Market Action

December 19, 2024

Whoosh! Bonds got hammered today:

Economic data Thursday was in sync with the Fed’s view, with weekly initial jobless claims falling more than expected while gross domestic product for the third quarter was revised to show a 3.1% increase from the previously reported 2.8% pace.

Traders now see just one quarter-point rate reduction by mid-2025, and see less than two cuts in total by the end of the year, compared with last week’s expectations of three rate cuts.

Longer-dated Treasury yields were higher after the economic data, with the benchmark U.S. 10-year note reaching a near 7-month high of 4.594%. Canadian bond yields also moved higher across a steeper curve. The 10-year by late day was up 15 basis points at 3.373%, its highest since late November.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0804 % 2,271.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0804 % 4,357.3
Floater 7.68 % 7.87 % 33,862 11.58 4 -0.0804 % 2,511.1
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2446 % 3,620.3
SplitShare 4.78 % 4.72 % 64,576 2.07 7 -0.2446 % 4,323.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2446 % 3,373.3
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.7158 % 2,863.1
Perpetual-Discount 6.00 % 6.17 % 55,508 13.60 32 -0.7158 % 3,122.1
FixedReset Disc 5.41 % 6.65 % 105,143 12.87 53 0.0391 % 2,780.0
Insurance Straight 5.98 % 6.08 % 66,306 13.82 21 -1.3137 % 3,027.1
FloatingReset 6.44 % 5.99 % 36,127 13.10 4 0.1992 % 3,334.7
FixedReset Prem 6.02 % 5.56 % 200,338 13.62 9 0.0130 % 2,601.1
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0391 % 2,841.7
FixedReset Ins Non 5.16 % 6.03 % 90,691 13.81 14 -0.3380 % 2,845.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight -8.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.14
Evaluated at bid price : 20.14
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non -3.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.22
Evaluated at bid price : 20.22
Bid-YTW : 5.90 %
GWO.PR.L Insurance Straight -2.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 22.93
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -2.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.30
Evaluated at bid price : 21.30
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc -2.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.40
Evaluated at bid price : 20.40
Bid-YTW : 6.65 %
GWO.PR.Y Insurance Straight -2.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 6.00 %
IFC.PR.K Insurance Straight -2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.42
Evaluated at bid price : 21.42
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -2.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 5.97 %
BN.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.63
Evaluated at bid price : 18.63
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.15
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
FFH.PR.K FixedReset Disc -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 22.78
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
BN.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.68
Evaluated at bid price : 18.68
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %
FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.26
Evaluated at bid price : 20.26
Bid-YTW : 5.93 %
BN.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.44
Evaluated at bid price : 21.79
Bid-YTW : 6.90 %
GWO.PR.S Insurance Straight -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.33
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
GWO.PR.P Insurance Straight -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.91
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
BN.PF.J FixedReset Disc -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 22.43
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
GWO.PR.H Insurance Straight -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
BN.PR.K Floater -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 12.20
Evaluated at bid price : 12.20
Bid-YTW : 7.87 %
GWO.PR.T Insurance Straight -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.20
Evaluated at bid price : 21.20
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.20 %
GWO.PR.M Insurance Straight -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 23.65
Evaluated at bid price : 23.92
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.14
Evaluated at bid price : 19.14
Bid-YTW : 5.94 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.78
Evaluated at bid price : 22.03
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
ENB.PR.B FixedReset Disc -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 18.40
Evaluated at bid price : 18.40
Bid-YTW : 7.39 %
GWO.PR.G Insurance Straight -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.42
Evaluated at bid price : 21.42
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
GWO.PR.I Insurance Straight -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.65
Evaluated at bid price : 19.65
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
CCS.PR.C Insurance Straight 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 13.10
Evaluated at bid price : 13.10
Bid-YTW : 7.40 %
BN.PF.E FixedReset Disc 1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 6.85 %
ENB.PF.E FixedReset Disc 1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 19.20
Evaluated at bid price : 19.20
Bid-YTW : 7.33 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 4.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-02-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.08
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.T FixedReset Disc 157,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.76
Evaluated at bid price : 20.76
Bid-YTW : 7.01 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 84,075 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-02-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.08
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc 65,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.12
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc 53,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 24.07
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non 52,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.85
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 50,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 21.01
Evaluated at bid price : 21.01
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
There were 18 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight Quote: 20.14 – 23.25
Spot Rate : 3.1100
Average : 1.7254

