New Issues

New Issue: BNS FixedReset 4.85%+243 NVCC

The Bank of Nova Scotia has announced:

a domestic public offering of Non-cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares Series 40 (Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC)) (the “Preferred Shares Series 40”).

Scotiabank has agreed to sell 10 million of Preferred Shares Series 40 to a syndicate of underwriters led by Scotia Capital Inc. on a bought deal basis. Scotiabank has granted the Underwriters an option, exercisable in whole or in part up to 48 hours before closing, to purchase up to an additional 2 million Preferred Shares Series 40 at the same offering price.

Scotiabank will issue Preferred Shares Series 40 priced at $25 per share and holders will be entitled to receive a non-cumulative quarterly fixed dividend, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Scotiabank, for the initial period ending on and including January 26, 2024 at an annual rate of $1.2125 per share to yield 4.85% per cent annually.

On January 27, 2024 and on January 27 every five years thereafter, Scotiabank may, at its option, subject to regulatory approval, redeem all or any number of the then outstanding Preferred Shares Series 40 at a redemption price of $25 per share. Thereafter, the dividend rate will reset every five years at a rate equal to 2.43% over the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield. Holders of Preferred Shares Series 40 will, subject to certain conditions, have the right to convert all or any part of their shares to Non-cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares Series 41 (Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC)) (the “Preferred Shares Series 41”) of Scotiabank on January 27, 2024 and on January 27 every five years thereafter.

Holders of the Preferred Shares Series 41 will be entitled to receive a non-cumulative quarterly floating dividend at a rate equal to the 3-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 2.43%, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Scotiabank. Holders of Preferred Shares Series 41 will, subject to certain conditions, have the right to convert all or any part of their shares to Preferred Shares Series 40 on January 27, 2029 and on January 27 every five years thereafter.

Closing is expected to occur on October 12, 2018. Scotiabank will make an application to list the Preferred Shares Series 40 as of the closing date on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

Net proceeds of the offering will be used by Scotiabank to fund a portion of the redemption of Non-cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares Series 20 and Non-cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares Series 21 announced on September 25, 2018.

The new issue is quite expensive according to Implied Volatility Analysis:

impvol_bns_181002
Click for Big

According to this analysis, the fair value of the new issue on October 2 is 23.43. However, it should be noted that the analysis is forced to do some major extrapolation, as the only other BNS FixedReset NVCC-compliant issues are BNS.PR.E, BNS.PR.G and BNS.PR.H, all of which have Issue Reset Spreads in excess of 400bp.

The ludicrously high figure of Implied Volatility is something I take to mean that the underlying assumption of the Black-Scholes model, that of no directionality of prices, is not accepted by the market; the market seems to be taking the view that since things seem rosy now, they will always be rosy and everything will trade near par in the future.

I balk at ascribing a 100% probability to the ‘all issues will be called, or at least exhibit price stability’ hypothesis. There may still be a few old geezers amongst the Assiduous Readers of this blog who can still (faintly) remember the Great Bear Market of 2014-16, in which quite a few similar assumptions made earlier turned out to be slightly inaccurate. The extra cushion implied by an Issue Reset Spread that is well over the market spread is worth something, even if nothing gets called. Or, to put it another way, one can buy a whole lot of downside protection for very little extra money, relative to this issue.

