April 17, 2009

The first round of the Abitibi CDS auction showed extremely low recovery:

Credit-default swaps traders set an initial value of 3.75 cents on the dollar for bonds of an AbitibiBowater Inc. unit to settle derivatives linked to the newsprint maker that’s now in bankruptcy protection.

Royal Bank has announced:

that it expects to record a goodwill impairment charge (on both a pre and after tax basis) of approximately US$850 million for the second quarter ending April 30, 2009. While the charge will reduce second quarter reported earnings by approximately US$850 million, it is a non-cash item and an accounting adjustment, and will not affect our ongoing operations, or our Tier 1 and Total capital ratios.

It does not affect the capital ratios because goodwill is already deducted from capital. The market yawned. What a difference six months makes, eh? If this announcement had been made at the height of the panic, Royal Bank stock … might have felt some effects.

Yet another strong day on elevated volume.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.0238 % 955.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.0238 % 1,545.3
Floater 5.11 % 5.13 % 70,028 15.30 2 2.0238 % 1,193.8
OpRet 5.10 % 4.34 % 143,663 3.87 15 0.2687 % 2,131.3
SplitShare 6.67 % 9.36 % 47,273 5.64 3 0.3616 % 1,732.9
Interest-Bearing 6.15 % 9.71 % 27,727 0.68 1 0.4115 % 1,939.5
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4645 % 1,631.3
Perpetual-Discount 6.69 % 6.80 % 146,750 12.85 71 0.4645 % 1,502.4
FixedReset 5.93 % 5.38 % 687,638 4.57 35 0.1668 % 1,898.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 14.28
Evaluated at bid price : 14.28
Bid-YTW : 8.44 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 21.41
Evaluated at bid price : 21.41
Bid-YTW : 6.97 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 22.74
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %
BAM.PR.I OpRet -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-12-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.02
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
CU.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 23.48
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
MFC.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 17.80
Evaluated at bid price : 17.80
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %
NA.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 22.20
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
CU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.40 %
ENB.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 24.05
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %
CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 17.90
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 6.93 %
BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 17.86
Evaluated at bid price : 17.86
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 17.53
Evaluated at bid price : 17.53
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
IGM.PR.A OpRet 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2009-07-30
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.37
Bid-YTW : 1.39 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 8.61
Evaluated at bid price : 8.61
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 15.92
Evaluated at bid price : 15.92
Bid-YTW : 7.32 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 16.52
Evaluated at bid price : 16.52
Bid-YTW : 6.89 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 20.45
Evaluated at bid price : 20.45
Bid-YTW : 6.89 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 2.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 20.31
Evaluated at bid price : 20.31
Bid-YTW : 6.81 %
SLF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 2.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 16.16
Evaluated at bid price : 16.16
Bid-YTW : 7.05 %
CL.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 2.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 22.32
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 6.99 %
TD.PR.Q Perpetual-Discount 2.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 21.96
Evaluated at bid price : 22.05
Bid-YTW : 6.38 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 2.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 8.53
Evaluated at bid price : 8.53
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 2.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 7.61 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.X FixedReset 87,046 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.86
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %
RY.PR.N FixedReset 82,200 TD bought 21,000 from Anonymous at 26.42. The HIMIPref™ calculation of YTW will be controversial, but it is the same situation as has been previously discussed.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 23.56
Evaluated at bid price : 26.40
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
RY.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 72,465 TD crossed 15,000 at 18.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-17
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 6.37 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 59,436 Scotia bought two blocks of 10,000 shares each from National, both at 25.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 55,069 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 6.19 %
CM.PR.M FixedReset 51,520 Desjardins bought 16,500 from RBC at 25.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.84
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
There were 43 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

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