Market Action

May 2, 2011

The drive to protect incompetent traders continues:

U.S. prosecutors have joined regulators’ investigation into whether some high-speed traders are manipulating markets by posting and immediately canceling waves of rapid-fire orders, two officials said.

Justice Department investigators are “working closely” with the Securities and Exchange Commission to review practices “that are potentially manipulative, like quote-stuffing,” Marc Berger, chief of the Securities and Commodities Task Force at the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York, said today at an event in New York.

While regulators previously said they were probing possibly abusive algorithmic trading practices, the attention of criminal authorities ramps up the stakes.

While researching something else, I ran across an opinion piece by Ed Waitzer titled New IIROC plan avoids putting duty on advisors to act in clients’ interest that illustrates the complete inability of professional regulators to analyze the simplest transaction. In talking about the “fiduciary responsibility” issue, he states:

To understand the difference between a “suitability” and “best-interest” standard, think of a student seeking advice at an electronics store about her need for a laptop. The salesperson recommends a highly priced unit with an expensive extended warranty — all designed to generate the highest commission. The laptop is suitable — it will satisfy the student’s needs. It clearly isn’t the best solution and a disclosure obligation isn’t likely to stand in the way of a motivated salesperson. If the salesperson had been bound by a “best-interest” standard, he would recommend a simpler, more reliable and affordable unit.

What utter balderdash. If the salesperson was bound by the “best-interest” standard and was being paid on commission, he would simply ensure that he had a plausible rationale for recommending the more profitable product as being in the student’s best interest. “What if it breaks? You’re on a tight budget! It might break at a bad time! You’re better off buying the extended warranty and fixing your costs. Then you can concentrate on your studies, instead of worrying about malfunctions in your machine.” No purpose would be served by a “best-interest” standard in the presence of commissioned sales except for the – very important, with respect to the employment prospects of some – generation of paperwork and checklists for the electronic consumer goods’ salesmen’s regulator.

I get hate mail whenever I write about the fiduciary responsibility issue – such as January 24 – so all I can suggest is: if you want a fiduciary, hire one. I’m a Portfolio Manager, for instance. I get paid for Assets Under Management, not for transactions. I’m a fiduciary – in fact, I’m legally (OSC) and ethically (CFA) required to be. If you don’t want a fiduciary, don’t hire a Portfolio Manager – hire a stockbroker or mutual fund salesman. It’s really quite simple.

It looks like Berkshire Hathaway has been stung by recent criticism and is now attempting to worm its way back into the good graces of morons by criticisizing investment banks:

Charles Munger, whose Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A) holds $5 billion of options on Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) stock, said the role of investment bankers in helping to mask Greece’s financial troubles was “perfectly disgusting.”

“Wall Street to some extent is deliberately trying to profit from sin, and I think it’s a mistake,” Munger told reporters yesterday after Berkshire’s annual press conference in Omaha, Nebraska. “Why should an investment banker go to Greece to teach them how to pretend their finances are different from what they really are? Why isn’t that a perfectly disgusting bit of human behavior?”

Goldman’s conduct with respect to Greece was discussed on PrefBlog when the issue became fashionable (see, for example, March 1, 2010). I eagerly await Munger’s next pronouncement, which may be on the topic of whether lawyers should represent Bad People. Still, I can’t blame him for chanting the slogan of the ‘finance as a cooperative game’ crowd – the Berkshire / Buffett / Munger mystique is worth what? 10%? 20% of their stock price? Who wants to guess?

The US Administration recently announced drastic measures against a Public Enemy. You know who I mean:

Citing an epidemic of childhood obesity, regulators are taking aim at a range of tactics used to market foods high in sugar, fat or salt to children, including the use of cartoon characters like Toucan Sam, the brightly colored Froot Loops pitchman, who appears in television commercials and online games as well as on cereal boxes.

Regulators are asking food makers and restaurant companies to make a choice: make your products healthier or stop advertising them to youngsters.

“Toucan Sam can sell healthy food or junk food,” said Dale Kunkel, a communications professor at the University of Arizona who studies the marketing of children’s food. “This forces Toucan Sam to be associated with healthier products.”

Walk the plank, Cap’n!