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.14
Evaluated at bid price : 20.14
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.40 – 21.25
Spot Rate : 0.8500
Average : 0.6271

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.40
Evaluated at bid price : 20.40
Bid-YTW : 6.65 %

PVS.PR.H SplitShare Quote: 25.00 – 25.50
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3037

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2027-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.81 %

CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.75 – 21.59
Spot Rate : 0.8400
Average : 0.6519

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 5.97 %

FFH.PR.K FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.40 – 23.90
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3322

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 22.78
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %

IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 20.22 – 20.93
Spot Rate : 0.7100
Average : 0.5465

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-12-19
Maturity Price : 20.22
Evaluated at bid price : 20.22
Bid-YTW : 5.90 %

Issue Comments

BCE.PR.F To Reset at 170% of GOC-5; Interconvertible with BCE.PR.E

BCE Inc. published their conversion notice for BCE.PR.F on 2024-12-16:

As of February 1, 2025, the Series AF Preferred Shares will, should they remain outstanding, pay, on a quarterly basis, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of BCE Inc., a fixed cash dividend for the following five years that will be based on a fixed rate equal to the product of: (a) the yield to maturity compounded semiannually (the “Government of Canada Yield”), computed on January 13, 2025 by two registered Canadian investment dealers appointed by BCE Inc., that would be carried by a non-callable Government of Canada bond with a 5-year maturity, multiplied by (b) the “Selected Percentage Rate”. The “Selected Percentage Rate” determined by BCE Inc. is 170%. The annual dividend rate applicable to the Series AF Preferred Shares will be published on January 16, 2025 in the national edition of The Globe and Mail, the Montreal Gazette and Le Devoir and will be posted on the BCE Inc. website at www.bce.ca.

There is a similar conversion notice for BCE.PR.E.

The Five-Year Canada rate is now 3.15%, if that is the case on the determination date of 2025-1-13, the dividend rate of BCE.PR.F will be 5.355%, or $1.33875 p.a.

BCE.PR.F is a FixedFloater which was added to the HIMIPref™ database in December 2008, when it was paying 4.40%. It reset in 2010 to 4.541% and after a net conversion to BCE.PR.F the issue pair was about 90% FixedFloater. It reset in 2015 to 3.110% and after a massive conversion the issue pair was about 60% RatchetRate. In 2020 the issue reset to 3.865% (which was 239% of the GOC-5 rate) and there was a net 17% conversion to FixedFloaters, which thus comprised about 59% of the combined issue size.

BCE.PR.E is a RatchetRate preferred, interconvertible every five years with BCE.PR.F. It was added to the HIMIPref™ database in May, 2012.

Thanks to Assiduous Reader niagara for bringing this to my attention!

Issue Comments

NA.PR.W To Be Redeemed

National Bank of Canada has announced:

its intention to redeem all of its 12,000,000 issued and outstanding Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset First Preferred Shares Series 32 (the “Series 32 Shares”) on February 15, 2025, for cash at a redemption price of $25.00 per share, together with all declared and unpaid dividends.

The quarterly dividend of $0.2399375 per Series 32 Share declared on December 3, 2024 is the final dividend on the Series 32 Shares, and is payable in the usual manner on February 15, 2025 to shareholders of record on January 6, 2025, as previously announced.

Since February 15, 2025, is not a business day, amounts due to holders of the Series 32 Shares on that date will be paid on the first business day following that date, namely, Monday, February 17, 2025.

The redemption has been approved by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions. Formal notice will be given to holders of the Series 32 Shares in accordance with the terms of the Series 32 Shares.

The redemption of the Series 32 Shares is part of the Bank’s ongoing management of its regulatory capital.