Market Action

October 2, 2018

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5860 % 3,130.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5860 % 5,745.1
Floater 3.47 % 3.66 % 36,322 18.19 4 -0.5860 % 3,310.9
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0873 % 3,228.7
SplitShare 4.61 % 4.69 % 56,054 4.76 5 0.0873 % 3,855.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0873 % 3,008.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.55 % -3.81 % 49,334 0.09 12 -0.0558 % 2,926.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.44 % 5.59 % 61,958 14.46 21 -0.1321 % 3,000.7
FixedReset Disc 4.16 % 5.00 % 130,826 15.42 43 0.0050 % 2,599.8
Deemed-Retractible 5.17 % 6.09 % 58,213 5.33 27 -0.0204 % 2,990.9
FloatingReset 3.44 % 3.56 % 40,334 5.63 4 0.6822 % 2,877.3
FixedReset Prem 4.84 % 4.07 % 221,623 2.83 34 0.1879 % 2,578.8
FixedReset Bank Non 3.20 % 3.76 % 67,773 0.39 9 -0.0181 % 2,576.2
FixedReset Ins Non 4.30 % 5.02 % 83,370 4.19 22 0.0174 % 2,602.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.74 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-02
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 3.72 %
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-02
Maturity Price : 21.49
Evaluated at bid price : 21.86
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Prem 9.74 % Just a reversal of yesterday‘s nonsense.

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %

Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 209,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.66
Evaluated at bid price : 23.23
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Prem 143,182 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-02
Maturity Price : 23.16
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.81 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc 142,605 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
RY.PR.Q FixedReset Prem 73,481 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.40
Bid-YTW : 3.51 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc 70,550 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.80
Evaluated at bid price : 23.95
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset Disc 60,245 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-02
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %
There were 32 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 20.14 – 20.67
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3294

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.14
Bid-YTW : 7.52 %

W.PR.K FixedReset Prem Quote: 25.60 – 26.20
Spot Rate : 0.6000
Average : 0.4288

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %

SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.60 – 22.98
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2507

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 6.73 %

BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.25 – 21.53
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1812

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-02
Maturity Price : 21.25
Evaluated at bid price : 21.25
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.77 – 20.12
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2554

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-02
Maturity Price : 19.77
Evaluated at bid price : 19.77
Bid-YTW : 4.77 %

BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.23 – 23.48
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1555

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.66
Evaluated at bid price : 23.23
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %

Market Action

October 1, 2018

Well, that was quick:

The Securities and Exchange Commission announced today that Elon Musk, CEO and Chairman of Silicon Valley-based Tesla, Inc., has agreed to settle the securities fraud charge brought by the SEC against him last week. The SEC also today charged Tesla with failing to have required disclosure controls and procedures relating to Musk’s tweets, a charge that Tesla has agreed to settle. The settlements, which are subject to court approval, will result in comprehensive corporate governance and other reforms at Tesla—including Musk’s removal as Chairman of the Tesla board—and the payment by Musk and Tesla of financial penalties.

Musk and Tesla have agreed to settle the charges against them without admitting or denying the SEC’s allegations. Among other relief, the settlements require that:
•Musk will step down as Tesla’s Chairman and be replaced by an independent Chairman. Musk will be ineligible to be re-elected Chairman for three years;
•Tesla will appoint a total of two new independent directors to its board;
•Tesla will establish a new committee of independent directors and put in place additional controls and procedures to oversee Musk’s communications;
•Musk and Tesla will each pay a separate $20 million penalty. The $40 million in penalties will be distributed to harmed investors under a court-approved process.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.6030 % 3,149.4
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.6030 % 5,778.9
Floater 3.45 % 3.65 % 33,620 18.21 4 0.6030 % 3,330.4
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1347 % 3,225.8
SplitShare 4.61 % 4.69 % 54,555 4.76 5 -0.1347 % 3,852.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1347 % 3,005.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.55 % -5.88 % 49,823 0.09 12 0.1019 % 2,928.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.43 % 5.57 % 61,970 14.50 21 0.0599 % 3,004.7
FixedReset Disc 4.17 % 5.01 % 129,204 15.44 43 0.4004 % 2,599.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.17 % 5.99 % 57,727 5.33 27 -0.1410 % 2,991.5
FloatingReset 3.46 % 3.62 % 37,463 5.63 4 0.0737 % 2,857.8
FixedReset Prem 4.85 % 4.04 % 222,034 2.84 34 -0.1314 % 2,574.0
FixedReset Bank Non 3.20 % 3.74 % 67,530 0.39 9 0.1298 % 2,576.6
FixedReset Ins Non 4.30 % 5.08 % 86,097 5.41 22 0.2978 % 2,602.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TD.PF.J FixedReset Prem -9.02 % A nonsensical quote from Nonsense Central, as this issue traded 1200 shares today, all at 25.54 before being quoted at 23.10-25.54 by the Exchange.