It was another mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with DeemedRetractibles bouncing back (a little, anyway) from a sub-par month of April: PerpetualDiscounts lost 1bp, FixedResets gained 13bp and DeemedRetractibles won 31bp. The badly beaten up DeemedRetractibles from insurers were prominent on the performance highlights table. Volume was good. And now it’s time to watch the election news…

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5562 % 2,438.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5562 % 3,667.0
Floater 2.47 % 2.26 % 38,192 21.62 4 0.5562 % 2,632.6
OpRet 4.91 % 3.20 % 59,032 2.04 8 0.0626 % 2,416.4
SplitShare 5.21 % -2.23 % 77,671 0.62 6 0.0750 % 2,497.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0626 % 2,209.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.78 % 5.65 % 116,502 1.11 8 0.0149 % 2,054.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.57 % 5.58 % 147,548 14.40 16 -0.0119 % 2,126.6
FixedReset 5.17 % 3.44 % 218,609 2.89 57 0.1330 % 2,295.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.22 % 5.04 % 314,948 8.12 53 0.3083 % 2,100.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.13
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.94
Bid-YTW : 5.93 %
TD.PR.C FixedReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 3.10 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.36
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.26
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
BNS.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.30
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-05-02
Maturity Price : 23.19
Evaluated at bid price : 23.49
Bid-YTW : 2.20 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.37
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 81,675 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 26.01.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
BMO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 69,173 Nesbitt crossed 60,000 at 25.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.76
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 36,135 Scotia crossed 25,000 at 25.54.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-02-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 35,911 RBC crossed 25,000 at 27.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.16
Bid-YTW : 3.36 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 35,406 RBC crossed 25,000 at 27.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.35
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 31,060 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 3.85 %
There were 37 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRI.PR.B Floater Quote: 23.05 – 23.72
Spot Rate : 0.6700
Average : 0.4321

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-05-02
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 2.26 %

FTS.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 26.26 – 26.73
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3457

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.26
Bid-YTW : 3.39 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Quote: 24.63 – 24.96
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2165

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-05-02
Maturity Price : 22.97
Evaluated at bid price : 24.63
Bid-YTW : 4.38 %

NA.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 26.15 – 26.50
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2617

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 3.19 %

CIU.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 27.68 – 27.94
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1733

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.68
Bid-YTW : 3.54 %

NA.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 27.75 – 28.05
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2141

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.75
Bid-YTW : 2.58 %

MAPF

MAPF Performance: April 2011

The fund had a poor month with a return of -1.32%. While comparative index figures are not yet available, the Claymore ETF, CPD, was essentially flat on the month, with its NAV dropping $0.07 after paying a dividend of $0.069.

The fund’s poor performance is again attributable to its heavy position in DeemedRetractibles issued by insurers, which did very poorly. To illustrate this, I have uploaded two graphs comparing very similar issues: GWO.PR.I and CM.PR.I:

These two issues are both considered to be DeemedRetractibles; I consider it more prudent to assume they will be redeemed on or before 2022-1-31 than to assume otherwise. However, the market does not presently share my opinion! This is best illustrated by calculating Implied Volatility with the Straight Perpetual Implied Volatility Calculator.


Click for Big


Click for Big

The Implied Volatility for the PWF issues is 26%, while for the GWO issues it is 16%. Note that I consider a reasonable figure for Implied Volatility, in the absence of directional bias, to be in the 15-20% range; a figure outside this range implies some degree of directional bias in the market: lower means that the market believes that eventual redemption is less likely than would be predicted by random chance, a higher figure implies more likely redemption. When the calculation is performed for CM issues, a ludicrously high value is obtained, implying perceived virtual certainty of redemption – which is as it should be.

However, the market is currently pricing the PWF and GWO issues as if it is the former that has some kind of non-economic incentive to redeem, rather than the latter! I do not believe that this conclusion may be justified in any manner whatsoever.

It is in the nature of the preferred share market to behave irrationally from time to time – in the spring of 2010, I noted that the relative prices for these two issues reflected negative Implied Volatility (which cannot actually be calculated because the math blows up). It happens. Sometimes, when the market takes an irrational dislike to a particular issue or set of issues, I am able to exploit the opportunity thus provided; sometimes, as now, I’m already there and have to suffer (another example was June 2008, immortalized in my article The Swoon in June).

