Issue Comments

NA Announces Tender Results, Extends Offer to April 26

National Bank of Canada has announced:

all of the Preferred Shares validly deposited under the Offers and not withdrawn as of April 11, 2011 have been taken up and accepted for payment by the Bank. As a result, the Bank has taken up 4,372,089 Preferred Shares Series 21, 4,162,483 Preferred Shares Series 24 and 3,629,923 Preferred Shares Series 26 under the Offers for an aggregate consideration of $335,636,846.27.

The Preferred Shares taken up under the Offers represent approximately (i) 54.31% of the outstanding Preferred Shares Series 21, (ii) 61.21% of the outstanding Preferred Shares Series 24, and (iii) 62.58% of the outstanding Preferred Shares Series 26.

The Bank also announced that it is extending the expiry date of the Offers to 5:00 p.m. (Montréal Time) on April 26, 2011 (the “Expiration Time”) to allow more holders of the Preferred Shares (the “Shareholders”) who desire to deposit their Preferred Shares to do so, unless the Offers are otherwise extended or withdrawn by the Bank. Aside from the above-described extension, the terms and conditions set forth in the Offers and issuer bid circular dated March 4, 2011 remain unchanged. A formal notice of extension will be mailed promptly to Shareholders of the Bank. The notice of extension will also be available at www.sedar.com.

If, by the Expiration Time or within 120 days after the date of the issuer bid circular, whichever occurs first, an Offer has been accepted by the holders of not less than 90 per cent of the Preferred Shares of any series to which such Offer relates, the Bank currently intends to acquire the Preferred Shares held by those Shareholders who have not accepted such Offer either by extending the relevant Offer or pursuant to the compulsory acquisition provisions of Sections 283 to 293 of the Bank Act (Canada) on the same terms and at the same price for which the Preferred Shares were acquired under the relevant Offer (a “Compulsory Acquisition”). For greater certainty, in the event that less than 90 per cent of any of the Preferred Shares of any series is taken up, then a Compulsory Acquisition would only apply to the series of Preferred Shares of which 90 per cent or more were taken up and paid for under the Offer.

If the Bank acquires less than 90 per cent of the Preferred Shares of any series under the Offers, the Bank currently intends to redeem all outstanding Preferred Shares held by those Shareholders who have not accepted the Offers, and which have not been taken up and paid for by the Bank, in accordance with the redemption right attached to such Preferred Shares on the first date at which such Preferred Shares may be redeemed by the Bank at a price equal to $25.00 per share (together with all declared and unpaid dividends thereon up to the date set for redemption).

I strongly recommend that holders tender their shares or sell on the market. It will be remembered that tendering has important tax implications as the premium paid above par is a deemed dividend for tax purposes.

The three issue tickers are NA.PR.N, NA.PR.O, NA.PR.P

Market Action

April 11, 2011

Asset Management via mass-customization is attracting attention in the States:

The next thundering herd on Wall Street may be the ranks of low-cost portfolio managers such as MarketRiders and Folio Investing, which cater to self-directed investors like Cohen. Sites that sell prepackaged portfolios have attracted more than $3 billion in assets over the last three years as more investors leave their full-service brokers.

“Individual investors have started to realize they can actually do some things as self-directed investors reasonably well, if they’re given a platform that allows them to invest more intelligently,” said Steven Wallman, chief executive officer of Folio Investing, where investors can purchase predesigned and customized index portfolios for $29 a month.

Some of the firms, such as Flat Fee Portfolios, are too new to have any performance history. MarketRiders can’t track the actual performance of its customers’ accounts, since it doesn’t have custody of their assets. Covestor and Wealthfront Inc., which give users access to third-party investors, publish performance history for the managers they work with on their sites.

Of course, the big problem with mass-customization is that the decision makers won’t play golf with you:

“Who are the people that are advising me when I’m going to a faceless website?” said Chris Walters, head of wealth management for Pasadena, California-based CitizensTrust. He said investors should be concerned by the lack of performance history available from some of the firms.

But we’ll cut Mr. Walters some slack, as a reward for mentioning the word “performance”. Of course, I don’t see a prominent link to “Performance” on his website.

So much fuss over the leaders’ election debate! It’s a disgrace – the boys have a place to debate each other all the time if they want to … it’s called parliament. But I guess they’re too busy playing thumpy-thumpy on their wickle desks.

