December 30, 2013

It seems I have another competitor, of whom I was not previously aware: NexGen Canadian Preferred Share Tax Managed Fund, managed by Jeff Herold of JZechner Associates Inc.. He had a piece in the Globe today titled Preferred shares offer lush yields for those who do their homework.

They’ve accumulated over $37-million in assets! Sure is nice to have good distribution channels…

Boyd Erman of the Globe writes a polemic titled Hyperinflation thesis has been discredited, yet it still ticks:

Looking back over 2013, it’s hard to imagine a more off-base call than the hyperinflation thesis. In fact, the whole idea that “money printing” would cause prices to skyrocket, turning the world into one big Zimbabwe, has been wrong for a number of years since it cropped up as a result of central banks’ response to the 2008 crisis.

As that realization finally set in this year, most commodity prices fell. Worse for many Canadian investors, gold went off a cliff, falling from nearly $1,700 (U.S.) an ounce to about $1,200. Without the notion of the metal as an inflation hedge, any “need” for gold vanished, aside from bling.

Wrong-headed forecasts about inflation are hammering lots of small investors who were sucked into the hysteria. They, of course, are not alone. John Paulson, please stand up, along with gold miners who invested in big projects at the peak.

The Canadian preferred share market was on wheels today, with PerpetualDiscounts winning 68bp, FixedResets gaining 3bp and DeemedRetractibles up 24bp. Not surprisingly, the Performance Highlights table was dominated by winning PerpetualDiscounts and DeemedRetractibles. Volume, such as it was, which wasn’t much, was also notable for its high proportion of Straights.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2087 % 2,495.9
FixedFloater 4.60 % 3.90 % 38,445 17.55 1 -1.1021 % 3,646.8
Floater 2.99 % 2.99 % 61,928 19.73 3 -0.2087 % 2,694.9
OpRet 4.64 % 2.14 % 83,438 0.41 3 0.1032 % 2,660.5
SplitShare 4.86 % 4.62 % 72,956 4.46 5 0.1769 % 3,018.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1032 % 2,432.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.64 % 5.44 % 131,957 4.34 13 0.1582 % 2,310.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.69 % 5.69 % 181,976 14.39 25 0.6770 % 2,327.4
FixedReset 5.00 % 3.54 % 231,153 3.45 84 0.0320 % 2,466.9
Deemed-Retractible 5.15 % 4.39 % 191,586 2.61 42 0.2430 % 2,391.7
FloatingReset 2.62 % 2.36 % 264,328 4.36 5 0.1267 % 2,467.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.K FixedReset -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.45
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 21.44
Evaluated at bid price : 20.64
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 3.62 %
GWO.PR.P Deemed-Retractible 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.99
Bid-YTW : 5.94 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 23.64
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.92
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 5.42 %
IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.36
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 20.57
Evaluated at bid price : 20.57
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
GWO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 22.43
Evaluated at bid price : 22.79
Bid-YTW : 5.42 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 22.08
Evaluated at bid price : 22.36
Bid-YTW : 5.93 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.68
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.65
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 22.61
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 5.37 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 2.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.52
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 2.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 18.93
Evaluated at bid price : 18.93
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 2.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 6.30 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
GWO.PR.F Deemed-Retractible 78,609 TD bought 14,500 from Scotia at 25.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.07
Bid-YTW : 2.30 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 38,483 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 6.30 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 26,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.63
Bid-YTW : 1.44 %
POW.PR.G Perpetual-Premium 23,630 Nesbitt crossed 20,000 at 24.95.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 24.46
Evaluated at bid price : 24.88
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
BNS.PR.M Deemed-Retractible 23,140 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-07-27
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
NA.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 20,000 TD crossed 15,000 at 25.09.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
There were 12 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 24.99 – 25.49
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.2708

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %

BAM.PR.R FixedReset Quote: 25.27 – 25.77
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3219

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-30
Maturity Price : 23.56
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 4.26 %

IAG.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 24.99 – 25.29
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.1664

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 5.37 %

MFC.PR.F FixedReset Quote: 21.75 – 22.09
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2079

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 21.10 – 21.47
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2427

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 25.40 – 25.70
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.1748

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 3.62 %

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