I am, of course, disappointed at the second consecutive month of underperformance – but have every reason to believe that this is transient.

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close April 29 was $10.9105.

Returns to April 29, 2011
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month -1.32% +0.36% +0.01%
Three Months -0.57% +1.79% +1.41%
One Year +23.73% +15.78% +12.91%
Two Years (annualized) +25.99% +16.15% N/A
Three Years (annualized) +23.64% +7.28% +4.73%
Four Years (annualized) +17.37% +3.90%  
Five Years (annualized) +15.15% +3.96%  
Six Years (annualized) +13.64% +3.87%  
Seven Years (annualized) +13.08% +4.14%  
Eight Years (annualized) +14.54% +4.41%  
Nine Years (annualized) +13.05% +4.58%  
Ten Years (annualized) +13.36% +4.21%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of distributions, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
* CPD does not directly report its two-year returns.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +0.00%, +1.17% and +13.87%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses. Three year performance is +5.89%.
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund Class I Units (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -0.15%, +0.56% and +9.26% respectively, according to Morningstar
Figures for Manulife Preferred Income Fund (formerly AIC Preferred Income Fund) (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +0.07%, +0.81% & +9.91%, respectively
Figures for Horizons AlphaPro Preferred Share ETF are not yet available (inception date 2010-11-23)

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page. The fund is available either directly from Hymas Investment Management or through a brokerage account at Odlum Brown Limited.

Sometimes everything works … sometimes the trading works, but sectoral shifts overwhelm the increment … sometimes nothing works. The fund seeks to earn incremental return by selling liquidity (that is, taking the other side of trades that other market participants are strongly motivated to execute), which can also be referred to as ‘trading noise’. There were a lot of strongly motivated market participants during the Panic of 2007, generating a lot of noise! Unfortunately, the conditions of the Panic may never be repeated in my lifetime … but the fund will simply attempt to make trades when swaps seem profitable, without worrying about the level of monthly turnover.

There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. I have shown in recent issues of PrefLetter that market pricing for FixedResets is demonstrably stupid and I have lots of confidence – backed up by my bond portfolio management experience in the markets for Canadas and Treasuries, and equity trading on the NYSE & TSX – that there is enough demand for liquidity in any market to make the effort of providing it worthwhile (although the definition of “worthwhile” in terms of basis points of outperformance changes considerably from market to market!) I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform but it should be borne in mind that there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Capital
Gains
Multiplier
Sustainable
Income
per
current
Unit
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 1.2857 0.3628
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 1.2857 0.3885
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 1.2857 0.4112
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 1.2857 0.4672
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% 1.2857 $0.4112
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% 1.2857 $0.4672
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% 1.2857 $0.5737
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% 1.2857 $0.6046
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% 1.2857 $0.6029
September 12.3462 6.03% 0.998 6.042% 1.2857 $0.5802
December 2009 10.5662 5.74% 0.981 5.851% 1.0819 $0.5714
March 2010 10.2497 6.03% 0.992 6.079% 1.0819 $0.5759
June 10.5770 5.96% 0.996 5.984% 1.0819 $0.5850
September 11.3901 5.43% 0.980 5.540% 1.0819 $0.5832
December 2010 10.7659 5.37% 0.993 5.408% 1.0000 $0.5822
March, 2011 11.0560 6.00% 0.994 5.964% 1.0000 $0.6594
April, 2011 10.9105 6.20% 1.003 6.219% 1.0000 $0.6785
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions of dividend income and annual distribution of capital gains.
Portfolio YTW includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
The Leverage Divisor indicates the level of cash in the account: if the portfolio is 1% in cash, the Leverage Divisor will be 0.99
Securities YTW divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
The Capital Gains Multiplier adjusts for the effects of Capital Gains Dividends. On 2009-12-31, there was a capital gains distribution of $1.989262 which is assumed for this purpose to have been reinvested at the final price of $10.5662. Thus, a holder of one unit pre-distribution would have held 1.1883 units post-distribution; the CG Multiplier reflects this to make the time-series comparable. Note that Dividend Distributions are not assumed to be reinvested.
Sustainable Income is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per current unit, before fees and expenses. Note that a “current unit” includes reinvestment of prior capital gains; a unitholder would have had the calculated sustainable income with only, say, 0.9 units in the past which, with reinvestment of capital gains, would become 1.0 current units.
Analysis of yields changed in February 2011 to include the concept of DeemedRetractible issues. DeemedRetractibles are comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD. These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31, in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See OSFI Does Not Grandfather Extant Tier 1 Capital and the January & February, 2011, editions of PrefLetter for the rationale behind this analysis. This deemed maturity has a significant effect on calculated yields.