Another unpleasant day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts down 25bp, FixedResets losing 6bp and DeemedRetractibles hit for 14bp. Volatility remained low, with only three entries on the performance highlights table. Volume was a little below average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0238 % 2,408.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0238 % 3,622.1
Floater 2.50 % 2.27 % 41,892 21.56 4 0.0238 % 2,600.4
OpRet 4.93 % 3.57 % 57,051 2.09 8 -0.2024 % 2,407.8
SplitShare 5.19 % -2.90 % 117,563 0.67 6 0.0980 % 2,498.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2024 % 2,201.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.80 % 5.69 % 126,420 1.16 8 -0.1043 % 2,049.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.58 % 5.56 % 133,537 14.44 16 -0.2468 % 2,122.4
FixedReset 5.17 % 3.46 % 203,735 2.95 57 -0.0611 % 2,289.4
Deemed-Retractible 5.24 % 5.16 % 321,075 8.19 53 -0.1384 % 2,086.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.33
Bid-YTW : 6.65 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-11
Maturity Price : 23.54
Evaluated at bid price : 23.83
Bid-YTW : 5.79 %
HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.58
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 80,501 RBC crossed blocks of 50,000 and 25,000, both at 24.59.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 57,903 Nesbitt crossed two blocks of 25,000 each at 27.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.90
Bid-YTW : 3.15 %
CM.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 56,681 Scotia crossed two blocks of 25,000 each, both at 23.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.71
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
RY.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 52,264 TD crossed 30,000 at 23.86.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.86
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
CU.PR.B Perpetual-Premium 49,000 TD crossed 45,500 at 25.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-07-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 39,920 TD crossed 35.500 at 24.19.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-11
Maturity Price : 23.93
Evaluated at bid price : 24.19
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
There were 27 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
FTS.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 26.30 – 26.75
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.2892

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.30
Bid-YTW : 3.27 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 25.25 – 25.60
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2440

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 4.14 %

W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.83 – 24.12
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.1982

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-11
Maturity Price : 23.54
Evaluated at bid price : 23.83
Bid-YTW : 5.79 %

TD.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 27.00 – 27.24
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1510

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.00
Bid-YTW : 3.52 %

IAG.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 26.80 – 27.15
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2698

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.80
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %

MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.33 – 21.55
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1466

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.33
Bid-YTW : 6.65 %

PrefLetter

April PrefLetter Released!

The April, 2011, edition of PrefLetter has been released and is now available for purchase as the “Previous edition”. Those who subscribe for a full year receive the “Previous edition” as a bonus.

The April edition contains an appendix discussing annuities, and presents a spreadsheet analyzing the sustainability of retirement withdrawals with annuities included as an investment option – not just the usual stocks and bonds.

PrefLetter may now be purchased by all Canadian residents.

Until further notice, the “Previous Edition” will refer to the April, 2011, issue, while the “Next Edition” will be the May, 2011, issue, scheduled to be prepared as of the close May 13 and eMailed to subscribers prior to market-opening on May 16.

PrefLetter is intended for long term investors seeking issues to buy-and-hold. At least one recommendation from each of the major preferred share sectors is included and discussed.

Note: My verbosity has grown by such leaps and bounds that it is no longer possible to deliver PrefLetter as an eMail attachment – it’s just too big for my software! Instead, I have sent passwords – click on the link in your eMail and your copy will download.

Note: The PrefLetter website has a Subscriber Download Feature. If you have not received your copy, try it!

Note: PrefLetter eMails sometimes runs afoul of spam filters. If you have not received your copy within fifteen minutes of a release notice such as this one, please double check your (company’s) spam filtering policy and your spam repository – there are some hints in the post Sympatico Spam Filters out of Control. If it’s not there, contact me and I’ll get you your copy … somehow!

Note: There have been scattered complaints regarding inability to open PrefLetter in Acrobat Reader, despite my practice of including myself on the subscription list and immediately checking the copy received. I have had the occasional difficulty reading US Government documents, which I was able to resolve by downloading and installing the latest version of Adobe Reader. Also, note that so far, all complaints have been from users of Yahoo Mail. Try saving it to disk first, before attempting to open it.

Note: There have been other scattered complaints that double-clicking on the links in the “PrefLetter Download” email results in a message that the password has already been used. I have been able to reproduce this problem in my own eMail software … the problem is double-clicking. What happens is the first click opens the link and the second click finds that the password has already been used and refuses to work properly. So the moral of the story is: Don’t be a dick! Single Click!

Issue Comments

DF.PR.A Annual Report

Dividend 15 Split Corp. II has released its Annual Report to November 30, 2010.

