Issue Comments

Best & Worst Performers: June 2009

These are total returns, with dividends presumed to have been reinvested at the bid price on the ex-date. The list has been restricted to issues in the HIMIPref™ indices.

June 2009
Issue Index DBRS Rating Monthly Performance Notes (“Now” means “June 30”)
TRI.PR.B Floater Pfd-2(low) -10.91% Was the third-best performer in May, with a return of +31.15% last month.
BAM.PR.B Floater Pfd-2(low) -7.01% Was the best performer in May, with a total return of +35.13%
BAM.PR.K Floater Pfd-2(low) -6.29% Was the second-best performer in May, with a return of +34.25% in that month.
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Pfd-2(high) -4.18% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.35% based on a bid of 18.35 and a limitMaturity.
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount Pfd-1(low) -2.52% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.52% based on a bid of 17.44 and a limitMaturity.
BAM.PR.I OpRet Pfd-2(low) +5.62% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.59% based on a bid of 24.95 and a softMaturity 2013-12-30 at 25.00.
BAM.PR.N PerpetualDiscount Pfd-2(low) +7.69% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.68% based on a bid of 15.60 and a limitMaturity.
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount Pfd-2(low) +9.11% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.56% based on a bid of 15.86 and a limitMaturity.
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Pfd-2(high) +9.55% This was the worst performer in May and the best performer in April. Notoriously volatile. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.61% based on a bid of 17.55 and a limitMaturity.
BNA.PR.C SplitShare Pfd-2(low) +11.46% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 10.48% based on a bid of 16.05 and a hardMaturity 2019-1-10 at 25.00.

What can I say? The Floaters Index currently has three members. The top three spots in May were occupied by Floaters; the bottom three spots in June were occupied by Floaters.

Issue Comments

RPB.PR.A Edges Closer to Default

Connor Clark has announced:

that Lear Corporation has reached agreement on a consensual debt restructuring under court supervision pursuant to a voluntary bankruptcy filing under Chapter 11 of the United States Bankruptcy Code. This plan is expected to constitute a credit event under the credit linked note (“CLN”) issued by TD Bank to which the Company has exposure.

Given the unprecedented economic downturn and corresponding decline in global automobile production volumes, as well as continued difficult conditions in credit markets generally, Lear’s Board of Directors concluded that this action was the fastest and most effective way to de-lever its capital structure.

The recovery rate for ROC Pref III Corp. is fixed at 40%. As a result, the Lear credit event is expected to reduce the number of additional defaults that ROC Pref III Corp. can sustain before the payment of $25.00 per Preferred Share at maturity is adversely affected by 1.0 to 1.6.

They provide a table:

RPB.PR.A
Additional Reference
Defaults to
2012-3-23
Estimated RPB.PR.A
Maturity Value
1.6 or less $25.00
2.0 $20.09
3.0 $7.99
3.7 Zip Zero Zilch

There are 127 names in the reference portfolio, with 6.0 defaults as of 2009-3-31; on that date there were 17 non-defaulted junk names. The death watch continues.

RPB.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog in connection with December’s credit event for Tribune Corp..

RPB.PR.A is not tracked by HIMIPref™.

Issue Comments

MST.PR.A Delisted, Redeemed in Full at Par

On May 27, Sentry Select announced:

that the units of Select 50 S-1 Income Trust, Sentry Select Focused Growth & Income Trust, Pro-Vest Growth & Income Fund and the capital units and preferred securities of the Multi Select Income Trust (collectively, the “Units”) will be voluntarily delisted from the Toronto Stock Exchange at the close of business on Tuesday, June 2, 2009. The delisting of the Units is being done in preparation for the merger of each of the Funds into Sentry Select Canadian Income Fund (collectively, the “Mergers”), which are expected to occur on or about June 12, 2009.

