August 16, 2012

Do I detect a little reaching for yield?:

Sales of junk bonds in the U.S. have already set a record for August, even as yields at about record lows combined with a slowdown in earnings growth spark concern the market for the riskiest corporate debt has peaked.

Charter Communications Inc. (CHTR), the cable-TV provider that emerged from bankruptcy in 2009, and Energy Future Holdings Corp., the Texas power producer struggling with $36.6 billion of long-term debt, are among companies that have sold $29.6 billion of speculative-grade securities this month. That compares with an average $8.4 billion in August sales for the past five years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Companies are tapping into an unprecedented $44.9 billion of cash that has poured into funds that buy junk bonds in 2012 as the fourth year of near-zero short-term interest rates prompts investors to put their money into higher-yielding assets. Issuance accelerated even as the pace of earnings at speculative-grade companies slowed in the second quarter and as U.S. unemployment held above 8 percent for the 42nd month.

It was a languidly positive day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums up 7bp, FixedResets gaining 1bp and DeemedRetractibles flat. Volatility was minimal. Volume was a little strange. There were a fair number of issues trading over 100,000 shares, but overall the number of issues trading over 10,000 shares was … well, a little better than some of the recent days, but still pretty quiet. My guess is that a few big boys are shuffling their holdings, but Joe Average has gone fishing.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3172 % 2,322.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3172 % 3,474.9
Floater 3.13 % 3.17 % 61,951 19.26 3 -0.3172 % 2,508.2
OpRet 4.77 % 2.51 % 35,042 0.85 5 -0.0230 % 2,541.5
SplitShare 5.45 % 5.07 % 66,630 4.61 3 -0.0530 % 2,777.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0230 % 2,324.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.29 % 2.45 % 97,868 0.42 28 0.0737 % 2,278.0
Perpetual-Discount 4.96 % 4.96 % 94,362 15.49 3 -0.1113 % 2,520.9
FixedReset 4.99 % 3.09 % 174,785 3.96 71 0.0076 % 2,425.2
Deemed-Retractible 4.95 % 3.12 % 135,066 1.17 46 0.0034 % 2,356.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CU.PR.C FixedReset -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.11
Bid-YTW : 2.98 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.M Deemed-Retractible 525,882 Nesbitt crossed 517,300 at 25.95.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-07-27
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.95
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
BNS.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 436,987 Desjardins crossed blocks of 200,000 shares, 50,000 and 16,000, all at 25.95. National crossed 50,000 at the same price; Nesbitt crossed 112,100 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-26
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.95
Bid-YTW : 3.45 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Premium 297,401 Desjardins crossed four blocks: 225,000 shares, 25,000 and two of 20,000 each, all at 25.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 25.87
Bid-YTW : 2.45 %
TD.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 110,766 Desjardins crossed 50,000 at 25.98; National crossed 49,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.95
Bid-YTW : -2.67 %
TD.PR.R Deemed-Retractible 101,769 TD crossed 100,000 at 26.95.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-04-30
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.88
Bid-YTW : 0.84 %
BNS.PR.N Deemed-Retractible 54,617 TD crossed 49,100 at 26.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-29
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.49
Bid-YTW : 1.35 %
There were 21 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BNA.PR.C SplitShare Quote: 23.91 – 24.27
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2535

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.91
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %

PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.21 – 25.60
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2859

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-09-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : -2.15 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 24.20 – 24.45
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1553

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 3.53 %

TCA.PR.Y Perpetual-Premium Quote: 51.37 – 51.77
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.3211

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-05
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 51.37
Bid-YTW : 3.93 %

RY.PR.I FixedReset Quote: 25.55 – 25.78
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1537

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 3.30 %

FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 25.40 – 25.65
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1737

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-08-16
Maturity Price : 23.55
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 2.78 %

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