Significant positions were held in DeemedRetractible and FixedReset issues on April 29; all of the former and most of the latter currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par prior to 2022-1-31. This presents another complication in the calculation of sustainable yield. The fund also holds a position in a SplitShare (BNA.PR.C) which also has its yield calculated with the expectation of a maturity.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 5.54% shown in the MAPF Portfolio Composition: April 2011 analysis (which is slightly below the 5.58% index yield on April 29). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be $10.9105 * 0.0554 = $0.6044, a slight decline from the $11.0560 * 0.0560 = $0.6191 reported in March.

Different assumptions lead to different results from the calculation, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: April 2011

Turnover declined dramatically in April, to about 4%. Now that the portfolio has repositioned itself to account for OSFI’s refusal to grandfather extant Tier 1 Capital, we are back to the slow trading of positions based on changes in relative value.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may be thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2011-4-29
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 4.8% (+0.6) 6.47% 6.34
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% (0) N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 6.8% (+0.9) 5.54% 14.59
Fixed-Reset 8.1% (-0.3) 3.54% 2.81
Deemed-Retractible 70.0% (-1.9) 6.39% 8.08
Scraps (Various) 10.0% (-0.2) 7.50% 10.23
Cash +0.3% (+0.9) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.20% 8.20
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from February month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.
DeemedRetractibles are comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD. These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31, in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See OSFI Does Not Grandfather Extant Tier 1 Capital and the January, February and March, 2011, editions of PrefLetter for the rationale behind this analysis.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2011-4-29
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (0)
Pfd-1(low) 43.2% (+0.1)
Pfd-2(high) 26.8% (-1.2)
Pfd-2 0 (0)
Pfd-2(low) 19.7% (+1.0)
Pfd-3(high) 6.5% (-0.1)
Pfd-3 3.5% (-0.1)
Cash +0.3% (+0.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from March month-end.
A position held in ELF preferreds has been assigned to Pfd-2(low)

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2011-4-29
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.0% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 17.9% (+3.7)
$100,000 – $200,000 35.2% (-4.8)
$200,000 – $300,000 14.8% (+9.0)
>$300,000 31.8% (-8.7)
Cash +0.3% (+0.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from March month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. The fund may be purchased either directly from Hymas Investment Management or through a brokerage account at Odlum Brown Limited. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) or those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 31, 2010, and published in the September, 2010, PrefLetter. While direct comparisons are difficult due to the introduction of the DeemedRetractible class of preferred share (see above) it is fair to say:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a higher
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is much more exposed to DeemedRetractibles
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is slightly more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
Market Action

April 29, 2011

Elections have consequences!

The TMX Group Inc.’ s plan to merge with London Stock Exchange Group Plc wouldn’t get federal government approval if Jack Layton has any say — and polls say that the New Democratic Party leader may have a lot of say after Monday’s federal election.

Speaking Friday as his party surges in popularity, Mr. Layton said he saw too much risk to approve the deal.

“We worry that Canadian business trying to access capital might have greater difficulty. As much as one might want to pretend that nothing will change, we find that hard to believe,” he said, according to Reuters.

But there’s a decent chance the deal will be approved before the new Minister’s office is painted orange:

On Friday TMX Group (X-T40.080.150.38%) and London Stock Exchange Group cast any questions aside by starting the formal application process with federal and provincial authorities regarding their proposed combination.

That means TMX has submitted its application to Investment Canada, which now has 75 days at most to review the proposal. Formal filings with the four provincial regulators who have a say will come in the next few weeks.

It was another mixed and somewhat strange day on the Canadian preferred share market – it appears that the announcement that CM will prioritize preferred share redemptions is having some effect. PerpetualDiscounts gained 20bp, FixedResets were down 4bp and DeemedRetractibles won 44bp. DeemedRetractibles dominated the Performance Highlights table, with a few insurer issues nestled amongst the banks. Volume was good.