… and on June 16 announced:

that the mergers of Sentry Select 40 Split Income Trust (“40 Split”), Pro-Vest Growth & Income Trust (“Pro-Vest”), Multi-Select Income Trust (“Multi-Select”), Sentry Select Focused Growth & Income Trust (“Focused Growth”) and Select 50 S-1 Income Trust (“Select 50”) (collectively the “Terminating Funds”) with Sentry Select Canadian Income Fund (the “Continuing Fund”) (the “Mergers”), became effective on June 12, 2009. The Mergers were approved at special meetings of unitholders of the Terminating Funds held concurrently on May 20, 2009.

The Terminating Funds transferred all of their assets to the Continuing Fund in exchange for Series A units of the Continuing Fund and the assumption by the Continuing Fund of all the liabilities of the Terminating Funds. Each unitholder of the Terminating Funds, except unitholders of 40 Split, received Series A units of the Continuing Fund having the same aggregate net asset value as their units of the Terminating Funds as of the close of business on June 11, 2009.

Each unitholder of Multi-Select received 0.3819 Series A units of the Continuing Fund in exchange for each unit of Multi-Select.

DBRS has announced that it:

has today discontinued the rating on the Preferred Securities issued by Multi Select Income Trust (the Trust). On June 12, 2009, the Capital Units issued by the Trust were merged along with units from other funds into the Sentry Select Canadian Income Fund. The Preferred Securities had been scheduled for final redemption on September 30, 2009, but were redeemed at the initial issue price of $10 per security on the date of the merger.

MST.PR.A was tracked by HIMIPref™ and was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was downgraded to Pfd-3(high) by DBRS. At the time of redemption it was in the “Scraps” index due to credit concerns.

Index Construction / Reporting

HIMIPref™ Index Rebalancing: June 2009

HIMI Index Changes, June 30, 2009
Issue From To Because
STW.PR.A InterestBearing Scraps Volume
ACO.PR.A Scraps OpRet Volume

CU.PR.B continued its teasing ways, closing at precisely 25.00 bid on June 30 … when the bid is exactly 25.00, I do not move the issue between Premium and Discount, regardless of which direction this might be. Maybe next month!

Sadly, the lack of volume in STW.PR.A (which is due to mature soon anyway) means there are no members of the InterestBearing index.

There were the following intra-month changes:

HIMI Index Changes during June 2009
Issue Action Index Because
MFC.PR.E Add FixedReset New issue
BAM.PR.P Add FixedReset New issue
BMO.PR.P Add FixedReset New issue
NTL.PR.F Delete Scraps Suspended / Delisted
NTL.PR.G Delete Scraps Suspended / Delisted
Market Action

June 30, 2009

Sorry, folks! The June 30 closing price data is not yet available from the TSX, so I can’t close off the day.

When I have the data, you’ll get the data!

Update: Continued heavy trading and positive performance closed the month. Preliminary index figures indicate a gain for PerpetualDiscounts of 1.66% on the month, while FixedResets returned +2.70%.

PerpetualDiscounts closed the month yielding 6.36%, equivalent to 8.90% at the standard 1.4x equivalency factor. This compares to Long Corporates at about 6.4%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is near-as-dammit to 250bp, as declines in PerpetualDiscount yields did not keep pace with the extraordinary strength of the long corporate bonds … they returned +6.14% for the month and are now +17.55% YTD, which ain’t bad!

