 Spot Rate : 8.2400 Average : 5.0093 YTW SCENARIO |
MFC.PR.Q | FixedReset Ins Non | Quote: 20.42 – 23.00 Spot Rate : 2.5800 Average : 1.5678 YTW SCENARIO |
CU.PR.J | Perpetual-Discount | Quote: 18.00 – 19.67 Spot Rate : 1.6700 Average : 1.0306 YTW SCENARIO |
BAM.PR.R | FixedReset Disc | Quote: 15.52 – 16.98 Spot Rate : 1.4600 Average : 0.9482 YTW SCENARIO |
IFC.PR.I | Perpetual-Discount | Quote: 22.36 – 24.10 Spot Rate : 1.7400 Average : 1.3389 YTW SCENARIO |
CU.PR.F | Perpetual-Discount | Quote: 18.60 – 24.43 Spot Rate : 5.8300 Average : 5.5821 YTW SCENARIO |
a proxy for “neutral” fed policy is the 2 year rate. at 3.83% today, the fed is still massively behind the curve. restrictive would be at least 50 bpts above.
so 4.25-4.50%. only then will they slow down “inflation”. this won’t stop until we have a very hard landing.