New Issues

New Issue : Scotiabank 4.5% Perpetuals

Scotiabank has announced (via CCN Matthews)

a domestic public offering of 12 million, 4.50% non-cumulative preferred shares Series 15 (the “Preferred Shares Series 15”) at a price of $25.00 per share, for an aggregate amount of $300 million.

The Bank has agreed to sell the Preferred Shares Series 15 to a syndicate of underwriters led by Scotia Capital Inc. on a bought deal basis. The Bank has granted to the underwriters an over-allotment option to purchase up to an additional $45 million of the Preferred Shares Series 15. This over-allotment option is exercisable at any time up to 30 days after closing.

Closing is expected to occur on or after April 5, 2007.

I have no details on the call schedule as yet, but will post more, later, when I do.

I’m pleased to see this! Scotiabank has lots of Tier 1 Capital room for new issuance!

Update & Bump 3/21 : The redemption schedule is

BNS Ser 15 Embedded Options
Option From To Price
Redemption 2012-07-27 2013-07-26 26.000000
Redemption 2013-07-27 2014-07-26 25.750000
Redemption 2014-07-27 2015-07-26 25.500000
Redemption 2015-07-27 2016-07-26 25.250000
Redemption 2016-07-27 INFINITE DATE 25.000000

and some comparatives are:

Scotia Bank 4.45% Perp New Issue & Comparatives
Data BNS.PR.? BNS.PR.L RY.PR.E
Price due to base-rate  22.80  22.93  22.92
Price due to short-term  -0.32  -0.32  -0.32
Price due to long-term  1.28  1.28  1.28
Price to to Cumulative Dividends  0.00  0.00  0.00
Price due to Liquidity  1.67  1.67  1.68
Price due to error  -0.05  -0.05  -0.05
Curve Price (Taxable Curve)  25.38  25.51  25.50
Dividend Rate $1.125 $1.125 $1.125
Quote 3/20 25.00 Issue  25.10-19  25.20-24
YTW (after tax)  3.58%  3.60%  3.58%
YTW Date  2016-8-26 / Infinite  Infinite  2016-3-25 / Infinite
Credit Rating (DBRS) Pfd-1 Pfd-1 Pfd-1
YTW (Pre-Tax)  4.50% 4.53%  4.51% 
YTW Modified Duration (Pre-Tax)  7.67  16.29  7.33
YTW Pseudo-Convexity (Pre-Tax)  -61.97  -52.65  -61.67
Market Action

March 20, 2007

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.09% 3.92% 77,563 3.85 1 -0.3557% 1,051.1
Fixed-Floater 4.96% 3.47% 98,961 4.64 5 +0.0395% 1,044.4
Floater 4.72% -18.72% 78,534 0.32 3 +0.0394% 1,053.9
Op. Retract 4.71% 2.66% 75,429 2.12 17 -0.0210% 1,034.6
Split-Share 4.99% 2.04% 180,075 3.33 14 +0.1509% 1,053.1
Interest Bearing 6.50% 4.70% 66,284 2.32 5 -0.0077% 1,041.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.00% 3.82% 234,024 5.15 53 +0.0229% 1,058.9
Perpetual-Discount 4.52% 4.52% 891,025 11.62 10 +0.0164% 1,069.1
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.E OpRet -1.0409% Still on credit watch by DBRS as the market awaits information regarding their financing of the Putnam purchase. This issue has an issuer bid outstanding, although no shares were purchased under last year’s plan. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 2.41% based on a bid of 26.62 and a call 2009-4-30 at $25.50 … if the company waits until the first possible par-value call, 2011-4-30, it will have yielded 3.00%; and if the issue lasts until its softMaturity 2014-3-30, it will have yielded 3.64%. Take your pick!
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
CM.PR.D PerpetualPremium 507,468 The last two trades of note were a Desjardins cross of 50,000 at 27.07 and a TD cross of 50,000 at 27.08. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 2.90% based on a bid of $27.01 and a call 2008-5-30 at $26.00. Sounds pricy to me!
BNS.PR.K PerpetualPremium 263,800 The closing trade was RBC’s cross of 100,000 at $26.18. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.12% based on a bid of $26.25 and a call 2014-5-28 at $25.00. Note that Scotiabank has announced a new issue.
CM.PR.H PerpetualPremium 203,250 RBC crossed 100,000 at $26.18, then National Bank crossed 90,000 at $26.15. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.18% based on a bid of $26.15 and a call 2014-4-29 at $25.00.
PWF.PR.J OpRet 156,649 Desjardins crossed 150,000 at $27.00. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 2.10% based on a bid of 26.90 and a call 2008-5-30 at $26.00. I discussed earlier the chances of it getting redeemed before its time. And I haven’t changed my mind since then!
SLF.PR.E PerpetualDiscount 115,418 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.52% based on a bid of $24.91 and a limitMaturity.
BAM.PR.B FloatingRate 102,050 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 24.90.