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1628 % 1,186.7
FixedFloater 7.08 % 5.49 % 35,110 16.33 1 0.1305 % 2,129.4
Floater 3.21 % 3.63 % 83,213 18.22 3 -0.1628 % 1,482.6
OpRet 4.95 % 3.53 % 120,027 0.89 14 -0.0758 % 2,208.6
SplitShare 5.74 % 6.24 % 69,944 4.20 3 0.0151 % 1,900.9
Interest-Bearing 5.98 % -0.66 % 23,573 0.08 1 0.0998 % 2,023.1
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2313 % 1,748.9
Perpetual-Discount 6.31 % 6.36 % 161,926 13.44 71 0.2313 % 1,610.8
FixedReset 5.62 % 4.61 % 484,161 4.35 40 0.1825 % 2,032.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TD.PR.Q Perpetual-Discount -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 22.96
Evaluated at bid price : 23.11
Bid-YTW : 6.17 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 21.52
Evaluated at bid price : 21.78
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %
CU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 23.69
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.51
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 21.74
Evaluated at bid price : 22.05
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 19.80
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
TD.PR.P Perpetual-Discount 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 22.02
Evaluated at bid price : 22.12
Bid-YTW : 6.04 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 15.86
Evaluated at bid price : 15.86
Bid-YTW : 7.56 %
RY.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 23.91
Evaluated at bid price : 24.11
Bid-YTW : 5.94 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 2.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 17.99
Evaluated at bid price : 17.99
Bid-YTW : 6.30 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.O Perpetual-Discount 191,794 TD bought 25,000 from anonymous at 20.09; then National Bank crossed 122,700 at 20.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 20.15
Evaluated at bid price : 20.15
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
GWO.PR.X OpRet 118,532 Nesbitt crossed 10,000 at 26.00; RBC crossed 100,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.67
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
TD.PR.M OpRet 102,170 RBC crossed 100,000 at 26.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.17
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %
MFC.PR.E FixedReset 85,935 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset 65,322 RBC bought 10,000 from anonymous at 25.00; then another 14,000 at the same price; then bought 10,200 from National at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 24.90
Evaluated at bid price : 24.95
Bid-YTW : 4.35 %
BMO.PR.P FixedReset 65,257 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-30
Maturity Price : 23.22
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
There were 58 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Interesting External Papers

The Optimal Level of Deposit Insurance Coverage

The Boston Fed has released a working paper by Michael Manz, The Optimal Level of Deposit Insurance Coverage, in which a model of depositor behaviour leads to some interesting conclusions:

The model derived in this paper allows for a rigorous analysis of partial deposit insurance. The benefits of insurance involve eliminating inefficient withdrawals and bank runs due to noisy information and coordination failures, whereas the drawbacks consist of suppressing efficient withdrawals and of inducing excessive risk taking. A hitherto hardly noticed conclusion is that a high level of coverage can even be detrimental if bank risk is exogenous, because it undermines the occurrence of efficient bank runs. An extended version of the model shows that systemic risk calls for a higher level of deposit insurance, albeit only for systemically relevant banks from which contagion emanates, and not for the institutions that are potentially affected by contagion.

A vital contribution of the model is to provide comparative statics of the optimal level of coverage. In particular, the results imply that while tightening liquidity requirements is a substitute for deposit insurance, increasing transparency is not. Rather, the optimal coverage increases with the quality of the information available to depositors. Perhaps surprisingly, the degree of deposit insurance should not vary with expectations regarding the development of the real sector. This suggests that countries that in the past turned to increased or even unlimited deposit insurance as a reaction to a crisis, such as Japan, Turkey, or the United States, would do well to pause for thought on whether this is the right measure to strengthen their banking systems. The model also demonstrates why the presence of large creditors with uninsured claims calls for a lower level of insurance and why a high coverage is foremost in the interest of bankers and uninsured lenders. Moreover, it is consistent with small banks being particularly active lobbyists in favor of extending deposit insurance.

Another key advantage of the model is its applicability to various policy issues. In practice, only a small, albeit growing, number of countries maintaining deposit insurance require bank customers to coinsure a proportion of their deposits. According to the model, however, an optimal design of protection should build on coinsurance rather than on setting caps on insured deposits. It further indicates that deposit insurance becomes redundant in combination with full bailouts or optimal lending of last resort. While an unconditional bailout policy is about as inefficient as it can get, an optimal LolR policy combined with perfect public disclosure comes closest to the first best outcome in terms of welfare. Yet such an optimal policy, which requires protection to be contingent on bank solvency, seems far more demanding and hence less realistic in practice than unconditional deposit insurance. If regulators or central banks cannot precisely assess whether a bank is solvent, interventions are likely to be a mixture of the benchmark policies considered. Investigating these cases opens an interesting avenue for future research.