DF / DF.PR.A Performance
Instrument One
Year
Three
Years
Since
Inception
Whole Unit +12.20% -2.34% -0.29%
DF.PR.A +5.38% +5.38% +5.38%
DF +23.41% -8.89% -5.24%
S&P/TSX 60 Index +11.88% +0.31% +3.98%

Using the S&P TSX 60 index rather than “Dividend Aristocrats” seems a little odd to me – but we’ll let them choose their benchmark!

Figures of interest are:

MER: 1.23% of the whole unit value

Average Net Assets: We need this to calculate portfolio yield. No change in Number of Units Outstanding, so the Net Assets figure for the whole corporation can be used: $84.2-million

Underlying Portfolio Yield: Dividends received (net of withholding) of 3,239,572 divided by average net assets of 84.2-million is 3.85%

Income Coverage: Net Investment Income of 2,210,176 divided by Preferred Share Distributions of 2,655,975 is 83%.

PrefLetter

April PrefLetter Now in Preparation!

The markets have closed and the April edition of PrefLetter is now being prepared.

PrefLetter is the monthly newsletter recommending individual issues of preferred shares to subscribers. There is at least one recommendation from every major type of preferred share with investment-grade constituents. The recommendations are taylored for “buy-and-hold” investors.

The April edition will contain an appendix discussing annuities and their use in retirement planning.

Those taking an annual subscription to PrefLetter receive a discount on viewing of my seminars.

PrefLetter is now available to all residents of Canada.

The April issue will be eMailed to clients and available for single-issue purchase with immediate delivery prior to the opening bell on Monday. I will write another post when the new issue has been uploaded to the server … so watch this space carefully if you intend to order “Next Issue” or “Previous Issue”! Until then, the “Next Issue” is the April issue.

Market Action

April 8, 2011

It looks like the Australians are just as frightened of competition as we are:

Australian Treasurer Wayne Swan rejected Singapore Exchange Ltd. (SGX)’s bid for ASX Ltd. (ASX), saying the deal was not in his nation’s interest and would have left the local bourse operator as a junior partner.

“It was a no brainer that this deal was not in Australia’s national interest,” Swan told reporters today in Canberra, three days after the nation’s Foreign Investment Review Board advised the government to reject it. “At the end of the day this takeover was more about growing Singapore’s financial sector than Australia’s. I am open to the right deal for Australia if it comes along.”

“Let’s be clear here: this is not a merger,” Swan said today. “It’s a takeover that would see Australia’s financial sector become a subsidiary to a competitor in Asia.”

The Boston Fed has released a Public Policy Discussion Paper by Kevin Foster, Erik Meijer, Scott Schuh, and Michael A. Zabek titled The 2009 Survey of Consumer Payment Choice:

This paper presents results of the 2009 Survey of Consumer Payment Choice (SCPC), along with revised 2008 SCPC data. In 2009, the average U.S. consumer held 5.0 of the nine payment instruments available, including cash, and used 3.8 of them during a typical month. Between the 2008 and 2009 surveys, a period that includes the trough of the latest recession, consumers significantly increased their use of cash and close substitutes for cash, such as money orders and prepaid cards. At the same time, consumers reduced their use of credit cards and (to a lesser extent) debit cards, as well as payments made using a bank account number. Weaker economic conditions, new government regulations, and bank pricing of payment card services all likely contributed to the shift back toward cash. However, it is difficult to determine how much each of these factors contributed, and whether the shift is transitory or permanent, without more data and research on consumer payment choice. In 2009, one in three consumers had a prepaid card and nearly as many had a nonbank payment account online, while 3 percent made a mobile payment. By focusing on payments by consumers only, the SCPC complements the recent 2010 Federal Reserve Payment Study, which describes the entire noncash payments economy.

The New York Fed has published a defence of QE2 by Joseph Gagnon, Matthew Raskin, Julie Remache, and Brian Sack titled Large-Scale Asset Purchases by the Federal Reserve: Did They Work?.

Based on this evidence, we conclude that the Federal Reserve’s LSAP programs did lower longer term private borrowing rates, which should stimulate economic activity. While the effects are especially noticeable in the mortgage market, they appear to be widespread, extending, for example, to the markets for Treasury securities, corporate bonds, and interest rate swaps. That conclusion is promising, as it means that monetary policy remains potent even after the zero bound is reached. To be sure, achieving this further stimulus was not without its challenges, as it required a sizable expansion of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, and the purchase of such a large volume of securities in a relatively short time frame required the surmounting of operational hurdles. However, by restoring functioning to the mortgage market and lowering the term premium, the programs provided considerable benefits.

