December 19, 2023

It seems inflation isn’t quite dead yet:

Canada’s inflation rate unexpectedly held steady in November as the services sector put upward pressure on consumer prices, a slight hiccup as the Bank of Canada looks to tame inflation.

The Consumer Price Index rose 3.1 per cent in November from a year earlier, matching October’s increase, Statistics Canada said Tuesday in a report. Analysts on Bay Street were expecting the inflation rate to ease to 2.9 per cent.

On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.1 per cent in November, whereas analysts were expecting a slim decline.

Beneath the surface, however, there were signs of progress. Various core measures of inflation – which remove volatile price movements from the CPI – continued to slow.

The services side of the economy is a major source of inflationary pressure. Over all, prices for services rose 4.6 per cent in November from a year earlier, matching the increase in October.

Rents climbed by 7.4 per cent over the past year, down from 8.1 per cent in October, but still well above typical levels. Mortgage interest costs are still rising by around 30 per cent, year over year.

Grocery prices rose 4.7 per cent on an annual basis – the first reading below 5 per cent since November, 2021. This moderation was foreshadowed by pricing at earlier stages of the supply chain.

One of the more promising signs in Tuesday’s report is that some measures of core inflation are simmering down. The Bank of Canada’s preferred measures – CPI-median and CPI-trim – rose at three-month annualized rates of 2.3 per cent and 2.6 per cent, respectively. They were in the 3.5-per-cent range in recent months.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4484 % 2,164.4
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4484 % 4,151.4
Floater 11.25 % 11.30 % 55,064 8.64 2 0.4484 % 2,392.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0425 % 3,368.5
SplitShare 4.99 % 7.69 % 57,518 1.76 8 0.0425 % 4,022.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0425 % 3,138.7
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0371 % 2,527.1
Perpetual-Discount 6.80 % 6.99 % 61,380 12.48 33 0.0371 % 2,755.7
FixedReset Disc 5.90 % 7.88 % 126,244 11.75 60 -0.2444 % 2,205.2
Insurance Straight 6.68 % 6.85 % 78,625 12.79 19 0.3612 % 2,708.1
FloatingReset 10.82 % 10.91 % 34,973 8.91 3 -0.8220 % 2,442.1
FixedReset Prem 6.94 % 6.76 % 166,870 12.54 1 0.7968 % 2,521.3
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2444 % 2,254.1
FixedReset Ins Non 5.80 % 7.48 % 104,992 12.35 14 -0.6959 % 2,451.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -14.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 15.11
Evaluated at bid price : 15.11
Bid-YTW : 8.30 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc -5.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.01
Evaluated at bid price : 16.01
Bid-YTW : 10.27 %
BN.PF.I FixedReset Disc -3.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.46
Evaluated at bid price : 18.46
Bid-YTW : 9.17 %
FFH.PR.D FloatingReset -2.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.40
Evaluated at bid price : 19.40
Bid-YTW : 10.74 %
BN.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 14.72
Evaluated at bid price : 14.72
Bid-YTW : 9.67 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 7.88 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset Disc -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.75
Evaluated at bid price : 16.75
Bid-YTW : 8.13 %
BIK.PR.A FixedReset Disc -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.77
Evaluated at bid price : 22.20
Bid-YTW : 8.24 %
BN.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.78
Evaluated at bid price : 16.78
Bid-YTW : 7.35 %
BN.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 14.10
Evaluated at bid price : 14.10
Bid-YTW : 9.25 %
GWO.PR.P Insurance Straight -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.74
Evaluated at bid price : 19.74
Bid-YTW : 6.88 %
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 14.30
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 8.78 %
PVS.PR.I SplitShare 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 7.81 %
SLF.PR.E Insurance Straight 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.82
Evaluated at bid price : 17.82
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.46
Evaluated at bid price : 18.46
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
SLF.PR.D Insurance Straight 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.77
Evaluated at bid price : 17.77
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
CU.PR.I FixedReset Disc 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.63
Evaluated at bid price : 20.63
Bid-YTW : 8.17 %
NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
GWO.PR.Y Insurance Straight 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.10
Evaluated at bid price : 17.10
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %
IFC.PR.F Insurance Straight 2.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.32
Evaluated at bid price : 19.32
Bid-YTW : 6.90 %
CCS.PR.C Insurance Straight 2.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.72
Evaluated at bid price : 18.72
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 3.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.66
Evaluated at bid price : 16.66
Bid-YTW : 7.53 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non 90,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 15.11
Evaluated at bid price : 15.11
Bid-YTW : 8.30 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 70,914 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.78
Evaluated at bid price : 17.78
Bid-YTW : 7.80 %
NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc 59,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 55,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 17.90
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 7.92 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 50,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.66
Evaluated at bid price : 16.66
Bid-YTW : 7.53 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc 42,978 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.15
Evaluated at bid price : 19.15
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
There were 23 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 15.11 – 18.05
Spot Rate : 2.9400
Average : 1.7667

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 15.11
Evaluated at bid price : 15.11
Bid-YTW : 8.30 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 13.05 – 14.50
Spot Rate : 1.4500
Average : 0.8664

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 13.05
Evaluated at bid price : 13.05
Bid-YTW : 8.11 %

BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.01 – 17.10
Spot Rate : 1.0900
Average : 0.6622

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.01
Evaluated at bid price : 16.01
Bid-YTW : 10.27 %

FFH.PR.D FloatingReset Quote: 19.40 – 20.50
Spot Rate : 1.1000
Average : 0.7373

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.40
Evaluated at bid price : 19.40
Bid-YTW : 10.74 %

MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.35 – 19.35
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.6392

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.35
Evaluated at bid price : 18.35
Bid-YTW : 7.65 %

BN.PF.F FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.15 – 17.40
Spot Rate : 1.2500
Average : 0.9543

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-12-19
Maturity Price : 16.15
Evaluated at bid price : 16.15
Bid-YTW : 9.48 %

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.