February 8, 2023

The BoC published its minutes:

Until Wednesday, the Bank of Canada stood apart from peer central banks in not publishing some form of rate-decision meeting minutes. In a paper published last month, the bank’s own staff ranked it last among nine peer central banks for the depth and breadth of information released after rate announcements.

The bank had long maintained that its consensus form of decision-making made meeting minutes unnecessary. Governing council members don’t formally vote on monetary policy decisions, rather they offer opinions to the governor who has final decision-making authority. That is in contrast to the U.S. Federal Reserve, where monetary policy is decided based on votes by members of the Federal Open Market Committee.

Ultimately, the Bank of Canada changed its mind after a review of its transparency practices by the International Monetary Fund last year. The summary published Wednesday is considerably less detailed than Fed meeting minutes.

The document mostly reiterated comments made by Mr. Macklem in recent speeches and news conferences.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 6.03%, equivalent to 7.84% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yielded 4.89% on 2023-1-27 and since then the closing price has changed from 15.49 to 15.34, a decline of 97bp in price, with a Duration of 12.35 (BMO doesn’t specify whether this is Macaulay or Modified Duration; I will assume Modified) which implies an increase in yield of about 8bp since 1/27 to 4.97%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has narrowed slightly (and perhaps spuriously) to about 285bp from the 290bp reported February 1.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0000 % 2,571.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0000 % 4,932.6
Floater 8.76 % 8.93 % 53,701 10.40 2 0.0000 % 2,842.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2397 % 3,429.8
SplitShare 4.90 % 6.45 % 57,274 2.78 7 0.2397 % 4,095.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2397 % 3,195.8
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1563 % 2,862.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.96 % 6.03 % 77,410 13.85 37 0.1563 % 3,121.9
FixedReset Disc 5.30 % 7.20 % 87,755 12.47 59 0.5545 % 2,299.1
Insurance Straight 5.83 % 5.98 % 89,566 13.86 20 -0.0448 % 3,082.3
FloatingReset 9.72 % 10.24 % 37,363 9.29 2 0.0000 % 2,573.8
FixedReset Prem 6.33 % 6.27 % 195,596 4.05 2 -0.0590 % 2,396.6
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5545 % 2,350.2
FixedReset Ins Non 5.34 % 7.11 % 51,760 12.56 14 0.6189 % 2,417.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight -7.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 18.53
Evaluated at bid price : 18.53
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 19.10
Evaluated at bid price : 19.10
Bid-YTW : 6.04 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc -1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 20.80
Evaluated at bid price : 20.80
Bid-YTW : 7.41 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 21.57
Evaluated at bid price : 21.93
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 20.70
Evaluated at bid price : 20.70
Bid-YTW : 6.22 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Disc 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 22.16
Evaluated at bid price : 22.81
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 18.78
Evaluated at bid price : 18.78
Bid-YTW : 8.48 %
BN.PF.C Perpetual-Discount 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 19.71
Evaluated at bid price : 19.71
Bid-YTW : 6.25 %
BIP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 20.55
Evaluated at bid price : 20.55
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 18.20
Evaluated at bid price : 18.20
Bid-YTW : 7.23 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 11.82
Evaluated at bid price : 11.82
Bid-YTW : 8.54 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 20.70
Evaluated at bid price : 20.70
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 18.01
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 7.35 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 16.55
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 8.31 %
IFC.PR.F Insurance Straight 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 22.17
Evaluated at bid price : 22.44
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
IFC.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 22.06
Evaluated at bid price : 22.35
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 19.52
Evaluated at bid price : 19.52
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 17.54
Evaluated at bid price : 17.54
Bid-YTW : 7.57 %
BN.PF.A FixedReset Disc 1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 20.55
Evaluated at bid price : 20.55
Bid-YTW : 7.50 %
PVS.PR.K SplitShare 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2029-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.85
Bid-YTW : 6.31 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 12.69
Evaluated at bid price : 12.69
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 2.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.99 %
BN.PR.R FixedReset Disc 2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 15.34
Evaluated at bid price : 15.34
Bid-YTW : 8.19 %
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc 2.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 16.79
Evaluated at bid price : 16.79
Bid-YTW : 7.40 %
BN.PR.T FixedReset Disc 2.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 15.95
Evaluated at bid price : 15.95
Bid-YTW : 8.01 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 2.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 6.91 %
BN.PF.G FixedReset Disc 3.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 16.95
Evaluated at bid price : 16.95
Bid-YTW : 8.32 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc 4.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.M FixedReset Disc 89,573 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.60
Bid-YTW : 6.38 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non 50,626 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 17.95
Evaluated at bid price : 17.95
Bid-YTW : 7.56 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc 49,761 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 18.01
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 7.35 %
TD.PF.L FixedReset Disc 35,565 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 23.58
Evaluated at bid price : 24.05
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 33,910 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 18.87
Evaluated at bid price : 18.87
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 33,075 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 17.45
Evaluated at bid price : 17.45
Bid-YTW : 7.63 %
There were 15 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight Quote: 18.53 – 20.39
Spot Rate : 1.8600
Average : 1.1488

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 18.53
Evaluated at bid price : 18.53
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %

BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.79 – 18.60
Spot Rate : 1.8100
Average : 1.1312

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 16.79
Evaluated at bid price : 16.79
Bid-YTW : 7.40 %

BN.PF.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.69 – 18.80
Spot Rate : 1.1100
Average : 0.7041

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 17.69
Evaluated at bid price : 17.69
Bid-YTW : 8.23 %

CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.19 – 21.59
Spot Rate : 1.4000
Average : 1.0497

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 20.19
Evaluated at bid price : 20.19
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %

BN.PF.F FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.95 – 18.80
Spot Rate : 0.8500
Average : 0.5393

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 17.95
Evaluated at bid price : 17.95
Bid-YTW : 8.25 %

PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.70 – 22.03
Spot Rate : 1.3300
Average : 1.0301

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-02-08
Maturity Price : 20.70
Evaluated at bid price : 20.70
Bid-YTW : 6.22 %

3 Responses to “February 8, 2023”

  1. […] PerpetualDiscounts now yield 6.05%, equivalent to 7.86% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yielded 5.06% on 2023-2-10 and since then the closing price has changed from 15.03 to 14.82, a decline of 140bp in price, with a Duration of 12.32 (BMO doesn’t specify whether this is Macaulay or Modified Duration; I will assume Modified) which implies an increase in yield of about 11bp since 2/10 to 5.17%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has narrowed to about 270bp from the 285bp reported February 8. […]

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