December 27, 2013

There are some interesting battles surrounding solar energy in the States:

A system of generous net metering rules may have made sense at the outset of the solar revolution to get the party started. Now, however, it’s clear that it will have enormous disruptive impacts on APS and other utilities that bear the burden of keeping the grid operating.

“Somebody has to pay for maintenance and upkeep,” Guldner said, and solar users in the current rate structure aren’t doing so.

Republican and libertarian support for solar is informed by a “don’t tread on me” response to the utility monopoly system, making foes of those that might have been friends. It’s a wing of the pro-solar coalition that no one — and certainly not the anti-solar crowd — anticipated.

Inside, it was clear that APS and its supporters were out of luck. The idea for the $4.90 [grid maintenance] fee [for household solar users] came from the solar side — and very likely swung the vote.

The charge won’t be enough to cover the utility’s grid costs until their next rate case in 2015, APS’s Guldner said, and will probably require the company to ask for much bigger fees down the road.

“In 2016, that rate increase could be a big one” and the utility will probably win the argument, Guldner said.

My guess? The grid will be ignored until the next disaster.

It was a mostly negative day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts down 14bp, FixedResets flat and DeemedRetractibles off 9bp. Volatility was muted. Volume was extremely low.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.69%, equivalent to 7.40% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long Corporates now yield about 4.8%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 260bp, a slight (and perhaps spurious) narrowing from the 265bp reported December 18.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5473 % 2,501.2
FixedFloater 4.55 % 3.85 % 38,372 17.65 1 2.9093 % 3,687.4
Floater 2.99 % 2.98 % 62,250 19.75 3 -0.5473 % 2,700.6
OpRet 4.65 % 2.69 % 86,771 0.42 3 -0.0129 % 2,657.8
SplitShare 4.87 % 4.77 % 75,820 4.47 5 -0.0160 % 3,013.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0129 % 2,430.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.65 % 5.45 % 133,260 4.34 13 -0.0521 % 2,306.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.71 % 5.69 % 183,576 14.37 25 -0.1441 % 2,311.7
FixedReset 5.00 % 3.55 % 232,947 3.59 84 0.0002 % 2,466.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.17 % 4.35 % 192,684 2.04 42 -0.0885 % 2,385.9
FloatingReset 2.61 % 2.38 % 275,150 4.37 5 0.0728 % 2,464.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 20.76
Evaluated at bid price : 20.76
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 22.10
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 24.21
Evaluated at bid price : 24.47
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 24.15
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 2.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 21.56
Evaluated at bid price : 20.87
Bid-YTW : 3.85 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.L FixedReset 54,100 Not called for redemption. TD bought 15,500 from Desjardins at 25.31.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.33
Bid-YTW : 0.55 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 25,600 Desjardins crossed 20,000 at 20.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 20.34
Evaluated at bid price : 20.34
Bid-YTW : 3.95 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 25,300 TD crossed 25,000 at 25.57.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 2.38 %
GWO.PR.Q Deemed-Retractible 20,295 Desjardins bought 17,400 from RBC at 22.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.84
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %
ENB.PR.J FixedReset 18,550 CIBC sold 11,800 to anonymous at 25.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 23.19
Evaluated at bid price : 25.12
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
RY.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 15,991 RBC crossed 10,600 at 25.33.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-11-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.38
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
There were 5 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 21.90 – 22.30
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2612

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.90
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %

CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.10 – 21.53
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.3033

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %

TD.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 25.50 – 25.87
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2452

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 3.13 %

IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.05 – 25.37
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2019

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.05
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %

FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 21.05 – 21.42
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2619

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 21.05
Evaluated at bid price : 21.05
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %

TRP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 23.40 – 23.73
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2219

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-27
Maturity Price : 22.85
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %

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