Market Action

April 8, 2009

The SEC has announced that facts don’t matter any more:

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will weigh multiple rules to dictate when traders can bet shares will fall, after lawmakers and business groups said short-sellers fueled the financial crisis by targeting banks.

[SEC Chairman Mary] Schapiro said the SEC isn’t aware of any “empirical evidence” that shows the elimination of the uptick rule contributed to falling U.S. stock prices. Still, “many members of the public have come to associate short-selling with that volatility and with a loss of investor confidence,” she said.

… but it might simply be some more political grandstanding:

SEC Commissioner Kathleen Casey, a Republican, questioned whether the agency was pushing forward “merely in a political exercise.” If the SEC fails to justify its actions, the agency risked having any rule challenged and shot down by a federal court, she said.

“Empirical evidence must guide regulatory decisions,” said Casey, who said she supported soliciting public comment on the proposals. “If the commission forgets this principle, the D.C. Circuit stands ready to provide a reminder.”

Another day of good solid gains for preferreds, with PerpetualDiscounts gaining 0.35%, just a hairsbreadth better than Fixed Resets. The former asset class now has pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.06%, equivalent to 9.88% interest after application of the standard 1.4x conversion factor. Long corporates remain as near as dammit to 7.5%, so the pre-tax Interest Equivalent spread is now 238bp.

Volume was good today, dominated by the recent FixedReset issues; MFC.PR.D’s volume is picking up. It’s hard to tell what to think about this issue – the issue size was bumped and the underwriters exercised their greenshoe, but the issue has been trading sub-par since its issue with less volume than one might expect from an issue of this size. Could it be that the underwriters took a basketful into inventory?

For the first time in a while, we close a day without any new Fixed-Reset issues being marketted. It is, I suspect, a rather interesting conundrum; the banks – and insurers! – could probably use some more capital with a 5-year call; but market yields now suggest that a new issue should carry a coupon of less than the recent new issues. Who wants to be the first to try selling an issue with a reduced coupon? As far as I can readily recall, it would be a first for the sector.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.6970 % 904.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.6970 % 1,462.4
Floater 5.39 % 5.31 % 68,842 15.01 2 -1.6970 % 1,129.7
OpRet 5.19 % 4.79 % 132,960 3.89 15 0.3200 % 2,095.1
SplitShare 6.87 % 11.92 % 46,231 5.67 3 0.6228 % 1,681.5
Interest-Bearing 6.12 % 8.78 % 28,951 0.71 1 1.0309 % 1,947.5
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3575 % 1,571.7
Perpetual-Discount 6.94 % 7.06 % 149,733 12.48 71 0.3575 % 1,447.5
FixedReset 6.05 % 5.57 % 685,645 13.42 35 0.3160 % 1,862.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 7.91
Evaluated at bid price : 7.91
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 14.79
Evaluated at bid price : 14.79
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 8.31
Evaluated at bid price : 8.31
Bid-YTW : 5.31 %
STW.PR.A Interest-Bearing 1.03 % Asset coverage of 1.5-:1 as of April 2, based on Capital Unit NAV of 2.47. and 1.99 Capital Units per Preferred.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2009-12-31
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 9.80
Bid-YTW : 8.78 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 16.54
Evaluated at bid price : 16.54
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
CL.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 21.85
Evaluated at bid price : 21.85
Bid-YTW : 7.23 %
BNS.PR.Q FixedReset 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.11
Evaluated at bid price : 22.16
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 13.57
Evaluated at bid price : 13.57
Bid-YTW : 8.86 %
BNS.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 19.61
Evaluated at bid price : 19.61
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.10
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.62
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.46
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
CU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 2.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.52
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 2.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 2.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 9.28 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare 2.77 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.25
Bid-YTW : 14.38 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 2.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 17.79
Evaluated at bid price : 17.79
Bid-YTW : 7.20 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 615,420 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 305,543 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.28
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 230,033 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.38
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 126,170 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 123,295 Recent new issue (but only just barely “recent”).
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 23.29
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 75,889 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 24.96
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
There were 28 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Issue Comments

HSB.PR.E Closes (Finally!) at Premium on Heavy Volume

HSBC Bank of Canada has announced:

has completed the offering of 10 million Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Class 1 Preferred Shares Series E (the “Preferred Shares Series E”), issued at a price of C$25.00 per share to raise gross proceeds of C$250 million. The offering was made through a syndicate of underwriters led by HSBC Securities (Canada) Inc. and Scotia Capital Inc. The underwriters exercised an option to purchase 3 million Preferred Shares Series E in addition to the 7 million shares that they had previously agreed to purchase. The Preferred Shares Series E commenced trading today on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol HSB.PR.E.