Miscellaneous News

Moody's Contemplates Downgrading Bank Prefs / IT1C / Sub-Debt

Moody’s has announced:

In Canada, proposed changes to the methodology used by Moody’s Investors Service to rate bank subordinated capital (i.e., subordinated debt, preferred shares, and other hybrid securities) could lead to ratings being lowered by an average of two to three notches on $65 billion of rated instruments.
Neither bank financial strength nor deposit ratings would change as a result of implementing Moody’s bank subordinated capital ratings proposal, the rating agency said. “These potential rating actions do not reflect on the underlying financial strength of the Canadian banking system, which Moody’s views as one of the soundest globally,” said Moody’s Senior Vice President, Peter Routledge. “Rather, they would capture the risk that subordinated capital generally does not benefit from systemic support and take into consideration the risk posed by each instrument’s features.”

Before the current financial crisis, Moody’s had assumed that any support provided by national governments and central banks to shore up a troubled bank and restore investor confidence would not just benefit the bank’s senior creditors but, at least to some extent, investors in its subordinated capital.

The rating agency notes that with recent government interventions oustide Canada, investors in certain types of subordinated capital have been left to absorb losses. In some cases, support packages have been contingent upon the banks’ suspension of coupon payments on these instruments as a means to preserve capital.

In other words, this is the same rationale as that used by DBRS when it mass-downgraded bank preferreds and IT1C.

Miscellaneous News

DBRS Releases Bank Preferred Share Rating Methodology

DBRS has announced that it:

has today released its methodology for rating Bank Preferred Shares and Equivalent Hybrids.

This methodology addresses the level of notching for preferred shares and equivalent hybrid instruments (collectively, preferred shares) relative to issuer ratings for banks and other financial institutions that are highly leveraged relative to the leverage seen in most corporate issuers. For simplicity, we will refer to banks, but the methodology applies to certain other financial institutions that fit this profile. The combination of high leverage and the importance of adequate capital for a bank’s viability increase the risk of nonpayment of preferred share dividends and/or adverse exchange offers of common equity for preferred shares relative to the risk for similarly-rated corporate issuers. These actions provide ways for a bank to quickly build up loss-absorbing common equity. The inclusion of “equivalent hybrid” denotes that this methodology also applies to hybrid securities that either convert into preferred shares rather than into junior subordinated debt or have other characteristics whereby DBRS would treat the instrument in the same fashion as it would preferred shares.

In summary, there are two major changes occurring in this methodology relative to the prior DBRS methodology for rating bank preferred shares.

(1) For those banks that benefit from support, the starting point for notching preferred share ratings will now be based on the intrinsic assessment (IA) rating rather than on the final senior debt rating. The DBRS support assessment methodology means that the IA is usually lower than the final senior debt rating for such banks. This change reflects the view that external support should provide no rating uplift for equity-type securities.

(2) The degree of notching from the IA rating to the preferred share rating has been widened to reflect our perception that the risk in these capital instruments has increased, although there is some flexibility to make adjustments to reflect the position of individual banks. This extends the long held core principle of rating more junior securities at lower levels. In addition to the implied higher risk of default, this also in part recognizes that there is a higher expected loss for junior securities that default than for more senior ranking securities.

The methodology itself has been made available. A lot of the rationale for the changes is regulatory:

Increasing the risk in these instruments is DBRS’s perception that regulators and governments are now more committed to making capital instruments play the role that they were created to play – that is, to provide capital. To get government support, banks may face greater pressure to take such capital-enhancing actions either before or in conjunction with getting government support.

An additional factor that is likely to increase the risk of such adverse actions for preferred shares appears to be the reversal of more than a decade of increased reliance on preferred shares and other hybrid instruments to bolster regulatory capital. Given the loss-absorption role of common equity, the financial markets and increasingly the regulators are looking to banks to bolster their common equity capital as opposed to other forms of capital. This drive has become more acute after the rapid erosion of common equity that some banks experienced due to significant writedowns.

Notching will vary with issuer strength:

The weaker the institution, the greater the probability that a nonpayment of preferred shares will occur after a significant loss or deterioration in fi nancial health. That suggests a widening gap as a bank’s senior issuer rating is lowered. For example, in the base notching scale shown below, for banks with an intrinsic assessment rating of A (low) or below, the risk for preferred shares is perceived to be non-investment grade.