I have not checked whether this lamentable state of affairs is due to inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange reporting or inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange supervision of market-makers.

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-01
Maturity Price : 22.36
Evaluated at bid price : 23.10
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %

CU.PR.I FixedReset Prem -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.95
Bid-YTW : 2.87 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.01
Bid-YTW : 7.18 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.70
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.33
Bid-YTW : 7.35 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 8.15 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.94
Bid-YTW : 7.41 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-01
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-01
Maturity Price : 21.18
Evaluated at bid price : 21.18
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc 2.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-01
Maturity Price : 18.10
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 5.07 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.J FixedReset Prem 107,950 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.50
Bid-YTW : 3.33 %
BMO.PR.D FixedReset Prem 80,400 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-08-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 4.21 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 77,090 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-01
Maturity Price : 20.65
Evaluated at bid price : 20.65
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
BNS.PR.H FixedReset Prem 76,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-01-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.01
Bid-YTW : 3.46 %
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Prem 73,708 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-11-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 52,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-01
Maturity Price : 22.07
Evaluated at bid price : 22.72
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
There were 34 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TD.PF.J FixedReset Prem Quote: 23.10 – 25.54
Spot Rate : 2.4400
Average : 1.3610

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-01
Maturity Price : 22.36
Evaluated at bid price : 23.10
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %

RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.62 – 24.00
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2408

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-01
Maturity Price : 23.03
Evaluated at bid price : 23.62
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %

SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.38 – 21.74
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2211

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.38
Bid-YTW : 7.45 %

SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.01 – 22.37
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2601

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.01
Bid-YTW : 7.18 %

BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.75 – 21.07
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2204

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-01
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %

EIT.PR.A SplitShare Quote: 25.00 – 25.30
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2067

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2024-03-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.87 %

Issue Comments

DBRS Confirms EFN after Strategic Plan Announced

Element Fleet Management Corp. has announced:

a customer-centric plan to meaningfully improve financial performance, strengthen and de-risk the Company’s balance sheet, and position the business for growth.

The plan includes:

  • •A series of concrete actions to improve the customer experience and generate an estimated $150 million in run-rate pre-tax operating income improvements in the fleet management business by the end of 2020;
  • •A $150 million investment in the business to achieve those improvements, which will be funded in part by capital retained after a reduction in the Company’s quarterly common share dividend from $0.075 to $0.045, and the introduction of a dividend reinvestment plan;
  • •An agreement, subject to the satisfaction of certain conditions, to purchase the interests in the 19th Capital joint venture that Element does not already own for nominal consideration, and Element plans to undertake an orderly run off of 19thCapital’s assets over the next 36 months. In conjunction with this initiative, Element will recognize an after-tax charge of approximately $360 million in the third quarter reflecting a write down of the carrying value of its remaining investment in 19th Capital;
  • •Strengthening the Company’s investment-grade balance sheet through a $300 million offering of common shares via a bought deal transaction; and
  • •A clear accountability plan, including a Transformation Management Office run by a leading global consulting firm that will bring focus, support and accountability for the duration of the program, as well as regular reporting to track our performance

DBRS has announced that it:

has confirmed the ratings for Element Fleet Management Corp. (EFN or the Company), including the Company’s Long-Term Issuer Rating of BBB (high) and Short-Term Issuer Rating of R-2 (high). The trend on all ratings is Stable. The Intrinsic Assessment (IA) for the Company is BBB (high), while its Support Assessment is SA3. As a result, EFN’s final ratings are equalized with its IA.