This was the Fixed Reset 6.60%+485 issuee that had originally been scheduled to close on March 31 but had to be pulled when S&P downgraded HSBC Holdings, its parent. It would appear that HSBC Canada is much happier about issuing press releases when events proceed as expected! They did not acknowledge the problem until a press release was issued after 8pm on April 1.

To a point, I feel sorry for these guys. The downgrade was beyond the control of the Canada unit and the timing was horrible. But only to a point. There should have been a press release as soon as it was known that there was a problem … but then, HSBC is a huge organization, and nobody ever got anywhere in a huge organization (and many small ones!) by highlighting events that the corporation would rather forget (or, even better, not know in the first place). What do you think caused the credit crisis, anyway?

Be that as it may, the vital statistics for HSB.PR.E are:

HSB.PR.E FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %

It traded 615,220 shares in a range of 24.98-23 before closing at 25.20-23, 40×6.

Issue Comments

IGM Issues 10-Year Debs; in Line with IGM.PR.A

IGM Financial Inc. has announced:

that it has priced the issuance of $375 million principal amount of debentures. The debentures will be offered through a group of agents to be led by BMO Capital Markets and RBC Capital Markets.

The Debentures will be dated April 7, 2009 and will mature April 8, 2019. These debentures will bear interest at a rate of 7.35% per cent per annum payable semi-annually in arrears in equal installments on April 8 and October 8 of each year, commencing on October 8, 2009. The Debentures have been priced to provide a yield to maturity of 7.358% percent.

The senior unsecured credit rating for IGM assigned by S&P is A+ and by DBRS is A (High).

This looks like a reasonable deal compared to the IGM.PR.A retractible (retraction date 2013-6-30). The preferred closed yesterday at 25.85-99, which corresponds to a YTW market of 4.91%-72. When the retractible’s yield is multiplied by the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x, the YTW market becomes 6.87%-61.

Bearing in mind the junior nature of preferreds, shorter term of IGM.PR.A and convexity of the preferred, these issues seem in line with each other.

Market Action

April 7, 2009

Again, no commentary! Pretty lazy, huh?

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.4760 % 919.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.4760 % 1,487.6
Floater 5.30 % 5.22 % 69,563 15.15 2 1.4760 % 1,149.2
OpRet 5.21 % 4.80 % 133,844 3.89 15 -0.0767 % 2,088.4
SplitShare 6.92 % 11.96 % 44,802 5.67 3 0.1247 % 1,671.1
Interest-Bearing 6.19 % 10.23 % 30,128 0.71 1 -0.1030 % 1,927.6
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2989 % 1,566.1
Perpetual-Discount 6.96 % 7.05 % 150,179 12.47 71 0.2989 % 1,442.4
FixedReset 6.05 % 5.62 % 692,415 13.60 34 0.3591 % 1,856.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.J OpRet -1.98 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.82
Bid-YTW : 9.66 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet -1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.26
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset -1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.09
Evaluated at bid price : 22.13
Bid-YTW : 6.17 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -1.57 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 11.92
Bid-YTW : 14.80 %
BMO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 20.95
Evaluated at bid price : 20.95
Bid-YTW : 7.05 %
RY.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 17.89
Evaluated at bid price : 17.89
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.70
Bid-YTW : 7.83 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 15.77
Evaluated at bid price : 15.77
Bid-YTW : 7.23 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
BNA.PR.A SplitShare 1.13 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2010-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.27
Bid-YTW : 11.96 %
NA.PR.P FixedReset 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 13.76
Evaluated at bid price : 13.76
Bid-YTW : 8.70 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 19.81
Evaluated at bid price : 19.81
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 7.33 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 17.24
Evaluated at bid price : 17.24
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 7.12 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 16.58
Evaluated at bid price : 16.58
Bid-YTW : 7.31 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset 1.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.64
Evaluated at bid price : 23.71
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.96 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 15.06
Evaluated at bid price : 15.06
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 2.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 8.44
Evaluated at bid price : 8.44
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 3.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 19.59
Evaluated at bid price : 19.59
Bid-YTW : 7.05 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.X FixedReset 213,950 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.20
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 142,605 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.28
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 125,984 Scotia crossed 45,000 at 25.00; TD bought 10,000 from CIBC at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 24.95
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 53,325 Desjardins crossed 10,700 at 25.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %
CM.PR.A OpRet 52,100 Desjardins crossed 47,500 at 25.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2009-05-07
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 0.74 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 46,029 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.29
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
There were 26 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