There were thirteen other “$25 p.v. equivalent” index-included issues with over 10,000 shares traded today.

HIMI Preferred Indices

HIMIPref™ Indices : July, 1998

All indices were assigned a value of 1000.0 as of December 31, 1993.

HIMI Index Values 1998-07-31
Index Closing Value (Total Return) Issues Mean Credit Quality Median YTW Median DTW Median Daily Trading Mean Current Yield
Ratchet 1,637.1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FixedFloater 1,584.1 9 2.00 4.59% 3.9 271M 5.05%
Floater 1,541.6 5 1.80 4.61% 0.7 115M 5.08%
OpRet 1,353.8 33 1.24 4.16% 3.8 70M 6.15%
SplitShare 1,389.8 5 1.59 5.49% 7.1 352M 5.43%
Interest-Bearing 1,353.8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Perpetual-Premium 1,272.9 6 1.00 5.07% 10.0 207M 6.28%
Perpetual-Discount 1,251.6 0 0 0 0 0 0

Index Constitution, 1998-07-31, Pre-rebalancing

Index Constitution, 1998-07-31, Post-rebalancing

Market Action

March 19, 2007

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.06% 3.81% 80,757 3.85 1 +0.3968% 1,054.9
Fixed-Floater 4.96% 3.49% 101,384 4.63 5 -0.0392% 1,044.0
Floater 4.72% -18.68% 75,096 0.32 3 +0.1318% 1,053.5
Op. Retract 4.70% 2.72% 75,282 2.13 17 +0.0886% 1,034.9
Split-Share 5.04% 1.51% 175,057 3.11 15 +0.1651% 1,051.5
Interest Bearing 6.50% 4.41% 66,126 2.32 5 -0.2035% 1,041.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.00% 3.81% 235,750 5.15 53 +0.0183% 1,058.7
Perpetual-Discount 4.52% 4.52% 900,035 12.58 10 +0.0485% 1,068.9
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
There were no index-included issues with notable price moves today.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
DC.PR.A Scraps (Would be OpRet, but there are credit-rating concerns) 192,948 Another day of heavy trading. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.96% based on a bid of $25.09 and a softMaturity 2016-6-29 at $25.00.
YPG.PR.A Scraps (Would be OpRet, but there are credit-rating concerns) 148,770 National Bank crossed 135,000 at $24.60. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.62% based on a bid of $24.60 and a softMaturity 2012-12-30 at $25.00.
BMO.PR.J PerpetualPremium 118,240 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.52% based on a bid of $25.19 and either a call 2016-3-26 at $25.00, or a limitMaturity, take your pick.
BAM.PR.M PerpetualPremium 108,150 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.71% based on a bid of $25.08 and a call 2016-3-1 at $25.00.
RY.PR.B PerpetualPremium 103,795 RBC crossed 100,000 at $25.70. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.43% based on a bid of $25.60 and a call 2015-9-23 at $25.00.
RY.PR.D PerpetualPremium 97,000 RBC crossed 40,000 at $25.25, then Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at the same price. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.55% based on a bid of $25.20 and a limitMaturity.
HSB.PR.D PerpetualPremium 28,060 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.21% based on a bid of $26.30 and a call 2015-1-30 at $25.00

There were nine other “$25 p.v. equivalent” index-included issues with over 10,000 shares traded today.

