November 21, 2013

Deflation fears?

Wholesale prices in the U.S. fell in October for a second month, reflecting cheaper energy costs.

The 0.2 percent drop in the producer-price index followed a 0.1 percent decline the prior month, a Labor Department report showed today in Washington. The decrease matched the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 75 economists. The so-called core measure, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.2 percent as the cost of cars jumped by the most in four years.

Server fiddling continues. PrefInfo.com has been moved to the new server and works fine! PrefShares.com has also been moved; the DNS change should be propogated across the Internet by 6pm Friday 22.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 24bp, FixedResets gaining 3bp and DeemedRetractibles off 3bp. BAM issues were conspicuous in the Performance Highlights, with Floaters down and PerpetualDiscounts up. Volume was well above average.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.57%, equivalent to 7.24% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 4.8%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 245bp, a slight (and perhaps spurious) decline from the 250bp reported November 6.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.1953 % 2,531.4
FixedFloater 4.28 % 3.56 % 31,164 18.24 1 0.0000 % 3,924.2
Floater 2.93 % 2.96 % 58,595 19.79 3 -1.1953 % 2,733.2
OpRet 4.61 % -6.76 % 71,484 0.08 3 0.1026 % 2,666.4
SplitShare 4.74 % 4.14 % 67,901 3.66 6 0.2372 % 2,985.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1026 % 2,438.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.58 % 4.35 % 123,349 0.28 11 0.0666 % 2,308.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.55 % 5.57 % 178,648 14.50 27 0.2445 % 2,372.1
FixedReset 4.97 % 3.38 % 225,655 3.32 82 0.0261 % 2,480.4
Deemed-Retractible 5.05 % 3.87 % 191,361 1.45 42 -0.0298 % 2,425.3
FloatingReset 2.65 % 2.41 % 308,165 4.47 5 0.0396 % 2,460.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 17.84
Evaluated at bid price : 17.84
Bid-YTW : 2.97 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 17.99
Evaluated at bid price : 17.99
Bid-YTW : 2.94 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.22
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
BNS.PR.K Deemed-Retractible 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-21
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.47
Bid-YTW : -2.49 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 23.79
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %
BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount 2.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 19.89
Evaluated at bid price : 19.89
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount 2.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 20.08
Evaluated at bid price : 20.08
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 164,084 Scotia crossed 20,000 at 22.72 and 131,400 at 22.70. Nice tickets!
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 22.30
Evaluated at bid price : 22.63
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %
RY.PR.W Perpetual-Premium 84,583 RBC crossed 74,700 at 25.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 24.75
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 61,779 Scotia crossed 39,500 at 21.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.82
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 58,650 Scotia crossed 45,100 at 22.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.16
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 58,646 Scotia crossed 53,400 at 25.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.71
Bid-YTW : 2.63 %
BMO.PR.N FixedReset 58,320 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 25.28.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 2.41 %
There were 43 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.41 – 21.84
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.3278

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 21.41
Evaluated at bid price : 21.41
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %

CIU.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 25.55 – 25.78
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1438

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 2.18 %

FTS.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 24.11 – 24.39
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2003

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 22.81
Evaluated at bid price : 24.11
Bid-YTW : 3.93 %

POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.80 – 23.08
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2041

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 22.39
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %

IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.90 – 26.30
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.3266

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 17.84 – 18.02
Spot Rate : 0.1800
Average : 0.1249

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-11-21
Maturity Price : 17.84
Evaluated at bid price : 17.84
Bid-YTW : 2.97 %

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