April 6, 2009

Another day of good solid performance, but volume was off a bit.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 3.2381 % 906.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 3.2381 % 1,466.0
Floater 5.38 % 5.34 % 69,907 14.96 2 3.2381 % 1,132.5
OpRet 5.20 % 4.80 % 135,112 3.85 15 -0.1601 % 2,090.0
SplitShare 6.93 % 12.78 % 45,046 5.67 3 1.9433 % 1,669.0
Interest-Bearing 6.18 % 10.04 % 29,559 0.71 1 -0.4103 % 1,929.6
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2323 % 1,561.5
Perpetual-Discount 6.97 % 7.11 % 151,258 12.41 71 0.2323 % 1,438.1
FixedReset 6.06 % 5.71 % 702,581 13.69 34 0.2138 % 1,850.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -2.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 15.61
Evaluated at bid price : 15.61
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.27
Evaluated at bid price : 17.27
Bid-YTW : 6.77 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 13.59
Evaluated at bid price : 13.59
Bid-YTW : 8.81 %
BNS.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.71
Evaluated at bid price : 17.71
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %
BNS.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.44
Evaluated at bid price : 19.44
Bid-YTW : 6.78 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 14.77
Evaluated at bid price : 14.77
Bid-YTW : 7.87 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.30
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 7.17 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.55
Evaluated at bid price : 19.55
Bid-YTW : 7.47 %
PWF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.97
Evaluated at bid price : 19.97
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
TD.PR.P Perpetual-Discount 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
TD.PR.Q Perpetual-Discount 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 21.16
Evaluated at bid price : 21.16
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.41 %
TD.PR.E FixedReset 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.54
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
SLF.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 15.31
Evaluated at bid price : 15.31
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 7.28 %
RY.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 22.41
Evaluated at bid price : 22.53
Bid-YTW : 6.37 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.55
Evaluated at bid price : 18.55
Bid-YTW : 7.25 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.72
Evaluated at bid price : 17.72
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 22.43
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.06
Evaluated at bid price : 18.06
Bid-YTW : 7.27 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 20.85
Evaluated at bid price : 20.85
Bid-YTW : 7.24 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 16.60
Evaluated at bid price : 16.60
Bid-YTW : 7.38 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 16.40
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 7.32 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 22.46
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.98 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 8.25
Evaluated at bid price : 8.25
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare 3.06 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.11
Bid-YTW : 14.55 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 3.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %
BNA.PR.B SplitShare 3.19 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2016-03-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.01
Bid-YTW : 8.12 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 4.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 8.01
Evaluated at bid price : 8.01
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.K FixedReset 219,566 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 25.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 130,685 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 23.18
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 51,811 TD bought 11,700 from Nesbitt at 25.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 24.87
Evaluated at bid price : 24.92
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
BMO.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 47,225 RBC crossed 24,700 at 18.99.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.80
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
CM.PR.M FixedReset 41,560 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 25.30
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 6.19 %
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 41,480 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
There were 20 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
MAPF

MAPF Performance: March 2009

The fund performed well in a volatile month, in which a sharp early drop in values was overtaken by a slow and steady gain:

And … the end of this month marked the eighth full year of operation for Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund. Since its inception in March, 2001, it has delivered a cumulative return of +100.38% (after expenses, before fees), doubling its money, while the benchmark index has returned a cumulative total of +4.92%.

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close March 31 was $8.8317 after giving effect to a distribution of $0.191322 per unit.

Returns to March 31, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month +3.00% +0.31% N/A
Three Months +12.14% +2.72% N/A
One Year +7.65% -13.88% N/A
Two Years (annualized) +2.93% -10.54%  
Three Years (annualized) +3.77% -5.86%  
Four Years (annualized) +4.76% -3.20%  
Five Years (annualized) +5.00% -2.17%  
Six Years (annualized) +10.18% -0.10%  
Seven Years (annualized) +8.11% +0.51%  
Eight Years (annualized) +9.08% +0.60%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +0.5%, +2.4% and -13.9%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: March 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible (YPG.PR.B), both of which skew the calculation. Since the yield on thes positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August.