KEY RATING CONSIDERATIONS
The ratings consider Element’s action plan following an in-depth and broad review of three distinct workstreams completed by the new executive management team and the Board of Directors that should contribute to better operating performance going forward. Nonetheless, the plan does have execution risks, including the realization of synergies and efficiencies, as well as the successful wind down of 19th Capital without additional losses or costs to Element. The Company’s position as the market leader in North American commercial fleet as well as leading positions in Australia and New Zealand, its low risk balance sheet and well-aligned funding profile support the ratings. The ratings also consider the Company’s reliance on secured forms of wholesale funding, returns that are solid, but lag the peer group at the next rating level and elevated leverage.

The Stable trend reflects DBRS’s expectation that the Company will continue to produce solid earnings from its core fleet business as it executes the strategic plan, while maintaining strong asset performance. The Company’s ample available liquidity and good access to the capital markets are considered in the trend. The Stable trend also considers DBRS’s view that the long-term fundamentals for the commercial fleet industry will remain favorable supported by the continuing trend of large corporates outsourcing the management of their commercial fleets to save costs. Moreover, the increasing volume of data produced by vehicles that may be analyzed to increase driver productivity and the operating efficiency of the fleets requires scalable IT platforms, such as that offered by EFN, further underpinning demand for commercial fleet services.

Affected issues are EFN.PR.A , EFN.PR.C , EFN.PR.E , EFN.PR.G and EFN.PR.I .

Issue Comments

HSE on Credit Watch Negative by S&P

Husky Energy Inc.has announced:

a proposal to acquire all of the outstanding shares of MEG Energy Corp. (TSX:MEG) (“MEG”) for implied total equity consideration of approximately $3.3 billion. This proposal values MEG at an implied total enterprise value of $6.4 billion, including the assumption of approximately $3.1 billion of net debt.

This caused immediate reaction by Standard & Poor’s:

  • •We are placing our ratings on Husky Energy Inc. on CreditWatch with negative implications, following its announced unsolicited bid to acquire oil sands bitumen producer, MEG Energy Corp.
  • •We are also placing our ‘BBB-‘ global scale and ‘P-2(Low)’ Canada scale preferred share ratings on CreditWatch with negative implications, as we would lower them to ‘BB+’ and ‘P-3(High)’, respectively, concurrent with a downgrade on the company to ‘BBB’.
  • •We are assuming Husky’s major shareholder will retain its majority ownership in the company, so we expect the one-notch uplift to its rating, which is supported by this ownership, should remain in effect.
  • •The negative CreditWatch reflects the potential deterioration of Husky’s cash flow and leverage metrics, with the addition of MEG’s existing C$3.6 billion of debt (at June 30, 2018), and the resulting deterioration of the company’s financial risk profile, which could lead to a downgrade.


The CreditWatch is based on the potential deterioration of Husky’s financial risk profile, if the company acquires MEG. The C$3.6 billion of MEG’s debt being assumed will materially weaken Husky’s pro forma cash flow and leverage metrics, and we believe the company’s financial risk profile might deteriorate by one category from our current weighted-average estimate for the 2018-2020 forecast period. At this time, we believe Husky’s major shareholder should retain its ownership position in the company, which would support the continued one-notch uplift to the credit rating. As a result, we believe the rating downside should be limited to one notch.

We expect to resolve the CreditWatch placement when the transaction closes.
This should occur in early 2019.

S&P currently rates the preferreds as P-2(low).

DBRS commented:

Nevertheless, DBRS notes that if Husky’s offer is successful in its current form, the addition of MEG’s assets would be mildly positive for Husky’s business risk profile. The inclusion of MEG’s assets (1) adds to Husky’s size, (2) improves the Company’s proven reserve life index, (3) complements Husky’s other thermal oil developments in Western Canada and (4) enhances Husky’s heavy oil integration plans. Tempering the improvement in the business risk profile is a higher level of asset concentration in Western Canada and a higher proportion of thermal oil in the Company’s production mix.