HIMI Preferred Indices

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices : June, 1998

All indices were assigned a value of 1000.0 as of December 31, 1993.

HIMI Index Values 1998-06-30
Index Closing Value (Total Return) Issues Mean Credit Quality Median YTW Median DTW Median Daily Trading Mean Current Yield
Ratchet 1,627.3 0 0 0 0 0 0
FixedFloater 1,575.1 9 2.00 4.59% 4.0 231M 5.06%
Floater 1,532.3 5 1.80 4.22% 0.1 161M 5.07%
OpRet 1,348.5 33 1.24 4.08% 3.9 85M 6.13%
SplitShare 1,378.5 5 1.60 5.23% 7.1 624M 5.43%
Interest-Bearing 1,348.5 0 0 0 0 0 0
Perpetual-Premium 1,261.5 5 1.00 5.09% 10.0 291M 6.49%
Perpetual-Discount 1,240.4 0 0 0 0 0 0

Index Constitution, 1998-06-30, Pre-rebalancing

Index Constitution, 1998-06-30, Post-rebalancing

Market Action

March 16, 2007

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.06% 3.88% 84,073 3.86 1 -0.4739% 1,050.7
Fixed-Floater 4.96% 3.38% 103,414 4.63 5 +0.2054% 1,044.4
Floater 4.73% -18.62% 76,561 5.58 3 -0.0391% 1,052.1
Op. Retract 4.71% 2.81% 76,341 2.16 17 -0.0263% 1,034.0
Split-Share 5.05% 2.40% 178,970 3.17 15 +0.1227% 1,049.8
Interest Bearing 6.49% 3.84% 66,043 2.33 5 +0.0397% 1,043.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.00% 3.83% 235,206 5.34 53 +0.0535% 1,058.5
Perpetual-Discount 4.52% 4.51% 920,443 12.58 10 +0.0486% 1,068.4
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
There were no index-included issues with notable price moves today.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
DC.PR.A Scraps (Would be OpRet, but there are credit-rating concerns) 245,200 Dundee crossed 137,300 for cash at 25.00 (Record Date is Monday 19, with a $0.3125 dividend payable … hmmm … given that $25.00 was the low price on the day, and the trade should be at a price greater than normal by the amount of the dividend if it is settling cum-dividend, the meaning of this trade is not clear to me. There’s a story there somewhere!) Desjardins crossed 100,000 at $25.10 (REGULAR settlement, EX-dividend). Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.97% based on a bid of $25.05 and a softMaturity 2016-6-29 at $25.00.
TOC.PR.B Scraps (Would be Floater, but there are volume concerns) 162,850 Global crossed 80,900 for cash at $26.19, then another 80,900 at $25.93. Ex-Dividend 3/15, Record date 3/19. Dividend amount 0.264658. Yawn.
SLF.PR.E PerpetualDiscount 106,750 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at $24.95. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.51% based on a bid of $24.94 and a limitMaturity.
IGM.PR.A OpRet 103,023 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 2.13% based on a bid of $27.98 and a call 2009-7-30 at $26.00. Yield will be 3.60% if it lasts until the softMaturity 2013-06-29, but that’s not something I’m going to bet on!
BCE.PR.H Ratchet 100,200 Scotia crossed 50,000 at $25.20. Nesbitt did the same thing, three minutes later.
TD.PR.O PerpetualPremium 50,655 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.08% based on a bid of $26.45 and a call 2014-11-30 at $25.00.
RY.PR.F PerpetualDiscount 33,919 Recent new issue. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.50% based on a bid of $24.78 and a limitMaturity

There were twelve other “$25 p.v. equivalent” index-included issues with over 10,000 shares traded today.