And that’s a wrap for another month! Final figures aren’t in yet, but it looks like the overall market was basically flat on the month.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2135 % 2,424.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2135 % 3,646.7
Floater 2.49 % 2.26 % 35,609 21.62 4 0.2135 % 2,618.0
OpRet 4.91 % 3.62 % 58,150 2.05 8 0.0578 % 2,414.9
SplitShare 5.21 % -2.05 % 80,405 0.63 6 0.0022 % 2,495.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0578 % 2,208.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.78 % 5.66 % 123,843 6.12 8 0.0844 % 2,054.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.57 % 5.58 % 144,536 14.41 16 0.2049 % 2,126.9
FixedReset 5.18 % 3.46 % 214,695 2.90 57 -0.0366 % 2,292.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.24 % 5.07 % 317,498 8.13 53 0.4354 % 2,094.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-29
Maturity Price : 23.41
Evaluated at bid price : 23.70
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
RY.PR.F Deemed-Retractible 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.62
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
RY.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.44
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
BMO.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.01
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.46
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.46
Bid-YTW : 6.25 %
BNS.PR.K Deemed-Retractible 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 72,205 TD crossed 42,400 at 24.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.05
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
BNS.PR.P FixedReset 43,326 Nesbitt bought 10,000 from anonymous at 26.00; Desjardins crossed 25,000 at 26.02.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.95
Bid-YTW : 3.07 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 42,719 RBC bought two blocks of 10,000 each from anonymous at 23.50, then crossed 11,000 at 23.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-29
Maturity Price : 23.41
Evaluated at bid price : 23.70
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
CM.PR.I Deemed-Retractible 33,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 31,305 Desjardins crossed 10,000 at 27.32.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.35
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 29,723 Desjardins crossed 25,000 at 23.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-29
Maturity Price : 22.78
Evaluated at bid price : 22.97
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
There were 38 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Quote: 25.60 – 26.18
Spot Rate : 0.5800
Average : 0.4320

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %

TD.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 26.41 – 26.80
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2844

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.41
Bid-YTW : 3.51 %

POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.73 – 23.05
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2157

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-29
Maturity Price : 22.54
Evaluated at bid price : 22.73
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %

IAG.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.60 – 25.86
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1640

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 24.55 – 24.85
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2296

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 19.20 – 19.39
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1263

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-29
Maturity Price : 19.20
Evaluated at bid price : 19.20
Bid-YTW : 2.75 %

Market Action

April 28, 2011

Nothing happened today.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts losing 4bp, FixedResets up 10bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 41bp. The Performance Highlights table was comprised entirely of strongly performing bank DeemedRetractibles, almost certainly due to news that CM will prioritize preferred share redemptions as a use of its excess capital. Volume was strong.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0948 % 2,419.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0948 % 3,639.0
Floater 2.49 % 2.26 % 35,105 21.63 4 -0.0948 % 2,612.5
OpRet 4.91 % 3.40 % 57,138 2.05 8 0.1158 % 2,413.5
SplitShare 5.21 % -1.89 % 81,402 0.63 6 -0.1291 % 2,495.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1158 % 2,206.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.79 % 5.62 % 124,326 6.12 8 0.1441 % 2,052.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.58 % 5.58 % 133,843 14.38 16 -0.0412 % 2,122.6
FixedReset 5.18 % 3.46 % 218,011 2.90 57 0.1034 % 2,293.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.26 % 5.13 % 315,125 8.12 53 0.4070 % 2,085.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BMO.PR.K Deemed-Retractible 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-12-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %
RY.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.74
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
RY.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.91
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
CM.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.92
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
CM.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.69
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %
CM.PR.I Deemed-Retractible 1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 121,669 TD crossed blocks of 17,300 and 10,000, RBC crossed 50,000 and 25,000 and TD bought 10,000 from CIBC, all at 27.50. YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.46
Bid-YTW : 3.64 %
TD.PR.R Deemed-Retractible 119,333 RBC crossed two blocks of 50,000 each, both at 25.98.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.93
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
BNS.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 103,700 Nesbitt and TD both crossed 50,000 at 25.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 65,043 RBC crossed 15,000 and TD crossed 24,300, both at 21.02.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.92
Bid-YTW : 6.76 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 59,736 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 26.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.91
Bid-YTW : 3.39 %
CM.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 55,206 RBC crossed 48,600 at 25.43.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : -1.43 %
There were 51 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
RY.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.13 – 24.58
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3186