DBRS notes that Husky’s credit metrics (assuming Husky’s offer is successful in its current form) are modestly negatively affected initially due to the sizable amount of MEG debt that the Company would incur. On a pro forma basis (last 12 months ended June 30, 2018), Husky’s lease-adjusted debt-to-cash flow ratio rises from approximately 1.6 times (x) to 2.3x (outside the “A” range). However, Husky has noted that approximately $200 million in synergies could be realized annually from the acquisition of the MEG assets. Also, the combined entity is expected to generate material free cash flow (cash flow after capital spending and dividends) that can be deployed to reducing net debt and financial leverage. The Company anticipates a net debt-to-cash flow ratio of the combined entity (based on current strip pricing in 2019 for West Texas Intermediate oil of USD 70.50/bbl and a heavy light oil differential in Western Canada of USD 26.26/bbl) to be approximately 1.0x in 2019.

DBRS confirmed the preferreds at Pfd-2(low) on 2017-11-14.

Affected issues are HSE.PR.A, HSE.PR.B, HSE.PR.C, HSE.PR.E and HSE.PR.G.

Market Action

September 28, 2018

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2273 % 3,130.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2273 % 5,744.3
Floater 3.47 % 3.66 % 34,106 18.15 4 -0.2273 % 3,310.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1029 % 3,230.2
SplitShare 4.61 % 4.69 % 54,960 4.77 5 -0.1029 % 3,857.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1029 % 3,009.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.56 % -2.69 % 49,444 0.09 12 0.0460 % 2,925.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.43 % 5.57 % 56,210 14.58 22 0.2812 % 3,002.9
FixedReset Disc 4.17 % 5.01 % 145,867 15.50 42 0.1345 % 2,589.3
Deemed-Retractible 5.16 % 6.02 % 58,660 5.34 27 0.2371 % 2,995.7
FloatingReset 3.39 % 4.14 % 37,485 5.63 5 0.0090 % 2,855.7
FixedReset Prem 4.82 % 4.13 % 162,968 2.85 35 0.1072 % 2,577.4
FixedReset Bank Non 3.19 % 3.76 % 68,216 0.40 9 0.0181 % 2,573.3
FixedReset Ins Non 4.31 % 5.01 % 85,580 5.41 22 0.0832 % 2,594.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 6.92 %
CU.PR.I FixedReset Prem 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.30
Bid-YTW : 2.21 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-28
Maturity Price : 24.57
Evaluated at bid price : 24.83
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-28
Maturity Price : 24.60
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.H FixedReset Prem 155,699 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : 3.69 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc 74,012 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-28
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 54,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-28
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 23.28
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
RY.PR.Q FixedReset Prem 52,870 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.36
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 50,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-28
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc 47,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-11-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
There were 13 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IFC.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.98 – 24.53
Spot Rate : 0.5500
Average : 0.3529

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.98
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %

IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 23.59 – 24.03
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.2984

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.59
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %

W.PR.K FixedReset Prem Quote: 25.45 – 25.84
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2533

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %

MFC.PR.R FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 25.99 – 26.25
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1816

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.99
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %

BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.85 – 21.28
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.3563

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-28
Maturity Price : 20.85
Evaluated at bid price : 20.85
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %

IAG.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 25.15 – 25.50
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2805

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %

Issue Comments

DGS.PR.A To Extend Term

Brompton Group has announced:

As a result of strong long-term performance, Dividend Growth Split Corp. (the “Fund”) is pleased to announce that the board of directors has approved an extension of the maturity date of the Class A and Preferred shares of the Company. The current maturity date of November 28, 2019 will be extended for an additional period of three to five years. The new term and the proposed rate for the preferred share dividend for the new term will be announced at least 60 days prior to the current November 28, 2019 maturity date. The preferred share dividend rate for the extended term will be based on market yields for preferred shares with similar terms at that time.

