Market Action

February 20, 2018

Have no fear, Vancouver! The BC government is going to make BC great again!:

Starting Wednesday, foreigners will pay the province a 20 percent tax on top of the listing value, up from 15 percent now, and a levy on property speculators will be introduced later this year, according to budget documents released Tuesday. The government will also crack down on the condo pre-sale market and beneficial ownership to ensure that property flippers, offshore trusts and hidden investors are paying taxes on gains.

[British Columbia Finance Minister Carole] James said a raft of new measures are intended to “moderate” the surge in housing prices, which she said had emerged as one of the top concerns of both residents and businesses struggling to recruit workers due to the high cost of living.

The new speculator tax takes effect this fall and will apply to foreign and domestic investors who don’t pay income tax in the province. It will start at 0.5 percent of the property’s assessed value in 2018 and rise to 2 percent thereafter. Primary residences and homes leased as long-term rentals will be exempt.

Swedish authorities are worried about the demise of cash:

“No cash accepted” signs are becoming an increasingly common sight in shops and eateries across Sweden as payments go digital and mobile.

But the pace at which cash is vanishing has authorities worried. A broad review of central bank legislation that’s under way is now taking a special look at the situation, with an interim report due as early as the summer.

“If this development with cash disappearing happens too fast, it can be difficult to maintain the infrastructure” for handling cash, said Mats Dillen, the head of the parliamentary review. He declined to give more details on the types of proposals that could be included in the report.

An annual survey by Insight Intelligence released last month found that only 25 percent of Swedes paid in cash at least once a week in 2017, down from 63 percent just four years ago. A full 36 percent never use cash, or just pay with it once or twice a year.

In response, the central bank is considering whether there’s a need for an official form of digital currency, an e-krona. A final proposal isn’t expected until late next year, but the idea is that the e-krona would work as a complement to cash, not replace it completely.

I was pleased to see the following in a piece on Australia’s $20 minimum wage:

There is an often overlooked efficiency to high minimum wages. They can reduce the burden on the state and the taxpayer. Why, after all, should a person working full time depend on a patchwork of confusing and often arbitrary government entitlements and social programs funded through general tax revenue when they could more directly be paid a living wage by their employer? Government bureaucracies can be slow moving and uneven in their decision making. A low-wage system shifts the burden of providing the necessities of life from the employer to the taxpayer. It subsidizes marginal businesses with cheap labour. It disadvantages those employers who either voluntarily pay higher wages or are forced to do so through collective bargaining. Some credit the Australian “wages welfare state” as having contributed to a comparatively low level of sovereign debt (OECD data for 2015 puts Australia at 67-per-cent debt/GDP ratio and Canada at 114 per cent.)

It was a run-of-the-mill, slightly negative day for the Canadian preferred share market today … until about 3pm:

txpr_180220
Click for Big
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.8846 % 3,002.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.8846 % 5,509.1
Floater 3.31 % 3.52 % 89,118 18.43 4 0.8846 % 3,174.9
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2111 % 3,142.3
SplitShare 4.67 % 4.08 % 65,286 3.31 5 0.2111 % 3,752.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2111 % 2,927.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.44 % 4.95 % 65,343 14.28 20 0.0598 % 2,833.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.42 % 5.40 % 85,108 14.78 14 -0.0475 % 2,937.2
FixedReset 4.26 % 4.64 % 158,094 5.89 102 -0.3615 % 2,511.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.14 % 5.71 % 90,326 5.73 28 -0.0928 % 2,908.8
FloatingReset 3.00 % 2.95 % 38,033 3.72 10 0.1261 % 2,767.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
NA.PR.W FixedReset -1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.30
Evaluated at bid price : 22.61
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset -1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 23.01
Evaluated at bid price : 23.33
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 17.85
Evaluated at bid price : 17.85
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.97
Evaluated at bid price : 23.36
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.99
Evaluated at bid price : 23.96
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.39
Bid-YTW : 4.78 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.78
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.66
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 23.09
Evaluated at bid price : 23.58
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.99
Evaluated at bid price : 23.96
Bid-YTW : 4.70 %
BAM.PF.J FixedReset -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.14
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.88 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 17.32
Evaluated at bid price : 17.32
Bid-YTW : 3.52 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset 798,808 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 4.78 %
GWO.PR.S Deemed-Retractible 204,471 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.80
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible 101,646 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.39
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 89,559 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.57
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 65,074 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 2.87 %
MFC.PR.O FixedReset 55,835 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.21
Bid-YTW : 3.93 %
There were 22 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
NA.PR.W FixedReset Quote: 22.61 – 23.05
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.2893

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.30
Evaluated at bid price : 22.61
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %

BAM.PF.E FixedReset Quote: 23.33 – 23.72
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2613

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 23.01
Evaluated at bid price : 23.33
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %

BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.68 – 21.95
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.2029

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 21.68
Evaluated at bid price : 21.68
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %

TD.PF.A FixedReset Quote: 23.36 – 23.55
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1256

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.97
Evaluated at bid price : 23.36
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %

BAM.PR.C Floater Quote: 17.25 – 17.47
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1590

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 17.25
Evaluated at bid price : 17.25
Bid-YTW : 3.53 %

CM.PR.O FixedReset Quote: 23.35 – 23.67
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2631

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-02-20
Maturity Price : 22.91
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %

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