December 19, 2022

TXPR closed at 540.84, down 0.72% on the day and setting a new 52-week low of 540.55. Volume today was 3.38-million, highest of the past 21 trading days.

CPD closed at 10.78, down 1.64% on the day. Volume was 205,080, second-highest of the past 21 trading days.

ZPR closed at 8.96, down 1.32% on the day; the close is a new 52-week low. Volume was 387,830, fourth-highest of the past 21 trading days.

Five-year Canada yields were up a bit to 2.98% today.

Equities got hit again today, with the chattering class blaming the usual suspects:

U.S. and Canadian equities closed lower on Monday for a fourth straight session, with Nasdaq leading declines, as investors shied away from riskier bets, worried the Federal Reserve’s tightening campaign could push the U.S. economy into a recession. All major sectors on the TSX ended with losses, with Algonquin Power and Utilities falling to its lowest point in more than seven years after an analyst cut his price target on the utility.

Major North American stock indexes have been under pressure since Wednesday, when Fed Chair Jerome Powell took a hawkish tone while the central bank raised interest rates. Powell promised further rate increases even as data showed signs of a weakening economy.

The S&P 500, the Dow Jones industrials and the Nasdaq have sold off sharply for December and are on track for their biggest annual declines since the 2008 financial crisis.

I feel that a sigificant contributor to preferred market losses in the month to date has been pressure from tax loss sellers – those individuals who are so often happy to take an additional loss of $1.00 if it will save them a dime in taxes.

It this is correct, then we may be heading for a reprise of December, 2008; losses had of course been very heavy in the preceding year and tax loss selling was very popular. So the market popped as soon as trades started having 2009 settlement dates and the selling pressure came off. We see the same effect, although not as nicely, in 2015, which was the other bad year for which I have convenient records.

Some Assiduous Readers might be amused to learn that the TXPR price index in 2008 was in the 650-700 range, while in 2022 it’s in the 545-560 range – call it a little over one-sixth lower. In 2015, price levels were intermediate.