NA.PR.W was issued as a FixedReset, 3.90%+225, that commenced trading 2014-10-9 after being announced 2014-9-30. The company announced the extension on 2019-12-19. NA.PR.W reset at 3.839% effective February 16, 2020. I recommended against conversion and there was no conversion. The issue is tracked by HIMIPref™ and is assigned to the FixedReset (Discount) subindex.

Issue Comments

CM.PR.P To Be Redeemed

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce has announced:

its intention to redeem all of its issued and outstanding Non-cumulative Rate Reset Class A Preferred Shares Series 41 (Non-viability contingent capital (NVCC)) (Series 41 shares) (TSX: CM.PR.P), for cash. The redemption will occur on January 31, 2025. The redemption price is $25.00 per Series 41 share.

The $0.244313 quarterly dividend announced on December 5, 2024 will be the final dividend on the Series 41 shares and will be paid on January 28, 2025, covering the period to January 31, 2025, to shareholders of record on December 27, 2024.

Holders of the Series 41 shares should contact the financial institution, broker or other intermediary through which they hold the shares to confirm how they will receive their redemption proceeds.

CM.PR.P is a FixedReset, 3.75%+224, that commenced trading 2014-12-16 after being announced 2014-12-8. In December, notice of extension was published. CM.PR.P will reset at 3.909% effective January 31, 2020. I recommended against conversion and there was no conversion. The issue is tracked by HIMIPref™ and is assigned to the FixedReset-Discount subindex.

Issue Comments

DFN.PR.A Retractions: Quadravest Coy

Quadravest has announced:

Dividend 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) invests in a high-quality portfolio consisting of 15 leading Canadian dividend-yielding stocks. The top five holdings currently held in the portfolio are as follows: Royal Bank of Canada, Manulife Financial Corp., Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Sun Life Financial Inc. and TC Energy Corp.

The recent extension of the Company’s termination date included a retraction right for Class A shareholders and Preferred shareholders. The Company will not require a rebalance of shares and all retraction rights have been satisfied.

The Company may use the normal course issuer to repurchase Class A shares at or below intrinsic value. The current intrinsic value exceeds $6.80 per share.

As previously announced, the annual dividend rate for the Preferred Shares has been set at 7.00% for the fiveyear renewal period effective December 1, 2024. The dividend policy for the Class A Shares will remain at the current targeted rate of $0.10 per share monthly, or $1.20 per annum.

Some details would be appreciated! Like, how many shares of each class were retracted? I wouldn’t expect many preferreds got retracted, given that the issue has been trading over par for the past three months, but what about the Capital Units? Inquiring minds want to know!

The terms of the extension were reported on PrefBlog.

Thanks to Assiduous Reader IrateAR for bringing this to my attention!

Market Action

December 17, 2024

Canadian inflation numbers came out today:

Here are some highlights from Tuesday’s report:

  • Core inflation is showing some mixed signals. On a three-month annualized basis, the Bank of Canada’s preferred measures of core inflation – which strip out volatile movements in consumer prices – rose by 3.2 per cent and 3.3 per cent, respectively. Two months ago, those measures were rising by 2.1 per cent.
  • On the other hand, the short-term trend for other measures of core inflation is more encouraging. On a three-month annualized basis, the CPI excluding food and energy rose by 1.9 per cent in November, matching the increase in October.
  • Rents are moving in the wrong direction. Year-over-year, rental costs jumped by 7.7 per cent in November, up from a 7.3-per-cent pace in October. However, there is ample data out of the private sector that shows asking rents are on the decline in many urban areas.
  • Grocery prices rose 2.6 per cent, year-over-year, in November, a slight deceleration from 2.7 per cent in October. While food price increases have moderated, grocery costs have risen by 20 per cent over three years.

    There was a minor reaction from the swaps market:


    Pre-Announcement


    Post-Announcement

    So the projected December, 2025, policy rate edged up 2bp, from 2.76% to 2.78%. Not much change, but the current projection of 2.78% is significantly higher than the post-BoC-easing rate of 2.65%.

    TXPR was down 0.24% today, but still managed to set a new 52-week high before sliding.

    HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
    These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

    Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
    Index Mean
    Current
    Yield
    (at bid)
    Median
    YTW
    Median
    Average
    Trading
    Value
    Median
    Mod Dur
    (YTW)
    Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
    Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4608 % 2,291.9
    FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4608 % 4,395.8
    Floater 7.61 % 7.75 % 33,971 11.71 4 0.4608 % 2,533.3
    OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0228 % 3,629.0
    SplitShare 4.76 % 4.32 % 62,260 1.16 7 -0.0228 % 4,333.8
    Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0228 % 3,381.4
    Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1588 % 2,896.0
    Perpetual-Discount 5.93 % 6.08 % 52,889 13.70 32 -0.1588 % 3,158.0
    FixedReset Disc 5.46 % 6.67 % 104,377 12.87 53 -0.3609 % 2,755.4
    Insurance Straight 5.87 % 5.94 % 65,290 14.02 21 -0.0246 % 3,083.7
    FloatingReset 6.49 % 6.06 % 34,298 12.94 4 1.2642 % 3,310.6
    FixedReset Prem 6.03 % 5.59 % 204,811 13.76 9 0.0608 % 2,598.0
    FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3609 % 2,816.5
    FixedReset Ins Non 5.15 % 6.05 % 85,011 13.83 14 -0.1792 % 2,850.5
    Performance Highlights
    Issue Index Change Notes
    FFH.PR.I FixedReset Disc -26.01 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 16.50
    Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
    Bid-YTW : 8.59 %
    BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc -6.82 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 21.68
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
    Bid-YTW : 6.92 %
    CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc -4.47 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 20.10
    Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
    Bid-YTW : 6.75 %
    PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount -3.06 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 19.64
    Evaluated at bid price : 19.64
    Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
    SLF.PR.E Insurance Straight -2.91 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 20.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
    Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
    IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -2.18 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 22.57
    Evaluated at bid price : 23.33
    Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
    POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -2.12 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 23.69
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
    Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
    CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 20.50
    Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
    Bid-YTW : 6.04 %
    FFH.PR.H FloatingReset -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 21.45
    Evaluated at bid price : 21.45
    Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
    MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 22.03
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.55
    Bid-YTW : 5.93 %
    MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 22.91
    Evaluated at bid price : 23.80
    Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
    GWO.PR.G Insurance Straight -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 21.44
    Evaluated at bid price : 21.44
    Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
    PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 21.59
    Evaluated at bid price : 21.85
    Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
    BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 16.41
    Evaluated at bid price : 16.41
    Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
    FFH.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 21.77
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.21
    Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
    FTS.PR.H FixedReset Disc -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 15.95
    Evaluated at bid price : 15.95
    Bid-YTW : 6.90 %
    FFH.PR.K FixedReset Disc -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 22.92
    Evaluated at bid price : 23.65
    Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
    POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 20.71
    Evaluated at bid price : 20.71
    Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
    IFC.PR.I Insurance Straight 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 22.55
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.91
    Bid-YTW : 5.90 %
    BN.PR.B Floater 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 12.30
    Evaluated at bid price : 12.30
    Bid-YTW : 7.81 %
    GWO.PR.P Insurance Straight 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 22.40
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.66
    Bid-YTW : 5.97 %
    IFC.PR.F Insurance Straight 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 21.78
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
    Bid-YTW : 5.96 %
    ENB.PF.G FixedReset Disc 1.88 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 18.95
    Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
    Bid-YTW : 7.38 %
    CU.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 2.59 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 19.79
    Evaluated at bid price : 19.79
    Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
    PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 2.71 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 24.29
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.60
    Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
    IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 3.00 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 20.93
    Evaluated at bid price : 20.93
    Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
    SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 8.01 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 16.31
    Evaluated at bid price : 16.31
    Bid-YTW : 7.09 %
    BN.PF.H FixedReset Disc 25.36 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2025-12-31
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.67
    Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
    Volume Highlights
    Issue Index Shares
    Traded
    Notes
    NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc 79,800 YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 23.30
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.95
    Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
    TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 71,200 YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 23.52
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
    Bid-YTW : 5.32 %
    FTS.PR.M FixedReset Disc 56,260 YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 20.70
    Evaluated at bid price : 20.70
    Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
    TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 52,900 YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 23.77
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.41
    Bid-YTW : 5.85 %
    IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non 46,982 YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 21.45
    Evaluated at bid price : 21.45
    Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
    ENB.PF.K FixedReset Disc 39,000 YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 21.96
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
    Bid-YTW : 7.00 %
    There were 19 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
    Wide Spread Highlights
    Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
    FFH.PR.I FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.50 – 22.26
    Spot Rate : 5.7600
    Average : 3.1195