They provide a base-case notching yardstick:

DBRS Notching Guideline
Senior Preferred Shares Notes
Three Notches
AA (high) A (high) DBRS alerts investors to higher risk of nonpayment, even for highly rated banks
AA (low) A (low) Risk is still very low as identified by “A” category
Four Notches
A (high) BBB For A (high) banks, less resiliency and increased risk of adverse events affects the preferred share rating
A (low) BB (high) Risk of falling into BBB category with higher capital stress means non-investment grade rating for preferred shares
Five Notches
BBB (high) BB (low) More immediate pressure to raise capital, if needed, but may be more difficult for weaker BBB bank
BBB (low) B Bank is only one notch away from non-investment grade, making capital more difficult to raise if needed

While the base notching as discussed above is the starting point for every rating decision on bank preferred shares, DBRS policy permits exceptions to the base notching for all rating levels (either above or below) to reflect the unique considerations of individual banks. Key considerations include the following:
• Mix and strength of the capital structure (including the proportion of preferred shares in the capital structure).
• Actions taken on common dividends (recognizing that these actions are the first buffer).
• Any other unique stresses or lack of stress within the domestic financial system, such as the expected actions possible from external parties (regulators, governments).
• The robustness and expected consistency of the bank’s earnings.
• Accessibility to capital markets.
• When the aforementioned factors present a strong case, other possible considerations may also include where the IA rating is within the broader rating category and whether the issuing entity is the bank or the holding company

This is the methodology used in the course of the recent DBRS Mass Downgrade of Banks.

Issue Comments

What is the Yield of BPP.PR.G?

The effect of changes in Prime is interesting … but the reported effect of changes in Prime is even more interesting! I received an inquiry today:

I have been trying to learn more about preferred shares and find the whole matter of floating rates quite perplexing.

If you would kindly spare me just a moment of your time, would you please explain briefly (again I don’t want to take up much of your time) how the following dividend yield from the globeinvestor.com website is arrived at for the BPO Properties stock with a floating rate listed below.

Using BPP.PR.G as an example.

The following dividend information is provided on the globeinvestor.com site:

Annual Div. 0.61 Yield 5.90

The following Annual Dividend information comes from your http://www.prefinfo.com/ website:

Floating Rate Start Date : 2001-05-07

Floating Rate Index ID : Canada Prime

FR Formula : 70% of index (#3)

How please is the listed 5.90% yield ($0.61/share) arrived at? This amount seems to be higher than the (if I am correct) present 2.25% Canada prime rate.

I thank you in advance for your assistance.

BPP.PR.G closed last night at 10.50-bid, but pays its dividend on the issue price of $25.00. The Globe (and virtually everybody else) reports the Current Yield, which is the annual dividend divided by the market price; but they use historical dividend.

Thus, the dividend paid for BPP.PR.G is 2.25% [Prime] x $25.00 [Par Value] x 70% [Fraction of Prime Paid] = $0.39375 and the price is $10.50 so the current yield – as reported by Hymas Investment – is 3.75%.

Trouble ensues when prime drops precipituously. The projected quarterly dividend based on Prime of 2.25% as calculated above is just under ten cents. But the recent dividend history of BPP.PR.G is:

BPP.PR.G, Recent Dividends
Ex-Date Record
Date
Pay-Date Amount
2008-07-29 2008-07-31 2008-08-14 0.266610
2008-10-29 2008-10-31 2008-11-14 0.207813
2009-01-28 2009-01-30 2009-02-14 0.196994
2009-04-28 2009-04-30 2009-05-14 0.153601
Total 0.825018

When we divide the total for the last four quarters – which we note is more than double the amount we expect going forward – by the price of $10.50, we get 7.86% But that’s not where the Globe gets its dividend from.

As far as I can tell, the Globe has estimated the annual dividend going forward by multiplying the previous quarterly dividend of $0.153601 by four; that results in an estimate of 0.614404 and an estimated Current Yield of 0.614404 / 10.50 = 5.85% which, I suppose, the Globe rounds to 5.90%.