Additionally, the calculated yield for the fixed-floater in the portfolio, BCE.PR.I, depends on the presumed value of Canada Prime (3.00%) and the percentage of Canada Prime paid on par value (100%); both of these figures may change. Prime is, in fact, now only 2.50% – while this change will affect the calculation of sustainable yield, this issue has a fixed yield until August 1, 2011.

And finally, the yield calculations with respect to FixedReset issues is dependent upon a constant yield of the 5-Year Canada bonds whence the reset rate is calculated. Calculations include the contemporary yield on 5-Year Canada’s; if this value were to be increased, the calculated yield-to-worst on the Fixed-Reset issues held would also increase.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 7.60% shown in the March 31 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 7.29% index yield on March 31). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 8.8317 * 0.0760 = $0.6712., an slight decrease from the $0.6850 derived by a similar calculation last month; the decline may be attributed to the increase in credit quality over the month.

Different assumptions lead to different calculations, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

HIMI Preferred Indices

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices: March 2009

HIMI Index Values 2009-3-31
These values reflect the December 2008 Revision
Index Closing Value (Total Return) Issues Mean Credit Quality Median YTW Median DTW Median Daily Trading Mean Current Yield
Ratchet 870.3 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
FixedFloater 1,407.4 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Floater 1,087.2 2 2.00 5.49% 14.7 76M 5.61%
OpRet 2,073.3 15 1.37 4.76% 3.87 131M 5.23%
SplitShare 1,644.0 3 2.00 10.61% 5.67 47M 7.03%
Interest-Bearing 1,927.6 1 2.00 9.96% 0.7 33M 6.19%
Perpetual-Premium 1,516.3 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Perpetual-Discount 1,396.5 71 1.24 7.29% 12.2 154M 7.16%
FixedReset 1,825.0 32 1.06 5.86% 13.7 569M 6.10%

For Index Revisions during February 2009, see the post HIMIPref™ Index Rebalancing: March 2009.

Publication of index details is embargoed for six months following index date.

Index Construction / Reporting

Index Performance: March 2009

Performance of the HIMIPref™ Indices for March, 2009, was:

Total Return
Index Performance
March 2009
Three Months
to
March 31, 209
Ratchet -2.67% * +5.00% *
FixFloat +5.00% ** +12.41% **
Floater +5.00% +10.19%
OpRet +1.27% +5.36%
SplitShare +0.00% -6.53%
Interest -0.11% +4.98%
PerpetualPremium +1.05%*** +3.33%***
PerpetualDiscount +1.05% +3.33%%
FixedReset +1.93% +1.77%
* The last member of the RatchetRate index was transferred to Scraps at the February, 2009, rebalancing; subsequent performance figures are set equal to the Floater index
** The last member of the FixedReset index was transferred to Scraps at the February, 2009, rebalancing; subsequent performance figures are set equal to the PerpetualDiscount index
*** The last member of the PerpetualPremium index was transferred to PerpetualDiscount at the October, 2008, rebalancing; subsequent performance figures are set equal to the PerpetualDiscount index
Funds (see below for calculations)
CPD +0.63% +2.69%
DPS.UN -0.23% +3.58%
Index
BMO-CM 50 +0.31% +2.72%

Claymore has published NAV and distribution data for its exchange traded fund (CPD) and I have derived the following table:

CPD Return, 1- & 3-month, to March 31, 2009
Date NAV Distribution Return for Sub-Period Monthly Return
December 31, 2008 14.11 0.00    
January 30, 2009 14.57 0.00   +3.26%
February 27, 2009 14.40 0.00   -1.17%
March 26 14.19 0.2100 0.00% +0.63%
March 31, 2009 14.28   +0.63%
Quarterly Return +2.69%

The DPS.UN NAV for April 1 has been published so we may calculate the March returns (approximately!) for this closed end fund.