The extension of the term of the Fund is not expected to be a taxable event and should enable shareholders to defer potential capital gains tax liability that would have otherwise been realized on the redemption of the Class A shares or Preferred Shares at the end of the term until such time as such shares are disposed of by shareholders.
Since inception in December 2007 to August 31, 2018, the Class A share has delivered a 7.4%(1) per annum return, which outperformed the S&P/TSX Composite Index by 2.7% per annum. Since inception to August 31, 2018, Class A shareholders have received cash distributions of $12.39. Class A shareholders also have the option to reinvest their cash distributions in a dividend reinvestment plan which is commission free to participants. Class A shareholders can enroll in the DRIP program by contacting their investment advisor.

The term extension offers Preferred shareholders the opportunity to enjoy preferential cash dividends until the end of the extended term. Since inception to August 31, 2018, the Preferred share has delivered a 5.4% (1) per annum return.

The Fund invests, on an approximately equally-weighted basis, in a portfolio consisting primarily of equity securities of Canadian dividend growth companies. In addition, DGS may hold up to 20% of the total assets of the portfolio in global dividend growth companies for diversification and potentially enhanced return potential.

DGS.PR.A approved a term extension in 2011 which became official in 2013 and took effect in 2014 (these guys like to plan ahead!) with the dividend rate unchanged at 5.25%. The manager’s mandate expanded slightly in August, 2018.

DGS.PR.A is tracked by HIMIPref™ but relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

Market Action

September 27, 2018

Visionary? Bullshit artist? Both?:

The Securities and Exchange Commission today charged Elon Musk, CEO and Chairman of Silicon Valley-based Tesla Inc., with securities fraud for a series of false and misleading tweets about a potential transaction to take Tesla private.

On August 7, 2018, Musk tweeted to his 22 million Twitter followers that he could take Tesla private at $420 per share (a substantial premium to its trading price at the time), that funding for the transaction had been secured, and that the only remaining uncertainty was a shareholder vote. The SEC’s complaint alleges that, in truth, Musk had not discussed specific deal terms with any potential financing partners, and he allegedly knew that the potential transaction was uncertain and subject to numerous contingencies. According to the SEC’s complaint, Musk’s tweets caused Tesla’s stock price to jump by over six percent on August 7, and led to significant market disruption.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1473 % 3,137.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1473 % 5,757.4
Floater 3.46 % 3.66 % 35,404 18.16 4 0.1473 % 3,318.0
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0158 % 3,233.5
SplitShare 4.60 % 4.57 % 53,449 4.77 5 0.0158 % 3,861.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0158 % 3,012.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.56 % -3.56 % 49,988 0.09 12 0.0789 % 2,924.0
Perpetual-Discount 5.44 % 5.58 % 58,351 14.56 22 0.0363 % 2,994.5
FixedReset Disc 4.17 % 4.95 % 147,573 15.49 42 0.0740 % 2,585.9
Deemed-Retractible 5.18 % 6.04 % 58,531 5.34 27 0.0518 % 2,988.6
FloatingReset 3.39 % 4.17 % 38,924 5.63 5 0.4083 % 2,855.4
FixedReset Prem 4.82 % 4.08 % 165,353 2.85 35 0.1387 % 2,574.6
FixedReset Bank Non 3.19 % 3.82 % 66,728 0.40 9 -0.0451 % 2,572.8
FixedReset Ins Non 4.31 % 5.16 % 85,823 5.42 22 0.0542 % 2,592.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.11
Bid-YTW : 7.53 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.92
Bid-YTW : 6.96 %
BAM.PF.J FixedReset Prem 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.43
Evaluated at bid price : 17.43
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.Q FixedReset Prem 229,880 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.31
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc 56,275 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 22.84
Evaluated at bid price : 24.03
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 41,870 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 22.43
Evaluated at bid price : 22.91
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
NA.PR.C FixedReset Prem 34,980 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-11-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.29
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc 34,705 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 23.17
Evaluated at bid price : 25.04
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 29,233 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 22.80
Evaluated at bid price : 23.26
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
There were 12 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.48 – 20.95
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3160