So anyway, what I’m suggesting is that there is a chance of a market pop on December 29 and 30 of this year, when trades will start settling in 2023 and losses will no longer count towards 2022 taxes. Far be it from me to suggest such a crazy notion as market timing, but risk avoidance is another matter – those investors who are currently underweight preferred shares (relative to their desired allocation) may consider it prudent to rebalance prior to December 29, rather than waiting until the new year. Note that the market may well be relatively illiquid in the last week of the year.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.0990 % 2,375.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.0990 % 4,556.6
Floater 9.13 % 9.08 % 45,579 10.36 2 -2.0990 % 2,626.0
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.2646 % 3,182.1
SplitShare 5.34 % 8.43 % 61,209 2.73 8 -1.2646 % 3,800.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.2646 % 2,965.0
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2324 % 2,644.9
Perpetual-Discount 6.44 % 6.58 % 103,939 13.03 35 -0.2324 % 2,884.1
FixedReset Disc 5.59 % 7.42 % 101,966 12.24 62 -0.8514 % 2,149.6
Insurance Straight 6.44 % 6.54 % 120,105 13.20 20 -0.0624 % 2,790.7
FloatingReset 9.73 % 9.36 % 35,300 10.10 2 0.0000 % 2,471.5
FixedReset Prem 6.60 % 6.45 % 194,435 12.79 2 -0.1188 % 2,379.5
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.8514 % 2,197.3
FixedReset Ins Non 5.60 % 7.60 % 63,414 12.31 14 -0.4618 % 2,245.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PVS.PR.G SplitShare -5.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2026-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.39
Bid-YTW : 10.46 %
BN.PF.I FixedReset Disc -4.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.71
Evaluated at bid price : 22.06
Bid-YTW : 7.31 %
BN.PR.B Floater -3.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 12.20
Evaluated at bid price : 12.20
Bid-YTW : 9.32 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc -3.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 7.74 %
BN.PF.A FixedReset Disc -3.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.38
Evaluated at bid price : 18.38
Bid-YTW : 8.01 %
BN.PF.E FixedReset Disc -3.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 15.08
Evaluated at bid price : 15.08
Bid-YTW : 8.68 %
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc -2.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.16
Evaluated at bid price : 20.16
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
BN.PF.J FixedReset Disc -2.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 22.10
Evaluated at bid price : 22.70
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
BN.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -2.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.80
Evaluated at bid price : 17.80
Bid-YTW : 6.71 %
PVS.PR.H SplitShare -2.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2027-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.40
Bid-YTW : 9.00 %
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc -2.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 15.10
Evaluated at bid price : 15.10
Bid-YTW : 7.88 %
BN.PF.B FixedReset Disc -2.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.51
Evaluated at bid price : 16.51
Bid-YTW : 8.40 %
BN.PR.T FixedReset Disc -2.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 14.65
Evaluated at bid price : 14.65
Bid-YTW : 8.33 %
BN.PF.F FixedReset Disc -2.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.43
Evaluated at bid price : 16.43
Bid-YTW : 8.59 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 11.68
Evaluated at bid price : 11.68
Bid-YTW : 8.53 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.60
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 7.46 %
RY.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.90
Evaluated at bid price : 19.90
Bid-YTW : 6.77 %
NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.42
Evaluated at bid price : 19.42
Bid-YTW : 7.25 %
BN.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.84
Evaluated at bid price : 17.84
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
PVS.PR.K SplitShare -1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2029-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.18
Bid-YTW : 8.47 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.51 %
CM.PR.Y FixedReset Disc -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 24.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.06
Evaluated at bid price : 17.06
Bid-YTW : 7.50 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %
BN.PR.R FixedReset Disc -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 14.08
Evaluated at bid price : 14.08
Bid-YTW : 8.50 %
BN.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.23
Evaluated at bid price : 18.23
Bid-YTW : 6.76 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.40
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 7.77 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.05
Evaluated at bid price : 18.05
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.88
Evaluated at bid price : 18.88
Bid-YTW : 7.15 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 6.81 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.56
Evaluated at bid price : 19.56
Bid-YTW : 7.21 %
CU.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
IFC.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 6.31 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.25
Evaluated at bid price : 17.25
Bid-YTW : 7.73 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.35
Evaluated at bid price : 17.35
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.40
Evaluated at bid price : 17.40
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.01
Evaluated at bid price : 17.01
Bid-YTW : 7.53 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.14
Evaluated at bid price : 19.14
Bid-YTW : 7.09 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 13.75
Evaluated at bid price : 13.75
Bid-YTW : 8.59 %
MIC.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.45
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
BN.PF.C Perpetual-Discount -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.23
Evaluated at bid price : 18.23
Bid-YTW : 6.69 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.51
Evaluated at bid price : 20.51
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
BMO.PR.F FixedReset Disc 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 23.57
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset Disc 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 12.30
Evaluated at bid price : 12.30
Bid-YTW : 8.17 %
IAF.PR.B Insurance Straight 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.76
Evaluated at bid price : 18.76
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.55
Evaluated at bid price : 19.55
Bid-YTW : 6.53 %
BN.PF.H FixedReset Disc 3.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 22.72
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 7.16 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 212,346 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 7.74 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc 70,118 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.78
Evaluated at bid price : 19.78
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
GWO.PR.R Insurance Straight 68,970 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.38
Evaluated at bid price : 18.38
Bid-YTW : 6.57 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount 60,146 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.55
Evaluated at bid price : 18.55
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 49,984 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.01
Evaluated at bid price : 17.01
Bid-YTW : 7.53 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc 49,564 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.51
Evaluated at bid price : 20.51
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
There were 82 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PVS.PR.G SplitShare Quote: 21.39 – 23.25
Spot Rate : 1.8600
Average : 1.0621

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2026-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.39
Bid-YTW : 10.46 %

PVS.PR.I SplitShare Quote: 22.77 – 23.80
Spot Rate : 1.0300
Average : 0.5992

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.77
Bid-YTW : 8.43 %

PVS.PR.K SplitShare Quote: 20.18 – 21.24
Spot Rate : 1.0600
Average : 0.6820

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2029-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.18
Bid-YTW : 8.47 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.00 – 19.99
Spot Rate : 0.9900
Average : 0.6272

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %

BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.45 – 20.40
Spot Rate : 0.9500
Average : 0.6436

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 7.74 %

MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.90 – 19.60
Spot Rate : 0.7000
Average : 0.4142

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.90
Evaluated at bid price : 18.90
Bid-YTW : 7.36 %

One Response to “December 19, 2022”

  1. Nestor says:

    the shocker of the day was the BoJ expanding it’s target rate today. wow

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