January 11, 2023

https://prefblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/rainbow_230111.jpeg

TXPR closed at 580.54, up 0.76% on the day. Volume today was 1.82-million, well above the median of the past 21 trading days.

CPD closed at 11.55, up 0.78% on the day. Volume was 92,520, well below the median of the past 21 trading days.

ZPR closed at 9.59, up 0.63% on the day. Volume was 205,840, below the median of the past 21 trading days.

Five-year Canada yields were down 10bp to 3.16% today.

The omniscient pundits tell us:

U.S. stocks ended up sharply on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gaining more than 1% each as investors were optimistic ahead of an inflation report that could give the Federal Reserve room to dial back on its aggressive interest rate hikes. The TSX rose to its highest level in more than five weeks, led by a 2% jump in the real estate sector, attracting buyers as U.S. and Canadian bond yields declined.

The much-anticipated report due on Thursday is projected by economists polled by Reuters to show U.S. consumer prices grew 6.5% year-on-year in December, moderating from a 7.1% rise in November.

Benchmark stock indexes are up this year after falling sharply last year. Hopes that the Fed could soon ease back on its aggressive tightening after raising the federal funds rate seven times in 2022 have boosted the market in recent sessions, even as comments by some Fed officials have supported the view that the central bank needs to remain vigilant about raising rates to fight inflation.

Canadian and U.S. government bond yields fell across a flatter curve. The 10-year was down 11.2 basis points at 3.008%, its lowest level since Dec. 21. That helped to give a boost to the real estate sector, made up of relatively high yielding securities that struggle when yields rise on competing investments in the bond market.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 6.21%, equivalent to 8.07% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yielded 5.11% on 2023-1-6 and since then the closing price has changed from 15.04 to 15.19, an increase of 100bp in price, with a Duration of 12.24 (BMO doesn’t specify whether this is Macaulay or Modified Duration; I will assume Modified) which implies a decline in yield of about 8bp since 1/6 to 5.05%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has declined to about 300bp from the 330bp reported January 4.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3855 % 2,502.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3855 % 4,799.9
Floater 8.67 % 8.77 % 42,922 10.62 2 0.3855 % 2,766.2
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1722 % 3,339.0
SplitShare 5.04 % 7.14 % 65,886 2.85 7 0.1722 % 3,987.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1722 % 3,111.2
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2158 % 2,772.9
Perpetual-Discount 6.14 % 6.21 % 93,745 13.63 35 0.2158 % 3,023.8
FixedReset Disc 5.30 % 7.18 % 97,225 12.36 62 0.0502 % 2,283.6
Insurance Straight 6.00 % 6.16 % 108,215 13.68 20 -0.0825 % 2,992.9
FloatingReset 9.67 % 10.12 % 43,829 9.45 2 0.7365 % 2,553.5
FixedReset Prem 6.62 % 6.14 % 178,885 4.12 2 0.0397 % 2,374.8
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0502 % 2,334.3
FixedReset Ins Non 5.40 % 7.14 % 59,456 12.56 14 0.6264 % 2,388.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -4.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 17.90
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc -4.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 7.66 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc -3.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 8.28 %
BIK.PR.A FixedReset Disc -3.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 23.55
Evaluated at bid price : 24.03
Bid-YTW : 7.44 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc -2.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 18.18
Evaluated at bid price : 18.18
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
TD.PF.L FixedReset Disc -1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 23.54
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 6.68 %
TD.PF.M FixedReset Disc -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.61
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
GWO.PR.Y Insurance Straight -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 18.39
Evaluated at bid price : 18.39
Bid-YTW : 7.18 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 7.22 %
IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 21.27
Evaluated at bid price : 21.27
Bid-YTW : 6.17 %
MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 19.70
Evaluated at bid price : 19.70
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
MIC.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 18.80
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 7.26 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 13.25
Evaluated at bid price : 13.25
Bid-YTW : 7.81 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 13.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.00
Bid-YTW : 8.14 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 20.44
Evaluated at bid price : 20.44
Bid-YTW : 7.14 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 16.55
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 8.30 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 11.80
Evaluated at bid price : 11.80
Bid-YTW : 8.55 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 21.12
Evaluated at bid price : 21.12
Bid-YTW : 6.90 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %
GWO.PR.G Insurance Straight 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 21.31
Evaluated at bid price : 21.31
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 17.76
Evaluated at bid price : 17.76
Bid-YTW : 7.41 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 15.55
Evaluated at bid price : 15.55
Bid-YTW : 9.51 %
CCS.PR.C Insurance Straight 1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 20.80
Evaluated at bid price : 20.80
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc 1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 21.36
Evaluated at bid price : 21.66
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 21.60
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 7.29 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 6.96 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 2.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 14.92
Evaluated at bid price : 14.92
Bid-YTW : 8.33 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non 2.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 15.85
Evaluated at bid price : 15.85
Bid-YTW : 7.62 %
BMO.PR.F FixedReset Disc 2.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Disc 2.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 18.60
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 7.18 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc 3.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 19.13
Evaluated at bid price : 19.13
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 66,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 13.25
Evaluated at bid price : 13.25
Bid-YTW : 7.81 %
BN.PF.F FixedReset Disc 64,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 17.47
Evaluated at bid price : 17.47
Bid-YTW : 8.45 %
TD.PF.M FixedReset Disc 54,075 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.61
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
BMO.PR.F FixedReset Disc 29,311 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 28,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 22.42
Evaluated at bid price : 23.22
Bid-YTW : 6.57 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 27,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 17.76
Evaluated at bid price : 17.76
Bid-YTW : 7.41 %
There were 18 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.35 – 22.15
Spot Rate : 2.8000
Average : 1.8159

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %

CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.50 – 19.95
Spot Rate : 2.4500
Average : 1.4863

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 7.66 %

MFC.PR.B Insurance Straight Quote: 20.25 – 21.99
Spot Rate : 1.7400
Average : 1.1295

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %

BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc Quote: 18.18 – 19.50
Spot Rate : 1.3200
Average : 0.8591

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 18.18
Evaluated at bid price : 18.18
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %

BIK.PR.A FixedReset Disc Quote: 24.03 – 25.00
Spot Rate : 0.9700
Average : 0.5986

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 23.55
Evaluated at bid price : 24.03
Bid-YTW : 7.44 %

PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.33 – 22.50
Spot Rate : 1.1700
Average : 0.8395

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-01-11
Maturity Price : 21.33
Evaluated at bid price : 21.33
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %

One Response to “January 11, 2023”

  1. […] PerpetualDiscounts now yield 6.00%, equivalent to 7.80% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yielded 5.11% on 2023-1-6 and since then the closing price has changed from 15.04 to 15.67, an increase of 419bp in price, with a Duration of 12.24 (BMO doesn’t specify whether this is Macaulay or Modified Duration; I will assume Modified) which implies a decline in yield of about 34bp since 1/6 to 4.77%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has widened slightly (and perhaps spuriously) to about 305bp from the 300bp reported January 11. […]

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.