August 17, 2012

Good news on inflation:

Canadian inflation was tamer than expected in July for both the headline and core rates, bolstering expectations the Bank of Canada will leave interest rates at near-record lows well into 2013.

Consumers paid less for clothing and fuels such as gasoline and natural gas in July compared with a year earlier, easing the annual inflation rate to 1.3 per cent from 1.5 per cent in June, Statistics Canada reported on Friday.

The consumer price index fell 0.1 per cent in the month versus a 0.4-per-cent decline in June.

The underlying core inflation rate, which excludes gasoline and seven other volatile items, softened to 1.7 per cent from 2 per cent. These items were also 0.1 per cent cheaper on a monthly basis.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums down 3bp, FixedResets gaining 10bp and DeemedRetractibles up 12bp. Volatility was minimal. Volume continued its recent pattern of rather high volume in a handful of issues, but overall well below average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2387 % 2,328.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2387 % 3,483.2
Floater 3.13 % 3.17 % 61,668 19.26 3 0.2387 % 2,514.2
OpRet 4.78 % 2.47 % 33,840 0.84 5 0.0125 % 2,541.8
SplitShare 5.44 % 5.07 % 71,470 4.61 3 0.0928 % 2,780.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0125 % 2,324.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.29 % 3.01 % 99,323 0.41 28 -0.0326 % 2,277.2
Perpetual-Discount 4.93 % 4.94 % 96,851 15.52 3 0.6127 % 2,536.3
FixedReset 4.99 % 3.02 % 174,504 3.96 71 0.1021 % 2,427.6
Deemed-Retractible 4.94 % 2.17 % 131,758 1.16 46 0.1234 % 2,359.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Premium -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-08-17
Maturity Price : 24.68
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-08-17
Maturity Price : 23.38
Evaluated at bid price : 23.65
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 663,539 Desjardins crossed four blocks: 62,000 shares, 155,000 shares, 175,000 and 25,000, all at 25.95. National crossed 124,500, Nesbitt crossed 100,000 and TD crossed 10,000, all at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-04-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.92
Bid-YTW : 3.50 %
BMO.PR.P FixedReset 181,644 RBC crossed 150,000 at 26.40; Nesbitt crossed 18,200 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.47
Bid-YTW : 2.94 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 102,277 Scotia crossed 100,000 at 26.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.31
Bid-YTW : 2.74 %
RY.PR.P FixedReset 101,848 Scotia crossed 35,000 at 26.35; RBC crossed 50,000 and Desjardins crossed 15,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.31
Bid-YTW : 2.65 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 100,700 TD crossed 100,000 at 26.63.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.63
Bid-YTW : 2.45 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Premium 97,613 Nesbitt crossed 64,500 at 25.65; National crossed 12,200 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.62
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
There were 18 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.84 – 26.49
Spot Rate : 0.6500
Average : 0.4740

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-09-16
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.84
Bid-YTW : -3.17 %

POW.PR.D Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.02 – 25.47
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.2785

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-08-17
Maturity Price : 24.68
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %

MFC.PR.A OpRet Quote: 25.25 – 25.48
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1497

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %

TD.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 26.64 – 26.88
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1615

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.64
Bid-YTW : 2.46 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 16.70 – 16.97
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.2037

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-08-17
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 3.17 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 25.79 – 25.97
Spot Rate : 0.1800
Average : 0.1151

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-08-17
Maturity Price : 23.54
Evaluated at bid price : 25.79
Bid-YTW : 3.02 %

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