Portugal’s government fell because the opposition didn’t like the austerity plan. They may have shot themselves in the foot:

Europe’s rich countries pushed Portugal to make deeper-than-planned budget cuts in the heat of an election campaign in exchange for an emergency aid package estimated at 80 billion euros ($115 billion).

In an unprecedented intervention in national politics, euro-area finance ministers said an offer of relief would hinge on Portugal’s feuding leaders making cuts that go beyond measures that failed to pass parliament in March and triggered early elections.

But I’m sure that Portuguese politics is no different in substance from Canadian politics. The politicians don’t care if what they say makes any sense, or whether what they do actually improves things: they’ve said something popular and hope to increase their vote.

The latest joke out of the US is the JOINT STUDY ON THE FEASIBILITY OF MANDATING ALGORITHMIC DESCRIPTIONS FOR DERIVATIVES:

Section 719(b) of the Dodd-Frank Act requires the SEC and the CFTC (collectively the “Commissions”) jointly to study (the “Study”) the “the feasibility of requiring the derivatives industry to adopt standardized computer-readable algorithmic descriptions which may be used to describe complex and standardized financial derivatives,” and the extent to which such algorithmic descriptions, together with standardized legal definitions, “may serve as the binding legal definition of derivative contracts.”1 The statute also requires us to examine the “logistics of possible implementations of standardized algorithmic descriptions for derivatives contracts.” Thus, the Study presents two key questions. First, is computer technology capable of representing derivatives with sufficient precision and detail to facilitate collection, reporting, and analysis of risk exposures, including calculation of net exposures, as well as to function as part or all of a binding legal contract? Second, if the technological capability exists, in consideration of the logistics of possible implementation, should these standardized, computer-readable descriptions be required for all derivatives?

Seeing as how a large proportion of deriviatives (by number, not by traded value) are designed to allow pseudo-managers with a bond mandate to get non-bond exposure, that might be a little difficult! Anyway:

Based on the public input and its own analysis, the staff conclude, with respect to the first question, that current technology is capable of representing derivatives using a common set of computer-readable descriptions. These descriptions are precise enough to use both for the calculation of net exposures and to serve as part or all of a binding legal contract.

As to question two, the staff conclude that before mandating the use of standardized descriptions for all derivatives, the following are needed: a universal entity identifier and product or instrument identifiers, a further analysis of the costs and benefits of having all aspects of legal documents related to derivatives represented electronically, and a uniform way to represent financial terms not covered by existing definitions.

Plain vanilla! Plain vanilla for everyone!

It was a bad day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts getting whacked for 30bp, FixedResets off 7bp and DeemedRetractibles down 17bp. For all that, there wasn’t much volatility, with only one entry in the Performance Highlights table. Volume was very light.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1070 % 2,407.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1070 % 3,621.2
Floater 2.50 % 2.27 % 41,861 21.56 4 -0.1070 % 2,599.7
OpRet 4.92 % 3.45 % 57,793 2.10 8 0.0916 % 2,412.7
SplitShare 5.20 % -2.86 % 121,850 0.68 6 0.0166 % 2,496.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0916 % 2,206.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.79 % 5.36 % 128,120 1.17 8 0.0944 % 2,051.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.56 % 5.56 % 134,135 14.43 16 -0.3043 % 2,127.7
FixedReset 5.17 % 3.42 % 206,337 2.96 57 -0.0696 % 2,290.8
Deemed-Retractible 5.24 % 5.14 % 325,616 8.22 53 -0.1733 % 2,089.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -2.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.58
Evaluated at bid price : 22.77
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 52,001 Desjardins bought 14,700 from anonymous at 25.21. Then RBC crossed 10,000 at 25.25 and Desjardins crossed 15,000 at 25.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-11-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.24
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 41,539 Desjardins crossed 34,000 at 27.46.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.45
Bid-YTW : 3.58 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 35,709 Desjardins bought 32,000 from anonymous at 23.33.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-08
Maturity Price : 23.03
Evaluated at bid price : 23.24
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %
RY.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 35,083 Desjardins bought 30,000 from anonymous at 23.87.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.86
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %
TD.PR.M OpRet 31,700 RBC crossed 30,000 at 25.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : -1.46 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 28,466 Desjardins crossed 15,000 at 27.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.51
Bid-YTW : 3.07 %
There were 20 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
RY.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 26.71 – 27.16
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3181