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 20.48
Evaluated at bid price : 20.48
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %

TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.91 – 23.25
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2011

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 22.43
Evaluated at bid price : 22.91
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.60 – 18.95
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2191

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 8.31 %

TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.79 – 18.10
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1864

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.79
Evaluated at bid price : 17.79
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %

BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.50 – 23.79
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2051

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 23.07
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.00 – 19.40
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.3197

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-27
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %

Issue Comments

LFE.PR.B To Be Extended with Dividend Boost

Quadravest Capital Management has announced:

Canadian Life Companies Split Corp (the “Company”) is pleased to announce it has extended the termination date of the Company a further six year period from December 1, 2018 to December 1, 2024.

In connection with the extension, the Company will also amend the dividend entitlement of the LFE.PR.B Preferred Shares (“Preferred Shares”) effective December 1, 2018, to pay a cumulative preferential floating rate monthly dividend at an annual rate equivalent to the greater of, (i) 6.5% based on the $10 original issue price and (ii) the prevailing Canadian Prime Rate plus 2% annually based on the $10 original issue price, to a maximum of 8%. Based on the current Prime Rate of 3.7%, the annual rate would be 6.5%, which represents an increase of 0.25% per annum from the current rate of 6.25%.

The dividend policy for the LFE Class A Shares (“Class A Shares”) will remain unchanged.

In connection with the extension, the Company will offer a Special Retraction Right which will allow existing shareholders to tender one or both classes of Shares and receive a retraction price based on the November 30, 2018 net asset value per unit.

Since inception of the Company, Class A Shares have received a total of $7.15 per share and Preferred Shares have received a total of $7.64 per share, for a combined total of $14.79.

The Company invests in a portfolio of four publicly traded Canadian life insurance companies as follows: Great-West Lifeco Inc., Industrial Alliance Insurance & Financial Services Inc., Manulife Financial Corporation and Sun Life Financial Inc.

LFE.PR.B came into being in 2012, when it was received in exchange from LFE.PR.A (warrants were also part of the exchange consideration). The dividend was set to 6.25% – they had to be generous, because the NAVPU at the time was only about 11.55. The NAVPU is now 13.94 as of September 14, 2018.

From the Annual Information Form comes the following information:

In the event that the Termination Date is extended in any Extension Year, each holder of Preferred Shares or Class A Shares shall have the right to retract such Preferred Shares or Class A Shares effective December 1 of such Extension Year (the “Recurring Special Retraction Right”). The price payable per Preferred Share so retracted shall be equal to (i) the sum of (A) the lesser of (x) $10.00 and (y) the net asset value of the Company calculated on November 30 of such Extension Year, divided by the number of Preferred Shares then outstanding, plus (B) an amount equal to the accrued and unpaid dividends on each Preferred Share to but excluding November 30 of such Extension Year, plus (ii) all Dividends Owing thereon to but excluding November 30 of such Extension Year. The price payable per Class A Share so retracted shall be equal to the greater of (i) the net asset value per Unit calculated on November 30 of such Extension Year less $10.00, and (ii) zero. Holders of Preferred Shares or Class A Shares wishing to take advantage of the Recurring Special Retraction Right must surrender their Preferred Shares or Class A Shares for retraction no later than the close of business on November 1 of such Extension Year (or, if November 1 of such year is not a business day, on the immediately preceding business day). Payment of the retraction price per Preferred Share or Class A Share owing in respect of the exercise of the Recurring Special Retraction Right will be made on or before December 15 of such Extension Year (or, if December 15 of such year is not a business day, on the immediately succeeding business day).