    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 16.50
    Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
    Bid-YTW : 8.59 %

    BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.00 – 23.48
    Spot Rate : 1.4800
    Average : 0.8948

    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 21.68
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
    Bid-YTW : 6.92 %

    GWO.PR.L Insurance Straight Quote: 23.85 – 25.15
    Spot Rate : 1.3000
    Average : 0.7735

    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 23.58
    Evaluated at bid price : 23.85
    Bid-YTW : 5.94 %

    BN.PR.M Perpetual-Discount Quote: 19.02 – 20.39
    Spot Rate : 1.3700
    Average : 0.8571

    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 19.02
    Evaluated at bid price : 19.02
    Bid-YTW : 6.28 %

    ENB.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 18.89 – 19.95
    Spot Rate : 1.0600
    Average : 0.6314

    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 18.89
    Evaluated at bid price : 18.89
    Bid-YTW : 7.45 %

    CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.10 – 21.25
    Spot Rate : 1.1500
    Average : 0.7473

    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2054-12-17
    Maturity Price : 20.10
    Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
    Bid-YTW : 6.75 %

    Issue Comments

    DF.PR.A Retractions: Quadravest Coy

    Quadravest has announced:

    Dividend 15 Split Corp. II (the “Company”) invests
    in a high-quality portfolio consisting of 15 leading Canadian dividend-yielding stocks. The top five holdings currently held in the portfolio are as follows: Manulife Financial Corp., Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada and Sun Life Financial Inc.

    The recent extension of the Company’s termination date included a retraction right for Class A shareholders and Preferred shareholders. The Company will not require a rebalance of shares and all retraction rights have been satisfied.

    The Company may use the normal course issuer to repurchase Class A shares at or below intrinsic value. The current intrinsic value exceeds $7.00 per share.

    As previously announced, the annual dividend rate for the Preferred Shares has been set at 7.00% for the fiveyear renewal period effective December 1, 2024. The dividend policy for the Class A Shares will remain at the current targeted rate of $0.10 per share monthly, or $1.20 per annum.

    Some details would be appreciated! Like, how many shares of each class were retracted? I wouldn’t expect many preferreds got retracted, given that the issue has been trading over par for the past three months, but what about the Capital Units? Inquiring minds want to know!

    The terms of the extension were reported on PrefBlog.

    Thanks to Assiduous Reader IrateAR for bringing this to my attention!

    Issue Comments

    FFN.PR.A Retraction: Quadravest Coy on Details

    Quadravest has announced:

    North American Financial 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) invests in a high-quality portfolio consisting of 15 financial services companies made up of 40% Canadian and 60% U.S. issuers. The top five holdings currently held in the portfolio are as follows: JP Morgan Chase & Co., Goldman Sachs Group, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo & Co., and Bank of America.

    The recent extension of the Company’s termination date included a retraction right for Class A shareholders and Preferred shareholders. The Company will not require a rebalance of shares and all retraction rights have been satisfied.

    The Company may use the normal course issuer to repurchase Class A shares at or below intrinsic value. The current intrinsic value exceeds $8.00 per share.

    As previously announced, the annual dividend rate for the Preferred Shares has been set at 8.75% (subject to a 5-year minimum of 7%). The dividend policy for the Class A Shares will remain at the current targeted rate of $0.11335 per month, or $1.36 per annum.

    This retraction potential existed due to the extension of the fund’s term, which came with special retraction provisions.

    As IrateAR remarks, the Capital Units have shown:

    crazy price moves in that one the last few days.

    … which may be the reason Quadravest saw fit to issue the above press release – nothing has yet been disclosed for other extended issues DF.PR.A, LFE.PR.B, FTN.PR.A and DFN.PR.A.