Market Action

March 15, 2007

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.03% 3.74% 77,840 3.87 1 +0.4762% 1,055.7
Fixed-Floater 4.97% 3.50% 106,156 4.61 5 +0.1106% 1,042.3
Floater 4.73% -18.25% 75,575 5.59 3 -0.3267% 1,052.5
Op. Retract 4.71% 2.69% 75,822 2.14 17 -0.0215% 1,034.2
Split-Share 5.06% 0.40% 182,962 3.11 15 +0.0113% 1,048.5
Interest Bearing 6.49% 4.12% 65,810 2.33 5 -0.1605% 1,043.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.01% 3.75% 238,381 5.13 53 +0.0509% 1,057.9
Perpetual-Discount 4.52% 4.52% 931,908 13.49 10 +0.0282% 1,067.9
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
There were no index-included issues with notable price moves today.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
FAL.PR.H Scraps (Would be PerpetualPremium, but there are rating concerns) 203,300 Desjardins crossed 200,000 at $26.00 at the end of a burst of nine trades that took the price from $25.80 to $26.00. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.58% based on a bid of $25.73 and a call 2008-4-30 at $25.00.
CM.PR.D PerpetualPremium 153,530 Nesbitt crossed 150,000 at $27.04. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 2.78% based on a bid of $27.03 and a call 2008-5-30 at $26.00. Too rich for my blood!
BAM.PR.K Floater 150,223 Scotia crossed 119,100 at $24.75
TD.PR.O PerpetualPremium 101,500 National Bank crossed 100,000 at 26.45. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.09% based on a bid of $26.43 and a call 2014-11-30 at $25.00.
RY.PR.W PerpetualPremium 84,520 TD crossed 80,000 at $26.30. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.14% based on a bid of $26.25 and a call 2014-3-26 at $25.00.
RY.PR.F PerpetualDiscount 63,075 Recent new issue. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.50% based on a bid of $24.76 and a limitMaturity.

There were sixteen other “$25 p.v. equivalent” index-included issues with over 10,000 shares traded today.

Issue Comments

FTS.PR.C / FTS.PR.E / FTS.PR.F : What will the Agencies Say?

It has just been announced that:

Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE: KMINews) today announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to sell Terasen Inc. to Fortis Inc. (Toronto: FTSNews), a Canadian-based company with investments in regulated distribution utilities, for approximately C$3.7 billion including cash and assumed debt.

Fortis has the three captioned preferred issues rated Pfd-3(high) by DBRS and P-2(low) by S&P. No reaction to the news from the agencies as yet, but I’ll keep everyone posted!

Update & Bump : Standard and Poors have placed Fortis on Credit Watch Positive, due to a (virtually?) simultaneous sale of equity subscription receipts:

Terasen’s petroleum pipeline business will not be included in the acquisition. Fortis also announced that it has agreed to a bought deal that will result in at least C$1 billion in new equity being issued via subscription receipts. The equity will be used to finance the C$1.4 billion cash portion of the acquisition.
     “We believe the acquisition, if completed, will not deteriorate and could even improve Fortis’ credit quality,” said Standard & Poor’s credit analyst Kenton Freitag.

Update: DBRS has confirmed Fortis at Pfd-3(high):

From a financial risk perspective, DBRS would anticipate a modest decline in consolidated interest coverage metrics, given the existing levels of debt at the acquired entities; however, DBRS anticipates a modest improvement in non-consolidated credit metrics, given that the transaction is predominantly equity financed, coupled with the historical strength of TGI’s dividends. 

Overall, DBRS views the predominantly equity-financed acquisition of regulated assets as a good strategic fit for Fortis. Given the financial and business risk impacts described above, DBRS views the proposed transaction as credit neutral to slightly credit positive, as reflected in the confirmation of the ratings.

Update (for navigation purposes) : FTS.PR.F is a relatively recent issue.

Update and bump: Fortis has announced:

that it has closed its bought deal offering of Subscription Receipts (the “Offering”) underwritten by a syndicate of underwriters led by CIBC World Markets Inc., Scotia Capital Inc. and TD Securities Inc. (the “Underwriters”), resulting in gross proceeds to the Corporation of $1,151,150,000.