November 1 is a Thursday this year, so the deadline to notify the company of a desire to retract is November 1 (brokerages will set their internal deadlines a few days earlier). LFE.PR.B is currently trading above its retraction price, however, so in the absence of extortionate transaction costs, holders who want to get out are better off selling.

Issue Comments

BK.PR.A To Extend Term and Boost Dividend

Quadravest has announced:

Canadian Banc Corp. (the “Company’) is pleased to announce it has extended the termination date of the Company a further five year period from December 1, 2018 to December 1, 2023.

In connection with the extension, the Company will also amend the dividend entitlement of the BK.PR.A Preferred Shares (“Preferred Shares”) effective December 1, 2018, to pay a cumulative preferential floating rate monthly dividend at an annual rate equivalent to the prevailing Canadian Prime Rate plus 1.5% (previously 0.75%). The minimum rate per annum of which dividends will be paid on the Preferred Shares remains at 5% and the maximum rate will increase from 7% to 8%. Assuming no change in the current Prime Rate of 3.7%, the dividends paid on the Preferred Shares would increase from the current rate of 5.0% to 5.2% per annum on their $10 redemption value. The BK Class A Shares (“Class A Shares”) will continue to receive their targeted monthly payments currently set at an annualized rate of 10%, based on the volume weighted average market price of the Class A Shares over the last 3 trading days of the preceding month.

In connection with the term extension, the Company will offer a Special Retraction Right which will allow existing shareholders to tender one or both classes of Shares and receive a retraction price based on the November 30, 2018 net asset value per unit.

Since inception of the Company, the Class A Shares have received a total of $14.05 per share and the Preferred Shares have received a total of $6.98 per share, for a combined total of $21.03.

The Company invests in a portfolio of six publicly traded Canadian Banks as follows:

Bank of Montreal Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Royal Bank of Canada
The Bank of Nova Scotia National Bank of Canada The Toronto-Dominion Bank

BK.PR.A is currently backed by a NAVPU of 22.76 as of 2018-9-14. The fund has total assets (including Capital Units) of 255-million as of 2018-8-31.

BK.PR.A was extended in December, 2012, in accordance with a vote taken in 2011.

According to the 2018 Annual Information Form:

In the event that the Termination Date is extended in any Extension Year, each holder of Preferred Shares or Class A Shares shall have the right to retract such Preferred Shares or Class A Shares effective December 1 of such Extension Year (the “Recurring Special Retraction Right”). The price payable per Preferred Share so retracted shall be equal to (i) the sum of (A) the lesser of (x) $10.00 and (y) the net asset value of the Company calculated on November 30 of such Extension Year, divided by the number of Preferred Shares then outstanding, plus (B) an amount equal to the accrued and unpaid dividends on each Preferred Share to but excluding November 30 of such Extension Year, plus (ii) all declared and unpaid dividends thereon to but excluding November 30 of such Extension Year. The price payable per Class A Share so retracted shall be equal to the greater of (i) the net asset value per Unit calculated on November 30 of such Extension Year less $10.00, and (ii) zero. Holders of Preferred Shares or Class A Shares wishing to take advantage of the Recurring Special Retraction Right must surrender their Preferred Shares or Class A Shares for retraction no later than the close of business on November 1 of such Extension Year (or, if November 1 of such year is not a business day, on the immediately preceding business day). Payment of the retraction price per Preferred Share or Class A Share owing in respect of the exercise of the Recurring Special Retraction Right will be made on or before December 15 of such Extension Year (or, if December 15 of such year is not a business day, on the immediately succeeding business day).

November 1 is a Thursday this year so the deadline to notify the company of a desire to retract is November 1 (brokerages will set their internal deadlines a few days earlier). BK.PR.A is currently trading above its retraction price, however, so in the absence of extortionate transaction costs, holders who want to get out are better off selling.