    FFN showed a 2024-12-11 VWAP of 7.26 on normal volume of a little under 300,000 shares, but on 2024-12-12, volume spiked to nearly 700,000 shares with a VWAP of 7.12. Today’s VWAP was 7.04 (and it closed much higher) on volume of 1.36-million, which is all wild enough.

    What makes it stranger is that, as hinted in the press release, the Capital Units are trading below intrinsic value – the NAVPU was 18.29 on 2024-11-29, so it’s easy to believe the claim that the current intrinsic value exceeds 8.00 per share. It’s not normal for a Capital Unit to trade below intrinsic! It is, effectively, a reasonably normal leveraged portfolio that is also long a put option (to the preferred shareholders, at a NAVPU strike price of 10.00) on the whole whack. To trade below intrinsic, Capital Unitholders would have to assign a value to the fees and expenses associated with the fund which, horrendous though they might be, are rarely accounted for.

    So … something’s going on with the Capital Units that I don’t understand. Prior to the press release, it might have been uncertainty – a good sized consolidation of capital units would have:

    • reduced the projected income of the shareholders, and
    • decreased their leverage

    both of which are considered undesirable. But, at around 2pm today the share price commenced to skyrocket, from the day’s low of about 6.85 to the close of 7.31; this was well after niagara posted the link to the press release (10:38am; I don’t know the time the press release itself was issued). So who knows? Maybe it was something as mundane as a big investor unloading a hatful of them (or a big retail advisor unloading on behalf of clients). If so, someone sure absorbed a high market impact cost for the privilege of getting out in a hurry.

    Coming on top of DFN.PR.A’s high-volume price drop yesterday, it all leaves me quite befuddled!

    Miscellaneous News

    Redemption & New Issue Data

    A recent post prompted an interesting discussion in which Assiduous Reader RAV4guy told us:

    Since RBC announced in August 2020 the redemption of 6 preferred issues with a par value of $1.5 billion I have kept a log of the ongoing redemptions and new issues by all issuers.

    The announced redemption of FFH.PR.C/D is the 100th issue to have its redemption announced. The par value of these 100 redemptions is $28.077 billion.

    Since August 2020 there have been 12 new issues and their par value is $2.022 billion. These new issues are:

    4 Split Share: PVS.PR.I, PVS.PR.J, PVS.PR.K and PVS.PR.L
    1 FRR with a floor: EMA.PR.J
    7 Perpetuals: MIC.PR.A, EMA.PR.L, GWO.PR.Y, PWF.PR.A, CU.PR.J, IFC.PR.K and BEP.PR.R

    The last two issues were BEP.PR.R in April 2022 and then PVS.PR.L in September 2024. No operating companies have issued preferred shares in over 2.5 years.

    We all know that redemptions have greatly exceeded new issues over the past few years, but it’s breathtaking to see the numbers quantified!

    RAV4guy has very kindly made his spreadsheet available to us, with technical assistance from Assiduous Reader FletcherLynd Here it is, in two formats:

    Thanks, RAV4guy & FletcherLynd!

    Canada Prime

    BoC Cuts Policy Rate 50bp to 3.25%; Prime Follows

    The Bank of Canada has announced it has:

    reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3¼%, with the Bank Rate at 3¾% and the deposit rate at 3¼%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.

    The global economy is evolving largely as expected in the Bank’s October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). In the United States, the economy continues to show broad-based strength, with robust consumption and a solid labour market. US inflation has been holding steady, with some price pressures persisting. In the euro area, recent indicators point to weaker growth. In China, recent policy actions combined with strong exports are supporting growth, but household spending remains subdued. Global financial conditions have eased and the Canadian dollar has depreciated in the face of broad-based strength in the US dollar.

    In Canada, the economy grew by 1% in the third quarter, somewhat below the Bank’s October projection, and the fourth quarter also looks weaker than projected. Third-quarter GDP growth was pulled down by business investment, inventories and exports. In contrast, consumer spending and housing activity both picked up, suggesting lower interest rates are beginning to boost household spending. Historical revisions to the National Accounts have increased the level of GDP over the past three years, largely reflecting higher investment and consumption. The unemployment rate rose to 6.8% in November as employment continued to grow more slowly than the labour force. Wage growth showed some signs of easing, but remains elevated relative to productivity.

