October 14, 2009

US Municipal defaults are not at record levels, but still high:

Municipal bond defaults soared past $4 billion for the year through the end of September, driven partly by the bursting of the real estate bubble, according to the Distressed Debt Securities Newsletter.

There were 137 defaults totaling $4.2 billion in the period, including more than $1 billion in the third quarter, according to the Miami Lakes, Florida-based newsletter. The pace trails the 12-month record of 2008, when there were 150 defaults totaling $7.8 billion, including a $3.8 billion sewer bond issue by Jefferson County, Alabama, according to the newsletter.

One is tempted to call this a good day, with PerpetualDiscounts losing only 7bp, while FixedResets lost 11bp! Volume was very good, with over 50 issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares and seven issues trading in excess of 100,000 shares – only four of them FixedResets. Some good volatility as well, with a fair number of names in the performance highlights.

PerpetualDiscounts closed yielding 6.01%, equivalent to 8.41% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long Corporates are close as dammit to 6.0% so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 240bp, a slight increase from the 235bp recorded October 7.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2441 % 1,483.3
FixedFloater 5.96 % 4.10 % 44,524 18.73 1 -2.6133 % 2,616.0
Floater 2.63 % 3.04 % 109,730 19.63 3 -0.2441 % 1,853.1
OpRet 4.90 % -3.98 % 126,357 0.09 15 0.0360 % 2,280.3
SplitShare 6.44 % 6.50 % 626,833 3.97 2 0.0222 % 2,054.8
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0360 % 2,085.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.91 % 5.93 % 147,438 13.95 11 0.1178 % 1,848.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.93 % 6.01 % 222,950 13.94 62 -0.0737 % 1,746.5
FixedReset 5.52 % 4.20 % 462,475 4.03 41 -0.1126 % 2,105.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -2.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.26
Bid-YTW : 4.10 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.27
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 17.90
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 6.68 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 18.52
Evaluated at bid price : 18.52
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 21.33
Evaluated at bid price : 21.33
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
NA.PR.O FixedReset -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.13
Bid-YTW : 4.39 %
NA.PR.P FixedReset -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.15
Bid-YTW : 4.38 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 21.56
Evaluated at bid price : 21.56
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
IGM.PR.A OpRet 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2009-11-13
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.22
Bid-YTW : -42.48 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 19.88
Evaluated at bid price : 19.88
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 21.37
Evaluated at bid price : 21.65
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 20.82
Evaluated at bid price : 20.82
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.G FixedReset 423,315 TD crossed two blocks of 200,000 each at 27.33.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.31
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 219,700 RBC crossed 200,000 at 13.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 12.95
Evaluated at bid price : 12.95
Bid-YTW : 3.06 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 212,866 Nesbitt crossed 200,000 at 27.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.64
Bid-YTW : 3.89 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 172,766 National crossed 100,000 at 21.15, then RBC crossed 67,000 at 21.18.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-10-14
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 114,305 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.24
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %
PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Premium 109,916 National crossed 100,000 at 25.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.95
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
PWF.PR.M FixedReset 100,900 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 26.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.80
Bid-YTW : 4.14 %
There were 50 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

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