Market Action

August 26, 2025

Lisa Cook is fighting Trump’s attempt to fire her:

Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook’s attorney, Abbe Lowell, announced on Tuesday he is filing a lawsuit to challenge President Donald Trump’s attempt to fire her on Monday evening.

“President Trump has no authority to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. His attempt to fire her, based solely on a referral letter, lacks any factual or legal basis. We will be filing a lawsuit challenging this illegal action,” he said in a statement sent to CNN.

Matt Egan at CNN puts Trump in dubious company:

In 1970, President Richard Nixon tapped Arthur Burns, one of his top economic aides, to lead the Fed.

Even though Burns was known as an inflation fighter, historians say Nixon successfully pressured his handpicked Fed chief to juice the economy with low rates to boost his political fortunes.

A review of telephone conversations “clearly reveals that President Nixon pressured Burns, both directly and indirectly…to engage in expansionary monetary policies prior to the 1972 election,” according to a 2006 paper published in the Journal of Economic Perspectives. “Richard Nixon demanded and Arthur Burns supplied an expansionary monetary policy and a growing economy in the run-up to the 1972 election.”

More recently, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan fired his country’s central bank chief in 2021 and installed a loyalist. As the Turkish central bank slashed interest rates at Erdogan’s behest, the Turkish lira crashed and inflation blew past 80%.

To my surprise, markets yawned at the impending tussle:

Canada’s main stock index closed up on Tuesday as strong bank earnings and higher gold prices helped boost shares, even as oil prices slid and concerns deepened about the U.S. Federal Reserve’s independence. Wall Street also ended higher.

The index also benefited from gold prices, which rose to a more than two-week high as investors took refuge in safe-haven yellow metal after fears that U.S. President Donald Trump would infringe on the independence of the Federal Reserve.

Trump fired Fed Governor Lisa Cook over alleged improprieties in obtaining mortgage loans. Spot gold was trading at 3,390.52 per ounce, up 0.71% at 4:13 p.m. ET, which lifted the mining-companies-tracker materials index, with almost 12.5% weight on the TSX, up 1.41% at market close.

The U.S. two-year Treasury yield, which closely tracks expectations for Fed action, slipped to 3.68% from 3.73% late Monday.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 6.83 % 7.30 % 36,264 13.09 1 0.0000 % 2,413.4
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1011 % 4,623.1
Floater 6.57 % 6.93 % 40,436 12.56 3 -0.1011 % 2,664.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0283 % 3,650.1
SplitShare 4.80 % 4.30 % 52,528 2.37 7 0.0283 % 4,358.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0283 % 3,401.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.80 % 3.20 % 69,822 0.08 2 0.0595 % 3,071.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.60 % 5.70 % 42,529 14.32 30 -0.4107 % 3,343.6
FixedReset Disc 5.71 % 6.21 % 123,128 13.38 36 0.0505 % 3,014.9
Insurance Straight 5.45 % 5.58 % 55,329 14.41 18 -0.4095 % 3,316.6
FloatingReset 5.26 % 5.34 % 39,543 14.85 1 0.0000 % 3,747.6
FixedReset Prem 5.89 % 5.08 % 117,767 2.46 17 0.0640 % 2,625.3
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0505 % 3,081.9
FixedReset Ins Non 5.29 % 5.61 % 74,350 14.31 15 0.1265 % 3,028.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight -9.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 19.71
Evaluated at bid price : 19.71
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -8.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 20.05
Evaluated at bid price : 20.05
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
BN.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -4.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -2.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 21.75
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %
SLF.PR.C Insurance Straight -2.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.71
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %
NA.PR.I FixedReset Prem -1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 23.43
Evaluated at bid price : 25.46
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %
GWO.PR.H Insurance Straight -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 21.56
Evaluated at bid price : 21.82
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
ENB.PR.N FixedReset Disc 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 22.85
Evaluated at bid price : 23.82
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
BIP.PR.B FixedReset Prem 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 2.02 %
CU.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 2.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 21.57
Evaluated at bid price : 21.57
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 3.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
GWO.PR.P Insurance Straight 4.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 23.95
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 5.66 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 251,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 20.57
Evaluated at bid price : 20.57
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc 61,697 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 23.85
Evaluated at bid price : 24.79
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %
ENB.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 58,570 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset Disc 56,008 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
PVS.PR.M SplitShare 27,950 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2031-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.43
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
BEP.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 26,338 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2026-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.12
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %
There were 19 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
See TMX DataLinx: ‘Last’ != ‘Close’ and the posts linked therein for an idea of why these quotes are so horrible.
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.05 – 22.99
Spot Rate : 2.9400
Average : 1.9065

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 20.05
Evaluated at bid price : 20.05
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %

MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight Quote: 19.71 – 21.90
Spot Rate : 2.1900
Average : 1.2362

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 19.71
Evaluated at bid price : 19.71
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %

BN.PR.M Perpetual-Discount Quote: 19.75 – 21.13
Spot Rate : 1.3800
Average : 0.8767

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %

CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.15 – 23.50
Spot Rate : 1.3500
Average : 0.9541

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 21.91
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %

GWO.PR.H Insurance Straight Quote: 21.82 – 22.95
Spot Rate : 1.1300
Average : 0.8050

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 21.56
Evaluated at bid price : 21.82
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 16.00 – 18.22
Spot Rate : 2.2200
Average : 1.9153

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2055-08-26
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %

2 comments August 26, 2025

niagara says:

HI James,
While the markets may have apparently yawned at the tussle between Trump and Cook, the 30y-2yr spread has increased almost 15bps since Trump announced that he wanted to fire Cook. It stands at +130bp now. This spread was under +60bps when Trump took office.

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/30Y2YS

I suspect that the recent steepening of the US curve will continue for as long as there is such blatant political interference in the Fed.

[…] continue the Trump-Cook reporting from yesterday … Janet Yellin has weighed […]

Leave a Reply