Fortis entered into an agreement, on February 26, 2007, with the Underwriters under which they agreed to purchase from Fortis and sell to the public 38,500,000 Subscription Receipts at $26.00 each for gross proceeds to the Corporation of $1,001,000,000. The Underwriters have exercised their over-allotment option and purchased an additional 5,775,000 Subscription Receipts at a purchase price of $26.00 each for gross proceeds from the over-allotment option to the Corporation of $150,150,000.

So … maybe we will be seeing an upgrade!

Issue Comments

S&P Upgrades TD Bank ( TD.PR.M / TD.PR.N / TD.PR.O )

S&P has upgraded TD Bank … upgrading banks seems to have become something of a habit for ratings agencies lately!

The credit rating has been improved to “AA−/Stable/A−1+” from “A+/Positive/A−1”. Canadian Dollar preferred shares have been improved to “A” from “A-“. It’s not entirely clear to me whether the Preferred Share National Scale Ratings (P-1(low), currently) have been changed or not, but I suspect not.

More later.

Later, more: S&P have issued their press release:

(Standard & Poor’s) March 15, 2007–Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services today said it raised its ratings on The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank), including the long-term counterparty credit rating to ‘AA-‘ from ‘A+’. At the same time, Standard & Poor’s raised its counterparty credit rating on TD Banknorth, NA to ‘AA-‘ from ‘A’ and its counterparty credit rating on TD Banknorth Inc. to ‘AA-‘ from ‘A-‘. The proposed privatization of TD Banknorth and its strong strategically important status resulted in the lift in the rating notching. The equalization of the ratings on TD Banknorth, NA and TD Banknorth Inc. reflects the expectation that TD Bank would support the holding company, TD Banknorth Inc., as much as the operating bank. The outlook is stable.

It does not appear that the NSR Preferred Share Rating has changed.

Market Action

March 14, 2007

I now notice that with my customary elan, I have managed to over-write the post for March 13, instead of simply using it as a template. Sorry about that, guys!

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.03% 3.89% 77,362 3.87 1 +0.3584% 1,050.7
Fixed-Floater 4.97% 3.58% 107,474 4.60 5 +0.0316% 1,041.1
Floater 4.71% -19.80% 73,119 0.11 3 +0.2892% 1,055.9
Op. Retract 4.71% 2.71% 76,879 2.14 17 +0.0799% 1,034.4
Split-Share 5.06% 0.17% 186,066 3.11 15 +0.2650% 1,048.4
Interest Bearing 6.48% 4.09% 65,421 2.34 5 +0.0906% 1,044.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.01% 3.75% 240,916 5.33 53 +0.0392% 1,057.4
Perpetual-Discount 4.52% 4.52% 942,456 13.49 10 -0.0709% 1,067.6
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
DIV.PR.A SplitShare +1.0317% No real story here … I suppose the market maker just realized that it’s being redeemed next week and put a decent bid on it.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
RY.PR.F PerpetualDiscount 395,889 New issue settled today. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.51% based on a bid of $24.75 and a limitMaturity.
TD.PR.M OpRet 75,400 TD crossed 25,000 at 27.20, then Scotia crossed 50,000 at the same price. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 2.59% based on a bid of $27.22 and a call 2009-5-30 at $26.00. The market, obviously, is hoping for the yield of 3.31% resulting if it survives to the softMaturity 2013-10-30 at $25.00. Well, stranger things have happened!
POW.PR.D PerpetualPremium 74,867 Scotia crossed 50,000 at 26.45. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.31% based on a bid of $26.36 and a call 2014-11-30 at $25.00.
SLF.PR.A PerpetualPremium 56,910 Scotia crossed 50,000 at $25.75. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.27% based on a bid of $25.72 and a call 2014-4-30 at $25.00.
CM.PR.D PerpetualPremium 52,450 Desjardins crossed 50,000 at 27.03. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 2.77% based on a bid of $27.03 and a call 2008-5-30 at $26.00.

There were sixteen other “$25 p.v. equivalent” index-included issues with over 10,000 shares traded today.