DPS.UN NAV Return, March-ish 2009
Date NAV Distribution Return for period
Estimated February Ending Stub +0.21%
February 25, 2009 16.27    
March 25, 2009 16.11   -0.98%
March 27, 2009 15.81* 0.30 0.00%*
April 1, 2009 16.02 0.00 +1.33%
Estimated April Beginning Stub -0.77%
Estimated March Return -0.23%
** CPD had a NAV of $14.43 on February 25 and $14.40 on February 27. Return for this period for CPD was therefore -0.21%, which is subtracted from the DPS period return.
* CPD had a NAV of $14.40 on March 25 and $14.19 on March 26 after a $0.21 distribution. The NAV was 14.19 on March 27. Therefore, the total return on CPD for this full period was 0.00%. This has been used to estimate a post-distribution NAV for DPS.UN on March 27..
** CPD had a NAV of $14.39 on April 1 and a NAV of $14.28 on March 31. The return for the day was therefore 0.77%. This figure is subtracted from the DPS.UN period return to arrive at an estimate for the calendar month.
The April return for DPS.UN’s NAV is therefore the product of four period returns, +0.21, -0.98%, +1.33 and -0.77%, to arrive at an estimate for the calendar month of -0.23%

Now, to see the DPS.UN quarterly NAV approximate return, we refer to the calculations for January and February

DPS.UN NAV Returns, three-month-ish to end-March-ish, 2009
January-ish +5.71%
February-ish -1.79%
March-ish -0.23%
Three-months-ish +3.58%
MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: March 2009

Trading eased off a little in March, with portfolio turnover of about 80%, in a market notable for its volatility – PerpetualDiscounts were down 5.28% at the nadir on March 10, but recovered to post a return of +1.05% for the month. There was continued huge issuance of Fixed-Resets during the month, with over $1.2-billion hitting the streets.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-3-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 9.7% (-0.6) 15.86% 6.56
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 73.8% (+1.0) 7.60% 12.03
Fixed-Reset 10.0% (+0.7) 6.39% 13.28
Scraps (FixFloat) 1.6% (-2.6) 6.53% 14.74
Scraps (OpRet) 3.7% (-0.4) 17.67% 5.69
Scraps (SplitShare) 0.5% (+0.2) 6.40% 4.35
Cash +0.5% (+1.5) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 8.60% 11.23
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from February month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-3-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 49.9% (+17.2)
Pfd-1(low) 16.5% (-14.8)
Pfd-2(high) 8.9% (-0.4)
Pfd-2 0% (0)
Pfd-2(low) 18.7% (-0.4)
Pfd-3(high) 5.3% (-3.0)
Pfd-3(low) 0.0% (-0.3)
Cash +0.5% (+1.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from February month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed. The overall credit quality of the portfolio is now superior to the credit quality of CPD at August month-end (when adjusted for the downgrade of BCE).

Claymore provides the following ratings breakdown:

Ratings Breakdown
as of 12/31/08
Pfd-1 61.15%
Pfd-2 23.26%
Pfd-3 15.60%

Two events have occurred since the Dec. 31 calculation date of CPD’s credit quality:

As was the case with the February Composition Report, the changes in MAPF’s credit quality defy simple explanation; there were simply too many trades to allow for one or two trades to be highlighted as the source of the change. In sum however, the major changes were:

  • In the FixedReset Sector, IAG.PR.C (Pfd-2(high)) was sold and BMO.PR.O (Pfd-1) was purchased,
  • In the PerpetualDiscounts sector, several SLF issues (Pfd-1(low)) were sold and CU.PR.B (Pfd-2(high)) was purchased.

A plot of the Yields-to-Worst of SLF.PR.A (the most liquid SLF issue) and CU.PR.B is instructive. The peak in SunLife yields was enormous – and sadly, the fund got in too early to realize the full benefit of the return to more normal levels, having topped up its position in the week of February 13-17. However, the need to act quickly is well illustrated by CU.PR.B, for which it appears that a large sale order was executed in pieces over a two week period, driving the pre-tax bid-YTW to an elevated plateau. The fund was able to take advantage of the market impact of this trade, supplying liquidity to the seller at what appears – so far! – to have been a very nice price.

Trade details will be published with the semi-annual report to unitholders, due in July.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-3-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.5% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 37.6% (+18.2)
$100,000 – $200,000 14.8% (-1.9)
$200,000 – $300,000 23.8% (-7.4)
>$300,000 22.6% (-10.6)
Cash +0.5% (+1.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from February month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on The Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 29. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is similar
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF weighting in PerpetualDiscounts is higher
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet is similar
    • MAPF is slightly less exposed to Fixed-Resets