I remarked on the effect of the precipituous decline in prime during my Seminar on Floating Rate Issues (which is available for purchase) … but I confess, the idea that buyers could be trading based on yields reported by the Globe calculated in such a manner was something I missed completely!

I congratulate my interlocutor for checking the Globe’s reported yield!

Market Action

June 29, 2009

Bernanke roughly handled by the House Oversight Committee:

Republican lawmakers who have consistently opposed government rescues of financial companies have accused the central bank of overstepping its authority in pressuring Bank of America to absorb Merrill Lynch.

Republican congressional staff wrote in a memo on documents received by the House panel from the Fed through a subpoena that a “gun placed to the head of Bank of America” forced the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank to go through with the merger, which was announced in mid-September.

but has found defenders in Econbrowser‘s James Hamilton’s post On Grilling the Fed Chair:

It is one thing to have different views from those of the Fed Chair on particular decisions that have been made– I certainly have plenty of areas of disagreement of my own. But it is another matter to question Bernanke’s intellect or personal integrity. As someone who’s known him for 25 years, I would place him above 99.9% of those recently in power in Washington on the integrity dimension, not to mention IQ. His actions over the past two years have been guided by one and only one motive, that being to minimize the harm caused to ordinary people by the financial turmoil. Whether you agree or disagree with all the steps he’s taken, let’s start with an understanding that that’s been his overriding goal.

and in a somewhat more lukewarm manner by Accrued Interest’s Ben Bernanke: Smooth Criminal:

Now the morons in congress are coming for Ben Bernanke for how he handled the Bank of America/Merrill Lynch merger. Seriously? Now, let there be no doubt. Ken Lewis was pressured by the Fed in a way that should leave a bad taste in the mouth of any free citizen. But we were in the middle of an economic war. Sometimes some bad shit happens on the battlefield and sometimes its OK if we look the other way.

Willem Buiter remarks that Too Big to Fail is Too Big (emphasis added):

In banking and most highly leveraged finance, size is a social bad. Fortunately, there is quite a list of effective instruments for cutting leveraged finance down to size.

  • Legally and institutionally, unbundle narrow banking and investment banking (Glass Steagall-on-steroids).
  • Legally and institutionally prevent all banks (narrow banks and investment banks) from engaging in activities that present manifest potential conflicts of interest. This means no more universal banks and similar financial supermarkets.
  • Limit the size of all banks by making regulatory capital ratios an increasing function of bank size.
  • Enforce competition policy aggressively in the banking sector, by breaking up banks if necessary.
  • Require any remaining systemically important banks to produce a detailed annual bankruptcy contingency plan.
  • Only permit limited liability for narrow banks/public utility banks.
  • Create a highly efficient special resolution regime for all systemically important financial institutions. This SRR will permit an omnipotent Conservator/Administrator to financially restructure the failing institutions (by writing down the claims of the unsecured creditors or mandatorily converting them into equity), without interfering materially with new lending, investment and funding operations.

The Geithner plan for restructuring US regulation is silent on the too big to fail problem. That alone is sufficient to ensure that it will fail to result in a more stable and safer US banking and financial system.

Of the laundry list, Assiduous Readers will know that I am most in favour of making regulartory capital requirements an increasing function of bank size: it requires the least judgement by regulators and politicians, is the most transparent and allows the highest degree of forward planning by the banks and by the investors in those banks.

I also want to see an unbundling of narrow banking and investment banking, but preferably not by legislative fiat. I want to see the regulations altered to recognize that there is a difference in institutional culture between these two activities and offer institutions a choice between capital requirement regimes. Those opting for Narrow Banking will find they can lever up their buy-and-hold holdings of consumer loans a little more, but find their trading activities require more capital to cover; those opting for Investment Banking will find it relatively easier to lever up a trading operation, but when paper stays on the books for more than a few months it requires progressively more capital.