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.71
Bid-YTW : 3.40 %

HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.29 – 24.69
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2810

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.29
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %

SLF.PR.F FixedReset Quote: 26.81 – 27.13
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2237

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.81
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %

SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.57 – 22.79
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1455

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.57
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 25.25 – 25.47
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1457

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-03-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %

BMO.PR.O FixedReset Quote: 27.81 – 28.05
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1733

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.81
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %

Indices and ETFs

TXPR Rebalancing: April 2011

Standard & Poor’s has announced the current revision to the S&P/TSX Preferred Share Index, reflecting their updated methodology:

These changes will be effective at the open on Monday, April 18, 2011:

TXPR Revision 2010/7
Additions
Ticker HIMIPref™
SubIndex
DBRS
Rating
Last
Index
Action
BMO.PR.Q  
BAF.PR.A  
BAM.PR.X  
BPO.PR.J  
DC.PR.A  
FTS.PR.C  
GMP.PR.B  
HSE.PR.A  
MFC.PR.F  
REI.PR.A  
RON.PR.A  
TD.PR.N  
TCA.PR.X  
TCA.PR.Y  

TXPR Revision 2011/1
Deletions
Ticker HIMIPref™
SubIndex
DBRS
Rating
Last
Index
Action
None

I regret that I do not have time at the moment to fill in all of the empty boxes or to make any comments – but I will! Someday.

Issue Comments

DGS.PR.A Merger (with BE.PR.A) and Term Extension Approved

Brompton Group has announced:

At special meetings of Preferred and Class A shareholders of Brompton Equity Split Corp. (“BE”) and Dividend Growth Split Corp. (“DGS”) held today, shareholders approved special resolutions to amalgamate BE and DGS to form a new fund to be named Dividend Growth Split Corp. (“New DGS”). The effective date of the merger is expected to be May 18, 2011, subject to applicable regulatory approvals. The merger is expected to be implemented on a tax deferred basis to shareholders of BE and DGS, subject to the assumptions and qualifications outlined in the joint management information circular for the meetings.

At the meeting, the extension of the term for New DGS for up to 5 years beyond the scheduled termination date for DGS of November 30, 2014 and thereafter for successive terms of up to 5 years as determined by the New DGS Board of Directors was approved. Shareholders will be able to redeem either their Preferred Shares or Class A Shares of New DGS at Net Asset Value per Share prior to any such extension and New DGS will provide at least 60 days’ notice to Shareholders of the extended retraction date by way of press release.

In addition, as a result of the approval of the special resolutions, shareholders of BE will have the opportunity to redeem their shares of BE prior to the merger if they do not wish to participate in the merger. Shareholders wishing to redeem their BE shares may surrender such BE shares to Computershare Investor Services Inc. up until 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on April 15, 2011. Shares are held on behalf of beneficial holders through CDS Participants who may have earlier cut off times.

New DGS will have the same investment objectives, strategies and restrictions as DGS as well as substantially the same preferred share and class A share attributes. DGS invests on an equally weighted basis in a portfolio of 20 large capitalization Canadian equities that have among the highest dividend growth rates on the TSX.

Under the merger proposal, each issued and outstanding preferred share of BE will become one preferred share of DGS. Each issued and outstanding class A share of BE will become the number of class A shares of DGS determined by dividing the net asset value per class A share of BE by the net asset value per class A share of DGS, each calculated on April 28, 2011. In order to maintain the same number of DGS class A and preferred shares outstanding following the merger, class A shares or preferred shares of BE may be redeemed by BE on a pro-rata basis prior to the merger as outlined in the joint management information circular.

The plan was reported on PrefBlog in the post BE.PR.A and DGS.PR.A to Merge?. BE.PR.A is not tracked by HIMIPref™. DGS.PR.A is tracked by HIMIPref™ but is assigned to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

DBRS comments:

If the 1:1 ratio of preferred shares to class A shares outstanding is maintained, the merger will not result in a decrease in downside protection for existing DGS Preferred Shareholders. As a result, provided BE exercises its right to restore the 1:1 ratio, DBRS expects that the New DGS Preferred Shares will be assigned the same rating as the DGS Preferred Shares.

Issue Comments

BCE.PR.G Dividend to Reset to 4.50%

BCE Inc. has announced:

BCE Inc. will, on May 1, 2011, continue to have Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series AG outstanding if, following the end of the conversion period on April 21, 2011, BCE Inc. determines that at least two million Series AG Preferred Shares would remain outstanding. In such a case, as of May 1, 2011, the Series AG Preferred Shares will pay, on a quarterly basis, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of BCE Inc., a fixed cash dividend for the following five years that will be based on an annual fixed dividend rate equal to 4.50%.