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.13
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %

GWO.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.20 – 25.54
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2399

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %

BAM.PR.J OpRet Quote: 26.89 – 27.20
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.2183

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.89
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %

PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.95 – 23.23
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2011

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-28
Maturity Price : 22.76
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %

BMO.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 25.93 – 26.18
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1724

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.93
Bid-YTW : 3.16 %

BAM.PR.I OpRet Quote: 25.31 – 25.60
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2134

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.31
Bid-YTW : 4.84 %

Issue Comments

ES.PR.B Upgraded to Pfd-3 by DBRS

Dominion Bond Rating Service has announced that it:

has today updated the ratings of preferred shares issued by three split share companies and trusts (the Issuers): Energy Split Corporation, SNP Split Corp. and Utility Split Trust. The preferred shares of Energy Split Corporation have been upgraded to Pfd-3 from Pfd-3 (low), and the preferred shares/securities of SNP Split Corp. and Utility Split Trust have been confirmed at Pfd-3 (high) and Pfd-2 (low), respectively.

Each of the Issuers has invested in a portfolio of securities funded by the issuance of two classes of shares – dividend-yielding preferred shares (or securities) and capital shares (or units). The main form of credit enhancement available to preferred shares is a buffer of downside protection. Downside protection corresponds to the percentage decline in market value of a portfolio that must be experienced before the preferred shares would be in a loss position. The amount of downside protection available to preferred shares will fluctuate over time based on changes in the market value of the portfolio.

Today’s rating actions reflect generally upward trends in the net asset value (NAV) of the respective portfolios over the past year. In its surveillance of split share funds, DBRS reviews historical trends in downside protection and assigns greater weighting to more recent Issuer NAVs. Each of the Issuers has a scheduled termination date in 2011.

Energy Split Corporation is ES.PR.B, last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was upgraded to Pfd-3(low) by DBRS. ES.PR.B is not tracked by HIMIPref™, but it will be considered for inclusion in the database if they go for a term extension.

Issue Comments

CM to Prioritize Preferred Share Redemptions

Doug Alexander of Bloomberg reports:

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce plans to spend any extra capital to redeem C$3.16 billion ($3.32 billion) in preferred shares that won’t count as regulatory capital under new banking rules, Chief Executive Officer Gerald McCaughey said.

“We do have an excess of Tier 1 capital today and in the future,” McCaughey, 55, said in an interview today. “A first step in terms of our usage of excess resources will be to reduce instruments that we have that are ineffective in the new environment.”

Canada’s fifth-biggest bank had a so-called Tier 1 capital ratio of 14.3 percent as of Jan. 31, second only to National Bank of Canada. The Toronto-based bank sold more than C$2.4 billion in preferred shares and other notes since August 2008 to shore up its balance sheet during the financial crisis.

“We will be looking at our non-common Tier 1 instruments in the near future,” McCaughey said in Winnipeg, Manitoba, after the bank’s annual meeting. “That allows us to deploy a certain amount of excess resources in a fashion that does help earnings per share.”

Share buybacks aren’t a priority for the Toronto-based bank, McCaughey said.

“We do not expect in the near term to be deploying that capital in activities such as buybacks,” he said.

This is fascinating. On the surface, it sounds as if they don’t intend any issuance of non-common Tier 1 at all – but I find that very hard to believe.

Market Action

April 27, 2011

The FOMC Statement did not contain any major surprises:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the economic recovery is proceeding at a moderate pace and overall conditions in the labor market are improving gradually.

Inflation has picked up in recent months, but longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable and measures of underlying inflation are still subdued.

Increases in the prices of energy and other commodities have pushed up inflation in recent months. The Committee expects these effects to be transitory, but it will pay close attention to the evolution of inflation and inflation expectations.

The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period.