I recently read a fascinating paper on the origins of corporate boards; Franklin A. Gevurtz’s The Historical and Political Origins of the Corporate Board of Directors:

Prompted by the litany of complaints about corporate boards – as once again highlighted by recent corporate scandals – this paper seeks to add to the literature on why corporation laws in the United States (and, indeed, around the world) generally call for corporate governance by or under a board of directors. Moreover, this paper takes a very different approach in searching for an answer. Instead of theorizing, this paper examines historical sources in order to look at how and why an elected board of directors came to be the accepted mode of corporate governance. This will entail a reverse chronological tour all the way back to the antecedents of today’s corporate board in fourteenth through sixteenth century companies of English merchants engaged in foreign trade. The central insight of this chronology is that the corporate board of directors did not develop as an institution to manage the business corporation. Rather, it is an institution the business corporation inherited when the business corporation evolved out of societies of independent merchants. This paper also shows how these merchant societies based their adoption of the antecedents of today’s corporate board on widespread political theories and practices in medieval Europe that, although hardly democratic, often called for the use of collective governance by a body of representatives. The discovery of the historical and political origins of the corporate board, besides being interesting in its own right, suggests that the current frustration with corporate boards may arise from confusing an institution designed to achieve political legitimacy through consent of the governed, with the goal of assuring efficient management of a business on behalf of passive investors.

A good solidly strong day for preferreds as FixedResets continued to rock ‘n’ roll on continued heavy volume. I will be most interested to see what tomorrow brings, given the DBRS Mass Downgrade of Bank Prefs & IT1C … probably not much effect, but the banks that got downgraded two notches (HSB, NA, LB) rather than just one (BMO, BNS, CM, RY, TD) might see some effects.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.4702 % 1,188.7
FixedFloater 7.09 % 5.51 % 35,562 16.31 1 0.0000 % 2,126.6
Floater 3.20 % 3.59 % 76,896 18.30 3 -1.4702 % 1,485.0
OpRet 4.94 % 3.47 % 121,412 0.89 14 0.2391 % 2,210.2
SplitShare 5.74 % 6.31 % 69,731 4.20 3 0.2717 % 1,900.6
Interest-Bearing 5.99 % 0.35 % 22,795 0.08 1 0.2000 % 2,021.1
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2709 % 1,744.9
Perpetual-Discount 6.32 % 6.37 % 161,445 13.41 71 0.2709 % 1,607.0
FixedReset 5.63 % 4.64 % 486,697 4.35 40 0.3178 % 2,029.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -2.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 10.86
Evaluated at bid price : 10.86
Bid-YTW : 3.62 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -2.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 17.54
Evaluated at bid price : 17.54
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
TRI.PR.B Floater -1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 15.05
Evaluated at bid price : 15.05
Bid-YTW : 2.61 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 6.76 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 21.95
Evaluated at bid price : 22.26
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 19.52
Evaluated at bid price : 19.52
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
CU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 23.42
Evaluated at bid price : 23.71
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 21.60
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 22.38
Evaluated at bid price : 22.56
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 20.51
Evaluated at bid price : 20.51
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 4.94 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 18.66
Evaluated at bid price : 18.66
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.40
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
CU.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 2.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 24.71
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 3.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 20.45
Evaluated at bid price : 20.45
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
GWO.PR.X OpRet 208,558 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 150,000 and 25,000 shares, both at 26.00; RBC crossed 30,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.67
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 3.69 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 203,313 Nesbitt crossed 160,000 at 22.20 and another 40,000 at 22.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 22.38
Evaluated at bid price : 22.56
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
TD.PR.M OpRet 125,600 RBC crossed three blocks, 49,000 and 30,000 and 19,000 shares, all at 26.16; Desjardins crossed 25,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.20
Bid-YTW : 3.47 %
BMO.PR.P FixedReset 114,910 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 23.22
Evaluated at bid price : 25.32
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
GWO.PR.J FixedReset 81,700 Nesbitt sold 33,900 to RBC at 26.25, then crossed 43,500 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.25
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset 72,875 RBC bought 18,800 from Anonymous at 24.95, then crossed 26,000 at 24.94.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-29
Maturity Price : 24.86
Evaluated at bid price : 24.91
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
There were 44 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.