    A number of policy measures have been announced that will affect the outlook for near-term growth and inflation in Canada. Reductions in targeted immigration levels suggest GDP growth next year will be below the Bank’s October forecast. The effects on inflation will likely be more muted, given that lower immigration dampens both demand and supply. Other federal and provincial policies—including a temporary suspension of the GST on some consumer products, one-time payments to individuals, and changes to mortgage rules—will affect the dynamics of demand and inflation. The Bank will look through effects that are temporary and focus on underlying trends to guide its policy decisions.

    In addition, the possibility the incoming US administration will impose new tariffs on Canadian exports to the United States has increased uncertainty and clouded the economic outlook.

    CPI inflation has been about 2% since the summer, and is expected to average close to the 2% target over the next couple of years. Since October, the upward pressure on inflation from shelter and the downward pressure from goods prices have both moderated as expected. Looking ahead, the GST holiday will temporarily lower inflation but that will be unwound once the GST break ends. Measures of core inflation will help us assess the trend in CPI inflation.

    With inflation around 2%, the economy in excess supply, and recent indicators tilted towards softer growth than projected, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by a further 50 basis points to support growth and keep inflation close to the middle of the 1-3% target range. Governing Council has reduced the policy rate substantially since June. Going forward, we will be evaluating the need for further reductions in the policy rate one decision at a time. Our decisions will be guided by incoming information and our assessment of the implications for the inflation outlook. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians by keeping inflation close to the 2% target.

    Mark Rendell in the Globe comments:

    Mr. Macklem justified the oversized move by pointing to tepid economic growth and a weakening labour market in recent months. Canada’s gross domestic product growth undershot the bank’s forecast in the third quarter and the unemployment rate jumped to 6.8 per cent in November from 6.5 per cent the month before.

    “Monetary policy no longer needs to be in restrictive territory. We want to see growth pick up to absorb the unused capacity in the economy to keep inflation close to 2 per cent,” Mr. Macklem said.

    He highlighted a number of risks on the horizon. Chief among these is a slowdown in population growth following Ottawa’s new immigration targets, “which suggest GDP growth next year will be lower than we forecast in October,” Mr. Macklem said.

    He also pointed to the potential of U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods, which he called “a major new uncertainty.” President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 25-per-cent tariff on all Canadian imports unless Ottawa does more to address border security concerns, and he campaigned on a across-the-board tariff of 10 per cent to 20 per cent on all imports.

    “The economic outlook is clouded by the possibility of new tariffs on Canadian exports to the United States. No one knows how this will play out in the months ahead – whether tariffs will be imposed, whether exemptions get agreed, or whether retaliatory measures will be put in place,” Mr. Macklem said.

    …while Darcy Keith reports:

    Implied interest rate probabilities in overnight swaps markets suggest a 67 per cent chance of a 25 basis point cut at the next policy meeting on Jan. 29, and 33 per cent odds that there will be no change at all to the bank’s overnight rate, according to the latest LSEG data after today’s BoC decision.


    Post-announcement

    The indicated December, 2025, rate of 2.65% may be compared with the 2024-12-6 forecast of 2.61%.

    Prime followed:

    Well, Rob Carrick and Ryan Siever will be mad – nothing on the way up and precious few hopes for the way down:

    There’s a case to be made for banks giving borrowers a break when what is expected to be the biggest interest rate hike in 22 years is announced on Wednesday.

    A brief flashback to 2015 is required to get the sense of this story. The economy back then was in the opposite shape of what it is now – weak enough to prompt the Bank of Canada to cut its trendsetting overnight rate by 0.25 of a percentage point in January and again in July.

    The big banks hijacked part of that rate cut. While the overnight rate fell by a total 0.5 of a point, the banks cut their prime rate by cumulative 0.3 of a point. They held back the rest of the rate cut to build their revenues and profit.

    There was a delay in reducing the prime when the Canada Overnight rate dropped 25bp to 0.75% in January 2015 and again when Canada Overnight dropped a further 25bp to 0.50% in July of that year.