BCE.PR.G forms a Strong Pair with BCE.PR.H. BCE has announced previously that the date for providing notice of conversion is April 21. Most brokers will have an internal deadline a few days in advance of this date.

A Pairs Equivalency Calculator for determining the break-even Prime Rate when choosing between these two (and other) issues has been published on PrefBlog.

While the pundits have been tireless in warning us that Prime is set to increase, they are less voluble on the matter of how much and how fast. There is also the question of how corporate paper will react to the increase – I suggest there will be some effect, but it won’t be one-to-one.

BCE Ratchet Rate issues such as BCE.PR.H are trading in the $23-24 range and have been paying 100% of prime for quite some time. As noted in the prospectus:

From May 1, 2006, Öoating adjustable cumulative preferred cash dividends, if declared, will be payable monthly on the twelfth day of each month following the month of May 2006, with the annual Öoating dividend rate for the Ñrst month equal to 80% of Prime. The dividend rate will Öoat in relation to changes in Prime and will be adjusted upwards or downwards on a monthly basis whenever the Calculated Trading Price of the Series 18 Preferred Shares is $24.875 or less or $25.125 or more respectively. The maximum monthly adjustment for changes related to the Calculated Trading Price will be 4.00% of Prime. However, the annual Öoating dividend rate applicable in a month will in no event be less than 50% of Prime or greater than Prime.

Thus, if prime should increase dramatically, there is every possibility that the proportion paid on Prim will decline equally dramatically.

The break-even rate for the Ratchet Rate is equal to the new Fixed-Floater rate of 4.5% over the next five years, given that the prices are identical (if not, you can currently buy the cheaper and convert to the more expensive issue). To achieve this breakeven rate, Prime would have to increase by 300bp over the next five years, or 60bp per year. I consider that not only such an increase to be a bit on the high side but, as mentioned, the calculation of the break-even is dependent upon BCE.PR.H continuing to pay 100% of Prime, which is by no means assured in such a scenario.

Thus, I recommend that holders of BCE.PR.G hold on to their issue, and that holders of BCE.PR.H exercise their conversion rights. If I’m wrong and hyperinflation comes to Canada … fear not! You’ll get another chance to convert in 2016.

Market Action

April 7, 2011

Nothing happened today, but it looks as if the US government might take a week off:

President Barack Obama and the top two leaders in Congress failed to reach a budget deal in their third White House meeting in two days, taking the government to the brink of a partial shutdown.

It was a poor day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts losing 15bp, FixedResets off 8bp and DeemedRetractibles down 6bp. Volatility remains low, and volume was light.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0594 % 2,410.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0594 % 3,625.1
Floater 2.50 % 2.27 % 41,326 21.57 4 -0.0594 % 2,602.5
OpRet 4.92 % 3.51 % 56,624 2.11 8 -0.1060 % 2,410.5
SplitShare 5.20 % -2.94 % 119,777 0.68 6 -0.2224 % 2,495.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1060 % 2,204.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.80 % 5.48 % 125,172 1.18 8 -0.2430 % 2,049.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.55 % 5.53 % 133,655 14.44 16 -0.1493 % 2,134.2
FixedReset 5.16 % 3.39 % 205,467 2.96 57 -0.0835 % 2,292.4
Deemed-Retractible 5.23 % 5.11 % 335,856 8.20 53 -0.0554 % 2,093.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.13
Bid-YTW : 5.79 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 6.43 %
TD.PR.P Deemed-Retractible -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 50,176 RBC crossed 35,000 at 25.26.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-11-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 38,500 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 3.93 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 31,528 TD crossed 20,000 at 27.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.13
Bid-YTW : 3.33 %
RY.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 24,593 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.87
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %
BMO.PR.P FixedReset 23,108 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-03-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.88
Bid-YTW : 3.52 %
TD.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 23,108 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.51
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.19 – 21.58
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2578

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-04-07
Maturity Price : 21.19
Evaluated at bid price : 21.19
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %

BAM.PR.I OpRet Quote: 25.19 – 25.67
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3758

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.19
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %

IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.13 – 25.42
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.1860

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.13
Bid-YTW : 5.79 %

RY.PR.W Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.15 – 25.39
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1605

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %

TRP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 25.80 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1218

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
Bid-YTW : 3.73 %

PWF.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 26.70 – 26.95
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1763

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 3.40 %