It was a good day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 11bp, FixedResets gaining 5bp and DeemedRetractibles winning 9bp. Volatility remained low, but volume was pretty good.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.58%, equivalent to 7.25% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long Corporates remain at about 5.5% (maybe a little less) so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (also called the Seniority Spread) is now about 175bp, with all numbers unchanged from the April 20 values.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2375 % 2,421.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2375 % 3,642.4
Floater 2.49 % 2.26 % 35,055 21.63 4 0.2375 % 2,614.9
OpRet 4.92 % 3.58 % 57,224 2.05 8 -0.0289 % 2,410.7
SplitShare 5.20 % -2.04 % 84,665 0.63 6 0.0607 % 2,498.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0289 % 2,204.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.80 % 5.60 % 125,026 6.13 8 -0.0099 % 2,049.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.57 % 5.58 % 133,772 14.40 16 0.1132 % 2,123.4
FixedReset 5.18 % 3.45 % 210,159 2.90 57 0.0459 % 2,291.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.28 % 5.23 % 298,094 8.11 53 0.0852 % 2,076.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.02
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-27
Maturity Price : 22.95
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 4.81 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.50
Bid-YTW : 3.26 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 6.60 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 88,816 Nesbitt crossed 42,000 at 26.10; Desjardins crossed 30,000 at 26.10 and 10,200 at 26.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.10
Bid-YTW : 3.32 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 68,757 Nesbitt crossed two blocks of 25,000 each, both at 19.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-27
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 2.77 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 47,010 Nesbitt bought 11,500 from anonymous at 24.93.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 3.91 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 37,634 RBC crossed 28,800 at 27.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.44
Bid-YTW : 3.67 %
SLF.PR.F FixedReset 35,501 Desjardins crossed 10,000 at 27.05; Nesbitt crossed 18,300 at 27.07.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.01
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 34,335 TD crossed 24,900 at 26.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.60
Bid-YTW : 3.32 %
There were 38 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.02 – 21.63
Spot Rate : 0.6100
Average : 0.3830

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.02
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %

GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.05 – 22.57
Spot Rate : 0.5200
Average : 0.3678

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.05
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %

MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 20.82 – 21.08
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1841

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.82
Bid-YTW : 6.82 %

FTS.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 26.35 – 26.99
Spot Rate : 0.6400
Average : 0.5668

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.35
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 25.41 – 25.79
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.3076

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-03-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %

TD.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 26.46 – 26.75
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2220

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.46
Bid-YTW : 3.43 %

Issue Comments

NA Announces Results of Extended Issuer Bid

National Bank has announced:

the expiry of the Bank’s offers to purchase (the “Offers”) all of the issued and outstanding Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset First Preferred Shares Series 21 (the “Preferred Shares Series 21”), all of the issued and outstanding Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset First Preferred Shares Series 24 (the “Preferred Shares Series 24”), and all of the issued and outstanding Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset First Preferred Shares Series 26 (the “Preferred Shares Series 26”, and together with the Preferred Shares Series 21 and the Preferred Shares Series 24, the “Preferred Shares”).

The Bank announced that all of the Preferred Shares validly deposited under the Offers and not withdrawn as of April 26, 2011 have been taken up and accepted for payment by the Bank. As a result, the Bank has taken up a total of 4,639,139 Preferred Shares Series 21, 4,374,120 Preferred Shares Series 24 and 4,075,165 Preferred Shares Series 26 under the Offers for an aggregate consideration of $361,208,775.14.

The Preferred Shares taken up under the Offers represent approximately (i) 57.63% of the outstanding Preferred Shares Series 21, (ii) 64.33% of the outstanding Preferred Shares Series 24, and (iii) 70.26% of the outstanding Preferred Shares Series 26.

The extension of the offer was reported on PrefBlog on April 12.

Series 21 is NA.PR.N; series 24 is NA.PR.O; and series 26 is NA.PR.P.

Market Action

April 26, 2011

The market is anticipating European sovereign default:

Yields on government securities from Greece, Ireland and Portugal reached records amid speculation the heavily indebted nations won’t be able to avoid restructuring.

Ireland’s two-year yield reached a euro-era record 12.08 percent after the European Union said the nation’s debt burden surged the most in the currency area last year. Greek two-year yields have climbed almost 870 basis points this month, reaching 24.45 percent today as investors priced in losses, or so-called haircuts, they may incur in the event of a restructuring.

Portugal’s two-year note yields touched a euro-era record of 11.74 percent, up from 8.78 percent at the end of last month. The 10-year yield reached a record 9.61 percent today, compared with 8.41 percent on March 31.

Greece’s deficit was bigger than expected:

Greece’s chances of avoiding a debt-crunching exercise faded to almost nothing with the revelation that its budget deficit is going in the wrong direction in spite of robust efforts to reduce government spending.

The country’s budget deficit in 2010 was 10.5 per cent of gross domestic product, Eurostat, the European Union’s statistics agency, reported on Tuesday. The figure was considerably bigger than Greek government’s own deficit target of 9.4 per cent and the European Commission’s estimate of 9.6 per cent.

DBRS confirmed BAM, but was careful to include some warnings:

Overall, DBRS still remains concerned with Brookfield’s aggressive expansion program and the possible impact it may have on its overall risk profile. Brookfield’s investments normally include real, low risk assets that generate steady cash flow. If there was a shift towards more speculative investments intended for shorter hold periods, the ratings could come under pressure. DBRS notes that the financial packaging of Brookfield’s investments within its portfolio can be complex. The transparency for this and intercompany transactions can be a challenge at times.

DBRS notes that while Brookfield’s corporate liquidity and cash flow has been reasonable, it is not sufficient to be a primary funding source for large new investments. In fact, the current size of corporate debt and preferred shares is approaching the limits for the current rating category. Thus far, concerns that sizable transactions could negatively affect the Company’s credit ratings have been mitigated with the used of co-investor capital and non-recourse debt. Even so, DBRS notes that the non-recourse debt at the operating levels is significant and that it has first claim on the related cash flows. It also presents some group refinancing risk.

Japan has joined S&P’s list of sovereigns with a negative outlook.

Apparently Obesity is expected to surpass smoking as the leading cause of preventable morbidity and mortality. I can’t wait for the time when the do-gooders have had their way with this one! Outside every office tower and public place will be a long line of fatties scarfing down their french fries and pizza!

It was a mixed day on the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts off 2bp, FixedResets losing 11bp and DeemedRetractibles up 5bp. Not much volatility. Volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0832 % 2,416.1
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0832 % 3,633.8
Floater 2.49 % 2.26 % 35,244 21.63 4 0.0832 % 2,608.8
OpRet 4.92 % 3.24 % 57,112 2.05 8 0.0048 % 2,411.4
SplitShare 5.20 % -1.29 % 84,359 0.63 6 0.0866 % 2,496.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0048 % 2,205.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.80 % 5.70 % 116,474 6.12 8 -0.0348 % 2,049.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.58 % 5.56 % 133,237 14.39 16 -0.0173 % 2,121.0
FixedReset 5.18 % 3.51 % 204,830 2.91 57 -0.1110 % 2,290.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.28 % 5.22 % 295,180 8.11 53 0.0529 % 2,075.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.38
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 281,290 Desjardins crossed 128,700 at 23.38, then another 130,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.41
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %
CM.PR.P Deemed-Retractible 86,330 National Bank crossed 11,700 at 25.20; RBC crossed two blocks of 25,000 each and TD crossed 20,000, all at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-11-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.19
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset 85,250 RBC crossed 10,000 at 27.65; then another 75,000 at 27.74.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.66
Bid-YTW : 3.55 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 57,605 RBC crossed 49,200 at 27.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.49
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 34,202 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-26
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 2.78 %
BNS.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 33,004 TD crossed 20,000 at 23.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
There were 34 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Quote: 25.65 – 26.34
Spot Rate : 0.6900
Average : 0.4409

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %

ELF.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.52 – 22.96
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3443

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.52
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %

MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.16 – 21.43
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1859

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.16
Bid-YTW : 6.78 %

CU.PR.A Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.16 – 25.34
Spot Rate : 0.1800
Average : 0.1123

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-26
Maturity Price : 24.92
Evaluated at bid price : 25.16
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %

TD.PR.Q Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.65 – 25.85
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1400

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %

BAM.PR.H OpRet Quote: 25.28 – 25.54
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.2009

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.28
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %